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Leni Gas & Oil PLC (LGO) >>> Tipped to go Skyhigh! (LGO)     

skyhigh - 05 Mar 2009 08:50

Anyone else in ?
On board this morning for the first time...(small time)
I've probably paid a bit more than I should've done and one should never buy first thing in the morning when it's probably marked up high to begin with!

But, let's see how it goes..the story is compelling and the rewards could be high, even though it's been tipped by TW ! (Article below..TW tip usually the K o'D!)

Good luck all!
(IMHO,DYOR)


Buy Leni Gas & Oil at 2.125p

Argues Tom Winnifrith of t1ps.com

Tom Winnifrith publishes 20 t1ps a year on www.t1ps.com. To access the website for as little as 73 a year click HERE

Having reached the giddy heights of $147 per barrel in July 2008, with analysts then forecasting $200, oil has since plunged to sub-$40 and some reckon we will see $25. Perhaps that will be the case in the short-term, who knows? One thing that is certain is that at sub-$40, most oil fields that have been developed in recent years will not be economically viable. The outcome, which is already being observed, will be a continued scale back in production until such time that basic market economics prevail and the price is pushed up as demand begins to outweigh supply. I anticipate a return to $60 oil sooner rather than later, which would inevitably see oil stock valuations emerge from the ruins as investors flock back to get a piece of profitable, cash generating producers. AIM-listed Leni Gas & Oil (LGO) will be one of these, but even at current oil prices, its growing cash flow streams derived from a well-diversified portfolio of producing assets represent an enticing investment of amplifying appeal, which will leave its current market cap looking extremely daft. With oil stocks hated by investors driven by sentiment not fact now is the time to gorge greedily on stocks such as Leni.

The Business
The company's primary strategic approach is to identify projects and businesses within the oil and gas sector that may contain a development premium which can be unlocked through a combination of financial, commercial, and technical expertise. This is where Leni's highly-skilled and experienced management team comes into play, assisted by a network of independent experts to evaluate investments to ensure development success.

Operations
Across its portfolio, Leni is currently producing the net equivalent of around 715 boepd from target recoverable reserves of 36.6 million boe at an average estimated operating cost of $10 per barrel.

US Gulf of Mexico - Leni has a 29% interest in Byron Energy, having acquired rights on Eugene Island blocks 172, 183, and 184. The company's interest in Eugene Island equates to an effective working interest of approximately 8%. New production wells were completed in the second half of 2008, with gross volumes of more than 5000 boepd. Additional rights include six oil and gas assets in varying stages of appraisal and development drilling. Planned for 2009 are development drilling, new production completions and assessment of exploitation potential, prior to development in 2010.

Spain - Leni's 100% owned Ayoluengo Oilfield (yes it was once owned by Northern!) is the largest in Spain with STOIIP of 110 mmbbls. Production is up to 260 boepd and continues to increase through improved well productivity programmes. A major development programme has been initiated to increase total field recovery to 30% through secondary recovery and in-fill drilling targets. The company is targeting production to previous plateau levels of 2,500 bopd and it should be heading that way by the end of this year with steady month on month increases. Leni also has an 85% stake in Halo Acreage Exploration & Development, which has total resources of 12.8 mmboe with a focus on high potential developments.

Trinidad - A well stimulation and production enhancement programme is underway at the company's 50% owned Icacos Oilfield, to lift current production from 30 bopd to around 150 bpd. Full re-interpretation and surveys are underway to identify step change production potential. Also, at Leni's 50% owned Icacos Deep Prospect, significant oil & gas discoveries have been made in the halo vicinity. High API oil has been identified, indicating a deep oil system. Seismic and area re-interpretation are planned.

Hungary - The PenZszlek Gas Field, in which the company has a 7.27% interest, has remaining GIIP potential of 22bcf with identified undeveloped discoveries. Production commenced in August 2008 at 4 mmscfd and a 3D seismic was executed at the end of 2008 to validate undeveloped prospects and accelerate incremental production. Elsewhere, at the Zala Basin Gas Play, in which Leni also has a 7.27% interest, multiple tight gas reservoirs exist on the border with Slovenia, with well stimulation and re-completion set to increase recovery.

Malta - The company has a 10% interest in a high potential exploration play with a highly prospective oil & gas basin. Four prospects and five leads have been identified with gross mean 2P STOIIP of 5.7 billion barrels and recoverable reserves of 1.484 billion barrels. A PSC has been signed with the Maltese Government to drill a 2500m well by July 2011. A second study phase is currently being undertaken to increase the chance of success with selected drilling locations.

Click for Full Charting facilities from ShareCrazy.com


Production
During January 2009, monthly production increased by 150% to 20,020 boe. Dividing it up into the company's operating regions: In Spain, production net to Leni, was 7,125 barrels, which was up by almost 10% on the previous month and more than 120% higher than historical plateau production. Oil sales reached a record of 6,935 barrels, representing an increase of more than 100% on historical monthly sales. In Trinidad, the Icacos Oilfield produced 900 barrels during the month, with net production attributable to Leni totalling 450 boe. The rapid progress is signified by highlighting that the oilfield was only pumping around 35 bpd in early 2008. Meanwhile, in Hungary, the PenZszlek gas field produced 1.67 million cubic feet of gas net to Leni during the month, with net production of 279 boe. This was down on the previous month, as the gas field was shut-in due to the failure of a compressor at the downstream gas processing facility. In the GoM, the company's interests held by Byron Energy currently produce approximately 5,000 boepd gross from the Eugene Island Field, with Leni's effective net working interest equating to a net monthly production totalling 12,000 boe.

The numbers demonstrate the success of the company's production schedule step change, reflecting the full benefits of its GoM interest and its Spanish enhancement programme. Having delivering significant month-on-month production increases and achieving record oil sales, Leni is in a commanding position with regards to its full-year targets, and of course, generating expanding and sustainable streams of operating cash flow.

Management
Executive Chairman, David Lenigas, has 25 years' experience in the natural resources industry, covering oil and gas, coal, precious and base metals. He is currently the Executive Chairman of Lonrho, Lonrho Mining, Lonzim, and Templar Minerals, as well as a Director of Vatukoula and GCM Resources. Lenigas is also the Chairman of the Audit and Remuneration committees.

Operations Director, Fraser Pritchard, has 20 years' oil & gas experience from most oil & gas provinces and international and state energy companies. He maintains a focus on securing investment for, and managing junior E&Ps from start-up into sustainable operations.

Finance Director, Donald Strang, has 15 years' experience in financial management predominantly within the natural resources sector. He is currently a Non-Executive Director of Lonrho and Vatukoula, and was previously the Chief Financial Officer and Company Secretary for GCM Resources and BDI Mining Corp. He has also held senior financial positions with Ernst and Young and several publicly listed Australian Resource companies.

Executive Director, Jeremy Edelman, has 20 years' corporate finance experience coordinating acquisitions in the natural resources sector. He has previously held directorships in listed companies in both the UK and Australia, with a focus on resource exploration and development, including investment companies established with the specific objective of investing in oil and gas projects.

*The value of investments can go down as well as up. Past performance is no guarantee of future success. Investing in equities can lose you part or all of your capital. The tips given here are of necessity, general. They cannot relate to the individual circumstances of investors. Anyone considering following the recommendations contained here should seek independent advice. Investments in smaller company shares, by their nature, can be relatively illiquid and thus hard to trade. And that makes such investments more of a high risk than larger company shares.

Financials
In the twelve months to 31st August 2008, the company recorded revenues of 1.91 million and posted a pre-tax loss of 40,000, mainly attributable to a non-cash item of 0.55 million relating to share options. It is worth mentioning that pre-tax operating profits from Spain alone amounted to 0.87 million. The basic and diluted loss per share equated to 0.01p, compared to a loss per share of 0.14p in the previous twelve month period. The balance sheet showed net cash of 1.85 million and net assets of 23.05 million, which consisted of intangibles valued at 20.23 million.

Financials
Leni is currently producing around 21,000 boe per month. With low operating costs of around $10 a barrel at present, the company enjoys a very healthy margin. The oil price weakness will not last indefinitely, and in the meantime Leni continues to drive down its operating costs, which are estimated to be trimmed to around $5 a barrel by the end of 2009. Meanwhile, production is rapidly being ramped up across the company's primary prospects, notably in Spain and the Gulf of Mexico. Assuming this acceleration continues according to plan, the company would - on a self financing basis - be looking to produce at 5,500 boepd by the end of the year, generating sizable and sustainable cash flows just the sort of thing investors are crying out for as the economy continues to reverberate from the profound effects of the financial meltdown and the extreme uncertainty it has bred.

At 5,500 boepd, Leni would be looking at c. 2 million boe per annum. Assuming a conservative average oil price of $45/bbl in 2009, and estimated average operating costs of $10/bbl, the company would be booking operational cash flow of $70 million (48 million) on an annualised basis. On a more bullish (and practical) outlook, taking crude at $60/bbl, annualised cash flow would be c. $100 million (70 million) and it is my strong belief that $60 is where crude should be.

Knocking off 4 million for central costs (far too high) and a 30% tax rate this is a company that should on my $60 scenario be throwing off 46 million a year on an annualised basis. Even at $35 oil this company should throw off 22 million.

At 2.125p Leni is valued at just under 13 million. My initial base case target price is three times cashflow at $35 oil plus net cash with the exploration assets in for free - that is to say 68 million or 11.1p per share. My long term target price uses $60 oil and the same formula and is therefore 140 million or 23p per share. I said that oil stocks are loathed and that is why Leni shares are so cheap. Now is the time to be buying. Leni Gas & Oil is a "buy" at 2.125p and at up to 6p with a base case target price of 11.1p.

Key Data
EPIC: LGO
Market: AIM
Spread: 2p - 2.25p (11.8%)

mentor - 06 Mar 2017 10:25 - 208 of 222

re - contrary views to yours

Posting a chart of 5 years?
you must need some help from the lunatics on the other side!

Clear as you have stated >>>>>>> YOU are a BIG PAIN on the ARSE

There is no SOFT toilet seat on ADVFN today, so you come here

s-l500.jpg

cynic - 06 Mar 2017 10:37 - 209 of 222

you really are such a pathetic person

historic charts may be history, but they certainly have a relevance, whether you like it or not


stick to your charts and comment attaching thereto
you can assuredly do what you like with your own money ..... but others may do likewise




mentor - 06 Mar 2017 10:41 - 210 of 222

Just sold 0.1305p ( spread 0.13 v 13.50p ) level 2 of 2 v 2

Do I have to thank you?

cynic - 06 Mar 2017 10:50 - 211 of 222

am i interested?

mentor - 06 Mar 2017 11:35 - 212 of 222

off course you are, otherwise you will not be here, seeing my gain of 16.44% during 2 weeks of trading and naturally a closing bargain T+11 of a T+20 so pocked with out having to pay for the stock just under £700

cynic - 06 Mar 2017 11:41 - 213 of 222

i really don't give a toss whether you made a profit or a loss of £700, £7,000 or even £700,000 ..... and i doubt anyone else does either


anyone's interest in this share will be whether it has the right risk/reward profile for them
you give one personal view and i another

mentor - 06 Mar 2017 12:28 - 214 of 222

Of course NOT

You are only interested in 🐂💩 ........

on being a contrarian
on having hospitality, as you are a lonely soul
on having a soft toilet seat, to cushion your pain on the Arse
on having charts from "mentor" of large companies coz small ones are too risky
and so on

Stupid_HP.jpg?w=175&h=148

2517GEORGE - 09 Mar 2017 14:44 - 215 of 222

Like a phoenix rising from the ashes

mentor - 13 Mar 2017 09:02 - 216 of 222

4p +0.55p

Successful well GY-682, Goudron Field, Trinidad

LGO, the oil and gas company with reserves, resources and production onshore Trinidad, is pleased to announce that its first development well GY-682 in the new drilling campaign on the Company's Goudron Field, reached total depth ("TD") at 1,145 feet measured depth on 8 March 2017. Electric log interpretation of the Mayaro Sandstone target interval confirms the presence of oil over an estimated net reservoir thickness of 408 feet. It has been decided to perforate and place on production 273 feet of the best net oil pay within the Mayaro reservoir.

Well GY-682 will shortly be put on production with a downhole pump and a stabilised production rate will be established, at which point the Company expects to announce the average initial flow rate. GY-682 is one of a programme of planned Mayaro infill wells, each of which is forecast to have average initial production rates of 45 barrels of oil per day ("bopd") of light sweet crude, with low decline rates. The well was drilled on time, in 5 days, without incident and is expected to be on budget; costing US$500,000.

Neil Ritson, LGO's Chief Executive, commented:

"I am delighted that, having sorted out the balance sheet issues in 2016, we are back to development drilling at Goudron. The first well has been a success, having drilled to TD in under a week and is showing the expected net oil pay. Production will start shortly, adding to our production base and the rig will move to the next well site. After months of restructuring, we now have momentum back in the business."

The next well, GY-683, in the shallow infill program will be spudded shortly. Three additional wells have been now approved by the Ministry of Energy and Energy Industries as part of the ongoing development in which 45 wells have already received environmental approvals.

LGO has 11.8 million barrels ("mmbbls") of Proven and Probable Reserves ("2P") in the Goudron Field and is currently producing light sweet oil with an average API gravity of 37 degrees. In addition to its reserve base LGO has significant low risk, onshore upside in the Trinidad portfolio including 22 mmbbls of most-likely ("P50") Contingent Resources ("2C") in the Goudron Field and an estimated gross P50 unrisked oil in place of 1.3 billion barrels in the South West Peninsula leases.

mentor - 29 Mar 2017 13:16 - 217 of 222

KEEP an EYE
LGO 2.65p ( 2.60/2.70p)

Is reaching the maximum Fibonacci retracement 78.6%. large drop today with not much sales, but most likely MMs want to reach bottom point. Level 2 of 2 v 1 - LGO earns BUY rating from VSA Capital with target of 22p - March 23, 2017 Robert V. Boyd

p.php?pid=chartscreenshot&u=9T7c6k%2F4yNChart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=LGO&Size=

I bought some @ 2.67p

cynic - 29 Mar 2017 13:45 - 218 of 222

i see it's also being touted by some spivvy share tipster sheet

mentor - 29 Mar 2017 23:25 - 219 of 222

Today's drop was overdone considering the buys / sells where almost the same
The main reason was the 1.5M sell under the bid price, that when the delay trade was reported, the MM at 1.65p bid marked down to 1.60p and all stayed at this price till the end.
Some MMs must be short of stock doing that today.

BUYS - 2,075,862
SELLS - 2,193,124

note - The low of the day on the afternoon 2.625p was the 78.6% Fibonacci I was expecting on the chart

mentor - 30 Mar 2017 09:24 - 220 of 222

spread 2.70 v 2.85p +0.10p

There was some buying at the start and kept the movement up since with bid to 2.70p
It must be a large buyer by the way the MM is gone to the bid not long ago, or a large delayed buy

p.php?pid=staticchart&s=L%5ECERP&width=5Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=CERP&Size=


edit - Has change name to Columbus energy - CERP

parrisf - 20 Oct 2017 15:48 - 221 of 222

Everyone abandoning cerp it seems.

cynic - 20 Oct 2017 16:05 - 222 of 222

the stench of the lenigas connection must have persuaded someone to change the name, even if the company remains a load of shit
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