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DELLING, Boring Miserable Swedo Company, But is it Cheap?. (DLG)     

goldfinger - 25 Oct 2006 17:02

The answer to that I believe is...

Its going cheap at the moment and there looks to be considerable upside from its present price of circa 10p. Ive had it on the watchlist for the last 6 months and it continues to do deal after deal but nobody notices .

Plenty more room for acqusitions aswell which will see growth booming.

The company is valued at less than 15 million. By the financial year 2007/8 sales will be 40 million and profits after tax at least 4 million I reckon.

House broker Seymour Pierce have the following forecasts on the company but these I beleive will be smashed.....

To 31-Dec-06 EPS 1.00p P/E 10.0 PEG n/a EPS Growth n/a
To 31-Dec-07 EPS 1.50p P/E 6.7 PEG 0.1 EPS Growth +50%

If the present momentum in the markets goes forward this company on fundies should at least double within a year.

Heres a bit of background on the companys operations......

Delling Group is a leading supplier of marketing support services for marketing
and communication departments throughout The Nordic countries.


Delling manages all fields of graphic support in many different forms and
formats including trade fairs, exhibitions and interactive digital solutions for
the web, mobile telephone marketing solutions, motion media for flat screens,
plasma or LCD.


It also supplies IT solutions which support and increase the efficiency of both
marketing and information departments. However, its major strength is that the
Group can deliver complete turnkey solutions, tailor-made for its customers'
every need. Delling also offers outsourcing solutions that can substantially
save costs and improve efficiency.


The Group's major activities are today concentrated in the Norwegian and Swedish
markets, however, it is quickly expanding into other Nordic areas, as well as
having customers and production facilities in Eastern Europe. It also has well
respected suppliers as far afield as China and Thailand.


Delling Group has today 80 employees. It is rapidly developing its organisation
by focusing on supplying its customers with the quality they demand, delivered
on time at the right price. Central to its philosophy lies the fact that its
customers will obtain greater effects and efficiency for every pound they invest
in marketing and information. The Group has strong growth, both through further
development of existing clients and establishment of many new relationships,
together with acquiring companies that enhance and further develop our business
concept.


Delling's goal is within the course of the next two years, through both
satisfied customers and recommendations, to be the largest and most profitable
company in the field of marketing support services within the Nordic countries,
and a significant player within Eastern Europe. In October 2004, Delling was the
first Scandinavian business to be listed on the Alternative Investment Market
('AIM'), the London Stock Exchange's international market for smaller growing
companies. This has given Delling access to capital funds for the further
development of the Group.



DYOR.

goldfinger - 30 Oct 2006 11:56 - 21 of 86

Good news then, looks like its going to tick up anytime fingers crossed.

goldfinger - 30 Oct 2006 13:04 - 22 of 86

Ticking up now.

goldfinger - 01 Nov 2006 11:38 - 23 of 86

Inching its way ahead.

swseun - 01 Nov 2006 11:39 - 24 of 86

expecting any profit taking which may pull back price?

goldfinger - 01 Nov 2006 11:42 - 25 of 86

Well looks to be the same seller present each day selling into strength.

Probably RAB Capital, but its in there interest that in still continues to rise.

swseun - 01 Nov 2006 12:00 - 26 of 86

selling could pull 1 to 1.5p back each time. but not a big deal to long term investor like me.

goldfinger - 01 Nov 2006 12:45 - 27 of 86

Ticked up again. These boring companies can make soom real fine returns for you.

swseun - 01 Nov 2006 12:48 - 28 of 86

yes, just bought 20,000 @12.75, nice pick up!

goldfinger - 02 Nov 2006 11:01 - 29 of 86

Up again. Looks like all buys this morning so far.

goldfinger - 02 Nov 2006 11:19 - 30 of 86

goldfinger - 02 Nov 2006 13:57 - 31 of 86

Going well.

tony727 - 02 Nov 2006 16:08 - 32 of 86

Have a look at TEO, a lot of gen on the ADVFN site. due a rise soon

goldfinger - 03 Nov 2006 01:50 - 33 of 86

Far more to come here.

I see Zak Mir chartist as placed a short erm target of 22p on these.

goldfinger - 03 Nov 2006 01:55 - 34 of 86

Lifted from the other side...........

Zak Mir writes: As the 200-day moving average forms one of my Golden Rules of Trading, the current chart position of Delling is something which almost perfectly illustrates the merits of using the moving average as a trading indicator. This is because we have now had four consecutive end of day closes above the black 200-day moving average, something which has to be regarded as technically significant. However, in the case of Delling it is not just the 200-day line that features, there has been an encouraging October double bottom reversal above 8p as well as a push for the RSI above neutral 50 to 68 currently. Perhaps the best strategy here would be to wait or any dips towards the 200-day line, with a weekly close stop loss being the money management point as we await a best case scenario target at the one year resistance line projection up to 22p.

goldfinger - 03 Nov 2006 11:25 - 35 of 86

The buyers in the poll position so far today, but no move up yet.

goldfinger - 03 Nov 2006 11:41 - 36 of 86

Just a reminder........

25/10/2006

Delling: Increased 2007 Forecast, 2008 Estimates Unveiled - Buy at 10p

Key Data
EPIC DLG
Share price 10p
Spread 9.5p-10.5p

NMS 15,000
Market cap. 1.51 million pounds
12 month range 8.75p-15p
Shares in Issue 151 million pounds
Net Debt 2 million pounds
Market AIM
Website www.dellinggroup.com
Sector Media
Contact Aksel Bratvedt
0207 484 5663

Over the past year AIM-listed Scandinavian based, marketing services group, Delling, has completed four acquisitions, a 5.3 million pounds placing and has taken steps to improve margins within the business. The company has also started to deliver clear organic growth that is sustainable. We believe that our forecasts for the group for 2007 are too low by a material order and feel confident of introducing new forecasts for 2008. It would appear the City has not totally forgiven Delling for a profits warning more than a year ago, and it has failed to take on board the progress made since that event and the profits potential of the group. Despite this, we believe the shares are materially undervalued and rate the shares as a buy at 10p with a new 12 month price target of 35p.

Delling is a market support services company. It provides out-sourced services to the marketing department 'back offices' of companies predominantly operating in Scandinavia. Established under the name Depicta in 1998, the company changed its name whilst embarking on its current strategy of aggressive bolt-on acquisitions to complement its own organic growth in March 2004. It listed on AIM in the autumn of that year, and now has an impressive client list of over 300 companies, including such giants as Statoil, Norsk HydroABB, Bristol-Myers Squibb and Ericsson. It is a pioneer in the application of the latest IT technology in the creation and efficient management of new and developing marketing channels.

In June of 2006, the company undertook a 5.3 million pounds fund-raising at 8p, and used this finance to handle its balance sheet problems, which had clearly been a concern of both investors and potential customers. The company now has net debt of 2 million pounds. However, if our forecasts are reached, it is possible that banks would lend it up to 20 million pounds to support further acquisitions. The purchases this year have been funded by a cash and shares mix, which typically involves Delling paying 5 times historic pre-tax profits. In a fragmented Scandinavian market, Delling feels it has a long list of profitable, privately owned target companies which can be bought on similar terms.

In the past three months Delling has made three acquisitions. On 22nd August, it paid 1.5 million pounds (5.6 times pre-tax profits) to buy Eckerud, which has annual sales of 4.4 million pounds. On 31st August, it bought Printcenter, which has annual sales of 1 million pounds for 5 times profits, or 370,000 pounds. And on 16th October, it paid 1.18 million pounds (5 times profits) for SEG, which has annual sales of 3.5 million pounds. These three deals alone add 9 million pounds to annualised sales, before cross-selling.

Our assumption is that the group will achieve a pre-tax margin of c10% in 2007, but once the synergy between the acquired companies is realised the margin will increase to 12% by 2008. We also assume (in our 2008 numbers) that another 5 million pounds of sales will be generated via acquisition. However, there is scope for Delling to significantly exceed our forecasts in that respect. The tax charge will due to historic losses remain at 0% in 2006 and 2007 but, as those losses are exhausted, it should increase to 10% in 2008 and will remain at 20% thereafter.

We regard the risks to our forecasts as being on the upside since Delling has the appetite, balance sheet strength and opportunities to accelerate its acquisition programme. Our 12 month target prices would put the stock on a prospective price earnings ratio of 12, which for a company growing its earnings and sales at this rate is not demanding. At 10p we rate the shares as a buy with a one-year target of 35p.

goldfinger - 04 Nov 2006 23:46 - 37 of 86

Looking forward to another week of sound gains.

Remember 35p 12 month price target.

goldfinger - 05 Nov 2006 23:24 - 38 of 86

Lifted this from another board, Luke Heron of Watshot.com commentating on DLG late last week.

I do not own this stock, but it is most definetely on my list of temptations. I continue to be very impressed at the speed at which the company is moving its acquisition pipeline forward. In particular, I was very impressed with recent deal to acquire Scandinavian Exhibition Group, a privately owned and profitable exhibition company with offices and operations across Scandinavia. SEG has annual turnover of 3.5 million and enjoys a gross profit margin of 54%. The current share price does not reflect the significant progress made this year, especially over the summer - the low PE, strong growth, low price to sales ratio, which in turn is backed up by a very strong acquisition pipeline, certainly supports a case for strong share price growth.

goldfinger - 06 Nov 2006 08:25 - 39 of 86

Off to a bright start, a 10,000 buy already in the bag.

goldfinger - 10 Nov 2006 12:34 - 40 of 86

Moving in the right direction again towards 25p.
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