moneyplus
- 15 Apr 2008 13:10
This seems to be where the hot money is going at the moment so I'm in for a few. Tipped in the In/C last week has the potential to soar like Uramin according to the other side. I haven't put the house on it but fairly pleased so far since buying yesterday.
goldfinger
- 25 Sep 2009 07:54
- 19 of 58
Talk going on around the boards on this possible bid.
wizardsleeve
- 25 Sep 2009 08:07
- 20 of 58
looks to have got off to a flyer this morning on the back of this news................100% premium if it comes to fruition........come on my son
goldfinger
- 25 Sep 2009 08:27
- 21 of 58
Yep was hoping for a bit more than this but if a bid does come in at 250p what the heck.
Ive also found that mittal was interested in a bid back in 2007/2008 so it seems he wants his baby after all.
wizardsleeve
- 25 Sep 2009 08:35
- 22 of 58
The London Stock Exchange is set to embark on a spree of deals in a bid to transform the company. Cazenove is on the hunt for targets as the LSE's chief executive, Xavier Rolet, ponders further price cuts to respond to the competitive threat posed by rivals such as Chi-X and Turquoise. ....... or Plus?
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/new-lse-chief-cuts-staff-as-he-prepares-to-take-on-rivals-1792878.html
goldfinger
- 25 Sep 2009 08:54
- 23 of 58
yes would certainly help.
wizardsleeve
- 25 Sep 2009 08:59
- 24 of 58
tell me about it.......all my others have gone a bit belly up withe current market sell off...just seen
http://robson1974.webs.com/coal%20of%20africa/cza%20ms%20sep%202009.jpg
makes an interesting read
goldfinger
- 25 Sep 2009 09:41
- 25 of 58
That must be this weekend tip from broker morgan stanley. Thanks for that WZ il whip it around the other boards..... cheers.
goldfinger
- 25 Sep 2009 10:39
- 26 of 58
Picked up a few more cza on the intraday pull back.
Everything in place for a bid so im going for it with this one.
goldfinger
- 25 Sep 2009 12:16
- 27 of 58
Extending gains this lunchtime.
goldfinger
- 26 Sep 2009 14:12
- 28 of 58
goldfinger
- 27 Sep 2009 12:07
- 29 of 58
Had another look at this broker note and it would appear we are set for a raft of news in the coming months which should see further momentum in the SP...
Edison broker note....
From the 22nd....
http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch.co.uk/?ACT=18&ID=2236
goldfinger
- 27 Sep 2009 19:15
- 30 of 58
I note Zaks (Zak Mir) post above re- to African Coal CZA and yes would agree in the short term the macd is showing overbought .......BUT it must be noted that investors are expecting news on a NOMR (mining permit) probably by the end of this next week. If you read this Broker note from Edison from last week you will see the significance they attach to this if the outcome is positive.
http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch.co.uk/?ACT=18&ID=2236
Must be also noted that we have other news on the horizon so fingers crossed.
Tried to put a positive TA picture together here and looking for first hurdle of 150p being overcome pretty sharpish if fundies work out in CZAs favour.
Good luck.....

"
goldfinger
- 28 Sep 2009 08:28
- 31 of 58
News out this morning and seems its scared a few traders out but hopefully the real good news will come over the next few months hopefully starting with granting of permit news this week.......
CoAL denies any takeover approaches
Business Financial Newswire
Coal of Africa Limited says it has not received any takeover approaches.
The firm was responding to media speculation regarding an offer for the company.
Story provided by Business Financial Newswire
goldfinger
- 01 Oct 2009 13:52
- 32 of 58
TA very positive...
and why shouldnt it be.
Ok not a good day today but stocks do take a breather now and again.
Just look at the positives here from this TA Yank site....
http://quote.barchart.com/texpert.asp?sym=CZA.LS
hlyeo98
- 20 Aug 2010 19:11
- 33 of 58
Oh... I am excited too.
gibby
- 04 Nov 2010 09:47
- 34 of 58
IMHO - VERY STRONG BUY AT THIS SP - THERE IS NOTHING TO WORRY ABOUT - LOL LOL!!!
ANNOUNCEMENT 4 NOVEMBER 2010
RESPONSE TO MEDIA ARTICLE REGARDING MOOIPLAATS
Coal of Africa Limited ("CoAL" or "the Company"), the coal mining and development company operating in South Africa (ticker: CZA) and listed on the AIM, ASX and JSE, notes recent press articles published by media in South Africa on 3 November 2010 regarding the Company's activities at the Mooiplaats Colliery in Mpumalanga, together with the Company's recent announcement of 3 November 2010.
Coal would like to emphasise the following:
1. Mooiplaats has complied fully with all the DMR requirements
2. The Pre-compliance Notice is based on the Department of Environmental Affairs' NEMA requirements. If the principles of applying this ruling are consistently applied across the mining industry nearly every mine in this country would be forced to close.
3. Mooiplaats, in good faith, is in the process of complying with NEMA and a Compliance Notice is therefore unnecessary
4. Lack of clarity and consistency in the application of regulatory compliance negatively impacts on investment in SA and can cause significant job losses.
5. Mooiplaats will comply fully with the Pre-compliance notice.
The Colliery Environmental Management Plan (EMP) was approved on 25 September 2007 by the Department of Mineral Resources (DMR). Development of the mining area commenced in August 2008 and the financial liability provision and assessment plan was submitted for 2009 and updated in 2010.
Application was not initially made in terms of NEMA for authorization as these activities were authorized by the EMP and the general understanding within the mining industry is that as this involves a full EIA process and the environmental authorities are involved in that process no separate EIA is required for activities directly related to mining.
The Company acknowledges that it has received a pre-compliance notice (Notice) from the Mpumalanga Department of Economic Development, Environment and Tourism ("MDEDET") noting its intention to issue a Compliance Notice in terms of section 31L of the National Environmental Management Act in relation to activities undertaken by the Company on portions 1 and 9 Farm Mooiplaats 219 IT in Ermelo ("Compliance Notice"). However CoAL would like to take this opportunity to state that, contrary to the media reports, it has not been instructed nor is required by law to stop activities at the mine and only in the event that a Compliance Notice is received, will mining activities need to cease.
Pursuant to the terms of the Notice, CoAL may make an application for rectification within 10 days of receipt of (11 November 2010), following which the Department has stated that it may decide not to issue the Company with a Compliance Notice.
The activities referred to in the Notice include the construction of facilities or infrastructure, including associated structures or infrastructures:
for the storage of more than 250 tonnes but less than 100,000 tonnes of coal;
in the one in ten year flood line of a river or stream or within 32 metres from the bank of a river or a stream where the floodline is unknown;
for any process or activity which requires a permit or licence in terms of legislation governing the generation or release of emissions, pollution, effluent or waste and which is not identified in Government Notice No. R386 of 2006; and
for the manufacturing or storage or testing of explosives, including ammunition, but excluding licensed retail outlets and the legal end use of such explosives.
Other interactions with the environmental authorities include;
25 March 2009; meeting with Mpumalanga Department of Agriculture & Land Affairs was held to finalise approvals required for the construction phase to start;
27 March 2009; meeting was held with the Department of Water Affairs ("DWA") to discuss the Integrated Water Use License Application ("IWULA"). The DWA recommended that the colliery submit an IWULA for both Mooiplaats North and South as a single entity. Mooiplaats South is scheduled to commence production in 2012; and
10 June 2009 the Colliery management had a site meeting with MDEDET and the following activities were listed as requiring a Section 24 G application;
o The construction of the road and the stream crossing;
o Diesel storage tanks;
o Sewage Treatment Plant; and
o The excavation and in-filling of soil in a river/stream
The S24G applications were submitted on 15 June 2010 for all activities identified. The acknowledgement of the S24G applications was received from MDEDET on 23 June 2010. On 10 June 2009 the Processing Plant, coal stockpiles and explosives store were not identified by the MDEDET officers as activities that needed rectification.
Regional Interactions
Mooiplaats Colliery actively participates in the Grootdraai Dam Catchment Forum where regular feedback is given on activities and water qualities at Mooiplaats Colliery in the presence of DWA and MDEDET officials. Regular testing at two DWA sampling points revealed that the Colliery is within acceptable levels at the downstream sampling point situated at the Vaal River the suphate concentration is below 200mg/l. Therefore the recent allegation that the Colliery is polluting the Witpuntspruit which feeds into the Vaal River is incorrect.
When mine management at the Colliery enquired from the relevant officials the motivation for the Notice in view of the on-going interactions and rectification processes already being implemented, the responses were that of surprise and uncertainty from the officials actually dealing with these matters.
The delivery of a Pre-compliance notice with threats of closure for activities that commenced in 2008 is inconsistent with all prior Departmental interactions and, in the Company's view, totally unjustified. If the principles of applying this ruling are consistently applied across the mining industry, the Company is of the opinion that the majority of mines in this country would be forced to close. Mining related activities are specifically approved under the MPRDA at the time the Company executes a NOMR with the simultaneous approval of the EMP.
Since my appointment to Coal of Africa in July 2010, we have acknowledged the shortfalls that have manifested during the rapid growth of the Company over the past 2 years. I have also repeatedly emphasized that CoAL is moving into a new era as a mining production company with a commitment made to comply fully with all legislation. This position is supported by its ambition to graduate to the Main Stock Exchange in London which expects corporate governance of the highest level.
The Company has to date, in a short space of time, attracted well in excess of R2billion of direct foreign investment into South Africa and already employs over 1000 people. There is support from our major shareholders to increase this substantially when required to develop the economically transformative projects near Makhado.
The Company is now left with no choice but to explore all legal and constitutional options to ensure that the rights of the Company, its employees and shareholders are protected as much as possible.
The Company's intention in relation to the pre-compliance notice is to seek rectification as specified for the activities commenced, but it does not believe this is a circumstance in which closure, pending consideration of the application, is warranted and will pursue all its available options in this regard.
JOHN WALLINGTON
Chief Executive Officer
HARRYCAT
- 06 Dec 2010 10:08
- 35 of 58
Tipped by Shares Mag this week as a recovery play.
niceonecyril
- 28 Feb 2011 13:32
- 36 of 58
An exclusive report from James Faulkner of WatsHot.com
Expert tipster James Faulkner, whose recent comment on Range Resources caused such an increase in volumes that the company was forced to issue a statement on the matter, provides two new tips a month and regular updates on specialist small caps site WatsHot.com.
Although past performance is no guarantee of future success, and some tips have gone down in value, the average gain per tip as at 31st December 2010 across the 23 stocks tipped last year was 73.28%.
In this report, first published last Wednesday on WatsHot.com, the expert tipster takes a detailed look at coal mining and the stocks that could help you take advantage of increasing demand for the fuel. To read more insightful analysis like this from James in his daily column and get two brand new tips each month, join WatsHot.com now.
It may be dirty, but coal is set to return to the spotlight in 2011 as demand for cheap sources of energy heats up in the developing world. Latent trends are currently being exacerbated by the recent floods in Australia which have sent coal prices to a two-year high on the back of supply disruption in the world's largest exporter of coal. The situation is said to be worse than the 2008 flooding when the coking price moved above $300 per tonne for the first time, as the number of mines and transportation infrastructure affected is much greater. For a point of reference, the mines affected in 2008 took at least 6 months to recover from the interruption and return to full capacity. The latest rain comes after the country saw its wettest September/November period on record. In the past few months coal miners Rio Tinto, Xstrata, Vale, MacArthur Coal and Aquila Resources have all declared force majeure in the coal-rich Bowen Basin, allowing them to miss delivery commitments. In the week to 24th December, coal prices at the Richards Bay Coal Terminal in Queensland jumped 14% to an average $128.10 per tonne.
The fact that Australia accounts for almost two-thirds of the global coking coal trade points to continued price spikes in the coming months. Coking coal is a vital ingredient in steel-making, and unlike thermal coal it has no obvious replacement. With demand for coking coal remaining very strong indeed in India and China, and a move to a quarterly pricing system has facilitated higher price levels since it was implemented. The Steel Authority recently agreed to pay $225 per tonne to suppliers, a level that is 74% higher than the price it paid during the year ended 31st March 2010. Broker UBS forecasts that prices will hit $250 a tonne in the second quarter of 2011.
The outlook for thermal coal the form of coal used in power stations also looks bright. A report from Deutsche Bank said prices for thermal coal are likely to be 17% higher than expected because of global shortages over the next two years. The bank predicts that thermal coal prices will reach $118 per tonne next year and $140 in 2012. Here, too, the picture is one of rising demand exacerbated by constrained supply in key producing areas.
Rising prices have proved a catalyst for M&A activity in the sector. The most notable activity of late includes Rio Tinto's 2.2 billion bid for Riversdale Mining's Mozambique operations; Vallar's $3 billion deal to make a mining company from the coal assets of the Bakrie family in Indonesia; and Walter Energy's $3.3 billion bid for Western Coal earlier this year (on which WatsHot subscribers bagged a 180% profit). 2010 saw 27 coal deals, compared to 25 in 2009, with single mega-asset transactions accounting for 15 deals and up 50% on 2009 levels, according to Wood Mackenzie Group. This trend is likely to continue in 2011. Here are a few ideas of how to play it.
Churchill Mining (CHL)
Churchill has a potentially world-class project on its hands in the East Kutai project in Indonesia. Even in the project's current embryonic state, broker Astaire believes the company could achieve a sale value in excess of $300 million significantly greater than the firm's current market capitalisation of 114 million.(Now just 85m!) Whatever the eventual outcome, payback would be relatively swift. At 20Mtpa (million tonnes per annum) and a conservative cash operating margin of $20 per tonne, the project would generate free cashflow of $400 million per annum for at least 30 years. At a more realistic margin of $30 per tonne (based on $45/t revenue and $15/t costs), this increases to $600 million per annum. Recent studies have suggested that the production rate could be as high as 35 Mtpa. Getting the project into production will require deep pockets, with direct capital expenditure estimated at $1.2 billion. However, the company states that it looks forward to "moving swiftly into the next stage in the ongoing strategic process and bringing this large scale Project into development", and discussions with third parties are ongoing.
Risk Warning: The value of investments can go down as well as up. Investing in equities can lose you part or all of your capital. Smaller company shares can be relatively illiquid and thus hard to trade. And that makes such investments more of a high risk than larger company shares. Not all comments on WatsHot.com cause an increase in trading volumes. UK-Analyst.com is owned by t1ps.com Ltd which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Services Authority and can be contacted at 3rd Floor, 3 London Wall Buildings, London EC2M 5SY.
Beacon Hill Resources (BHR)
Rio Tinto's $16 per share offer for Mozambique coal developer Riversdale is good news for neighbouring Beacon Hill Resources. The Moatize basin in Mozambique is one of the last undeveloped fields containing potential to produce hard coking coal and Rio's move has brought it into the spotlight. Beacon Hill Resources already produces coal on a small scale from the Minas Moatize mine, and has fully funded plans to lift production in 2012 to over 2 Mtpa (million tonnes per annum), 30% of which is expected to be coking coal for the export market. The firm enjoys first mover advantage in the basin and the current infrastructure is capable of handling the planned ramp-up in production. Broker Collins Stewart expects the shares to be a top performer in 2011. The broker values Minas Moatize at 160 million, of which 68% could be attributable to Beacon Hill, implying a pre-funding NPV (net present value) per share of 55p.
Ncondezi Coal (NCCL)
Also operating in Mozambique is Ncondezi Coal, which is located in a separate basin 26km to the north of Moatize where the presence of coking coal has yet to be proved. The shares rose sharply in December in anticipation of a significant upgrade to the existing 1.8 billion tonne JORC Resource following a recently completed 76-hole drilling programme. Upon completion, the company announced that coal had been intersected on all previously undrilled blocks, and comprehensive results are due to be announced some time in the first quarter of 2011. If coking coal is present in significant quantities then the shares should fly; if not, they will probably fall back. This is therefore an investment for risk tolerant investors only.
Coal of Africa (CZA)
South Africa-focused Coal of Africa recently entered into an agreement to pay a total consideration of $75 million for the 1 billion tonne Chapudi Coal Project, which is contiguous with the firm's Makhado Coking Coal Project. Acquired from Rio Tinto Minerals Development Limited and Kwezi Mining Limited, the Chapudi Coal Project provides the company with an additional estimated 1.04 billion tonne JORC resource (of which 90Mt is Measured, 220Mt Indicated and 730Mt Inferred), which could potentially transform its existing 947Mt Makahdo Project into a major coal mining complex situated in the Soutpansberg Basin. Near-term upside could be provided from the results from the Makhado Project definitive feasibility study due in early 2011, or the results of the bulk sample pit being developed to support the off-take agreement with Arcelor Mittal. The shares traded as high as 300p back in 2008, but the recession came along as well as several operating setbacks, pushing the shares as low as 50p. They currently trade at 110p, and broker Evolution has a risk-adjusted 205p target
goldfinger
- 30 Mar 2011 10:05
- 37 of 58
CZA Coal Of Africa looks like its recovering from a January set back. A double bottom can be seen on the chart and SP bouncing up from the support given their.
Long term chart
Short term chart
Fundies.
A P/E of just 9.4 going into 2012 looks far too cheap to me. Im sure some will say value it on NAV, and I understand that the NAV position is very favourable.
Coal of Africa Ltd
FORECASTS 2011 2012
Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)
Evolution Securities Ltd
28-03-11 BUY 5.82 1.13 35.50 6.70
Edison Investment Research
04-03-11 None 51.89 7.06 74.42 9.65
2011 2012
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)
Consensus 26.64 3.81 53.09 8.03
1 Month Change 0.16 0.02 0.14 0.01
3 Month Change -8.79 -1.45 -1.43 0.05
GROWTH
2010 (A) 2011 (E) 2012 (E)
Norm. EPS % % 110.90%
DPS % % %
INVESTMENT RATIOS
2010 (A) 2011 (E) 2012 (E)
EBITDA -4.82m 28.74m 62.99m
EBIT -23.75m m m
Dividend Yield 0.00% % %
Dividend Cover x x x
PER -20.62x 19.89x 9.43x
PEG f f 0.08f
Net Asset Value PS 29.41p p p
Trading Outlook 16/03/2011
Outlook
Expected developments during the next reporting period include:
Clarity and resolution of the situation at Vele.
Completion of the Makhado bulk sample tests at ArcelorMittal followed by the DFS.
Commissioning of Phase 3 of the Matola Terminals upgrade during March 2011, thereby increasing CoAL's export allocation from one to three million tonnes per annum.
Increasing the production profile at the Mooiplaats Colliery to assist in meeting the port allocation referred to above.
Progress the Rio Coal Asset acquisition, including finalizing terms with potential partners.
dyor.
goldfinger
- 05 Apr 2011 08:18
- 38 of 58
Bullish item from Evolution on CZA
#ADVFN $CZA http://t.co/Sr9T88i