Put this post on TMF yesterday :
Surface Transforms
EPIC : SCE
Web Site :
http://www.surface-transforms.com/
Surface Transforms plc is the UK’s leading manufacturer of ‘next-generation’ carbon fibre reinforced ceramic composite materials (CRFCs). The company’s high-performance products are being commercialised with major industry partners, for an expanding range of innovative global applications – using cutting-edge technology developed by the company.
Applications
• Automotive and motorsport brakes and clutches
• Rocket motor systems
• Rail brakes
• Aircraft brakes and aerospace components
• Ballistics
Results out yesterday :
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20090211070000P031D
Nothing unexpected, they have been hit by the worldwide downturn and therefore the reduced purchasing of high performance cars. That is probably a bit of a blow to their plans in all reality.
I had it down as :
2008 Increasing car braking system sales.
2009 Increasing car braking sales + first real revenues from rocket system starting.
2010 Rocket systems really starts to bump up the bottom line
And at any time the aerospace development contracts could go to their next phases, which means higher and higher levels of revenues for SCE.
This should have had them turning their first profits in 2010, and its why I have had 2010 as a turning point year marked down for SCE. As it stands now they are looking at “break even” for 2010 given the downturn in car braking systems, with of course the chance that aerospace could come up trumps any time.
They have done their homework and put in place decent IP protection, and their processes are said to be ahead of most, which is resulting in “quicker and cheaper” to produce.
This is a highly illiquid share, it’s a tech blue sky one, however there is a potential “predator” out there.
Over the past months one of SCE’s suppliers, C.Gledhill Ltd, has been building up a stake, now at near 10%.
Bit of media coverage :
http://www.thebusinessdesk.com/northwest/news/7727-share-watch-supplier-builds-surface-transforms-stake-barclays-sells-torotrack-and-more....html
Why are one of the suppliers happily building a stake in their customer ? One assumes they see the potential here.
C.Gledhill Ltd leads me to
http://www.usggledco.co.uk/
Armshare does a regular commentary on SCE,
http://www.armshare.com
Like I said, its highly illiquid, it’s a very speculative punt, car braking systems are presently being hit due to recession, but rocket systems should be coming through this year and contributing much more in 2010, and aerospace can pop its nose it at any time.
I would take a guess that Gledhill might be making a bid for the company at some stage………and so I remain interested in the short and mid term.
Cash burn is the worry, but is that not always the case with these blue sky tech tiddlers, and will Gledhill provide cash, for a larger slice of the pie ? Certainly a tiddler to watch imv, given the blue sky potential of aerospace, mixed in with more basic mundane revenue generation from car braking systems and rocket systems.