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Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP)     

goal - 15 Mar 2005 17:17

http://www.gulfkeystone.com/ The firms exploration programme in Algeria is going well and "the shares look good value", say the Investors Chronicle. Your comments please. goal.

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niceonecyril - 13 Nov 2011 21:42 - 1911 of 5505

Zen's summing up of this mornings presentation.

==

ZENGAS - 13 Nov'11 - 11:26 - 126646 of 126652

Valuation imo becoming very clear.

GKP Conference Presentation today.

*** SLIDE 6 ***

Shaikan recoverable **reserves** estimate at 3.5 b bls to 4.4 b bls.

Discounting TKI and using only GKPs net 51% -

This would give GKP a net 1.785 b - 2.24 b bls recoverable from Shaikan (before any further upside).

To put that in context -
DNO rereseves 355 mmbo (11m which are in Yemen).
Rak valuation re DNO at 9.50 NOK = $1.6B.
Petroila 10 NOK offer for DNO shares = $1.7b.
Vallares offer for Genel with 356 mmbo reserves = $2.1b.

On that basis GKPs reserves could be 5 - 6.3 times greater than DNO or Genel.

If one was to use the average of DNO ($1.7b) and Genel valuations ($2.1b) = $1.9b the potential valuation x 5 = $9.5b (or x 6.3) = $12b. = 6.60 - 8.33 per share. (using 900 m shares fully diluted/options included).

If you were to only use the Genel valuation the valuation parameter would be 7.30 - 9.20 (and we were toild that bidders for Genel had offerred more)..

Sheik-Adi, Berbahr, Bechme, Akri-Bijeel and the other prospects are still entirely un-accounted for.

I see Spencer Freeman has tweeted again in the last 30 minutes that "a 900p is waiting in the wings for GKP for the sale of their Shaikan licence".

Doing the math so to speak certainly makes Sandunnes (8) and S Freemans (9) highly credible and doing the sums on what GKP have presented in their latest presentation today, the figures definitely stack up imo.

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 08:12 - 1912 of 5505

excellent volumes as expected - 200 to 250 today looking good

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 08:29 - 1913 of 5505

what a wonderful day :-)))) gla

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 08:30 - 1914 of 5505

200 breached :-)))))))))))))))

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 08:42 - 1915 of 5505

this is good - most interesting is the sneaky ii buying - very well pleased with that - wonder what cob voulume will be today

required field - 14 Nov 2011 08:47 - 1916 of 5505

2 here we are.....not sure where the top is....never known an explorer with such a price...1.5 billion market cap....

Balerboy - 14 Nov 2011 08:48 - 1917 of 5505

Got a big grin on my face today gib, first for sometime hope it lasts. gla.

cynic - 14 Nov 2011 08:56 - 1918 of 5505

no great surprise that sp is having a bit of a breather at the all-time high ...... i would hope or even expect it to burst through that with decent momentum within the next few days, unless we have the usual weekly market dump

required field - 14 Nov 2011 09:00 - 1919 of 5505

Taken profits.....in two goes this morning....not right at the peak but nevermind...pleased with the result.....just not sure where the top is...and this is a hefty increase in the last few days...might pull back to the 180's now....nothing keeps on going up forever.....

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 09:16 - 1920 of 5505

glad to hear it bb well done

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 09:17 - 1921 of 5505

well done rf - taken some myself also - good sense - see where we go now

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 15:06 - 1922 of 5505

think we seen bottom today now - looks like buyers returning for tomorrow - i mean who would wanna be outta gkp tomorrow morning?! lol!! last 30 minutes should be very interesting given whats happening - wonder where end today?

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 15:08 - 1923 of 5505

yeeeeeeeeeehaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 15:46 - 1924 of 5505

apparently therehave been so many queries to gkp rumour is there may be an announcement of a sort - we shall see

cynic - 14 Nov 2011 16:18 - 1925 of 5505

a day that started with much promise, but which turned into a very damp squib

Balerboy - 14 Nov 2011 17:54 - 1926 of 5505

Trust you cyners......lol

cynic - 14 Nov 2011 17:57 - 1927 of 5505

what ho young emu! .... hope you've got some of these - and AFR

Balerboy - 14 Nov 2011 18:00 - 1928 of 5505

OH yes!!

required field - 14 Nov 2011 19:17 - 1929 of 5505

Weird day, it seems...missed most of the action as busy with other things...only a few pennies up at end of play....can't complain as this is a fabulous little company this (if you can call it little now)...

gibby - 14 Nov 2011 20:51 - 1930 of 5505

well at least did not end red!! i sold some of mine at profit kept the rest then bought them back (+ extras just over 180) so more bang for me buck - flying at the start and looked like momentum would continue for a while but for various usual reasons plus lack of further news or rns petered out as we saw - gkp and afr :-))))))) many reasons to smile - tomorrow will be interesting if still no new news or rns - looking fwd to it and gla - been a good day again

bb well done good to see you in good spirit
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