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GLOBAL ENERGY DEVELOPMENT Well Undervalued And As Yet Untouched By The B/B Herd (GED)     

goldfinger - 28 Apr 2005 16:19

Been looking at this one ever since results were published back on the 7th april. Its both an Oil Explorer and Developer and just throws off cash and makes a profit. I wouldnt initialy go into it because the shares were very tightly held especially by the US Oil Company Harken Energy I think they had around 85% of the share equity and the stock was not very liquid, but thats changing as Harken sells off shares into the market especially to the Large Institutions. In fact its just sold another tranch off today.

It really as a lot going for it and since the results as been tipped by two Brokers Teather and Greenwood and Equity Development) as strong Buys but the good thing is that the price as not yet really moved, the city have not caught onto this one yet and this is an ideal opportunity to get on board. Its also won new contracts and its NAV estimated short term to be 367p, long term 729p is up against a share price of only 161p. The P/E for the company for 2005 is only 6 and for 2006 a mere P/E of 4, compare that to some of the Blue Skers around and it is amazingly cheap. The institution Fidelity have also taken a big stake in the last couple of days and those boys know what they are doing.

Last Results to 31st December 2004.


Financial Highlights



Revenues up 28% to $10,974,000 (2003: $8,556,000)



Gross Profit up 65% to $5,349,000 (2003: $3,239,000)



Profit before tax up 292% to $3,127,000 (2003: $797,000)



No debt as at 31 December 2004



Finding cost of approximately $5 per barrel in the three years ending 31
December 2004



107% increase in Capital Expenditure budget for 2005 (2004: $8,700,000)

- fully funded from cash available and cashflow from production


Operational Highlights



2 exclusive contracts signed in Colombia in 2004 and another exclusive
contract in Peru added post the year end



Portfolio now much enlarged and prospect rich - trend towards exploration
against backdrop of established production

- 6 contracts and 1 pending contract covering approximately 3 million
acres in Colombia, Peru and Panama

- 100% ownership of all contracts



Production widened to 10 wells from 4 contracts as at 31 December 2004

- Record daily production of 2230 bopd from 11 wells as at 3 April 2005



Multiple exploration prospects within enlarged portfolio in all 3
countries already independently reported on

- First exploration expenditure since flotation on properties held under
contract to occur in 2005



Anticipate signing at least 2 additional exclusive contracts or Technical
Evaluation Agreements during the remainder of 2005

Director Speak.

Commenting of the results for 2004 and progress post the year end, Stephen Voss,
Managing Director, said:



'We are very optimistic about Global's position within the oil industry. We
identified many years ago three pre-eminent countries in which to operate -
Colombia, Peru and Panama - that have continually offered improved industry
terms and economic and political stability. All three continue to have few
independents operating in them and as a consequence Global continues to maintain
its first mover advantage and the opportunity to acquire additional attractive
acreage.



We have significantly enlarged our portfolio since our flotation three years ago
and now have a much diversified portfolio offering multiple prospect
opportunities in addition to established production. This production throughout
2004 against historically high oil prices resulted in record financial results
for the year.



Our production and strong-pipeline of near-term production allows the Company to
continue to build on a solid financial base whilst beginning to pursue the
considerable exploration prospects under contract and pending contract which the
management believe are capable of significantly enlarging and transforming the
Company going forward.'


Forward Outlook

We are very optimistic about Global's position within the oil industry. We
identified many years ago three pre-eminent countries in which to operate -
Colombia, Peru and Panama - that have continually offered improved industry
terms and economic and political stability. All three continue to have few
independents operating in them and as a consequence Global continues to maintain
its first mover advantage and the opportunity to acquire additional attractive
acreage.



We have significantly enlarged our portfolio since our flotation three years ago
and now have a much diversified portfolio offering multiple prospect
opportunities in addition to established production. This production throughout
2004 against historically high oil prices resulted in record financial results
for the year.



Our production and strong-pipeline of near-term production allows the Company to
continue to build on a solid financial base whilst beginning to pursue the
considerable exploration prospects under contract and pending contract which the
management believe are capable of significantly enlarging and transforming the
Company going forward.ENDS.

Conclusion.

Way undervalued in my eyes and a lot of others in the industry aswell. The future is very exciting. Remember its not a Petrel or a White Nile so dont expect fireworks. Its got an high beta and the shares are still relatively tightly held. Further news flow will move the share price this year and beyond. You will have to be patient with this one but I beleive it to be an exceptional investment.

DYOR.

cheers GF.

TA looks rather strong.....................

p.php?pid=legacydaily&epic=GED&type=1&si

stringy - 04 Oct 2005 18:03 - 180 of 367

That's why I chose them Andy.

Am I right in assuming that I can only get prices during trading hours? Will look into this tonight.

jimmy b - 04 Oct 2005 18:55 - 181 of 367

stringy , i tried to open a spread on GED this morning, they quoted 10p above the offer and wouldn't allow me to bet the amount per point that i wanted ,you may have more luck tomorrow, IG can be very good and also very frustrating at times....Good luck JB..

Andy - 04 Oct 2005 20:41 - 182 of 367

Stringy,

Yes I believe so.

stringy - 04 Oct 2005 21:38 - 183 of 367

Thanks Andy, jimmy b.

Andy - 04 Oct 2005 23:46 - 184 of 367

Jimmy b,

10 points above?

Sounds like they're running scared!

But you would have to be very careful taking a bet at 10 points out of the money, as if it dropped you would be murdered on the spread, and they skew prices when they choose.

stringy - 05 Oct 2005 00:12 - 185 of 367

Andy,

That's the main reason I haven't used the account so far. Just sticking to shares at the mo. Have had good success with investing but very poor results trading shares anyway so far.

goldfinger - 05 Oct 2005 02:11 - 186 of 367

Forget the betting lads, can you beleive it on the other site they said I had died this evening, and not only that every site I go on even Hemscott as me down as having snuffed it tonight. So as a prank I joined in and loved it.

Any body who doesnt beleive in the strength of B/Bs is talking wet.

Mind im still alive. Might go out and get pissed (celebreate my own wake lol.) on just that alone tomorrow if the markets are flat. HE HE, ANY EXCUSE. Mind I need one with her indoors , bless her.cheers GF.


cheers GF.

.

jimmy b - 05 Oct 2005 07:32 - 187 of 367

LOL !!

bhunt1910 - 05 Oct 2005 07:50 - 188 of 367

Morning GF - kere to many more long years!!!

Baza

Andy - 05 Oct 2005 09:56 - 189 of 367

Gf,

ADVfN, or Motley Fool?

AIM stocks getting hammered again today.

jimmy b - 05 Oct 2005 12:14 - 190 of 367

Yes Andy ,just as well i didn't take that spread yesterday ,everthings gone red ,i'm sure it will bounce back..
I wonder if GF is back from the Embalmers yet :-) ..

goldfinger - 05 Oct 2005 13:23 - 191 of 367

LOL. A general sell off going on at the moment. No need worry. What goes down does back up.

cheers Gf.

Andy - 05 Oct 2005 15:17 - 192 of 367

GF,

which board was exagerating rumours of your demise?

doughboy66 - 05 Oct 2005 16:51 - 193 of 367

If i buy into this the SP will bloody drop i guarantee!!
Good call Goldfinger i did look at this when you posted but being the wise old owl that i am didn`t buy any,oh well bread and water for tea again!
Oh nearly forgot RIP
DB66

goldfinger - 05 Oct 2005 20:27 - 194 of 367

LOL DB.

Andy quite a few in fact. Rumours spread quickly. Im just ignoring the tittle tattle.

cheers GF.

HUSTLER - 06 Oct 2005 00:07 - 195 of 367

Hi GF
Where ever you are upstairs downstairs or just
left planit earth for tax reasons, good move.
Imagine a life without tax what a pleasure that
would be. Just a bit of dribble to take my mind
off the market in general today, hope tomorrow
is better, although i doubt it as yanks have been
battered again tonight HUGE hope we don't follow.
Hope you are well
and holding your nerve.
All the best
HUSTLER

goldfinger - 06 Oct 2005 13:00 - 196 of 367

Just a market correction Hustler. Weve seen them before many a time. Lots panicking but they'l only have to buy back in with all the associated costs. Its not specific to any company, but obviously the higher the beta the greater the fall now and the greater the subsequent rise when we get it out of the system.

Must say though investors with a big % of their portfolio in cash should have some superb buying opportunities.

I suppose its all about timing the bottom here and looking towards the Yanks for signals.

Its given me a chance to stay away from the screens and get some overdue gardening and DIY done.

Best of luck.

cheers GF.

goldfinger - 06 Oct 2005 13:33 - 197 of 367

Heres an interesting piece.

Guinness expects higher oil prices

Published: 11:34 Thursday 06 October 2005 By: Simon Evans, Funds Reporter Printable Version



Tim Guinness, manager of Investec Asset Managements Global Energy fund, has warned investors not to get spooked about a likely fall in the short-term price of oil.

Guinness has presided over what he describes as supercharged and stonking returns on his 75 million fund since it became available to UK retail investors at the end of 2004.

Since launch the (Investec Global Energy A Acc) fund has returned 82.1%, which is about 32 percentage points ahead of the corresponding increase in the benchmark over the same period.

Guinness cautioned investors not to get jumpy about a correction. He said: A fall in the price of oil doesnt necessarily mean oil stocks automatically fall in price too. The oil price is volatile and there will be plenty of corrections in the coming years but in the long-term the price is only going one way.

Guinness said he believed the price of oil could be realistically supported at $85 a barrel in the next three years, adding that the once unthinkable $100 barrel was now also a distinct possibility.

Guinness expects higher oil prices
Published: 11:34 Thursday 06 October 2005 < PREV | 1 | 2 | NEXT > TOTAL PAGES: 2
By: Simon Evans, Funds Reporter Printable Version Email A Friend
Back To Latest News

Related Articles
Oil price too high in the short-term, forecasts Investec's Guinness:
09:08 Thu 30 June 2005 read







There are clearly constraints on how high the oil price can go but the fact that we are near capacity means that the price of oil could certainly overshoot and breakthrough the $100 a barrel mark, said Guinness.

He said he believed expectations of a higher oil price in the coming years meant many oil-related stocks were screaming buy opportunities. Valued on the basis of a $45 barrel many companies in the sector look distinctly undervalued, he said.

Guinness, who founded Guinness Flight Asset Management with failed Tory MP Howard Flight in the 1980s, is in the process of increasing his funds exposure to refineries, a sector of the oil market that he has tended to shy away from.

The refining business has enjoyed a boom over the last 18 months that has taken people by surprise, said Guinness, who added that from a refining perspective hurricane Katrina had been positive for a number of his holdings.

For many exploration and production stocks refining has been something of a ball and chain, said Guinness. Its taken 20 years to work off the excess capacity in refining and now, at last, margins have become glorious.

cheers GF. PS, anyone selling Oil stocks must be mad.

goldfinger - 07 Oct 2005 12:14 - 198 of 367

A welcome return to form. Looks like those who missed the boat first time are now getting in on the cheap.

cheers GF. Added a tranche myself.

jimmy b - 07 Oct 2005 12:38 - 199 of 367

I have just maneged to buy 4726 shares in one go ,most i could buy before was 1000, so i didn't ,how lucky is that ,,i nearly bought at 350p,,so i'm chuffed,, for some reason though my buy hasn't shown up..
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