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Petroneft Resources - Is this going to fly? (PTR)     

Peter123 - 24 Nov 2006 16:37

This looks a very good bet? Mentioned in the share magazine.

Bob Heston - 10 Dec 2011 21:01 - 190 of 238

Looks an interesting company

required field - 18 Dec 2011 12:15 - 191 of 238

Time this doubled in value in line with production increases.

niceonecyril - 01 Jan 2012 11:09 - 192 of 238

One of my great hopes for 2012+,news is close.

A good acessment i think?

http://wexboy.wordpress.com/2011/12/30/happy-new-year-a-bakers-dozen-for-2012/#more-221

13. Petroneft Resources (PTR:LN) : Petroneft’s a Dublin based oil and gas exploration and production company, focused on Western Siberia. Production only began this year, and has been beset with problems and disappointment, significantly impacting the share price (down about 75% now in the past year). I don’t consider this a serious problem myself, all it needs is more money, time and brains… I’d be more concerned about their cash burn rate – the real negative for the share price was the fact the company strongly hinted they’d become cashflow positive this year. This hasn’t happened due to the production problems to date, and the company’s down to about 0.9 years of cash burn left (unfortunately funded by drawing down on a debt facility). They’ve really missed their chance on another placing, which would now be terribly dilutive, so offering a farm-in/sale of some of their assets might be a potentially better solution. You have to balance this though with the fact that they have almost 100 mio boe of Proved/Probable Reserves (to be increased at year-end, plus much larger Resources) on hand, and an experienced, straight-shooting management team (led by Dennis Francis) despite the recent issues. This will also be a good stock for stake building, if appropriate, as news/events occur in 2012. I hold a 1.2% portfolio stake.

niceonecyril - 02 Jan 2012 10:48 - 193 of 238

A summary of quite a few oil stocks and how they faired during 2011.

http://www.smallcapnews.co.uk/2012/01/oil-and-gas-round-up-2011/

niceonecyril - 15 Jan 2012 12:19 - 195 of 238

6 weeks is up today,so hopefully this coming week we will get the result?

Licence 67 - Ledovaya No. 2a well

The 2a well was spudded on 5 December 2011. The well is targeting oil in both the Lower Cretaceous and Upper Jurassic intervals. It is expected that the well will take approximately four to six weeks to drill to the target depth.

niceonecyril - 19 Jan 2012 09:34 - 196 of 238

It's at times like this that the market can get frustrating,here is a company undervalued,about to issue several lots of news and yet the SP is struggling.
Down to a stressed seller(Bluegold C.M.)dumping stock,of course this can be a great
buying opportunity(remember AFR,taken down to 13p),just a matter of timing?
aimho

required field - 19 Jan 2012 10:29 - 197 of 238

I've just doubled my shareholding.....nuts this sp.....it has to be !....sp should be above 50p at the very least.....

required field - 19 Jan 2012 11:52 - 198 of 238

Has to be the most disappointing oil stock around......just can't believe how this has slumped ???...and yet all the indications are of it starting to get a serious cashflow !!!.

niceonecyril - 19 Jan 2012 11:56 - 199 of 238

As i said,their's a distressed seller and as such the market will take advantage.

niceonecyril - 19 Jan 2012 11:58 - 200 of 238

5 million trade gone through,reported as a buy?

required field - 19 Jan 2012 12:08 - 201 of 238

Tell him to cheer up...he's distressing me with his distress......I'm snapping these up on the drop...

required field - 19 Jan 2012 12:19 - 202 of 238

I've increased my holding by 3 this morning.....come on PTR.....

niceonecyril - 19 Jan 2012 18:08 - 203 of 238

As i thought BLUEGOLD the distressed seller, all 18,600,000 of their remaining stock for 11.6p,Yws 11.6p. Hopefully we can now ptrss on and get true value,so bring on the news.

niceonecyril - 24 Jan 2012 10:25 - 204 of 238

Some strong trading signals,

24/01/12 10:06 16.95 5,771 O 16.5 17.0 Buy 1,171,788 195,275 390,740
24/01/12 10:00 16.84 100,000 O 16.5 17.0 Buy 1,166,017 195,275 390,740
24/01/12 09:44 16.84 29,691 O 16.5 17.0 Buy 1,066,017 195,275 390,740

niceonecyril - 06 Feb 2012 23:54 - 205 of 238


Otkritie Brokerage House. Buy. Target 70p. Upside Potential 330.8%.

PetroNeft Resources is at the heart of both geographic and strategic sweet spots of the Russian oil sector. Its prolific assets portfolio(97mnbbls of 2P reserves and 317mnbbls of risked possible reserves and mean risked resources) in Russia’s Tomsk region in West Siberia offers visible production growth in an established hydrocarbon-bearing province with existing infrastructure. As a small-size oil producer, we believe PTR is the major beneficiary of the forthcoming MET breaks on small oil fields;and is also set to benefit from the 60/66 oil tax reform. An experienced management team, in combination with its fully-funded status, in our view make PTR one of the most attractive E&P stocks in the FSU. The recent downgrade of its 2011-2013 production targets and the ensuing 28% drop in its share price has created an attractive buying opportunity.
We initiate coverage of PTR with a BUY rating and target price of
GBp70/share.

theone23 - 09 Feb 2012 16:03 - 206 of 238

Has this become another OTC?!

niceonecyril - 10 Feb 2012 06:04 - 207 of 238

Hope not,we need a positive update,especially from the fraccing program,in the meantime just came across this.

Petroneft (PTR:LN): I own a 1.0% stake in PTR, and have recently written about it here. Petroneft’s in an enviable situation compared to most other resource stocks, with plenty of proved and probable reserves. This is the underlying basis for my valuation, but the market price illustrates how critical cashflow is with an asset based investment. Any value investor likes to pounce on a stock which trades at a large discount to asset value. This can be sometimes be a big mistake. Why?

Well, if the company involved is suffering from significant cash outflows, and has insufficient cash/debt to reach its expected cashflow positive inflection point, you’re probably going to see that share price hammered. There’s nothing the market hates worse than this kind of funding uncertainty, or the risk of actual company failure. And this is the problem – Petroneft has plenty of asset value, but is running out of cash/debt capacity. Problems with initial production have compounded this – these will be solved with time, brains and money, but the funding issue is unlikely to be solved without dilution for the shareholders.

Purely on an asset basis, I calculate Fair Value of about GBP 75p per share. If I assume a share placing large enough to fund 1 year of cash burn (302.6 mio shares @ say GBP 10.25p, a 35% discount, to bring in $49.1 mio), I come up with a diluted value of GBP 48p per share. Which is correct? Well, I’ve already pointed out the best solution (now that PTR’s missed the boat on a decent share price) – a sale/farm-out of reserves, or preferably resources. In fact, I don’t include resources in my valuation, so any resources sale (and they have 100s of million of boe) would improve my (higher) valuation due to cash received and retention of their reserves. It would also eliminate any near term funding issues, hopefully granting the room for a ramp-up in production. Therefore, I think an average of the two approaches is justified, which is a GBP 61p per share Fair Value, and a Potential Upside of 293%.


And the link for the above

http://wexboy.wordpress.com/2012/02/08/the-great-irish-share-valuation-project-iv/

niceonecyril - 10 Feb 2012 06:26 - 208 of 238

And an interview with Denis Francis.

http://www.iii.co.uk/articles/21843/interview-petroneft-resources

niceonecyril - 14 Feb 2012 17:18 - 209 of 238

Well you could ask these questions yourself if you were to attend davy's oil's and mining evening in dublin on feb 16th
as well as o'cathain kerr anderson of ormond, david bramhill of wessex,
plus circle oil,provedence res. kenmare, circle oil, and petroneft,
hope to see you all there
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