Stockdog,

What do you think of the latest results??

I thought they were ok. Quite positive outlook from the Company!!
The retail sector seems to be improving. Like-for-like sales figures still down from '04 but then again that was going to be very difficult as 2004 was an exceptional year!
One point is that as long as nothing nasty happens in the High street, the next set of results can only look positive compared with 2005...!

The Gross margin is improving which is important + store openings are going ahead as planned so maybe 2006 will be a great year for Topps Tiles!
.....and as was hinted in the press, Topps Tiles might well become a Takeover Target within 12 months.

If that's the case, what's a reasonable Takeout price in your opinion?? 3-3.50?

Thanks for replying.

Oddie

Although down 1.75p I believe TPT has gone ex div today so a reasonable day for them, so far. I have been increasing my holding over recent months at these depressed levels, at some stage retail will be back in vogue, but maybe not until 2009. I'm content to wait and look forward to the decent dividends until the sp appreciates.
2517

Well after a promising start due no doubt to a favourable comment in the FT over the weekend TPT ended in the red, my top-ups were @ around 30p above the current sp so looks to have been much too early. Right across the sector prices are as low as they have been for years, and with good reason, but at some stage retail will recover.
2517

May be this is the start of that recovery, in the main retail is stonger today.
2517

This is quite some rise, any ideas.
2517

Dropped back to 140 ish from recent spike up to 170p (no idea why it shot up, has anyone else) and seems to be on the move again, maybe somebody stake building perhaps?

I thought of going onto the 'Talk to yourself thread' but looking at the posts it seems I'm already there. Ha! Ha!
2517

2517GEORGE
You still on these starting to look cheap.

Hi driver------yes I am, in fact today I purchase more through my monthly sharebuilder account with halifax, this will be the 7th month running I have bought them @ prices from 195p down to whatever today (falling knives spring to mind), I prefer (pound cost average). Retail is dismal atm and will be for some time to come, but nothing lasts for ever and when it turns I hopefully will reap the benefits. They do look cheap and decent divi still, but other than slowly climbing back to 85p-90p I don't see much improvement.
2517

Several directors thought TPT were cheap, picking up around 5m shares between them @ 75p each.
2517

Directors havve "probably" done the right thing, although I expect sp to fall further... as Retail woes abound.
- I think averaging down is a bad policy - far better to hold and watch, pouncing at a Low! ( that's if you can't bear crystalising a Loss, better to Sell part-way down, say at 1 when the writing was on the wall)....by share-building as you reported, you are creating a large holding that's increasingly overpriced. It will be years before your (average sp) is covered, since any sales are treated as those last purchased (Tax Rules)....so you pay the greatest Capital Gain. ( keep below the allowance!).
The advantage of sharebuilding is illusion - it suits Halifax because they can lend out your stock for greater profit. ( but check this aspect)...also you are paying more commission, I'll bet.
Topps is a well-operated business IMHO and I used to be a holder at abt. 3 some years ago. There seems to be a branch in every major town. However, as credit crunch affects folk, new tiles are not top of their list. Better to buy children their toys, then tv, computers and family cars - after that it's Tiles and Holidays, I guess.

I think this has got another 15-20p to fall...

its always hard to know when to buy at very bottom on exact day......and that means sitting watching a screen every day

I agree hangon that tiles will not be at the top of people's buying lists. However, I think the house sales slowdown may actually work in their favour. If people cannot afford to move they will be more inclined to improve where they currently live which is where I think TPT will benefit.

hangon----Good comments, if I like a co I will average down and obviously I am sat on a large loss atm, if I new where the low was (going to be) of course I would use your 'pouncing at a low' strategy, unfortunately as scotinvestor points out that is not so easy to do. Last 9 months have been commission free, but charges return next month. I also have been in and out of TPT over several years so agree they are a good co.
queen1, there's some merit in what you say re 'inclined to improve'.
Good luck all.
2517

TPT's demise is self inflicted they withdrew capital from the company by borrowing what a huge mistake the FD must feel really good although shareholders did cash in at that time so shouldnt be too upset just now.

queen1 - in general you are right, but I would counter that by suggesting folk do volume tiling when adding extensions - and these were popular when folk could borrow against the home ( second Mortgages, used for holidays and extensions).
-if this is correct and represented the bulk of Tops sales, then the current situation is far different.....with second mortgages the stuff of dreams and so on.

Sadly I think folk won't be buying tiles in bulk, ( gloss-paint maybe), but tiles have an amazing life, being so hard-wearing. Perhaps Topps needs to diversify, offering a wider range of refurbishment products, albeit in a smaller depth. Difficult to do in hard times, but better than doing nowt.

Look at the growth of Screwfix, to see a winning formula!

Let's hope I'm wrong, eh?

hangon-------- re screwfix, KGF own them and whilst screwfix themselves may be doing well (I have no idea), they aren't helping the KGF sp much.
2517

Fair points hangon. I've been in TPT twice in the past, both forays having been very profitable, and am considering a third go. Just trying to judge the bottom!

Well no doubt I'll have judged it wrong but I'm back in TPT. Let's hope they'll be profitable for me a third time!

Currently c.40p so the Directors were wrong! 75p- Ouch!
But no doubt they get some Options, or maybe 1+1, so we should never feel too bad about it. Considering how shareholders have fayred, Dirs are still being over-paid....factor 2x, 3x maybe ( Pensioners receive 6k pa, for living, rent, food, fuel, and clothing -pathetic really).

"When is the Low" - I agreee it's difficult to find - since by the time you really feel "better", plenty of others have pushed-up the price.

But "now" is not the time - look at the Banks pathetic efforts to grab shareholders for another round of "prop-up" money, much of which will go to Directors for meeting Targets ( of raising money at any price!)...Oh dear.

( Wisper:- TPT "bottom" will be when it reaches 21p mid., )

Only IMHO - - me and my big mouth, sorry folks.