proptrade
- 14 Jun 2004 11:58
anyone got any ideas about the block trades that went through today?
website:
http://www.sterlingenergyplc.com/
weather: www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at4+shtml/084938.shtml?50wind120
seawallwalker
- 09 Jul 2004 12:27
- 197 of 7811
3 million buys before lunch time but no price increase.
An obvious bargain of the day!
capa
- 09 Jul 2004 13:20
- 198 of 7811
I wondered how long it would be before these ticked up.
some solid buying going on recently.
capa
gavdfc
- 09 Jul 2004 13:56
- 199 of 7811
Lots of buying in these today. Should be due to move up. Finnishing at 17p would be nice.
seawallwalker
- 09 Jul 2004 14:00
- 200 of 7811
Though we should have a new look at a rare feature.
The ascending chart!
Isn't she beautiful?
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gavdfc
- 09 Jul 2004 14:09
- 201 of 7811
Seawallwalker, dont know much about TA, but the rise in that chart is as you say beautiful!
seawallwalker
- 09 Jul 2004 14:15
- 202 of 7811
Profit taking going on now.
offer has dropped a quarter
seawallwalker
- 09 Jul 2004 14:39
- 203 of 7811
At least I can read trades, and see what is happening next.
Now the buys will start again!
proptrade
- 09 Jul 2004 14:49
- 204 of 7811
this is what is known as healthy trading. SCAP ticked them up, bought some stock and then moved the bid lower. great volume and the trend is certainly higher.
gavdfc
- 09 Jul 2004 15:32
- 205 of 7811
The trend in the chart is very healthy, onwards and upwards! In this one for the long term and not interested in taking a quick profit.
proptrade
- 09 Jul 2004 15:47
- 206 of 7811
i have just added
gavdfc
- 09 Jul 2004 15:55
- 207 of 7811
Nice one Prop. Hopefully some more good weekend press coverage re institutions buying in.
seawallwalker
- 09 Jul 2004 15:57
- 208 of 7811
If yours was the 10000, you started another buy trand prop.
well done
proptrade
- 09 Jul 2004 18:42
- 209 of 7811
that is funny, it was me. it may have been small but i just had to add a little bit after this really good chat.
have a great weekend guys and a pleasure talking to you as always. hopefully the press will notice us again on Sunday.
rgds
proptrade
gavdfc
- 09 Jul 2004 20:44
- 210 of 7811
So if SEY shoots up on Monday we have you to thank for starting it Prop! Nice one! Just found this:
Is the world's oil running out fast?
By Adam Porter
at the Peak Oil conference in Berlin
How long will the oil keep flowing?
If you think oil prices are high at $40 a barrel then wait till they are four times that much.
How will you pay to run your car? How will you get the children to school? How will you heat your house? How much will transported food go up in price?
How will we pay for plastics, metals, rubber, cheap flights, Simpson's DVDs, 3G phones and everlasting economic growth?
The basic answer is, we won't.
This is the message from the Association for the Study of Peak Oil (ASPO).
The group of oil executives, geologists, investment bankers, academics and others has been warning the world of high oil prices, and the ensuing fallout, for some years now.
The end of cheap oil
It includes a diverse range of oil industry insiders.
People like Ali Bakhtiari, head of strategic planning at Iran's National Oil Company (NOIC), Dr Colin Campbell, a former executive vice president of Total-Fina, and Matthew Simmons, an energy investment banker and adviser to the controversial Bush-Cheney energy plan.
They are united by one idea, that global oil production is about to peak, which in turn will signal the permanent end of cheap oil.
And they warn that this is the foundation of the current rise in oil prices.
Who hurts when prices explode?
"Oil is far too cheap at the moment," says Mr Simmons.
"The figure I'd use is around $182 a barrel. We need to price oil realistically to control its demand. That is because global production is peaking."
Large new oil fields are ever more difficult to find
"If we price oil correctly," Mr Simmons says, "it could give us time to find bridge fuels, fuels to fill the gap between an oil economy and a renewable economy. But I don't see that happening."
The adherents of the peak oil theory warn the decline of world oil output will force oil prices higher for good, and that the knock on effects could be catastrophic.
"In my opinion, unfortunately, there will be no linear change," says Iran's Ali Bakhtiari. "There will only be sudden explosive change."
"The people who will be least affected will be the super poor, who already have no access to energy, and the super rich who do not care if oil is $100 a barrel."
"It is everyone who is in the middle who will be hurt the most," says Mr Bakhtiari. "When the crisis comes there will be enormous changes."
Oil rationing?
Dr Campbell says endless growth is not possible
Much of ASPO's predictions stem from the calculations of Dr Campbell.
His work on oil reserves has long suggested that many official oil data are either flawed estimates or at worst downright lies.
Scandals like the 23% of 'lost' reserves at Royal Dutch Shell have helped to boost interest in his work.
False reserves threaten the security of energy supply, just as do bombs under pipelines.
Dr Campbell's conclusion: oil production and consumption should be regulated by governments.
"Many reserve figures are highly questionable," says Dr Campbell.
"Many great oil fields are increasingly old and inefficient. But I don't think oil is easy to produce with a sniper behind every palm tree."
"The way to increase energy security is to reduce demand," he says.
'Difficult times'
At ASPO's recent conference in Berlin, companies such as BP and Exxon and men such as Fatih Birol, chief economist of the International Energy Agency, began to talk to the proponents of the peak oil theory.
Whilst they may not agree with Dr Campbell's theories, their attendance highlighted ASPO's emerging importance in the oil debate.
In public, Mr Birol denied that supply would not be able to meet rising demand, especially from the buoyant economies in the USA, China and India.
But after his speech he seemed to change his tune.
"For the time being there is no spare capacity. But we expect demand to increase by the fourth quarter (of the year) by three million barrels a day."
He pinned his hopes for an increase in production squarely on troubled Saudi Arabia.
"If Saudi does not increase supply by 3 million barrels a day by the end of the year we will face, how can I say this, it will be very difficult. We will have difficult times. They must invest."
Can Saudi deliver?
But even Mr Birol admitted that Saudi production was "about flat".
Three million extra barrels a day would mean a huge 30% leap in output in just a few months.
North Sea oil production is in decline
When BBC News Online followed up by asking if this giant increase in production was actually possible rather than simply a desire he refused to answer. "You are from the press? This is not for you. This is not for the press."
Asking other delegates - admittedly supporters of the peak oil theory - whether such a steep increase was feasible, the answers were unambiguous: "absolutely out of the question," "completely impossible," and "3 million barrels - never, not even 300,000."
One delegate laughed so hard he had to support himself on a table.
Some recent figures tend to back up ASPO's outlook.
North Sea production is declining at an increasing rate, having peaked in 1999.
Not at the predicted flat rate of decline of 7%, but gradually accelerating from 7% to 8.5% to 11%.
And the number of major new oil fields discovered around the world fell to zero for the first time in 2003, despite an obvious increase in technological expertise.
"We need transparency with the figures," says Dr Campbell.
"This avoids profiteering from shortages, the collapse of poor countries and it will stimulate alternatives."
"Consumer countries need to be able to audit fields, but at the same time 'flat earth' economists who believe in endless growth need to change their ideas."
And Dr Campbell has a dire warning: "If the real figures were to come out there would be panic on the stock markets, in the end that would suit no one."
Very interesting!! Have a good weekend all.
Cheers
Gav
proptrade
- 12 Jul 2004 09:13
- 211 of 7811
scary stuff indeed. i think there is a bit of scaremongering mixed into that but there is undeniably a supply issue and i do wholeheartily agree with the exploration of non-fossilised energy sources. anyone know a decent fuel cell punt? (i am half joking but i have followed these from time to time).
seawallwalker
- 12 Jul 2004 10:53
- 212 of 7811
Profit taking day today so far by the looks of things.
I think we may be due an update about this week if memory serves concerning a well spudding?
Cant see it on first glance through the previous news though.
proptrade
- 12 Jul 2004 11:21
- 213 of 7811
i think we are due news early august...will check.
Andy
- 12 Jul 2004 11:23
- 214 of 7811
seawallwalker,
good morning, not due any news this week i'm afraid, at least according to the RNS which I have pasted below, around the 23rd looks to be the schedule.
-----------------------------
July 2, 2004: Sterling Energy plc has commenced drilling the A5 ST (Sidetrack) well on its High Island A-68 lease in the Gulf of Mexico offshore Texas. The well is the first in a drilling programme planned to more than double production over the next 12 months from recent levels of around 11 million cubic feet of gas equivalent per day. It is targeting attic gas reserves up dip from existing productive wells.
Sterling Operations and Technical Director Nigel Quinton said: This well marks the start of an extensive drilling campaign in the Gulf of Mexico in which we expect to drill at least 6 new wells and undertake the work-over of a number of existing wells. The A5 ST well is located in shallow waters (less than 100 ft) approximately 75 miles south east of Houston, Texas. It is immediately north of Sterlings High Island A-94 lease acquired in August 2003.
Drilling is expected to take up to 3 weeks
seawallwalker
- 12 Jul 2004 11:33
- 215 of 7811
That was the peice.
Thanks Andy.
timvaughan
- 12 Jul 2004 12:01
- 216 of 7811
proptrade,
there is an interesting article on ITM Power (ITM) in this week's Share magazine, concerning cheap fuel cells and running them in reverse. Check it out.