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Traders Thread & Thoughts Monday 19th April (SMWH)     

Crocodile - 18 Apr 2004 13:42

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1 Day  

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5 Day  

UK News

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Gold/Bond

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Day 2 Day 5 Day US News

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S&P Futures

Nikkei -60 Hang Seng -93  Asia News

  DAX    CAC     Euro News

SHELL  announces further cuts in its oil reserves: For the 3rd time Shell has cut its oil reserves by a further 500 million barrels. It has also announced the resignation of it's Chief Financial Officer Judith Boynton after the huge cuts in oil and gas reserves this year but she will remain with the company. The total effect of the cut in reserves will cost the company approximately 100 million dollars per year.

WH Smith has confirmed Permira, the private U.K. private equity firm, has approached about a possible take over of the company worth 375 pence a share

Spear & Jackson The FSA is probing the CEO regarding making illegal sales of company stock in secret through brokerage accounts in the British Virgin Islands over the last two years

Stagecoach said its annual results would beat market expectations and unveiled plans to return up to 250 million pounds to shareholders.

ukf.gif Calendar: United Kingdom
usf.gif United States (GMT)
euro.gif Europe & World (GMT)

 Caldwell Investments (F), Cyprotex (F), Minmet (F), Compass Group (I), ITV (AGM), Griffin Group (EGM), Reckitt Benckiser (Trading), Stagecoach (Trading)

08:30 March PPI 17:30 March BRC monthly retail sales monitor

23:30 RICS March housing market survey

Safeco Corp, Eli Lilly, 3M, Cendant, Fannie Mae,Hasbro, Lexmark

15:00 Leading Indicators Mar 0.3%

D

 Data Download

Calendar

US Zone

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Currency Calc

Broker Upgrades

Director Dealings

David@SnappyTrader.com    www .SnappyTrader.com  Pre Market Futures FTSE -6 DAX -2 DOW -26 S&P -2.8 NAS -4

Tips & Recommendations

Crocodile - 18 Apr 2004 13:42 - 2 of 26

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United Kingdom Calendar  12th - 16th April

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United States

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Europe & World

 Caldwell Investments (F), Cyprotex (F), Minmet (F), Compass Group (I),ITV (AGM), Griffin Group (EGM) Reckitt Benckiser (Trading), Stagecoach (Trading)

08:30 March PPI 17:30 March BRC monthly retail sales monitor

23:30 RICS March housing market survey

Safeco Corp, Eli Lilly, 3M, Cendant, Fannie Mae,Hasbro, Lexmark

15:00 Leading Indicators Mar 0.3%

D

ARM Holdings (I), Carr's Milling Industries (I), James R. Knowles (I), Mouchel Parkman (I), CeNeS Pharmaceuticals PLC (F), Gresham Computing PLC (F),

Highland Gold Mining (F), Rugby Estates (F), Tesco (F), ZOO Digital (F)

Brandon Hire (AGM), Dobbies Garden Centres (AGM), Hemscott (AGM), HgCapital Trust (AGM), Management Consulting (AGM), Carpetright (Trading),

Jubilee Investment Trust (EGM), Virtue Broadcasting (EGM)

08:30 March CPI

Black & Decker, General Motors, Pfizer, Mattel, Mellon Financial, Millipore, Safeco, Motorola, Wells Fargo Raytheon, Charles Schwab, US Bancorp Radioshack, Teradyne, Lucent Technologies, Applied Micro Circuits, Sprint,

Pinault-Printemps-Redoute SA, Schneider Electric SA, Valeo SA

Autonomy (F), Colt Telecom (F), Deal Media (F), Reuters (F), Maverick Entertainment (I), NWD (I), Superscape (I)

Anglo American (AGM), British American Tobacco (AGM), Bioprogress (AGM), British Vita (AGM), Domnick Hunter (AGM), Jurys Doyle Hotel (AGM), Low & Bonar (AGM), SBS (AGM), Tribune Trust (AGM), XP Power (AGM), Prudential (Trading)

08:30 BoE Minutes of April 7/8 meeting 08:45 Chancellor Brown Speaks at BCC Conference

Coca-Cola,Ford Motor, Honeywell International, Colgate-Palmolive, Eastman Kodak, Sears Roebuck and, Altera, Bank of New York, Morgan Chase,Chiron, Coca-Cola Enterprises, Dana, General Dynamics, United Technologies, Qualcomm, Starbucks, Capital One Financial

13:30 New mortgage applications

19:00 Fed's Beige Book

Infineon Technologies AG, Sagem,

Remy Cointreau

Ex Dividend: Albemarle & Bond Hldgs 1.15(p), Blue Planet Worldwide Financials IT 0.5(p), Hays 1(p), Informa 4.94(p), Inventive Leisure 0.7(p), Next Fifteen Comms 0.3(p), Swallowfield 2.8(p), Aggreko 3.45(p), BAE Systems 5.5(p), Biotrace International PLC 1.15(p), Bristol & London 2.17(p), Bovis Homes 11.1(p), City North 1.75(p), Estates & General 3.5(p), Fulmar 3.4(p), Future Network 1.25(p), Glanbia 4.94(p), Greggs 54.5(p), Hanson 11.95(p), ITV 1(p), Johnston Press 4(p), Lambert Howarth 7(p), Logica CMG 3.4(p), Management Consulting 0.5(p), Morrison Supermarkets 2.7(p), NSH:Norish 1(p), Old Mutual 3.1(p), Personal Holdings 3(p), Quarto 3.25(p), Slough Estates 9.2(p), Smith & Nephew 3.1(p), Spirax-Sarco Engineering 14.1(p), Travis Perkins 16.8(p), UCM 2.5(p), Univent 0.5(p), The Vitec 16.6(p), Zotefoams 2(p)

Brown & Jackson (F), Hitachi Capital (F), Allied Domecq PLC (I), McCarthy & Stone (I), Smith WH (I)Corus (AGM), George Wimpey (AGM), Abbey National (Trading), Schroeders (AGM), Reuters (AGM)08:30 March prov M4/M4 lending 08:30 March capital issuance 08:30 BBA March net sterling lending 08:30 CML March mortgage lending 08:30 March PSNCR 08:30 BSA March mortgage lending

American Express, AT&T, Caterpillar, Amgen, BellSouth,Edison, Freddie Mac, Kellogg, Kimberly-Clark, MBNA, Merck , Microsoft, Office Depot, Reebok International Limited, Sara Lee, Viacom

13:30 Initial Claims 04/17 - 335K

SAP AG, Comdirect Bank AG

Lafarge SA, Sanofi-Synthelabo

Shell Transport (AGM)08:30 March motor vehicle production 08:30 March retail sales 08:30 Q1 prelimiary GDP estimate

Xerox, R.J. Reynolds Tobacco

13:30 Core PPI Mar 0.1% 13:30 Durable Orders Mar 0.7% 13:30 PPI Mar 0.3%

 

Provisional Calendar For Equities  The Week Following  19th - 23rd April

Bede (F), Coliseum Group (F), Hansard Group (F), Ocean Wilson (F)Arm Holdings (AGM)

Ferraris Group (I). Game Group (F), Robotic Technology (F), Solitaire Group (F), Westbury (F)Aviva (AGM), Benfield Group (AGM), Finsbury Technology Trust (AGM) HBOS (AGM), Northern Rock (AGM),Personal Group Holdings (AGM), Rank Group (AGM), Royalblue (AGM), Singer and Friedlander (AGM), UK Coal (AGM)

Imperial Tobacco (I), European Motor Holdings (F)Countrywide Assured (EGM), Entertainment Rights (EGM), Xaar (AGM), Aggreko (AGM), Atlantic Global (AGM), Estates and General (AGM), Harrier Group (AGM), Henderson High Income (AGM), Kidde (AGM), Legal & General (AGM), Reed Elsevier (AGM),Tarsus Group (AGM), Travis Perkins (AGM), Wilson Bowden (AGM), Wyevale Garden Centres (AGM)

Ex Dividend: BDEV Barratt Developments 6.9(p), James Halstead 6(p), McBride 1.2(p), PM Group 1(p), AGA Foodservice Group 5(p), Balfour Beatty 3.4(p), Belgravium Technologies 0.3(p), Cadbury Schweppes 8.35(p), Candover Investments 26.5(p), Carillion 3.48(p), Centrica 3.7(p), Cox Insurance Holdings 1(p), 4imprint Group 3(p), GKN 7.8(p), Gowrings 1(p), Holders Technology 2.5(p), Highcroft Investments 7.25(p), International Energy Group 3.6(p), Irish Life & Permanent 28.37(p), James Halstead 6(p), Kidde 1.81(p), Kiln 0.4(p), Kerry Group 6.78(p), Litho Supplies 1.75(p), Marlborough Stirling 0.5(p), Mayborn Group 4.3(p), Mersey Docks & Harbour Company 16(p), Maiden Group, 4(p), Northern Rock 15.8(p), Novar 6.6(p), Peterhouse Group 4(p), PSD Group 3(p), Reed Elsevier 8.7(p), RMC Group 21.8(p), Rutland Trust 0.8(p), Singer & Friedlander 26(p), Senior 1.35(p), Systems Union Group 1(p), Thompson Clive Investments 7.83(p), Torday & Carlisle 1(p), TDG 8.75(p), Telemetrix PLC 2.15(p), TOMK Tomkins 7.4(p), Tesco, Weir Group 9.05(p), Wilson Bowden 25.5(p), Xstrata 13(p)

Proactive Sports (I), Punch Taverns (I), Body Shop (F), Sportingbet (F), Surgical Innovations (F)Alvis (AGM), Barclays (AGM), RMC (AGM), Scottish and Newcastle (AGM),Tikit (AGM), Zotefoams (AGM)

Pearson (AGM), TF & JH Braime (AGM)

 

Trading Thoughts For The Week Ahead   Sunday 18th April

In the U.S. next week we have a flood of corporate earnings with 178 of the S&P 500 companies set to issue quarterly figures. This could go a positive boost to the World markets as so far more than 75% of results have beaten expectations with only 10% falling short. Highlights will come from Motorola, Lucent Technologies, eBay, Microsoft, Pfizer, American Express, J.P. Morgan & Coca-Cola. In the U.K highlights will come from Tesco, ARM Holdings, Autonomy, WH Smith & Reuters MondayITV holds its AGM and will update on how well the advertising recovery is doing. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors updates on the housing market after saying last month that first time buyers are being squeezed out of the markets by buy to-let purchases.

Tuesday

Tesco's tills should be ringing with an expected profit increase of 22% over last years figures. Look for profits of 1.6 billion following a 15% rise in sales growth over Christmas. The market will be interested to find out its plans for the 1.5bn cash it raised in a share placing and leaseback deals. ARM Holdings are expected to show a rise of 16% to $57m benefiting from royalty revenue during the four months to March

Wednesdayftse2.gif

Reuters looks set to report a 9% drop in first-quarter core subscription revenues. The company said in February that it does not expect a pickup in revenue until next year. Reuters also holds its AGM on ThursdayAutonomy release first-quarter results after it reported a recovery in activity in all its business areas in the three months to December.The Bank of England releases the minutes for the Monetary Policy Committee meeting earlier this month U.S. new mortgage applications from the Mortgage Bankers Association, Higher rates have led to a fall in new applications for the last four weeks. The Fed issues its "beige book" report where the central bank's releases its view on the U.S. economy and clues to the direction of interest rates. All the good news boosting the DOW will probably be reversed after Alan Greenspan testifies on the U.S. economy

Thursday

WH Smith issued a profit warning in January will be lucky to report flat first-half sales and margins. This is partly due to the encroachment on its stationery lines by cut price retailers such as Asda and Tesco. However it has just been reported that Permira may bid 700m for the companyAllied Domecq should report strong half year sales of its core spirits brands which should offset weakness from its Spanish wine sales. It has also been restructuring its Dunkin Donuts which should lift margins & profits from its food division.Brown & Jackson are not expected to report a profit for the year following poor Christmas sales.U.S weekly jobless claims after last months strong gains are expected to slip to 340,000 from 360,000

Friday

An update on retail sales in March could be key to next month's BoE interest rate decision following rising levels of personal debt and the surging housing market U.S Durable goods should show that orders for manufactured goods rose 0.8 percent in March following a 2.5 percent gain.

Thoughts

The market's are still looking very strong with the 10 day and 12 month charts both positive. The 10 day chart shows the FTSE rising at 4537 with support at 4512 and ceiling at 4560 over the next few days. It also show how the trackers such as Lloyds are following the FTSE. Currently the bank is a possible BUY with it trading towards the bottom of its range at 415p and good 10% rise on the cards.

The FTSE 1 year chart is shows that the index has been peaking every 60 days with the rise consistently being at the same angle. If this pattern is maintained the FTSE should reach 4625 within the next 2 weeks!

As always I look forward to your thoughts and comments on the week ahead! 

David (Crocodile), David@SnappyTrader.com  www.SnappyTrader.com

All the above comments are purely a personal opinion and no investment advice is intended.  Please do your own research.

Crocodile - 18 Apr 2004 13:43 - 3 of 26

sundaypaper.gifMarks & SpencerSunday Newspapers 

Marks & Spencer's disastrous trading results have prompted prospective bidders to start circling the troubled retail chain, The Business newspaper reports.

WH Smith the troubled business is understood to be the target of a takeover move by Permira, the private-equity group known for investments in retailers such as New Look and Homebase, reports the Sunday Times. It has confirmed it is to axe 300 jobs.

UK Economic growth to top 3%, Figures to be released this week will confirm that the British economy continues to recover, despite the continuing stagnation of European economies, according to The Business newspaper. WH SmithTESCO has taken the increasingly hostile supermarket price war to new levels as it unveiled price cuts worth 70 million across a full range of products. Fears that the UK property market is developing a dangerous pricing bubble and buyers are ignoring rate rises will be reinforced this week with the publication of three reports showing that house prices are booming again, the Observer reports.

SUNDAY TIMES GKN may bid $3bn for Boeing factories Shell finance chiefs role in doubt Unilever, Birds Eye whips the Captain into shape BAE Systems. Air tanker deal in jeopardy WH Smith, Permira plots 700m swoop on WH Smith Allied Domecq, Showing them whos boss

Stumbling Merrion still a safe bet, Eircom Corus Group, Why you should buy the top shares - and then sell them Corus Group : City grandees take on the boardroom bullies Allied Domecq, Sir Gerry Robinson's working day Sharewatch:Babcock International

Working Space, Allied Domecq

A reward from Abbey will not make you richer M&S chief comes under pressure as takings fall again Should you buy shares in Manchester United? Keeping on track, FirstGroup Vital Statistics: Allied Domecq BSkyB Freeview makes inroads into Irish digital TV with UK boxes Directors' Deals: Rentokil boss cleans up in 9m sale Allied Domecq, Robinson can still show them whos boss Sharewatch: Peterhouse Group Footsie hits a five-week high, Burren Energy Allied Domecq, City grandees take on the boardroom bullies  

SUNDAY TELEGRAPH Mayflower 'falsified' log William Morrison Sir Ken's mystery pension Usmanov lashes out at Corus BSkyB leader for racing channel ITV's option Marks & Spencer Group issue ultimatum Shell Transport Boynton in the balance

Marks & Spencer, Uh oh, Vittorio! M&S launches counter offensive M&S investors should quake

The battle for Baltimore WH Smith faces bid 27m offer for Canary Wharf warrants

MAIL ON SUNDAY Shell finance chief faces axe, Lawyer negotiates a 1m pay-off Equitable not to sue regulators, Compensation hopes dashed Tesco rules with 1.6bn profit WH Smith targeted for takeover, Permira wants to take the reins SNCF in daring Eurotunnel move

Tesco - every little helpsBidders shop for Marks & Spencer, Prospective buyers line up Iceland stores rocked by sales slump, Easter profits worse than first thought Shell's Boynton named in lawsuit Cadbury in 'tainted' deal row, Facing lawsuit over schools contract

INDEPENDENT Usmanov threat to Corus chief Swann to cut 300 jobs in head office cull at ailing WH Smith Investors hand May deadline to M&S boss

After the Easter eggs, the City is ready for a feast at Tesco M&S - put a knitter in charge of the knitting

SCOTLAND ON SUNDAY Environmental awareness is dish of the day for BSkyB HBOS Intelligent Finance boss keen on foreign expansion Tesco on course for record profits, as price war ignites Anglo American Seize the initiative in improving communication UA Group to cash in with 65m sale of Stirling land 3i downgrade misses 'mini-boom' British Energy moves HQ for second time in four years

Lloyds TSB, Going to bat for Scottish Cricket

Celtic Old Firm's goal is to promote safe drinking Philip Green may be tempted to bid for troubled M&S Group Allied Domecq looks set to be in high spirits as profits rise to 270m Market wary as WHSmith set to announce slump in profits ITV Dyke rumours to be answered

 

THE BUSINESS M&S bidder?

INVESTORS CHRONICLE Six of the best AIM newcomers: RAB Capital (RAB) - Moneybox (ATM) - Torex Retail (TRX) - Offshore Hydrocarbon Mapping (OHM) - European Nickel (ENK) - Omega International (OME).Income Shares Feature: Shell (SHEL) - BAT's (BAT) - Diageo (DGE) - T Clarke (CTO) - Bradford & Bingley (BB).Tips: Buy Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) at 16.88 - SHL (SHL) at 107p - Hyder Consulting (HYC) at 127p - Bisichi Mining (BISI) at 104.5p - Corpora (CP) at 39.5p. Sell Reuters (RTR) at 401p.Updates: Buy Surfcontrol (SRF), BAA (BAA) and Top Ten Holdings (TTH).Sell Reliance Security (RSG).Company Results:Buy AB Foods (ABF).

SHARES MAGAZINE Running recommendations - 4Imprint (FOUR), WSP (WSP), Pennant International (PEN), DDD (DDD), BioProgress (BPRG), Dimension Data (DDT), Premier Direct (PDR), Abbeycrest (ACR), Berkeley Berry Birch (BBB), Jubilee Platinum (JLP), CMS Webview (CWV), Clarkson (CKN).The Analysis Section: Lok'N'Store (LOK) vs. Big Yellow (BYG) and Mentmore (MEN).The Small Shares Section: Buy International Brand Licensing (IBL) at 27.5p.

David@SnappyTrader.com    www .SnappyTrader.com  

Tips & Recommendations

kantona - 18 Apr 2004 15:27 - 4 of 26

many thx again croc ..P.S how do u see the latest Middle East situation effecting the market tomorrow am ( latest assasination etc )

Melnibone - 18 Apr 2004 17:35 - 5 of 26

Evening all, hope you all had a good Easter Break, I did.

Can't deny Croc's trend channel, just wondering when it's going
to end as all channels eventually do.

Looking at the last 4 months, we could say that we are stagnant
in a sideways trading pattern.
The price action and levels over the Easter break look mighty
similar to the price action and levels over the Christmas break
to me.

Swing chart made a lower low in March and has yet to set a lower
or higher high to help confirm or deny a change in trend.
Indices are at/near their highs at the moment, so unless folk
decide that the US is under-valued at these levels, I'm still
looking to short pops in preference to buying dips.
Won't stop me scalping Blue Chip Divi paying longs that get smashed
down, though. They are always in demand by funds and High Yield LTBH
investors and usually bounce back up quite nicely.

Up, down or sideways, doesn't matter, as long as you go with the flow
and don't try and fight it.

It didn't work last year, due to the strong trend up from very
low levels, but don't forget we are now coming up to the old
saying of 'Sell in May, come back again on St. Ledger's Day.'
Wonder if it will work this year. ;-)

Melnibone.


Melnibone - 18 Apr 2004 18:47 - 6 of 26

O

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4600

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Updated PnF chart that starts from when we were last at these levels years ago.

To me it's currently showing a sideways trading range that's tried to breakout higher and

lower and failed each time. To me it seems pointless trying to call the direction. I'll

let the market speak to me instead and take a smaller profit by following the direction

rather than risk a potential large loss by guessing and pre-empting a move.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 18 Apr 2004 19:00 - 7 of 26

draw?size=Big&startDate=18%2F10%2F03&per

6 Month swing chart.
Note the swing low in March that was lower than the swing lows
in February and December.

Some folk say this was due to the Madrid bombings that exarcerbated
a down swing. Until it makes a higher swing high, and I'm not saying
it won't, I'll follow the chart.
The market has a habit of 'selecting' news items to give it an excuse
to do what it wants to do anyway.

I don't know of anyone that has a firm conviction on market direction
at the moment.

Fundies and Brokers need people to invest, so they'll always be Bullish
anyway, unless they're a Hedge fund of course ;-), so I rarely listen
to them.

Melnibone.

Crocodile - 18 Apr 2004 21:25 - 8 of 26

Melnibone
Many thanks for your comments, currently I am considering how to make a profit by using the consistent angles of the uptrend for daytrading futures. Interesting huh!

Kantona Yes it has to make the market nervous, but it still seems to head in the direction it wants to after a small correction. Probably because the market is mainly computer traded and they do not have emotions.
What are your thoughts on it?

D,

little woman - 18 Apr 2004 22:14 - 9 of 26

Evening all,

Croc, your comment on LLOY - pity you couldn't have done it in 2 weeks. That is after I've got back in, rather than before - if it picks up in the next week, I'll just have to pass on it this time!

ThePlayboy - 19 Apr 2004 07:08 - 10 of 26

Updated 4/16 for Monday's market.
Key DOW Levels for 4/19
UP Above 10,460
DN Below 10,420

Upside Break
Dow trends slowly higher, breaks range to upside.

From prior commentary, "...The Dow is gearing up for a solid break from the range, but the direction is still in the air...An upside break through the top of the range at 10,430 will make for a serious rally. Watch the boundaries closely tomorrow..."
The Dow moved slowly higher throughout the session today, eventually getting an upside break from the trading range at 10,430, which increased the day's momentum. Today's upmove was good for 55 points and may continue higher Monday.

Looking at the 15 Minute Chart shows that the Dow has formed a very tight consolidation at the highs of today's upmove from 10,420 to 10,460. The consolidation has formed above resistance, which makes a solid case for an upside continuation Monday. Watch for a break through 10,460 to indicate that another push higher will occur.

Otherwise, a downside break from the consolidation at 10,420 will make for another wave lower within the wide trading range. Watch this level closely, as a break could push the index back down toward recent lows at 10,320.

Short Term Dow

Short term, the Dow has formed a tight consolidation at the highs of the 5 Minute Chart from 10,420 to 10,460. Watch for a break from this range for direction at the Open.

Medium Term Dow

In the medium term, we entered the market Long today at 10,440 and are still in the trade. We will continue to hold stops at 10,420, and will stay Long above 10,460. We will enter Shorts below 10,420, using 20 point stops.

NASDAQ & S&P

The NASDAQ held within its clear downtrend today, while the S&P is holding near the upper boundary of its trading range. Each index provides clear boundaries to watch for Monday's trading. *

Summary

The Dow pushed slowly, but steadily off the lows this morning, which led to an upside break through resistance at 10,430. Look for continued strength Monday, should the consolidation be broken to the upside. Otherwise, a downside break will make for another move lower within the range.

Crocodile - 19 Apr 2004 07:47 - 11 of 26

Morning all, nice sunny start to the day here in the West Midlands

little woman - 19 Apr 2004 08:02 - 12 of 26

Morning all

Sunny here in the South too - an almost cloud free morning!

Melnibone - 19 Apr 2004 09:39 - 13 of 26

Looks like we're hogging all your rain up in Cheshire.:-(

Never mind, we'll sell you some expensive water in the Summer
when you all get the 'Wrong Kind of Rain'. ;-)

Market doesn't seem to know where to go until the US opens.
Typical Monday morning, I suppose.

Melnibone.

Melnibone - 19 Apr 2004 10:04 - 14 of 26

Croc, ref your comment that computers trade the markets and
are free from emotion.

I'm not arguing with that point, but surely computers do what
they are programmed to do and this is done by Humans who are
heavily influenced by emotions?

Also, I think that most daytraders and floor traders use 'seat of
the pants' reaction trading which can clearly be seen by the rapid
moves on News Items.

Will computer programming then cause the computer trading to follow
the lead of the 'Human' traders, or will they blindly follow their
'orders' and reverse the 'Human' trading direction to that originally set by
their Human programmers?

If they are programmed to follow the market direction with automatic
buys and sells at pre-determined levels then they will be led by
the nose by Human traders and used to set off a move in a required
direction.

All interesting stuff.

Melnibone.

little woman - 19 Apr 2004 12:03 - 15 of 26

Just had the info from BT about the new phone charges. The monthly charge is going up slightly, but the call charges are dropping substancially. It certainly makes it less attractive to pay someone else of calls.

Crocodile - 19 Apr 2004 12:34 - 16 of 26

Melnibone
They are automatic with very little human intervention nowadays. Hence the continuation of trends from the previous nights close through the following mornings open. If there is news over night and the market moves away from the trend it is normally pulled back very quickly by programmed trading.

Out of interest I went long FTSE 4522 this morning based on this crazy idea!
temp.gif

D.

Crocodile - 19 Apr 2004 13:55 - 17 of 26

Just added SMWH (347p) to my long 10 long term buys. It is 10% below the offer with a reasonable chance of another buyer pushing the price higher.
Havent put a fortune on it ...

Crocodile - 19 Apr 2004 14:02 - 18 of 26

Will be at the E*Trade Manchester seminar on Friday afternoon if anyone fancies saying hello. Its advertised every so often above if you want details

stockbunny - 19 Apr 2004 14:22 - 19 of 26

Wish you well with SMWH Croc - did anyone else manage to
get in first thing this morning? If you did - congratulations!
All the usual retail take-over suspects are gaining today!

Melnibone - 19 Apr 2004 14:34 - 20 of 26

Hope your trend works Croc.

Out of interest, if the S@P is in a sideways trading range then
it has approx 30 points upside to the top of the range.
If the FTSE follows at the same rate this will give potential
upside of 4650(ish). This is not a million miles away from your
latest chart analysis at the top of this thread.
That would be nice from your 4522 entry point, wouldn't it. :-)

Melnibone.

Crocodile - 19 Apr 2004 15:26 - 21 of 26

Melnibone
Just took a 19 point profit while the other markets look weak I might as well sell into the FTSe strengh :-)
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