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Premier Oil - Can it go as far (or further) than Cairn ?? (PMO)     

pjstanton - 21 Jan 2004 13:43

What a chart, further to go, or not
Comments please

draw?epic=PMO

skinny - 20 Aug 2015 14:35 - 224 of 543

I took the plunge earlier!

Premier impresses in "miserable" market

skinny - 20 Aug 2015 14:47 - 225 of 543

In auction again +18.0%.

skinny - 20 Aug 2015 16:45 - 226 of 543

Excellent bullish engulfing candle on good volume.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=PMO&Si

skinny - 21 Aug 2015 08:55 - 227 of 543

Beaufort Securities Speculative Buy 106.65 - - Retains

Deutsche Bank Buy 106.65 215.00 215.00 Reiterates

Jefferies International Buy 106.65 185.00 180.00 Reiterates

mitzy - 24 Aug 2015 10:39 - 228 of 543

They could fall to 70p and still be overvalued by this market.

mentor - 08 Sep 2015 09:59 - 229 of 543

OUCH

a new low for PMO 87.60p
now below OPHR 88.50 not seeing for a long time

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=PMO&Size=Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=OPHR&Sizep.php?pid=legacydaily&epic=L^OPHR&type=1p.php?pid=legacydaily&epic=L^OPHR&type=1

mentor - 09 Sep 2015 17:08 - 230 of 543

Tumbling Chinese Oil Demand Provides More Fuel To Sell Premier Oil PLC, Vedanta Resources plc & Enquest Plc
By Motley Fool | Wed, 9th September 2015 - 13:46

Another day, another set of worrying data from commodities glutton China. The country -- which is the world's second largest oil consumer, of course -- has announced that crude import volumes tanked 13% in August from the previous month, to 26.59 million tons.

Although optimists will point out that total oil purchases during January-August are up 10% from the corresponding 2014 period, last month's 5.6% year-on-year gain adds support to the idea that the Chinese economy is rapidly running out of steam.

Monday's news has sent the Brent price further below $50 per barrel, and the benchmark was last camped out around the $49.30 level. This still provides a slight cushion from the six-year lows of $42.50 punched late last month, but I believe crude prices are in danger of plunging again as the steady stream of poor data from Beijing shows no sign of letting up.

Supply woes set to persist

It is generally acknowledged that oil demand continues to rise, and the International Energy Agency (IEA) noted last month that black gold consumption was rising at its quickest pace for five years.

The body now expects 2015 demand growth to clock in at 1.6 million barrels per day, and by 1.4 million barrels next year thanks to ultra-low prices. "Oil's plunge below $50 barrels a day from triple digits a year ago has seen demand react more swiftly than supply," the organisation noted.

However, the IEA commented that supply cutbacks remain slow and are therefore likely to keep prices corked for some time yet, commenting that "while a rebalancing has clearly begun, the process is likely to be prolonged as a supply overhang is expected to persist through 2016... suggesting global inventories will pile up further."

Indeed, the number of rigs operating in the US shale sector has begun to steadily creep higher again thanks to the stabilising crude price, offsetting the effect of rising consumption levels. When you throw into the equation OPEC's commitment to rebuilding its market share; output from the North Sea striking multi-decade highs; and Russian producers pumping like there's no tomorrow, any blip in the global economic recovery is likely to send oil prices tanking again.

Operators under massive pressure

Such developments make terrifying reading for the likes of Premier Oil (LSE:PMO), whose latest financial release last month showed the business swing to a $214.7m pre-tax loss during January-June. It had recorded a profit of $50.7m in the same period last year.


Metals and energy play Vedanta Resources (LSE:VED) -- which generates a fifth of total revenues from fossil fuels -- has also seen profits tumble thanks to the plummeting oil price. Consequently the firm has been forced to write down the value of its Cairn Energy oil division by a huge $3.1bn.

And over at Enquest (LSE:ENQ), the economic health of the business is coming under increased scrutiny as brokers take the hatchet to their crude price forecasts. The firm's colossal net debt pile is also stomping higher -- this registered at an eye-watering $1.28bn as of June -- while costs in the North Sea are also rising. I believe that Enquest, like the rest of the oil industry, remains at risk of prolonged profits pain as the oil market balance endures.

cp1 - 10 Sep 2015 09:17 - 231 of 543

These oilers are a short sellers dream.

Pretty clear many will either go under or need rescue funding hence the death spiral in the share price. It's what the share price will look like if any of them make it out through the other end and hefty dilution. Suppose punters are just in hoping for a takeover but I'm not sure what the attraction is in buying more of something that isn't making a profit.

Don't even start on the small caps. The UKOGs, ROSE and NTOGs and the rest of the rubbish that rely on never ending funding to keep the story going.

cynic - 10 Sep 2015 11:08 - 232 of 543

UKOG - hohoho! ...... i was taken severely to task either here or on advfn when i suggested it was just a load of over-hyped rubbish

cp1 - 10 Sep 2015 13:32 - 233 of 543

It's only beaten up punters 'averaging down' that is keeping much of the dross afloat.

A good clear out is required on AIM then new stuff can come along but that's years away.

skinny - 10 Sep 2015 13:37 - 234 of 543

hqdefault.jpg

Add the wording as appropriate!

cynic - 10 Sep 2015 13:43 - 235 of 543

"man with big chopper has cellar full of wood"

skinny - 10 Sep 2015 13:50 - 236 of 543

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcSos8Aj7kPkl3MVh1UvsOi

mitzy - 10 Sep 2015 22:11 - 237 of 543

That's a big chopper.

mitzy - 11 Sep 2015 20:10 - 238 of 543

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=PMO&Si

From a high of 520p to 82p today.

skinny - 21 Sep 2015 14:23 - 239 of 543

A new low @72.30p.

cp1 - 21 Sep 2015 14:31 - 240 of 543

It sure has the Lonmin feel/decline about it.

It's got the major debt problem to match as well. Value trap ahoy. It's all a bit of a lost cause this oil sector. Oil on the whole has bounced back over the last 10 odd years but now the odds seem stacked. The shalers may implode sub $50 in the next 12/18 months but then the distressed funds owning all the U.S shale cos' debt will start a Lehman type roll and then the world goes full tits recession... and then and then and then. It's all a bit crap. I don't hold either way but this looks doomed and ready to climb in the coffin of Afren.

Worth watching Australia LNGers... Now they are fuck.. The math won't work for them and they sure do love to carry the debt.

mitzy - 22 Sep 2015 16:43 - 241 of 543

Off 11% today.

Think it has further to fall.

skinny - 23 Sep 2015 08:53 - 242 of 543

Operational update

cynic - 23 Sep 2015 09:22 - 243 of 543

makes a change of late to see a positive rns from pmo
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