mojo47
- 16 Aug 2007 13:54
any one got a feelling in their water how far LLoyds will go looking to to buy but just dont know when they are low enough
cynic
- 14 Oct 2008 14:21
- 189 of 483
because i am being even more stupid than usual, though a falling sp means that the rights issue becomes ever less attractive
Guscavalier
- 14 Oct 2008 14:31
- 190 of 483
absolutely, so god forbid the there would be any manipulation but, it would not surprise me to see a rally above the clawback price. Will be interesting to see how it turns out.
Guscavalier
- 15 Oct 2008 08:49
- 191 of 483
LONDON (Reuters) - Some banks are urging the government to lift a ban on dividend payments imposed as part of its 37 billion pound bail-out of the crisis-hit sector, The Financial Times reported on Wednesday.
The FT gave no source for its information.
Royal Bank of Scotland, HBOS and Lloyds TSB -- the three lenders participating in the state rescue -- have all seen their share prices drop as a result of the dividend condition, the newspaper said.
All three banks are currently trading below the price at which the government has offered to buy the shares, meaning private investors are unlikely to take up the stock.
That would leave the government with the highest possible stake in each bank -- maximising the risk to taxpayers. A reinstatement of dividends could make the shares more appealing to non-government buyers.
RBS and HBOS declined to comment, while Lloyds could not be reached for comment.
dealerdear
- 15 Oct 2008 09:04
- 192 of 483
when does the Gov actually purchase the shares.
Anybody know?
spitfire43
- 15 Oct 2008 18:15
- 193 of 483
I only brought lloy for a relative stable company and the dividend, I won't be taking up my new shares, and would like to see lloy walk away from this deal. If lloy did pull out and raise the money via a rights issue I would take up my full allowance, as I'm sure other private investors would.
hangon
- 15 Oct 2008 19:13
- 194 of 483
It "probably" depends on your investment viewpoint ( and LLOY execs don't own the share-market).
If you bought LLOY at 4+ some while ago as a "safe-haven" and decent dividend, this fiasco is a disaster ONLY if you Sell. (er, IMHO).
If you bought recently as a speculator this is also a disaster - and many folks are bailing-out fearing ti will get worse.
Institutions are "probably" bailing-out as they need a cash-stock for their payments ( eg Pensions).
So they are looking elsewhere. Meanwhile the Gov stance on the payment of dividends is upsetting LLOY ( and others) as they like the Exec-lunches given by the pension industry - I'm guessing.
I suspect there will be a fudge and where any Bank is doing "better" ( not difficult, eh?) - they will be allowed to pay modest dividends, maybe 5% provided the Gov. "Preference shares" get the lion's share (no pun).
Whatever one thinks of GB - he has "...with one leap catapulted himself into the No.1 Finance World Rescuer . . . . a pretty difficult thing to do, made possibl;e only by these unusual events.
Personally, I wouldn't trust most MP's to park my car ( the clutch is a bit sharp), yet of the whole of Parliament, Vince Cable(lib) and GB are the only ones with sufficient Gravitas to make anything of this mayhem. Although folk need to watch GB keeps taking the right medicine.
The US was the root cause of the problem, fueled by the "free-ride" attitude of the Bush administration (can I say thet?) - and quite reasonably they hoped it woul;d keep going so they'd be re-elected. Unfortunately it fell short by six-months and they had no Plan ( remember IRAQ? No "peace-plan" was in place.).
LLOY appears to be rising, off these dire Lows - can it be that LLOY share is only worth a little more than an ice-ceream?
Dilution may be the ovbious reason and the Government "pref.shares" which are Dilution-in-waiting.
We do need International agreement, but more to the point we need International Punishment for circumventing so-called "Rules" - so we should be creating an Interpol where boundaries are non-existant. Perhaps this should extend to terrorism on an international scale, but excluding crimes that are contained in a country.
Guscavalier
- 15 Oct 2008 19:14
- 195 of 483
I agree with you, they would be able to raise the additional funds from shareholders. The Gov have bungled as usual by not letting the Ordy receive a dividend. Thus, income funds have been ditching their stock. If they reduce the pref percentage and allow a dividend on the Ordy, (some of which will be held by the Gov, the claw back will increase since the sp is more likely to rise above the clawback price. It is not as if Lloy were in the weaker positions of RBS and HBOS.
mitzy
- 16 Oct 2008 09:44
- 196 of 483
Bought a fw today @155p not sure if I have done the right thing but they seem cheap to me.
hangon
- 16 Oct 2008 14:27
- 197 of 483
I hold a few of these and pay tax - so I'm in by choice and by force . . . . shouldn't the Taxpayer-Loan be paid back before dividends start to roll?
Surely that's only reasonable - if say they were borrowing from the Unlimited Bank of World . . .they'd be insisting that profits came to them first.
For 5-years, IMHO, the Banking Sector has been paying dividends it had no business to . . . for most of them were holding enormous losses, but they pretended these were valuable pieces of paper - I sure wish they offered to buy some of my "Nitefly" loan-stock, currently offering 40% interest after two years. Quipple-A-rated ( that's 5-A's) by the Up-Town-Girlie-Bank of Cleavage, whose Logo is a Stalion rampant, mounted by a semi naked lass with flowing skirt, in full cry, carrying aloft a flaming torch.
-Those ads I'd like to see.
LLOY at 1.55 - sounds cheap to me, but large Buyers are not convinced. They need dividends to pay their cash-calls and don't want to sell shares to raise the cash-equivalent. They may think the "preference shares" are a better yield......anyone?
ExecLine
- 17 Oct 2008 15:16
- 198 of 483
If you'd like to listen to Eric Daniels, Lloyds TSB's CEO, telling interested parties what is going on, then dial
0800 032 9687
When asked for a 'Pass Code', press 49241546 and then #
One thing he mentions, is how he and his board at the bank are pushing to have the dividend payments unfrozen.
After listening to it, then I did think it was strange to read the following today:
Two 'Top Ten' Lloyds Investors shrug off dividend row
He obviously hasn't got these major investors on board with that idea then, has he?
ExecLine
- 20 Oct 2008 17:19
- 199 of 483
Have I discovered a conspiracy?
'RBS': AFX News says "LONDON, Oct 20 (Reuters) - Standard Life Investments, one of the largest investors in Royal Bank of Scotland and HBOS, said on Monday it is likely to increase its stake in both banks as part of a UK government recapitalisation plan...."
And the result?
On this quite positive news, RBS are up 23.18% today to 84.5p
However, this news doesn't get a smidgin' of a mention in the HBOS News slot. Nothin'. Nil. Zilch.
And the result of that?
With no positve news to support the share price, HBOS slides 1.10p or 1.37% down to 78.9p
By the way, Lloyds TSB have agreed to buy HBOS for 0.605 x the LLOY price. Since the latter currently closed at 173.50, up 14.7p or 9.26% then this means that the agreed HBOS buying price is 173.5 x 0.605 = 104.9p or a massive 26p higher than today's HBOS closing price of 78.9p.
Hmmm? As I originally asked, 'Have I discovered some kind of a conspiracy?' then....
Q2. "Should this deal even go ahead?"
Q3. "HBOS seems so unpopular and unloved. Shouldn't it just be nationalised and the bits sold off?"
Q4. "If not Q3. above, since the value now works out at a much lower factor of 0.455 x LLOY share price, shouldn't the price for HBOS be re-negotiated once again?"
scottinvestor
- 20 Oct 2008 17:58
- 200 of 483
SNP government are going to block merger unless their questions are answered satisfactorily as stated by mr.salmond yesterday live on bbc tv.
in any event, the lloyds offer is derisory and i imagine most shareholders will decline it.....also the offer makes no sense as hbos is now fully recapitalised according to fsa.
they should split up hbos back to the way it was with halifax property stuff being split up.
required field
- 20 Oct 2008 18:01
- 201 of 483
Yep Scotty... more volatility to come !.
spitfire43
- 20 Oct 2008 18:40
- 202 of 483
I still can't see this deal going ahead, the market most have doubts about it, because the hbos sp has been costantly below the offer price, and the lloy sp has been punished.
Just because the lloy Chairman if a friend of Gordon Brown shouldn't be a reason to keep going ahead with this unpopular takeover,. The long term benefit to lloy is not worth the added exposure to the UK economy, lloy are the bank that should have come out of this downturn the strongest, now they run the risk of being a victim.
SHAREHOLDERS MUST VOTE THIS DEAL DOWN.
scottinvestor
- 20 Oct 2008 19:55
- 203 of 483
similarly hbos should vote it down as they are now fully recapitalised.
also, lloyds seem to be struggling to even takeover hbos for a few billion.........remember that hbos were three times bigger than lloy. lloy also wrotedown a fair amount of money last week too.
so with 11.5 billion going to hbos, i cant see what benefit a couple of murray mints from lloy is going to help.
to sum up, i think everyone is against this apart from gb and lloyds heirarchy
spitfire43
- 21 Oct 2008 10:23
- 204 of 483
Check out the link below, I think they put the case against a tie up very well.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/3229169/Fives-reasons-why-Lloyds-TSB-shareholders-should-be-wary-of-a-merger-with-HBOS.html
Guscavalier
- 21 Oct 2008 10:40
- 205 of 483
Amazing how the price has rallied near to the claw back price. I think this deal will still go through although Brown/Darling will have to concede on dividend payment issue and maybe the %age charge on the pref will be lowered. Gov. will be stuck with the lot otherwise and would find it hard to get shareholder agreement. Even the larger institutions would imho change their minds.
geordieguy
- 21 Oct 2008 10:45
- 206 of 483
i thought gov wanted most of the shares as they will gain hugely out of this through long term.
i heard that prat darling on newsnight and he seemed adamant he wasnt changing from what was agreed.
they'll be nationalising oil and gas companies next
Guscavalier
- 21 Oct 2008 16:16
- 207 of 483
I've given up trying to understand or believe anything this Gov say as no doubt many others have. Best to switch off the TV when their faces appear and take stick to what you believe having tried to gleen the facts.
geordieguy
- 21 Oct 2008 16:23
- 208 of 483
i gave up about 5 years ago
take a stick to them would be a better idea