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Amerisur Reources : Sth. American Oil/Gas explorer (AMER)     

Sharesure - 30 Jun 2007 18:48

Amerisur Resources is exploring for oil and gas in South America, currently in Colombia and later it plans to exploit its licences in Paraguay. It has a new Board of Directors and following a recent Placing at 6p (250m shares) sufficient cash to see through its current drilling plans and carry out some further corporate asset improvement opportunities.

Valuation of Amerisur Resources : 'Rule of Thumb' based on c.800m shares and using 10% DCF on oil at $70/barrel is 0.75p on the sp for every 1m barrels (CHP's share) that is proved in the ground.

Amerisur (formerly Chaco Resources) now has two exploration blocks in Colombia which it is currently evaluating and preparing to drill, one of these in the last quarter of 2007. It has also applied for further blocks in Colombia which are also believed to offer near term production. It also has three substantial areas in Paraguay and is awaiting news on a fourth. The next six months (May-November 2008) should see a steady news flow as it establishes the companys transformation from being an exploration company to becoming a significant oil production company. Set out below are some of the milestones which should produce announcements and have a positive effect on the share price. Any potential reserves are quoted in recoverable oil assets.



Platinillo, Colombia :

100% interest in a field currently assessed at holding 38.1m barrels of light sweet crude oil. Previously this a well flowed at 533 b/d before it was capped.Modern extraction methods may achieve up to double this output/well. Drilling completed for assessment and details of reserve figures and resumption of production daily figures awaited at Dec.2009. (Some guessestimates suggest the field might contain as much as 70m-100m barrels.)

b>



Tigra/Fenix block

100%% Further 3D seismic is completed; previous drilling has resulted in 30,000 barrels of oil from this block. Other blocks nearby in the Magdalena basin have also produced well. Drilled 11/2009; optimistic RNS (17 leads to follow)but reserve figures awaited

RNS :Expect further news on this block imminently and maybe a JV or other arrangement to speed up the timescale to production



Additional blocks to be announced

New local management team, in particular the CEO, is reputed to have some excellent contacts which will bring some high quality blocks to Amerisur in the coming months.

Curupayty Block, Paraguay :

1.39m hectares in north, close to Bolivia. Two wells previously drilled and both showed oil.

RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.



San Pedro Block, Paraguay :

1m hectares in south-east. Previous drilling showed oil.

RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.



Parana Basin, Paraguay :

Canindeyu block covering 1,789,000 hectares. Bordering Brazil. Oil field on Brazilian side already drilled. Chaco also expect to find oil and, at a deeper level, considerable quantities of gas. Chaco has obtained valuable historic seismic for re-evaluation.

RNS : Presidential Decree received 2/11/06.. Petrobras has announced its intention to increase substantially its effort to exploit Paraguay's hydrocarbons and has announced a farm-in on CDS's adjacent block. Possibility that they or another major will do likewise with Amerisur



Corporate Activity : The new Chairman is believed to have been brought on board to prove some or all of the existing Colombian assets and get these oil producing, arrange a JV on the Paraguayan assets before negotiating a sale of the company as consolidation of explorers in the region continues. An exit sp north of 1.00 over the next 12 months might be a reasonable target provided the drilling programme lives up to expectations, the price of oil remains at/above current levels and an approach is made for the company.

aldwickk - 13 Apr 2010 08:01 - 2021 of 3289

[ TFC: Thanks for sharing your thoughts......a riveting read, as ever ! Bonne chance a nous tous. ]

TFC , you should write a book ......... lol

Sharesure - 13 Apr 2010 08:48 - 2022 of 3289

A placing would be timely - and at an interesting striking price?

annie38 - 13 Apr 2010 10:06 - 2023 of 3289

SS: Personally would only find it "interesting" if it was at a premium !

tudwick - 13 Apr 2010 10:56 - 2024 of 3289

Honestly cannot afford to buy any more, as already got more than I'm comfortable holding in one company, so a placing of no interest to this small investor sadly.

annie38 - 13 Apr 2010 10:59 - 2025 of 3289

Tud: Snap !

TheFrenchConnection - 13 Apr 2010 12:47 - 2026 of 3289

SS / Considering the length of time you have held AMER you must have developed a real "feel" for this stock .But what are your personal thoughts reg yesterdays RNS ? .Do tell. l am personally quite upbeat in that it illustrates the existance of a shallow petroleum system in play . Now you talk of a placing which i think what with current data is a good idea; and in considering recent trading patterns that alone could go a long way in explaining the tardiness in current s/p; and l wouldnt be surprised in the least if it was struck at around the 16p level ,...lncidentally a nice buy of over a million yesterday at 16p .........16p being to my mind a psychological support line. Three times since shares mag chartist called Amer one to be shorted the bid has retreated to 15.75; and each time buyers have appeared driving it foreward.

Sharesure - 13 Apr 2010 14:21 - 2027 of 3289

re Shares mag - I think that they figured that just before the t/y/e some would be tempted to take profits so if they could inspire weakness in the sp coupled with that a shorter would do well. The weakness didn't materialise so that may indicate that as fast as anyone sold stock, a ready market existed.
As for my "feel" for this stock you are right about me holding this stock a long time. I hadn't reckoned on that being the case but I also hadn't reckoned on the lack of a coherent business plan until GC was appointed.
I wouldn't be surprised if any placing today might take place at an enhanced price particularly if those being asked to participate are shown what I think the company should be showing us very soon. There is a lot of confidence (and more importantly money) in one particular part of the City that says this is going to turn out very well. I believe that even though it has been a long wait - I doubt we have to wait too much longer.

blackdown - 13 Apr 2010 18:03 - 2028 of 3289

The key to progress in the short term is going to be the result from the Iguasa test. Good flow rates, say 500bpd+, should stimulate some buying.

After that, it depends on when the company decides to make a statement re Fenix reserves. Not sure if this information will come at the same time as the Iguasa test result or not.

blackdown - 16 Apr 2010 08:00 - 2029 of 3289

It looks as though a placing isn't going to happen, at least not for a while.

bigwavedave - 16 Apr 2010 12:13 - 2030 of 3289

Yes BD. I think we would have heard something by now if that were to be the case.

The Astaire report indicated that a fund-raising was not required. But it also said that $25m drill programme was scheduled for the next six months. So, if there is to be no fund-raising then are they suggesting that that amount of cash can be generated from current projects by end of Q3?

There would have to be a serious ramping up of the production, or some of other source of revenue, if that were to be the case. Unless I have missed something, this is a big unanswered question.

blackdown - 16 Apr 2010 13:45 - 2031 of 3289

It isn't clear from the broker's report whether the $25m accelerated appraisal programme for Plat and Fenix is going to happen, or might be going to happen.

However, it does state that the company is going to spend $5m doing 3D stuff on Plat between June and Sept, so management must be confident that the investment is worth it, since they seem to be a fairly thrifty bunch.

bigwavedave - 16 Apr 2010 16:20 - 2032 of 3289

Must admit, I read it as an intent to speed things up - hence the funding issue being unclear. But either way you are right re their confidence in Plat/Alea. Same applies for Fenix imo.

nite ram - 21 Apr 2010 00:15 - 2033 of 3289

Lot more to come here outside your above post BWD. Can't put a time frame on it
but be ready to stand by your beds.

Big boys well aware what Mr C's got here !

blackdown - 21 Apr 2010 07:44 - 2034 of 3289

n r

Doesn't surprise me. Self funding oilexco with the proven, probable and possible assets that AMER is/has must be attracting some interest.

razmun - 21 Apr 2010 09:03 - 2035 of 3289

bigger boys came!!!

bigwavedave - 21 Apr 2010 12:10 - 2036 of 3289

Very cryptic nite ram. You sound like one of Cumbrian variety.

yuff - 21 Apr 2010 12:15 - 2037 of 3289

BWD-build it and they will come.

bigwavedave - 21 Apr 2010 14:26 - 2038 of 3289

Yes... but when!

TheFrenchConnection - 21 Apr 2010 16:27 - 2039 of 3289

as always when all the ground breaking hard work is done BWD . Perhaps i am utterly wide of the mark and lguasa coupled with news of fenix/plat reserves will prove hydrocarbons exist here in abundance and hence entice a partner pref, from "Big Oil" into J/V s or buy outs ( which is what i persoanally think the board hanker ) .Theses stats must be impressive -surely- or why would we spend the lions share of remaing capital on pure siesmic leaving ourselves cash strapped to do much drilling if in the event the 3D stuff happened to illustrate initial evidence of what could POSSIBLY be a commercially viable petroleum system in play .Or come to that any drilling whatsoever on Fenix/Plat leads .Unless, of course, that is when the placing will take place/ negotiating from strength as opposed to uncertainty ln addition ( apologies for whining ) - but considering the time elapsed since lguasa was spudded when on earth are we to be told of the outcome reg size of resource.and if sizeable to what level can we increase psi and safely ramp up daily production ? l feel we have been left completely in the dark here .Have written to GC reg. this matter and will post as soon as i here anything worth posting. B/D is right when he states that the board are a frugal crew running a very tight ship. BUT what exactly is their agenda ? To prove h/carbons exist and sell at best price ? lf the Fenix /Plat stats are good then personally i would have preffered a placing at a slight premium or in my dreams a discounted rights issue for ALL shareholders ( born optimist,l know) :-)) ) and funded a high impact drilling prog. reaping any benefits ourselves while not ruling out advantageous j/vs- namely the more costly high risk/ high reward leads . ,,,,,,But at the back of my mind i know niether JK nor GC are any mans fools; and MUST know what they are doing . A lot of variables to ponder here. Sorry for raising more questions than answers ....At least s/p has found what SS reffered to as a ready market for offers under 16p which i have deemed a strong pschological support line this past month or so.

aldwickk - 21 Apr 2010 19:55 - 2040 of 3289

Jamie , connect me through moneyam .... and i will give you my email address.
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