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Xcite Energy - North Sea Heavy Oil (XEL)     

Proselenes - 22 Oct 2009 11:14

.

cynic - 17 May 2011 12:09 - 1728 of 3002

Mr S .... who/when was that?

Sequestor - 17 May 2011 12:23 - 1729 of 3002

At an oilywhatsit meeting a few weeks back, a director told several people that he couldn`t guarantee a ten bagger agan, but trebling was on the cards, it was on AFN so it must be true-lol- the price then was about 350p from memory

cynic - 17 May 2011 12:43 - 1730 of 3002

fucking idiot! ..... mind you, i haven't bothered with oilbarrel for a couple of years now as i quickly came to the conclusion that it was just a platform for company self-promotion

PS - i assume abuse of (mis)directors is permitted!

Sequestor - 17 May 2011 12:55 - 1731 of 3002

Oh its thoroughly encouraged dear boy, I reckon the clown must have knocked a quid off the share price when the muppets realised it was BS, but they believed him for a while

lol

Proselenes - 17 May 2011 13:22 - 1732 of 3002

Downgrade from Numis, snippet below, more on the link :

http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2011/05/17/570841/markets-live/

.............Risky relative to other E+Ps. We think Xcite is a riskier proposition than many other E+P stocks. With the RAR now passed, there is a substantial length of time until the next catalyst (first oil from the FSP, 4Q11) and continued uncertainty on the fields
ultimately recoverable resource, in our view.

Valuation. That said, in the meantime we think Xcites share price will be underpinned
by a healthy 28mmbbl reserve base, and the stock remains inexpensive at just 0.57
times NAV versus the E+P peer group at 0.78 times. Our target price has moved from
453p to 225p, and with 17% upside to this target we move our recommendation from
Buy to Add..............

markymar - 17 May 2011 15:00 - 1733 of 3002

Pro must be wanting the price to go lower so he can buy back in.

Sequestor - 17 May 2011 16:00 - 1734 of 3002

So they have halved their target, you couldn`t make it up

markymar - 17 May 2011 17:38 - 1735 of 3002

Evolution Securities

XCITE ENERGY (XEL) - BUY - PRICE/TARGET : 192P/322P

FILING OF MATERIAL CHANGE REPORT
Company focussed on shifting Resources in to Reserves

EVO TAKE The most interesting aspect of the Material Change Report issued today by Xcite is the fact that the company intends to submit a field development plan for BOTH the First Stage Production AND Second Stage Production. This will allow the 87mmbbls of contingent resources to be classified as Reserves, taking the total 2P count to 115mmbbls. On this basis, Xcite would certainly look cheap, trading on a current EV/2P of $4.4/bbl versus a $11.8/bbl valuation in the Reserves Assessment Report and $10/bbl for typical North Sea transactions.

DETAILS The Material Change Report provides some of the detail behind the numbers issued in last weeks Reserves Assessment Report and is a requirement under Xcites Toronto Stock Exchange listing. We will look at the costing assumptions in the Reserves Assessment and fine tune our model where necessary but we do not expect to make material changes.

VALUATION AND RECOMMENDATION The shares have fallen over 40% since the Reserves Assessment last week which, although below our expectations, do mark an important stage in the monetization of the Bentley asset. We think the fall is overdone and remain Buyers.

Company focussed on shifting Resources in to Reserves (David Farrell) David Farrell
+44 (0)20 7071 4447 david.farrell@evosecurities.com

markymar - 18 May 2011 07:45 - 1736 of 3002

Someone been sacked,lets hope its for the better.

gibby - 18 May 2011 07:58 - 1737 of 3002

interesting chatter circling xel.... what was effectively a reserve update conf yesterday to 87m contingent reserves to total 115m is now considered cheap by the city - apparently - expect some blue here today - we shall see

other good news as mm states - rubbish has been fired - agm etc

gibby - 18 May 2011 08:13 - 1738 of 3002

excellent!

Proselenes - 18 May 2011 08:14 - 1739 of 3002

New advisors - says one thing.

Placing/Fund Raising on the way............. lets see if the rumours of 200p were correct when it happens a few weeks down the line.

Sequestor - 18 May 2011 08:20 - 1740 of 3002

The new advisors will be looking closely at the bod now,

watch this space

cynic - 18 May 2011 17:53 - 1741 of 3002

it doesn't matter about what (shale) oil canada does or doesn't have ..... XEL's stuff, now of debatable quantity, is in the north sea lest you had not noticed! ..... anyway, the AGM clearly excited (sorry about the pun) no one, nor scared them either

Sequestor - 18 May 2011 18:17 - 1742 of 3002

Well oddly enough I DO know where the North Sea is---so?

oh and show me a car running on their oil.

People get so carried away with BS from these people, suddenly every one holding a handful of dubious oily shares is an expert petrologist ( study of rocks dearie)

Balerboy - 18 May 2011 18:57 - 1743 of 3002

I think another F*ck off coming......;))

Sequestor - 18 May 2011 19:52 - 1744 of 3002

I expect nothing less.

cynic - 18 May 2011 20:15 - 1745 of 3002

Mr S ..... there is no question that heavy oil is much more difficult to extract and to refine, but there are many more uses for crude than running your aston martin ... i concur that XEL's latest report was pretty uninspiring, but nevertheless they do seem to have a commercial field, even if not quite to the extravagant claims previously predicted

btw, i am no "expert petrologist" and have never pretended to be, but through my biz, i do have at least some minimal knowledge .... and your "claim to fame" is what exactly?

Balerboy - 18 May 2011 20:31 - 1746 of 3002

oh dear......another "Top analyst" coming.,.

gibby - 18 May 2011 20:42 - 1747 of 3002

lol
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