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East Regeneration - Telford Homes (TEF)     

hangon - 24 Apr 2008 18:05

I don't think their name "Telford" indicates where they operate - East London according to Shares.

The current sp 1.50 is more-or-less the price prior to the Olympic Bid, which probably gave the sp a boost, withouit looking to far to the cost involved.

It's been all downhill for the last 12-months - Oooo deary.
The yield isn't good, despite the fall.

mentor - 30 Aug 2016 12:26 - 196 of 260

Ouch director selling after last week rise and another 10p today.....

Telford Homes Land Director Sells Shares

LONDON (Alliance News) - Housebuilder Telford Homes PLC on Tuesday said Land Director James Furlong sold 48,917 shares at a price of 320 pence per share on Friday.

dreamcatcher - 10 Sep 2016 18:47 - 197 of 260

He holds about 1.3 million shares, a 48,000 sale is peanuts. Only purchased the 48,000 a month before. Just a quick profit.

Jim Furlong 1,314,342 2.18%



Why-builders are a good-bet post Brexit-Ultra-low-mortgage-rates-help-Britons-looking-buy-home.html

mentor - 14 Sep 2016 13:00 - 198 of 260

Midday Market report

Housebuilders including Taylor Wimpey and Berkeley were lower after new housing minister Gavin Barwell gave a strong indication of a material shifting in housing policy, hinting that controversial Starter Homes scheme will be scrapped and the government will pursue policies to expand the public sector and private sector rental markets.

Analyst Robin Hardy at Shore Capital, who pointed out that housebuilders instead used the various government stimulus measures to create a golden trading environment with substantial benefits for margins, returns, cash flow and dividends, said the new policy direction "likely to see a change in the dynamics of the house builders' profitability especially if there is any adjustment to the scope and scale of Help-to-Buy".

dreamcatcher - 25 Sep 2016 19:09 - 199 of 260

12 October:
Trading Update

30 November:
Interim Results for 6 months ended 30 September 2016
 
 
2017
 
6 January:
Interim dividend payment date

12 April:
Trading update

31 May:
Final results for 12 months ended 31 March 2017

dreamcatcher - 04 Oct 2016 19:54 - 200 of 260

4 Oct
Canaccord...
290.00
Hold

dreamcatcher - 12 Oct 2016 07:08 - 201 of 260

Trading Update
RNS
RNS Number : 2721M
Telford Homes PLC
12 October 2016
 
 
For Immediate Release
12 October 2016
 
Telford Homes Plc
('Telford Homes' or the 'Group')
 
Trading Update
 
Telford Homes Plc (AIM:TEF), the residential property developer focused on non-prime London, is pleased to provide the following update on trading ahead of its interim results for the six months ended 30 September 2016 ('H1 2017' or the 'period'), which will be released on Wednesday, 30 November 2016.
 
Highlights
·      Long term imbalance between the supply of homes and the demand for somewhere to live in non-prime areas of London underpins future prospects for Telford Homes
·      Strong forward sold position now exceeding £650 million of revenue to be recognised from the year to 31 March 2017 onwards
·      Increasing sales activity in respect of residual availability over the last six weeks
·      Next significant sales launch will be City North, N4 in November 2016 where a £110 million loan facility was recently signed with LaSalle Residential Finance Fund
·      Second PRS sale to M&G Real Estate announced in May 2016 and a third transaction has also recently progressed to detailed discussions with a prospective purchaser
·      Increasing number of land opportunities being appraised with some sites now the subject of more detailed negotiations
·      The Board remains confident in the longer term housing market in non-prime London and has not adjusted the Group's growth targets since the outcome of the EU vote
·      H1 2017 profits in line with expectations and lower than last year due only to the timing of development completions with a substantially higher proportion of profits expected in H2 2017
·      Interim dividend to increase in accordance with anticipated full year profit growth
·      Secured 95 per cent of the open market homes anticipated to complete in the year to 31 March 2017 and 87 per cent of the gross profit expected in the year
·      Expectations for the full year to 31 March 2017 and further into the future remain unchanged and on track to deliver significant growth over the next three years
 
 
 
 
Current trading
Telford Homes continues to hold a positive view of both the current and future housing market in non-prime areas of London due to the significant imbalance between the supply of homes and demand for somewhere to live.  This imbalance underpins the future prospects for the business and as a result the Board has not revised the Group's growth targets following the outcome of the EU vote. There is a housing crisis in London with many more homes needed and the Group expects to play an increasing role in delivering those homes.
 
The Group started the current financial year with a substantial forward sold position that has subsequently been enhanced to exceed £650 million of revenue to be recognised from the year to 31 March 2017 onwards.  As a result the existing development pipeline has been significantly de-risked putting the Group in a strong position. 
 
In terms of the current market environment the Group is pleased to report that it has experienced increased sales activity in respect of residual availability across a number of developments.  Since the start of September greater interest levels and more visitors to the central sales centre have resulted in an increased number of reservations.  Particularly pleasing is that this has included the sale of three of the remaining penthouses at Horizons, E14 where the average price is over £1 million and is therefore well in excess of our usual price point.  The average anticipated price of open market homes in the Group's future pipeline is £517,000.  
 
The Group's next significant launch will be City North in Finsbury Park, a joint development with The Business Design Centre in Islington, which is planned for November 2016.  This development is now underway and the Group recently announced the successful signing of a £110 million loan facility with LaSalle Residential Investment Fund, which will fund this exciting scheme of 355 homes, 140,000 square feet of commercial and leisure space and a new entrance to the underground station.  As with previous developments, the Group expects that the product and location will be attractive to a range of buyers both at the launch and thereafter.
 
PRS (Private Rented Sector) or 'build to rent' remains a significant focus for the Group following the sale of The Pavilions, N1 to a subsidiary of L&Q and Carmen Street, E14 to M&G Real Estate.  Following these two development sales Telford Homes has recently progressed to detailed discussions on a third transaction with a prospective purchaser.  There has been a noticeable increase in institutional interest in PRS investments which complements the Group's desire to extend its involvement in the sector and to benefit from stronger returns on equity and lower gearing as a result. 
 
Telford Homes has a strong and accelerated development pipeline as a result of the purchase of the regeneration business of United House in September 2015.  The Group has resources to add to that pipeline due to the £50 million equity placing in 2015 and has been able to take a selective approach to prospective acquisitions.  An increasing number of opportunities are being appraised with some sites now the subject of more detailed negotiations.   
 
Interim results and outlook
The Group's reported profits in any given period are driven by the number of open market completions achieved and there were far fewer of these in H1 2017 than H1 2016.  This is purely down to development timings which are all on track and in accordance with the original programmes but do not always fall equally across the year.  Completions of individual properties are proceeding exactly as planned with no unexpected delays. 
 
As a result of the weighting of completions across the year pre-tax profit for H1 2017 will be lower than last year but entirely in line with expectations.  The interim dividend is proposed to increase in line with the anticipated full year profit growth and will not be affected by weighting between the two half year periods.  To date Telford Homes has secured 95 per cent of the open market homes anticipated to complete in the year to 31 March 2017 and 87 per cent of the gross profit expected in the year.  The Board's expectations for the full year to 31 March 2017 and further into the future remain unchanged and the Group is on track to deliver significant growth in both output and profits over the next three years.
 
Jon Di-Stefano, Chief Executive of Telford Homes, commented:
"We have seen a robust market place in recent weeks, with encouraging sales activity and increasing interest from institutional investors.  We are very pleased with the progress of our move into delivering schemes for the 'build to rent' sector and I am delighted that we are progressing discussions on a third transaction to add to the sales already achieved to L&Q and M&G Real Estate."
 
"The Group has made strong progress in the last six months and remains positive about the long term prospects for the housing market in non-prime areas of London. The imbalance between the supply of homes and the need for somewhere to live is not diminishing and this underpins our plans to continue to grow Telford Homes over the next few years."
 
 
 
 
- Ends -
 

mentor - 12 Oct 2016 08:49 - 202 of 260

There is a bounce since yesterday on the housing stocks.
The reason for the weakness on TEF must be some on the know of a slow down on sales on the 1st half.......

...... As a result of the weighting of completions across the year pre-tax profit for H1 2017 will be lower than last year

cynic - 12 Oct 2016 09:27 - 203 of 260

your selective extraction omitted the very important but entirely in line with expectations.

jimmy b - 12 Oct 2016 09:54 - 204 of 260

Take your pick ....

12 Oct Peel Hunt 485.00 Buy
4 Oct Canaccord... 290.00 Hold

mentor - 12 Oct 2016 13:17 - 205 of 260

Don't be CYNIC "cynic"

read my post before and that is the reason why.

Take an "egg on the face" if you feel better.

Do not argue with me, cuz you will always lose.

dreamcatcher - 12 Oct 2016 20:32 - 206 of 260

Telford Homes at bargain basement prices
By Harriet Mann | Wed, 12th October 2016 - 14:08


London-based housebuilder Telford Homes (TEF) has seen a bounce in sales following the EU referendum in another sign that the UK economy is holding up despite doomsday predictions. Investors clearly have faith in the cyclical housing sector, chasing AIM-listed Telford's high-yielding shares north Wednesday.
"We have seen a robust marketplace in recent weeks, with encouraging sales activity and increasing interest from institutional investors," said chief executive Jon Di-Stefano in an optimistic half-year update.
Results so far are in line with expectations, and only lower than last year due to the timing of development completions. A "substantially higher" proportion of profits will be posted in the second half, said Di-Stefano, who has not adjusted Telford's growth targets since the Brexit vote.
Jumping 5% to 311p, Telford shares are up 22% from their post-referendum, two-year low of 254p. Its recovery has lagged housebuilding peers, however, and the shares are still about 40p below their pre-vote levels. Di-Stefano told Interactive Investor in June that the market often struggles to understand Telford.
Decades of undersupply underpins growth, as demand in non-prime London remains strong
But Peel Hunt analyst Gavin Jago, who upgraded his price target on Telford just three weeks before the referendum, still thinks they're incredibly cheap, predicting 56% upside.
"Given the strong forward sales, solid demand for its products and increasing PRS [Private Rented Sector] opportunities, in our view, the market is significantly undervaluing this growth," says Jago. "Together with a CY 2017 yield of 5.6% we remain very comfortable with our 'buy' recommendation and 485p target price."
Decades of chronic undersupply underpins growth forecasts, as demand for homes in the non-prime areas of London remains strong.
Since September, Telford has enjoyed higher reservation numbers, including the sale of the three remaining penthouses in its East London Horizons complex, where the average price is over £1 million.

"There is a housing crisis in London with many more homes needed and the group expects to play an increasing role in delivering those homes," the group said Wednesday.
Over £650 million of revenue has already been forward sold to be recognised this financial year, up from £640 million in June, so investors are reassured that the development pipeline has been derisked, improving visibility. The average price of the open market homes in the pipeline is £517,000. More detail will be given in November's interims.
PRS builds are still a large focus for Telford after the sale of The Pavilions, N1, to a subsidiary of L&Q and Carmer Sterete, E14, to a subsidiary of M&G Real Estate. Institutional investors are clearly keen to get a slice of the action - these deals lock in long-term rental income - and PRS developments also de-risk the business for Telford.
So far, the company has secured 95% of the open market homes to be completed in the year to 31 March 2017 and 87% of the gross profit.
Next on the cards is Telford's joint development with The Business Design Centre, City North in Finsbury Park. A £110 million loan from LaSalle Residential Investment Fund will finance the project to build 355 new homes, 140,000 square feet of commercial and leisure space and a new underground entrance.
Peel Hunt expects an increase in sales from £245 million to £291 million in the year to March 2017, with adjusted pre-tax profit up from 32.2 million to £33 million. Look for £44 million profit the year after. An estimated full-year dividend of 15.7p this time gives a prospective yield of 5%.

Claret Dragon - 14 Oct 2016 13:08 - 207 of 260

Not sure if they will be able to get the asking price for sky scrapers over Stratford. Watching them go up and as a cockney sparrow I would not want to live there now!!

jimmy b - 14 Oct 2016 13:14 - 208 of 260

There are no cockneys left there , don't worry the foreigners will buy them .

Claret Dragon - 14 Oct 2016 13:27 - 209 of 260

You may be right jimmy b.

As displaced cockney I do wonder who would want to live in a glorified tower block when they spent years trying to demolish that type of skyline in East London.

mentor - 14 Oct 2016 13:47 - 210 of 260

Will you be surprise if I say EPS ( earnings per share will be down this YEAR 2016)
Most of the peers have increased profits by 20 and 30%, so no wonder of the underperformance of the stock........

Well Profit will be up 3% Fcast
but consider that the number of shares will be up by 13.29%

That is the reason for lower EPS on the next results

Forecast for Year 2016
adjusted pre-tax profit up from 32,2 million to £33 million.

No of shares
2015 - 66,07M
2016 - 74,85M ( after a 13,88M placing ) some added on the 2015 results (5,7M )

dreamcatcher - 18 Oct 2016 18:02 - 211 of 260

ST of IC today - Institutional demand for PRS growing
Another positive is that Telford is currently in discussions with a prospective purchaser for the sale of its third private rented sector (PRS) development this year. The company has already offloaded around 300 homes in its pipeline with a development value of £130m to M&G Real Estate, and a subsidiary of L&Q, one of the UK's leading housing associations and one of London's largest residential developers. These deals reflect increasing institutional demand for high-quality, well-located developments to be 'built for rent'.
There is decent financial upside from PRS sales because assuming Telford achieves close to its target operating margin of 15 per cent, it will earn huge profits on the £130m of revenue generated from the two schemes. Profits will be recognised earlier because under contract accounting standards it is based on a percentage build basis rather than on legal completion of the schemes. Furthermore, Telford has no debt finance on its PRS developments, has recouped its land costs and is fully carried on funding, so will make a higher return on capital employed that on a normal housing development. Admittedly, it forsakes net margin to secure the sale of a complete development, but it’s good business as this mitigates risk.
Frankly, with Telford’s shares priced on 8.25 times earnings estimates, rated on a 5 per cent premium to end March 2017 book value estimates and offering a forward dividend yield of 5.4 per cent, investors are pricing in a sharp reversal of house prices at the more affordable end of the London market despite the strong supply-demand dynamics of the market segment Telford is targeting. And with analysts forecasting cumulative EPS of almost 140p over the next three financial years even in a flat London market, of which over 50p a share is earmarked for dividends, this progressive earnings profile is simply not being reflected in the current valuation.
Offering more than 30 per cent share price upside to my 370p target price, I continue to rate Telford’s shares a buy.

mentor - 20 Oct 2016 11:56 - 212 of 260

2 value stocks with a P/E below 8 - By Rupert Hargreaves | Fool.co.uk – Tue, Oct 18, 2016

Brexit has thrown up some incredible bargains in the small-cap market. While the plunging pound has sent the FTSE 100 to yearly highs, small-cap domestic-focused equities have suffered. In some cases, the sell-off of domestic equities has been so aggressive and relentless that groups of small-caps are now trading at mid-single-digit P/Es with high-single-digit dividend yields.

It's not clear why investors have dumped these equities at such a rapid rate. Yes, there's some concern about what will happen to the UK economy when the dust settles after Brexit. But a mid-single digit P/E suggests that the market believes these companies' earnings will fall by 50% or more, which seems excessive in many cases.
Telford Homes (LSE: TEF) and Utilitywise (LSE: UTW) are two such post-Brexit bargains.

Housing crash?
Year-to-date shares in Telford are down by 27.3%. It appears that analysts and investors worried about the company's exposure to the UK's housing market, specifically in London where Telford has a significant presence. However, Telford's management doesn't appear to be worried about the state of the market, and when analysing the firm the figures speak for themselves. Indeed, Telford's forward sales stand at £640m, which is 50% of the company's expected revenues over the next three years.

With revenues for the next three years locked up, Telford at least deserves to trade at a market average multiple, but this isn't the case.
Shares in the company currently trade at a forward P/E of 8.2 ( 297.50p ), falling to 6.2 next year and support a dividend yield of 5.3%. The group's net asset value per share was just under 250p at the end of March, so after recent declines, the shares are trading at a price-to-book value of 1.2.

A defensive sector
The utility sector is considered one of the market's most defensive. Unfortunately, it looks as if the market believes provider Utilitywise can't offer the same kind of defensive proposition as the rest of its industry.
Shares in Utilitywise have lost 23% of their value year-to-date and currently trade at an extremely attractive forward P/E of 7.1 and City analysts are expecting the company to report earnings growth of 25% this year and 8% for 2017.
That being said, Utilitywise is no stranger to controversy. The company has come under scrutiny in the past for its accounting, and some analysts are worried about the firm's exposure to small businesses, which are likely to suffer more than most in any economic downturn.

When it comes to the question of Utilitywise's accounting practices, it looks as if the concerns are unfounded. One way to quickly spot if a company is inflating profits is to look at cash flows, which are harder to manipulate. For the period ending 31 July, Utilitywise reported a cash inflow from operations of £12.4m, compared to net income of £18.4m. Working capital changes accounted for the majority of the difference in the figures. Put simply; the company is generating plenty of cash and it looks as if there's nothing to be worried about.

Looking for income?
If it's dividends you're after but you're worried about the outlook for Utilitywise and Telford why not check out this special report, which gives a rundown of what I believe is one of the hottest dividend stocks in London today.

cynic - 20 Oct 2016 14:46 - 213 of 260

rather a nice write-up for TEF i thought

MrM won't touch them i'm sure - or at least he was distinctly less than enthusiastic about the company just a few days back
to be fair to the boy, he likes stocks which he needs to hold for <20 days, but TEF is more of a longer term investment

mentor - 20 Oct 2016 14:48 - 214 of 260

C

just tell us the truth ...... is a stock that you lose a lot of money

cynic - 20 Oct 2016 14:50 - 215 of 260

it's a stock i hold in my sipp and yes it is showing a loss, but i am happy enough to hold it for the long term ..... i like its property portfolio; it has a good divi; it looks undervalued as the article points out
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