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Xcite Energy - North Sea Heavy Oil (XEL)     

Proselenes - 22 Oct 2009 11:14

.

cynic - 18 May 2011 17:53 - 1741 of 3002

it doesn't matter about what (shale) oil canada does or doesn't have ..... XEL's stuff, now of debatable quantity, is in the north sea lest you had not noticed! ..... anyway, the AGM clearly excited (sorry about the pun) no one, nor scared them either

Sequestor - 18 May 2011 18:17 - 1742 of 3002

Well oddly enough I DO know where the North Sea is---so?

oh and show me a car running on their oil.

People get so carried away with BS from these people, suddenly every one holding a handful of dubious oily shares is an expert petrologist ( study of rocks dearie)

Balerboy - 18 May 2011 18:57 - 1743 of 3002

I think another F*ck off coming......;))

Sequestor - 18 May 2011 19:52 - 1744 of 3002

I expect nothing less.

cynic - 18 May 2011 20:15 - 1745 of 3002

Mr S ..... there is no question that heavy oil is much more difficult to extract and to refine, but there are many more uses for crude than running your aston martin ... i concur that XEL's latest report was pretty uninspiring, but nevertheless they do seem to have a commercial field, even if not quite to the extravagant claims previously predicted

btw, i am no "expert petrologist" and have never pretended to be, but through my biz, i do have at least some minimal knowledge .... and your "claim to fame" is what exactly?

Balerboy - 18 May 2011 20:31 - 1746 of 3002

oh dear......another "Top analyst" coming.,.

gibby - 18 May 2011 20:42 - 1747 of 3002

lol

jkd - 18 May 2011 20:51 - 1748 of 3002

now now boys an gals.
anyway wheres my dictionary, a couple of words i need to look up.and no Bb not one of yours-;)
and why does S have to have a claim to fame?
just wondering and just my view and opinion as always.
regards to you all.
jkd

markymar - 18 May 2011 22:33 - 1749 of 3002

Notes from AGM

- Bentley East was not part of the 2009 cpr
- it is not part of the core as it has not yet been drilled - will be appraised in FSP by a sidetrack, it is a pinch out in the field.
- oil has spilled into the core from Bentley east & south into the core from se to nw. If pressure connectivity can be established in this appraisal then it will be added to the core area
-Also believed that there is a channel connecting to Bressay to the nw
- the fsp area is defined only by what will be drained by the no of wells in the fsp
- D West is the asset manager doing the DECC application
- only thing stopping all P becoming reserves is the DECC approval
- subtle differences between staged and phased ??
- where's the 200mmboe? It is still there on the upside of the areas which are not currently 1P or 2P but must be more careful in the terminology used now??

DECC approval
- 2 stage plan has been put forward to DECC - 2 stages because XEL will learn from stage 1 fsp
- fpso discussions underway and DECC APPROVAL is expected by the summer
- 200mmBoe is being used internally by management for sizing

Funding
- they know how much bank debt (mezz or project finance) is available
- split of equity & debt is being discussed and expects to be settled in the next 4-8 weeks ie there is likely to be some kind of modest placing

IP
- there is $100m invested in how to do what XEL has done
- there are directly comparable fields in the north sea so this is worth a lot
- further approaches for data sharing have been received
- no well data sharing has been agreed with Statoil for the 6z well

No clear answer to what management will do differently to avoid the communications disaster happening again - disappointing answer on this.
- RS is very keen to emphasise the asset value is now fully derisked at $1.35m
- "there is a gap between asset value and SP and the market will figure this out" - this seems to be the comms strategy

cost per barrel is significantly more fsp than 2009 cpr and more than ssp

slippage on first oil to Q1/Q2 2012 dependent on whether wells are batch drilled or drilled and brought into production simoultaneously.

- significant interest in the contractor community to be involved in incentive based participation in the Bentley alliance

markymar - 18 May 2011 22:38 - 1750 of 3002

Totally de-risked with an asset worth $1,350,000,000 / 163.2million = $8.27/5.11

dreamcatcher - 18 May 2011 22:40 - 1751 of 3002

My view, were the board of directors to big to ask for help. Now look at the cost. I would have thought top advisors would have gone over the report before it being made public. It was just to important to not word or get it over to the investors, in a understanding way.

jkd - 18 May 2011 23:19 - 1752 of 3002

m
are they your notes?
if not maybe you would like to confirm who's and when, as you give no details or references whatsoever.
many thanks
jkd

Proselenes - 19 May 2011 01:26 - 1753 of 3002

Number of broker notes are saying "still very risky".

That says it all.

Sequestor - 19 May 2011 06:18 - 1754 of 3002

I have no claim to fame, and indeed shun such self- aggrandisement,I do however have a Bsc., Geology being an integral.

I also have a modest holding in XEL.

The ref to " a modest placing" will spook the market, this has to impinge upon the banal sp, and from notes I have read from the AGM,it was not a bundle of laughs.

We shall see.
Oh and anyone using the word " derisked" to describe an investment should be boiled in the oil they haven`t yet landed, as Samuel Goldwyn probably didn`t say

gibby - 19 May 2011 06:37 - 1755 of 3002

brokers - what do they know lol! time and again they are wrong so i'll take a broker view and compare to my information and general information available

after agm glad i am in long here - interesting start to the day again

Sequestor - 19 May 2011 07:38 - 1756 of 3002

I presume the directors won the vote to continue our largesse to them for virtual freebies?

cynic - 19 May 2011 07:48 - 1757 of 3002

there's a lot ofd companies out there like that i'm afraid ..... on the other hand, AFR (which i hope you hold) quietly gets on with things and delivers the goods

skinny - 19 May 2011 07:52 - 1758 of 3002

Have You De-Risked Recently?

Sequestor - 19 May 2011 07:57 - 1759 of 3002

ah thanks skinny , might have known the word was coined by an American BS merchant.

Another word for the dictionary dustbin, along with de-ramp.

Does de-cynic exist?

gibby - 19 May 2011 08:12 - 1760 of 3002

well the post agm opinion is that xel have been very conservative in their valuations and sp is in fact at least 50% below reality - blue may firm more today - yeeeeeeehaaaaaaaa!
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