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Falklands Oil and Gas (FOGL) (FOGL)     

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:53

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Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:55 - 2 of 2393

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Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:55 - 3 of 2393

Investor Contact :

UK Office

32 - 34 Wigmore Street,
London W1U 2RR

Tel: +44 207 563 1260
Fax: +44 207 486 2330

Email: info@fogl.co.uk

VAT Registration: 848 9450 75
UK Registration: FC026234



Registered
Office

56 John Street, Stanley,
Falkland Islands, FIQQ 1ZZ
Registration: 12913



IR
Contact

FD

http://www.fd.com/

fogl@fd.com

Ben Brewerton
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7831 3113

Ed Westropp
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7831 3113

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 04:55 - 4 of 2393

Analyst Coverage :

Oriel Securities Limited
125 Wood Street
London EC2V 7AN

http://www.orielsecurities.com/

Tel: +44 (0) 20 7710 7600
Fax: +44 (0) 20 7710 7609

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 05:17 - 8 of 2393

2010 Annual report

http://www.fogl.com/fogl/uploads/companypresentations/FOGL_AnnualReport2010.pdf

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Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 07:53 - 9 of 2393

Page 11

http://www.tradewinds.no/multimedia/archive/00125/OceanRig_UDW_125737a.pdf


...In April 2011, the Leiv Eiriksson commenced a contract with a term of approximately six months with Cairn Energy plc, or Cairn, for drilling operations in Greenland at a maximum operating dayrate of $560,000 and a mobilization fee of $7.0 million plus fuel costs. The contract period is scheduled to expire on October 31, 2011, subject to our customers option to extend the contract period through November 30, 2011.

Following the expiration of its contract with Cairn, the Leiv Eiriksson is scheduled to commence a contract with Borders & Southern for drilling operations offshore the Falkland Islands at a maximum operating dayrate of $530,000 and a $3.0 million fee payable upon commencement of mobilization as well as mobilization and demobilization fees, including fuel costs, of $15.4 million and $12.6 million, respectively. The contract was originally a two-well program at a maximum dayrate of $540,000; however, on May 19, 2011, Borders & Southern exercised its option to extend the contract to drill an additional two wells, which it assigned to Falkland Oil and Gas Limited, or Falkland Oil and Gas, and the maximum dayrate decreased to $530,000. Borders & Southern has the option to further extend this contract to drill an additional fifth well, in which case the dayrate would increase to $540,000.

The estimated duration for the four-well contract, including mobilization / demobilization periods, is approximately 230 days, and we estimate that the optional period to drill the additional fifth well would extend the contract term by approximately 45 days........

ptholden - 13 Aug 2011 09:21 - 10 of 2393

Yet another thread that satisfies no purpose except to allow the author to start his next ramp - beware.

Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 09:53 - 11 of 2393

Link to sign up for FOGL news alerts :

http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/Investors/financenews/emailalerts


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Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 09:57 - 12 of 2393

Worth remembering the potential upside with BOR and FOGL.

upside.png

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Proselenes - 13 Aug 2011 11:43 - 13 of 2393

Prospect inventory of 16 Billion barrels of oil and yet present market cap just over 100 million pounds.

Similar to say BPC HOWEVER, FOGL is drilling early in 2012 whereas first drill results news for BPC will likely be early 2013.

Proselenes - 14 Aug 2011 02:59 - 14 of 2393

FOGL have 16 billion recoverable barrels of potential in their main prospect list (Just the main prospects, they have other 100 potential prospects with over 60 billion RECOVERABLE barrels potential). Looking closer at what the BOR drills could mean for FOGL.

Borders and Southern's Darwin prospect and drill, if good, will light up circa 2.78 Billion recoverable barrels prospective from same play type leads that FOGL have.

Borders and Southern's Stebbing prospect and drill, if good, will light up circa 1 Billion barrels recoverable prospective from the same play type leads that FOGL have.

And if they both fail FOGL still have 12 Billion barrels potential in their own play types - with first drill at Loligo for a mere 4.7 Billion recoverable barrels........ ;)


fogl.png

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Proselenes - 15 Aug 2011 00:46 - 15 of 2393

Upside from activity in Q4-2011 and Q1-2012

Three companies stick out in the biggest way (and do not forget Aminex).

sorttermupside.png

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Proselenes - 16 Aug 2011 14:29 - 16 of 2393

The billion-barrel oil hunters

Created: 22 July 2011 Written by: Martin Li

http://www.investorschronicle.co.uk/



Borders & Southern (BOR)/Falkland Oil & Gas (FOGL)

The Falklands oil story continues to fascinate, even though last year's drilling campaign in the North Falkland basin returned just a solitary discovery for Rockhopper Exploration, leaving fellow explorer Desire Petroleum close to ruin.

While Rockhopper continues to appraise its Sea Lion strike recent confirmation of commercial flow rates is encouraging attention is turning to the largely unexplored South Falkland basin. The prospect sizes here are an order of magnitude larger than those in the north, although the targets are more remote, water depths are greater and the lack of previous drilling heightens geological risk. After years of trying to contract a suitable rig, Borders & Southern secured use of the Leiv Eriksson, an ultra-deep water, harsh-environment rig of which there are only around a dozen in the world. This will sail for the South Atlantic once it has completed drilling in Greenland this summer for Cairn Energy. Borders expects to drill the first of two exploration wells in late December, after which Falkland Oil & Gas (FOGL) will drill two exploration wells next year.

Borders chief executive Howard Obee highlights several factors that mitigate the otherwise significant risks of exploring a 'wildcat' frontier. Geophysical signatures provide strong indications of hydrocarbons while three-dimensional (3D) seismic surveys help pinpoint optimum drilling locations along a trend that stretches west from Borders' acreage to a basin that has produced 6bn barrels of oil.

Borders will first drill the Darwin prospect, which has an estimated size of 300m-760m barrels of oil recoverable, and then the Stebbing prospect, which is estimated at 710m-1,280m barrels recoverable. Between them, these two wells will target nearly $20bn of value.

Following the two Borders wells, FOGL will drill its Loligo prospect and then a second well still to be decided. To give an idea of prospect scale, FOGLs chief executive, Tim Bushell, says the Loligo structure covers an area the size of Greater London. Loligo has estimated mean prospective resources of 4.7bn barrels, although recoverable oil, for comparison with the Borders prospects, will be lower.

The chief executives caution that any discoveries will need to be at least 100m barrels of oil (and any gas discoveries will need to be multiple trillions of cubic feet) to stand any chance of being commercial. Mr Obee adds that each discovery will need to be commercial on a standalone basis since each is likely to be developed using a floating production and storage vessel rather than through a platform that could be shared. Nevertheless, these four wells could open up a new petroleum province with multi-billion barrel potential and investor interest will inevitably heighten through the autumn.

markymar - 16 Aug 2011 15:33 - 17 of 2393

Proselenes - 17 Aug 2011 04:38 - 18 of 2393



http://www.bgs.ac.uk/falklands-oil/downloads/newsletters/news.pdf

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Proselenes - 17 Aug 2011 09:51 - 19 of 2393



www.gulfkeystone.com/uploads/investorschronicle-22july2011.pdf

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Proselenes - 20 Aug 2011 02:41 - 20 of 2393

O&G Price Monitor.

http://www.mediafire.com/?m2j17nh6m33gu8k

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Proselenes - 22 Aug 2011 15:01 - 21 of 2393

http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/32206/rockhopper-exploration-sea-lion-commerciality-not-significantly-impacted-by-argentinabrazil-shipping-ban-says-rbs--32206.html

Rockhopper Exploration: Sea Lion commerciality not significantly impacted by Argentina/Brazil shipping ban, says RBS

12:52 pm by Jamie Ashcroft

This morning Rockhopper announced the spudding of its latest well to test the Sea Lion discovery.

The commerciality of Rockhopper Explorations (LON:RKH) Sea Lion oilfield development shouldnt be significantly impacted by logistical problems arising from Argentinas claim over the sovereignty of the Falkland Islands, according to analysts at the Royal Bank of Scotland.

Just a week after Rockhopper confirmed that the Sea Lion oil discovery, in the waters surrounding the Falkland Islands, is big enough to support commercial production it seems that political issues may come into focus for investors.

According to a report in yesterdays Sunday Times, Brazil has fallen into line with Argentina by barring vessels from docking in its ports if they are flying the flag of the Falkland Islands and this could have negative implications for any development of the discovery.

Looking at the potential problems in a note to clients today, RBS analyst Phil Corbett said: To date, there has been no significant impact on the timing or logistics of exploration and appraisal drilling operations in the North Falklands Basin from Argentina's stance on the sovereignty of the Falklands.

While it may make a development more complex and costly (i.e. we would imagine a significant contingency in terms of equipment and people may have to be stationed in the Falklands given long supply lines) it shouldn't significantly impact the commerciality of the project in our view.

The analyst points out that his valuation, which informs his buy recommendation and 380 price target for the share, assumes a 250 million barrel development and it also incorporates a conservative view of both capital and operating expenditure.

The RBS analyst added: If ongoing work continues to support the potential of Sea Lion (current mid-case of 325mmbbls recoverable) and the exploration upside on the licence then we simply don't believe that it will lie dormant because of political and/or development risk when attractive upstream opportunities are growing scarcer.

This morning Rockhopper announced the spudding of its latest well to test the Sea Lion discovery.

It began drilling the 14/10-7 exploration well in the early hours of this morning. The well location is around 3.3 kilometres away from the original Sea Lion discovery and it is designed to investigate reservoir and hydrocarbon presence towards the northern limit of the currently mapped extent of the Sea Lion Main Complex.

Rockhopper expects that the well will take 32 days to drill.

On August 15, Rockhopper revealed that by its own estimate - based on the latest 3D seismic data and its recent drilling success - the Sea Lion oil discovery contains between 608 million and 1.279 billion barrels of in-place oil. The company believes that it can achieve recovery rates between 30 and 40 per cent, therefore it estimates that the Sea Lion contains around 325 434 million barrels of recoverable oil.

Importantly it said that the seismic results show that the Sea Lion Main Complex (SLMC) extends the south, and that the new high case area extends over 90 square kilometres. The seismic results have also identified two new fan prospects, Casper and Kermit.

Rockhopper is committed to drill another three wells including the 14/10-7 exploration well - using the Ocean Guardian rig and it is in talks over the possibility of drilling additional wells under an assignment agreement.

Meanwhile it also confirmed that the rest of the newly acquired 3D seismic data is still being processed and Rockhopper expects to have the interpreted results by the end of 2011. Rockhopper said it has now mapped fan prospects - SLMC, the Lower Fan, Chatham, Casper and Kermit.
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