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Centamin Egypt : Worth waiting for... (CEY)     

pthwaite - 20 Sep 2004 10:27

CEY is a gold mining company operating in Egypt. It was ordered by the Egyptian Government to stop drilling pending a legal dispute brought against the company by a government minister.

Since then, the whole Government cabinet was replaced a few months ago and the minister now in charge of Mining is believed to be positive on Western investment in the country. CEY are pushing for this minister to allow them to continue drilling ASAP; investers are waiting....patiently.

As soon as the company gets the go-ahead to continue drilling, the share price will move north; CEY has plenty of gold in this mine and it is (apparantly) the case of "raking" it out rather than drilling for it!

Check them out...worthy of a punt.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CEY&Si

cynic - 18 Jan 2014 10:07 - 2098 of 2354

having just spoken to my chap in cairo, he reminds me of possible (probable) demos on 25th january, being the anniversary of the revolution .... i suggest it would be prudent to hold fire until after that

skinny - 30 Jan 2014 07:01 - 2099 of 2354

Market Update

2014 Production Guidance, Sukari Gold Mine Exploration Update and Site Visit

Centamin is pleased to advise forecast production for the year 2014 from the Sukari Gold Mine of 420,000 gold ounces at a cash operating cost of US$700 per ounce. This would represent an 18% increase on 2013 production of 356,943 ounces and would become the fifth successive year of output growth at Sukari.

The Stage 4 expansion project is currently in the commissioning phase and throughput is expected to steadily increase during the year providing the ability to deliver on our long term production target of 450-500,000 gold ounces per annum.

A key component of the Centamin production profile is the underground operation. Exploration drilling from underground is ongoing with UGRSD0041 encountering significant mineralisation of 10m @ 162g/t Au (Table 1).

This intersection is located on the foot wall contact of the porphyry 20 metres below the existing Amun workings at the base of the recently reported Indicated resource for the Underground. As such this does not form part of the recently reported Underground Mineral Reserve.

Further drilling in this area is ongoing and while results are still pending, core from subsequent drill holes is similar in appearance and geology to the core from UGRSD0041 adding to the confidence that underground resource and reserve growth will continue.

midknight - 03 Feb 2014 12:17 - 2100 of 2354

3 Feb: Numis Securities reiterates: Buy - TP raised from 60p to 70p.

irlee57 - 24 Feb 2014 12:23 - 2101 of 2354

centamin on a mission today

skinny - 24 Feb 2014 12:26 - 2102 of 2354

This may have some bearing.

Egypt government resigns, paving way for Sisi to seek presidency

Shortie - 24 Feb 2014 14:00 - 2103 of 2354

This company looks too good on paper...

HARRYCAT - 24 Feb 2014 20:35 - 2104 of 2354

.

required field - 25 Feb 2014 08:43 - 2105 of 2354

OMI up as well...(for minnow lovers)....

cynic - 25 Feb 2014 08:54 - 2106 of 2354

Pike loves minnows
Stupid boy :-)

aldwickk - 25 Feb 2014 09:15 - 2107 of 2354

CEY could be targeted by insurgents unless the army keep a presents there

required field - 25 Feb 2014 09:18 - 2108 of 2354

Yes... uncle arfur....

aldwickk - 25 Feb 2014 10:44 - 2109 of 2354

Stupid boy

skinny - 26 Feb 2014 07:04 - 2110 of 2354

Market Update

Market Update - Centamin Gains Controlling Interest in Ampella Mining

Further to the announcements of 10 December 2013 and 13 January 2014, Centamin declared, on 20 February 2014, that its off-market takeover offer for Ampella was free from all defeating conditions pursuant to a notice filed on the Australian Stock Exchange ("ASX") and ASIC. Accordingly, the offer is now unconditional.

As at 7.00pm (Sydney time) on 24 February 2014, Centamin, through its wholly owned subsidiary, Centamin West Africa Holdings Limited ("CWA"), had a relevant interest in 126,321,285 shares or 51.14% in Ampella Mining Limited ("Ampella").

This gives Centamin the right under the offer to appoint a majority of the directors to the board of Ampella and to take effective control of all operational matters concerning Ampella. Centamin has requested that Paul Kitto, Ron Renton and Michael Anderson resign from the board of Ampella and has nominated Josef El-Raghy, Mark Arnesen and Heidi Brown to be appointed as directors of Ampella. Peter Mansell and Ronnie Beevor shall continue as non-executive directors of Ampella until the earlier of Ampella de-listing from the ASX or CWA acquiring a relevant interest in 90% of the shares in Ampella.

Josef El-Raghy, Chairman of Centamin, commented:

"We are pleased to have successfully gained control of Ampella and thank the outgoing directors for their support during this recommended offer process. We also recognise the key contribution that Dr Paul Kitto has made to establishing a significant new gold province in Burkina Faso and we welcome his future involvement with our management group so that we may continued to discover and develop gold projects in this area and the wider region."

HARRYCAT - 26 Feb 2014 09:31 - 2111 of 2354

Peel Hunt note:
"We downgrade Centamin to a Hold following a strong share price performance in recent months. Our target price for Centamin is based on our application of a 40% risking factor to adjust for the risk associated with the on-going court case. Whilst we remain of the view that the ultimate outcome of the court case will be positive for Centamin, we have not seen any material changes in the risk profile of the case that would justify a reduction in our current risk weighting. Indeed investors can choose their own risk factor for Centamin which we value at 87p on an un-risked basis
Positive ruling still likely in court case: Our original Buy recommendation for Centamin was based on our view that the ultimate outcome of the current court case regarding a legal challenge to Centamin’s operating license will reach a positive conclusion in 2014. We applied a risked NPV approach to the business with a risking factor of 40%. Whilst we remain of the view that this is the most likely outcome, we do not yet see sufficient evidence to adjust our risking factor and therefore reduce our recommendation to a hold after the recent rise in share price.
Proposed legislative amendments will provide further support: Proposed legislation currently being tabled in Egypt contains provisions to prevent third parties from challenging contracts made between the government and an investor, this proposal is intended to boost investor confidence in the country at a time when it is desperately needed. If such legislation were in force at the time of the original challenge by Mr Fakharany it would have prevented his efforts to remove Centamin’s operating license. We regard this proposal as an indication of the direction of political opinion on issues such as the Centamin case and a reinforcement of our view that the ultimate outcome of the court case is likely to be positive.
Valuation & Recommendation: Our un-risked valuation of Centamin on a PV of future cash flows basis is 87p with a 40% risking factor to arrive at our current target price. The selection of this risking factor depends largely on investor risk appetite and can be adjusted by investors at their own discretion. We would look to review this risking factor downwards in the event of a positive outcome in the court case. Until such time we are of the view that a 40% risk weighting is appropriate to reflect the uncertainties of predicting the decisions of the Egyptian legal system and move to a Hold recommendation."

skinny - 06 Mar 2014 12:53 - 2112 of 2354

From yesterday - Nomura Buy 58.68 45.00 85.00 Upgrades

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CEY&Si

skinny - 24 Mar 2014 07:45 - 2113 of 2354

2013 Annual Results

HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE YEAR (1) (2)

Centamin remains in a robust position to continue delivering on its track record of production growth and solid cash flow generation during 2014 and beyond, as demonstrated by the following highlights:

· Full year production was 356,943, a 36% increase on 2012 and above guidance of 320,000 ounces.

· Cash costs of production of US$663 per ounce (2012: $669 per ounce).

· Record EBITDA of US$234.2 million, up 1% on the prior year.

· Basic earnings per share 16.87 cents, down 8% on prior year.

· Stage 4 plant expansion (to nameplate capacity of 10Mtpa) expenditure at the year end was US$327.8 million of the reforecast cost of US$331.2 million, including contingency.

· Centamin remains debt-free and un-hedged with cash, bullion on hand, gold sales receivable and available-for-sale financial assets of US$142.5 million as at 31 December 2013.

goldfinger - 24 Mar 2014 08:17 - 2114 of 2354

Looks like good results.

cynic - 24 Mar 2014 08:23 - 2115 of 2354

just for general info, my client in egypt tells me things remain very unsettled there, which is having a generally negative effect on all business as all companies are fearful of making any medium/long term decisions

skinny - 24 Mar 2014 15:28 - 2116 of 2354

It needs to break 58p.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=CEY&Si

skinny - 09 Apr 2014 07:04 - 2117 of 2354

Q1 Preliminary Production Results

Centamin is pleased to announce preliminary production results from its Sukari Gold Mine ("Sukari") in Egypt for the quarter ended 31 March 2014. Total gold production for the quarter was 74,241 ounces, a 14% decrease on the corresponding quarter in 2013 and 19% lower than Q4 2013. Although gold production was affected by a temporary reduction in the underground average grade, the first quarter demonstrated record levels of material movement from the underground mine and process plant throughput and all areas of the operation have provided a solid foundation for the year ahead. Production guidance for 2014 remains unchanged at 420,000 ounces gold.

Open pit total material movement continued well from the previous quarter with a small increase of 1% to 9,749kt. A decrease in open pit ore production of 26% on Q4 2013 to 2,325kt reflected a focus on waste stripping activities in line with the mine plan. The run of mine ore stockpile balance decreased by 216kt to 1,540kt at the end of the period.

Record quarterly throughput at the process plant was 1,486kt, a 6% increase on the prior year period and a 6% increase on Q4 2013, exceeding the nameplate annualised rate of 5 million tonnes for the fifth successive quarter with continued high levels of productivity and availability. The Stage 4 commissioning process will progressively lift overall plant throughput and hence gold production levels through the remainder of the year.

The primary challenge faced during the quarter was from poor mining fleet availability within the high grade stoping areas of the underground mine. Whilst the operation delivered a record 206kt of ore, up 18% on Q4 2013, this limited ability to remotely mine the high-grade stopes reduced the average mined grade to below planned levels and thus restricted the contribution to overall production. These problems with equipment availability were rectified late in the quarter.
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