Sharesure
- 10 Jun 2005 19:26
Griffin Mining - golden future! http://www.basemetals.com/
GFM deserves a new thread after todays AGM. For the first time the venue was packed with shareholders, a tribute to the interest and support the company has for what the Board has achieved. For those unable to be at the meeting here are some of the points I noted which may interest folk on this BB.
Production: dry and wet testing now completed and zinc concentrate comes through the smelter next week. Zinc price on the LME is currently $1300/ton. GFM is being offered $1700/ton at the mine gate. This premium reflects the demand and difficulty local industry has in sourcing this basic metal ( As an aside the chairman reported that zinc is not easily and efficiently extracted as a recycled metal so newly mined zinc is always required). Cost of production is $595/ton ($700/ton if all depreciation costs are included). Labour costs are $1000/worker pa cf an Aussie underground worker of $130,000/worker pa. Apparently the 20m.pa worker migration from agricultural to industrial jobs means that there are queues of applicants wanting jobs at the mine; wage inflation is not an issue. 240+ employees on site to run the mine on a 24/7 basis.
Production can be increased w/o further investment for a throughput of 400,000 tons of ore pa; An increase to 500,000tons pa would require further investment of between $1m and $2m . All plant has been purposely over-engineered to ensure capacity can rise reliably and with back-up facilities (eg 3 boilers, 2 of which are back-up)
H&S is to world stds., setting an example to the rest of the Chinese mining industry which has a poor record currently because of the number of small private mines.
Reserves: 14.5years supply on current zone rising to 25 years in zone 3. Chairman showed an independent report which believes that the closure of many existing zinc mines is now producing a supply gap which will continue to improve the zinc price cycle to year 2012.
Profits: No problems known or foreseen to the repatriation of profits. However the chairman stated that the profits might achieve more for shareholders if the company uses these for further exploration and possibly buying back the companys shares. The latter move might help resolve the current shorting problem where it is thought that between 6 or 7 million shares are currently being shorted. This move could have a highly geared effect on increasing the share price and help deter the shorters/stock bashers from further activity.
Exploration: Chairman says company will be drilling a further 18,000m over the coming summer months and in his personal view he expects the company to steadily move towards becoming a gold mining concern, with some of the profits from the zinc smelting funding that work. An RC rig which costs 33% of the cost of a diamond drilling rig has been brought on to site.
Future exploration areas always being looked at + changes in Chinese Ministry of Land & Resources policy towards funding means that GFM will likely be offered many more prime government held assets in the near future.
Personal view is that GFM is a well and responsibly run mining company which is now likely to really grab a lot more attention as the profits start to flow as of next week. I am sure others on this BB at the meeting can fill the gaps where I have missed anything.
Sharesure
- 21 Jul 2005 09:05
- 169 of 1193
Andy, Thanks. What took them sooooo looooooooooooong! Maybe they have a new mining commentator? I can't download the magazine this morning for some reason.
Sharesure
- 21 Jul 2005 09:05
- 170 of 1193
Andy, Thanks. What took them sooooo looooooooooooong! Maybe they have a new mining commentator? I can't download the magazine this morning for some reason.
Sharesure
- 21 Jul 2005 09:05
- 171 of 1193
Andy, Thanks. What took them sooooo looooooooooooong! Maybe they have a new mining commentator? I can't download the magazine this morning for some reason.
Sharesure
- 21 Jul 2005 09:05
- 172 of 1193
Andy, Thanks. What took them sooooo looooooooooooong! Maybe they have a new mining commentator? I can't download the magazine this morning for some reason.
Andy
- 21 Jul 2005 09:07
- 173 of 1193
Sharesure,
It's on page 16, a whole page to Griffin!
I have downloaded it ok about five minutes ago.(though not received the hard copy yet!)
Oakapples142
- 21 Jul 2005 09:16
- 174 of 1193
Andy - Any chance you could copy page 16 to this BB - it might do us all a power of good. What do my learned fellow investors make of a change of Broker ?
Andy
- 21 Jul 2005 10:29
- 175 of 1193
oakapples142,
Well not much personally, we may see some buys from the new broker putting clients in, but we'll probably see some sells as the ex broker takes his clients out!, IMO.
What needs to improve is the PR, and maybe the new broker is the reason that GFM have finally apeared in the Shares Mag pages.
Unable to co copy here as they may claim breach of copyright.
========================================================
Griffin Mining Ld
21 July 2005
21st July 2005
Appointment of Nominated Adviser and Broker
Griffin Mining Limited ('Griffin' or the 'Company') has today appointed Collins
Stewart Limited of 88 Wood Street, London EC2V 7QR as the Company's Nominated
Adviser and Broker for the purposes of the quotation of Griffin's ordinary
shares on the Alternative Investment Market of the London Stock Exchange.
The Company would like to extends its sincerest gratitude to the corporate and
institutional staff at Charles Stanley & Company Limited, the Company's previous
Nominated Adviser and Broker, who assisted the company so diligently in its
early development.
Further information
Mladen Ninkov - Chairman Telephone: +44 (0) 20 7629 7772
Roger Goodwin - Finance Director
Griffin Mining Limited
Andrew Smith/Martin Eales Telephone:+44 (0) 20 7523 8350
Collins Stewart Limited
Hugo de Salis Telephone: +44 (0) 20 7242 4477
St Brides Media & Finance Ltd
Griffin Mining Limited's shares are quoted on the Alternative Investment Market
(AIM) of the London Stock Exchange (symbol GFM).
The Company's news releases are available on the Company's web site:
www.griffinmining.com
This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
Oakapples142
- 21 Jul 2005 10:44
- 176 of 1193
Andy - Thanks for that - I felt that my cheek would anyway not be within bounds because of connection between MoneyAM and Shares Mag - you may well be right about PR - Good luck
Sharesure
- 21 Jul 2005 12:07
- 177 of 1193
I think the new broker will inevitably produce their own Research note and that it would be a surprise if that did not materially increase the opinion of value of the company now that it is in production. The new broker is in the top three mining brokers so that too should lend weight to the opinion being one investors can take seriously. Also I would think that if the gold exploration proves to be as hoped they may need a more a good specialist mining broker to take that fwd.
I agree about the PR, or lack of it. Maybe they'll be swapped next.
Sharesure
- 21 Jul 2005 13:42
- 178 of 1193
Hadn't rec'd my copy of Shares before my last post on here. Steven Frazer's article seems to agree with all that we have been saying on here for some time. The two elements of additional interest, the gold prospecting seems to have been underplayed; the company seem to know they have got a valuable deposit, but cannot fully evaluate it until they drill some more. The projected sp gives no allowance for the speculative interest there will be as drilling commences over the next month. Also, not mentioned at all, is the possibility that other, larger, mining outfits will wish to to take a stake in GFM as a foothold into China, and use that as a shortcut to take advantage of GFM's mgt's reputation with the Chinese authorities.
dibbles
- 21 Jul 2005 17:26
- 179 of 1193
Anyone know when the drill rig will be on site, it seems like it's been at the docks forever!!!!!!!!!!!
Sharesure
- 21 Jul 2005 17:51
- 180 of 1193
Dibbles, any day now apparently. Hopefully the real fun starts then.
bosley
- 22 Jul 2005 00:22
- 181 of 1193
sharesure, congratulations. you finally got your wish. :)
Sharesure
- 22 Jul 2005 07:50
- 182 of 1193
Thanks, bosley. It tok a long time! Just hoping I've not missed anything - it's always a concern when the outlook appears so promising. Hope you are in on this one too; I have always reckoned the real action starts now they get their drilling programme underway; the zinc is really just a 'travel & meal ticket' to what should prove to be bigger things to come,
aldwickk
- 22 Jul 2005 11:23
- 183 of 1193
With a mine in China , GFM does not have to export zinc so how will the Chinese revaluation effect the local zinc price ?
aldwickk
- 22 Jul 2005 11:25
- 184 of 1193
aldwickk
- 22 Jul 2005 11:27
- 185 of 1193
I see that ZOX is flat lining and GFM as overtaken them.
Andy
- 22 Jul 2005 12:09
- 186 of 1193
aldwick,
That may be due to news from one, and a (current) lack of news from the the other!
I have seen a ZOX presentation, and it was very impressive IMO, and when I have some spare funds am going to buy.
I hold GFM.
Sharesure
- 22 Jul 2005 19:42
- 187 of 1193
Aldwickk, I puzzled that one. GFM stated that now they have bought all the capital equipment the remnimbi/dollar rate has little effect since they now sell the product locally at rates which can exceed the LME price. Conversion of those proceeds into dollars will get them more dollars after the reval. but on the negative side they will find local inflation slightly higher. My guess is that the current small reval. of the remnimbi will have little effect either way. Would be interested in anyone else's thoughts.
Andy, re ZOX, I heard that they were going to have raise a load of extra capital to do what GFM has already done. If that is true it does mean a time delay while they build the smelter, risk and some sp volatility whilst they raise cash in a mkt. that is looking less inclined to want to put cash into mines? Just some thoughts; I would rather be in GFM w/o those uncertainties plus the spice of the gold exploration.
aimtrader
- 23 Jul 2005 22:33
- 188 of 1193
now griffin have done what they promised, there must be a conslidation in the proce soon as the good news is already in the market in my view...
there will probably be a delay of a few months before we hear the results of the gold drills, so it may retrace a little...
late september should be the start of the xmas run up in the market i reckon, not before...