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DELLING, Boring Miserable Swedo Company, But is it Cheap?. (DLG)     

goldfinger - 25 Oct 2006 17:02

The answer to that I believe is...

Its going cheap at the moment and there looks to be considerable upside from its present price of circa 10p. Ive had it on the watchlist for the last 6 months and it continues to do deal after deal but nobody notices .

Plenty more room for acqusitions aswell which will see growth booming.

The company is valued at less than 15 million. By the financial year 2007/8 sales will be 40 million and profits after tax at least 4 million I reckon.

House broker Seymour Pierce have the following forecasts on the company but these I beleive will be smashed.....

To 31-Dec-06 EPS 1.00p P/E 10.0 PEG n/a EPS Growth n/a
To 31-Dec-07 EPS 1.50p P/E 6.7 PEG 0.1 EPS Growth +50%

If the present momentum in the markets goes forward this company on fundies should at least double within a year.

Heres a bit of background on the companys operations......

Delling Group is a leading supplier of marketing support services for marketing
and communication departments throughout The Nordic countries.


Delling manages all fields of graphic support in many different forms and
formats including trade fairs, exhibitions and interactive digital solutions for
the web, mobile telephone marketing solutions, motion media for flat screens,
plasma or LCD.


It also supplies IT solutions which support and increase the efficiency of both
marketing and information departments. However, its major strength is that the
Group can deliver complete turnkey solutions, tailor-made for its customers'
every need. Delling also offers outsourcing solutions that can substantially
save costs and improve efficiency.


The Group's major activities are today concentrated in the Norwegian and Swedish
markets, however, it is quickly expanding into other Nordic areas, as well as
having customers and production facilities in Eastern Europe. It also has well
respected suppliers as far afield as China and Thailand.


Delling Group has today 80 employees. It is rapidly developing its organisation
by focusing on supplying its customers with the quality they demand, delivered
on time at the right price. Central to its philosophy lies the fact that its
customers will obtain greater effects and efficiency for every pound they invest
in marketing and information. The Group has strong growth, both through further
development of existing clients and establishment of many new relationships,
together with acquiring companies that enhance and further develop our business
concept.


Delling's goal is within the course of the next two years, through both
satisfied customers and recommendations, to be the largest and most profitable
company in the field of marketing support services within the Nordic countries,
and a significant player within Eastern Europe. In October 2004, Delling was the
first Scandinavian business to be listed on the Alternative Investment Market
('AIM'), the London Stock Exchange's international market for smaller growing
companies. This has given Delling access to capital funds for the further
development of the Group.



DYOR.

goldfinger - 25 Oct 2006 17:37 - 2 of 86

A recent newspaper article showing trading is going very well.....

Record trade at Delling
Date: Monday 18 Sep 2006

LONDON (ShareCast) - Scandinavian marketing support services firm Delling Group doubled revenues over the first half and said it has been seeing record levels of trade.

Delling reported a pre-tax loss of 1.39m for the six months to June compared with 1.59m a year earlier, on revenues up 110% to 5.0m from 2.4m last time.

Executive chairman Aksel Bratvedt said, The group has had a very promising start to the third quarter with record business volumes in July and August, which continues to reflect the increasing pace of growth in our business as more outsourcing contracts come on-stream.

Delling added that the results were affected by a lower gross profit margin, as it took on more subcontracted print, but expects margins to improve in the second half as more print jobs are placed in low cost countries such as Poland.



mickeyskint - 25 Oct 2006 17:39 - 3 of 86

GF

I'v been looking really closely at these in the last couple of days and they do look cheap. I'm making a few changes to my portfolio and this could well be my next buy.

MS

goldfinger - 25 Oct 2006 17:47 - 4 of 86

Well Mickey Ive had it on the radar for a while now and it looks derd cheap to me. Ok the chart looks pretty lousy but the fact is that its growing like topsy and its management are well regarded.

The city havent caught on yet either so we dont have any hypers in.

Best to get in before the crowd.

mickeyskint - 25 Oct 2006 18:04 - 5 of 86

I'll take a final look tomorrow GF. I think it's at least a 12/24 month play if not longer. The only trouble with it is that it's a bit boring. Bought EMED today. A very junior mining company with top aussis management. This is one for the top draw but it has really good potential, but it is very early days. Check it out. Don't know how to post below site so you just click on and it takes you there

http://www.minesite.com/brokersResearchNotes.php


MS

goldfinger - 25 Oct 2006 18:07 - 6 of 86

Delling Group to buy Scandinavian Exhibition Group for around 1.18 mln stg

LONDON (AFX) - Delling Group PLC said it has exchanged contracts to acquire
Scandinavian Exhibition Group AB (SEG), a privately owned and profitable
exhibition company with offices and operations across Scandinavia, for 1.18 mln
stg.
The payment comprises 0.44 mln stg in cash and 0.37 mln in shares as well
as a guaranteed deferred payment of 0.37 mln in cash.
SEG had turnover of 3.5 mln for the year to end-June 2006.
Together with Delling's exhibition business in Norway, the SEG acquisition
will position Delling as by far the largest provider of exhibition services in
Scandinavia, the AIM-listed marketing support services group said.
Completion is scheduled for Dec 15 2006.
Chairman Aksel Bratvedt said: "With this acquisition and in addition to our
strong organic growth, our planned milestone of entering 2007 as a company with
an annualized turnover of 20-25 mln stg, is within reach. This will also
strongly support our work in getting a substantially increased profit margin."
newsdesk@afxnews.com
lam

goldfinger - 25 Oct 2006 18:08 - 7 of 86

Will do Mickey, cheers.

goldfinger - 26 Oct 2006 11:35 - 8 of 86

Blimey, its up nearlly 16%, I didnt expect that so soon.

goldfinger - 26 Oct 2006 11:47 - 9 of 86

UPGRADE UPGRADE UPGRADE Growth Equities And Company Research.

25/10/2006

Delling: Increased 2007 Forecast, 2008 Estimates Unveiled - Buy at 10p

Key Data
EPIC DLG
Share price 10p
Spread 9.5p-10.5p

NMS 15,000
Market cap. 1.51 million pounds
12 month range 8.75p-15p
Shares in Issue 151 million pounds
Net Debt 2 million pounds
Market AIM
Website www.dellinggroup.com
Sector Media
Contact Aksel Bratvedt
0207 484 5663

Over the past year AIM-listed Scandinavian based, marketing services group, Delling, has completed four acquisitions, a 5.3 million pounds placing and has taken steps to improve margins within the business. The company has also started to deliver clear organic growth that is sustainable. We believe that our forecasts for the group for 2007 are too low by a material order and feel confident of introducing new forecasts for 2008. It would appear the City has not totally forgiven Delling for a profits warning more than a year ago, and it has failed to take on board the progress made since that event and the profits potential of the group. Despite this, we believe the shares are materially undervalued and rate the shares as a buy at 10p with a new 12 month price target of 35p.

Delling is a market support services company. It provides out-sourced services to the marketing department 'back offices' of companies predominantly operating in Scandinavia. Established under the name Depicta in 1998, the company changed its name whilst embarking on its current strategy of aggressive bolt-on acquisitions to complement its own organic growth in March 2004. It listed on AIM in the autumn of that year, and now has an impressive client list of over 300 companies, including such giants as Statoil, Norsk HydroABB, Bristol-Myers Squibb and Ericsson. It is a pioneer in the application of the latest IT technology in the creation and efficient management of new and developing marketing channels.

In June of 2006, the company undertook a 5.3 million pounds fund-raising at 8p, and used this finance to handle its balance sheet problems, which had clearly been a concern of both investors and potential customers. The company now has net debt of 2 million pounds. However, if our forecasts are reached, it is possible that banks would lend it up to 20 million pounds to support further acquisitions. The purchases this year have been funded by a cash and shares mix, which typically involves Delling paying 5 times historic pre-tax profits. In a fragmented Scandinavian market, Delling feels it has a long list of profitable, privately owned target companies which can be bought on similar terms.

In the past three months Delling has made three acquisitions. On 22nd August, it paid 1.5 million pounds (5.6 times pre-tax profits) to buy Eckerud, which has annual sales of 4.4 million pounds. On 31st August, it bought Printcenter, which has annual sales of 1 million pounds for 5 times profits, or 370,000 pounds. And on 16th October, it paid 1.18 million pounds (5 times profits) for SEG, which has annual sales of 3.5 million pounds. These three deals alone add 9 million pounds to annualised sales, before cross-selling.

Our assumption is that the group will achieve a pre-tax margin of c10% in 2007, but once the synergy between the acquired companies is realised the margin will increase to 12% by 2008. We also assume (in our 2008 numbers) that another 5 million pounds of sales will be generated via acquisition. However, there is scope for Delling to significantly exceed our forecasts in that respect. The tax charge will due to historic losses remain at 0% in 2006 and 2007 but, as those losses are exhausted, it should increase to 10% in 2008 and will remain at 20% thereafter.

We regard the risks to our forecasts as being on the upside since Delling has the appetite, balance sheet strength and opportunities to accelerate its acquisition programme. Our 12 month target prices would put the stock on a prospective price earnings ratio of 12, which for a company growing its earnings and sales at this rate is not demanding. At 10p we rate the shares as a buy with a one-year target of 35p.



goldfinger - 26 Oct 2006 12:28 - 10 of 86

So they are forecasting a 250% SP gain within a year and at the same time making out this could be conservative.............................. WOW.

goldfinger - 26 Oct 2006 15:12 - 11 of 86

Well worth looking at this investor presentation from earlier this month.....

http://www.dellinggroup.com/media/Investorpresentation.pdf

goldfinger - 27 Oct 2006 00:59 - 12 of 86

A good day for this one hoping for more tomorrow, dont forget target price within 12 months a whoping 35p.

goldfinger - 27 Oct 2006 08:33 - 13 of 86

A nice big buy already gone in here.

You can get within the spread.

goldfinger - 27 Oct 2006 10:23 - 14 of 86

MM games at the moment, no problem 35p says I can wait.

goldfinger - 27 Oct 2006 11:52 - 15 of 86

Spread narrowed, buyers still coming in. Looks ready to tick up.

goldfinger - 27 Oct 2006 12:18 - 16 of 86

September Broker report BUY.

The current trading statement points to record volumes. The groups
business model is to provide outsourced marketing services to the
marketing departments of major corporations. The increase in revenue
represents the build up of contracts won by the group over the last 18
months, together with acquisitions. In the first half, further contact wins
have been announced, including McDonalds and Northface in Norway,
and Bristol Myers Squibb group across the Nordic region. We estimate
that underlying organic revenue growth is running at 40%.
The outsourcing of printing services, where Delling acts as a project
manager, earns lower margins than production services, where Delling
adds value through content design and pre-production services. The
group is also seeing an increase in screen based advertising systems and
services, where it earns higher consulting margins. The provision of lower
margin print services is often a precursor to gaining higher margin
business.
Our revenue estimate for the year has been increased from 11m to
12m, but at this point we keep our pre-tax profit estimate of 1m
unchanged. Last week, the group agreed a tranche of 800,000 bank
finance with a Scandinavian bank, illustrating the improved balance sheet
status. We expect Delling to continue to make bolt on acquisitions
financed by bank debt, most likely in the Nordic region where its activities
are based.
The stock is on a December 2006 rating of 10x falling to 6.7x next year. If
business momentum continues, a re-rating should push the stock higher
as 2007 comes into focus. Remains as BUY.

http://www.dellinggroup.com/media/research_alert-BUY_(18Sep06).pdf

mickeyskint - 27 Oct 2006 12:51 - 18 of 86

GF

Sorry for the hi-jack. I know you're not a fan but have a look at GMC. I think it could be another SIN. Complete change in direction and the buyers are loving it.

Going to tread water on DLG but yes it is under valued.

MS

goldfinger - 27 Oct 2006 14:49 - 19 of 86

Yup mickey was alerted to it by Pete Hippy (sin thread) last night on the Finfoex B/Board.

What I wont to know though is if they are selling the gaming business off, how will this affect Earning per share.

The company at present have assets galore but Im not sure what or how the company should be valued.

That last statement looks like EPS are bombing, but take that away and whats left?.

swseun - 30 Oct 2006 11:42 - 20 of 86

From other thread, any thought?

robbiepaul - 30 Oct'06 - 11:37 - 801 of 801


Delling being discussed on Trading Places again.

Chartist says resistance is broken and they are looking at 15p short term.


Looking good.

RP.

goldfinger - 30 Oct 2006 11:56 - 21 of 86

Good news then, looks like its going to tick up anytime fingers crossed.
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