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BowLeven Undervalued on NAV basis? / Oversold ??? (BLVN)     

soul traders - 27 Mar 2006 18:07

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=BLVN&S



RNS today gives BowLeven's interim results and highlights the following:

RNS Number:2495ABowLeven Plc23 March 2006 BowLeven Plc23 March 2006

BowLeven Plc ('BowLeven' or 'the Company')
Interim results for the six months to 31 December 2005
Bow Leven, the Cameroon-focused oil & gas company listed on AIM, today announces its interim results for the six months ended 31 December 2005.

Highlights include:
* Cash of #62 million
* 3D seismic survey underway on blocks MLHP 5 and MLHP 6 of Etinde permit
* Reserves of 60.3 mmboe remain in place
* Four well drilling programme being prepared for early 2007
* Loss for the period #0.7 million
* Concentration on original strategic plan including implementation of Gas To Electricity ('GTE') Plant in Cameroon


At today's offer price of 195p, the company is valued at 57.7 million. However, they claim to have audited Resources consisting of 60.3 mmboe of Reserves and 58.2 mmboe of Contingent Resources. There is supposed to be a copy of the auditors' report on the website but I can't find it (UPDATE - have now requested this via e-mail) (NEW UPDATE - I never got a reply but the auditors' report can be found in the AIM admission document).

BLVN also has 60 million in cash, which ought to more than see it through its next lot of drilling.

This, however, is scheduled for 2007, which may be one reason why the SP is held back. But to me it still looks cheap. It is almost certainly oversold after the announcement of bad news in the latter half of last year.

Does anyone else have any thoughts on this?

cynic - 23 Jan 2013 16:18 - 230 of 403

in that case MJ, perhaps you'ld like to restrict your personal and offensive abuse to that thread instead of cluttering up threads about stocks and shares

by the way, you might like to consider taking a course in English and its grammar and spelling

magicjoe - 23 Jan 2013 16:37 - 231 of 403

Live is sweet when one see the share price is on my side 66.25p +1p

finishing as I said with a HAMMER Candlestick bullish as is the signal of retracement done.

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=BLVN&S         18FIG.gif

HAMMER

Definition:

The Bullish Hammer Pattern is a significant candlestick that occurs at the bottom of a trend or during a downtrend and it is called a hammer since it is hammering out a bottom.
The Bullish Hammer Pattern is a single candlestick pattern and it has a strong similarity to the Bullish Dragonfly Doji Pattern. The Bullish Hammer Pattern has a small real body at the upper end of the trading range.

Recognition Criteria:

1. The market is characterized by a prevailing downtrend.
2. Then we see a small real body at the upper end of the trading range. Color of this body is not important.
3. We would like to see the lower shadow at least twice as long as the real body.
4. There is no (or almost no) upper shadow.

cynic - 23 Jan 2013 16:48 - 232 of 403

can't say i care whether it's a hammer or a sickle or even a cycle, especially as i have no particular interest in these ...... however, you do not seem to be waxing quite so lyrical about either BAO or even LAM

chuckles - 23 Jan 2013 17:00 - 233 of 403

As a core holding I'd expected this to be £1+ before Xmas, especially on the back of the Petrofac alliance, but alas got to 90p and once again fell back quite heavily. Probably caused by the delay to the Etinde appraisal drill, which was supposed to be at TD before Xmas but still no further news. hopefully a successful drill will reinvigorate the SP. BLVN are a bit like AFR and XEL, potentially so under-valued at this low level. And I should say to the serial abuser that is magicpants, BLVN have a considerable quantity of black gold, unlike CHAR which last time I looked has none at all.

magicjoe - 23 Jan 2013 17:01 - 234 of 403

Just SHUT up LOSER, STOKER and calling youself LIAR

what are you doing here then...

spoiling sports as usual, wasting other posters reading.

get it - you can not say you sold at a large profit if earlier had plenty of post without saying you bought it. ( mainly saying you were negative at much lower prices )

magicjoe - 23 Jan 2013 17:07 - 235 of 403

chuckles

not everybody buys on the financial position of the company, but the ones with knowlegde buy on charting.

If BLVN get both like today then much better.

I can see you have as so many over here much to learn about shares movements, otherwise BLVN would be 150p on your accounts, but
for reasons plenty ( manupilating the order book, selling short, etc. specially if a bidder wants to buy stock on the cheap, as it seems had happen 2 weeks ago.

The clue is on the pudding and only me said the retracement was on today, whatever you want to say is - soar grapes for CHAR as above.

enough for today

cynic - 23 Jan 2013 17:20 - 236 of 403

oh dear oh dear oh dear ...... the pedagogue really has got himself in a right old tizzy ..... it really is very girlie and pathetic .... and of course taking up so much space on a stock thread when he should be confining his abuse elsewhere - as he was so keen to point out to BB

halifax - 30 Jan 2013 11:33 - 237 of 403

RNS good news?

HARRYCAT - 30 Jan 2013 11:47 - 238 of 403

StockMarketWire.com
Oil explorer Bowleven (LON:BLVN) has announced a potential discovery from its IM-5 well in Cameroon.

Based on logging while drilling (LWD), the well has intersected a gross reservoir interval of approximately 80 metres which corresponds to the seismic event identified pre-drill. A preliminary analysis of provisional net pay is estimated to be between 52 and 56 metres, indicating a net to gross of approximately 70%.

Based on preliminary analysis of this data, reservoir quality is believed to be good. Initial indications including data collected from the GC tracer suggests the presence of liquids rich hydrocarbons, although further evaluation is required. Further logging (including the acquisition of MDT data) and testing is required to confirm reservoir quality and hydrocarbon content and type.

The IM-5 appraisal/development well, located approximately one kilometre south of the IM-3 well location, has an estimated target depth of 3,475 metres and is drilling in water depths of around 56 metres. The primary objective of this well is to appraise the reservoir and fluid properties of the Middle Isongo sands. The secondary objective of the well is to investigate the additional potential of the Intra Isongo exploration prospect, a potentially extensive amplitude supported channel system potentially comprising both structural and stratigraphic trapping elements. The well was also designed to intersect the Upper Isongo sands and confirm that these are present at this location and water-bearing as prognosed. Following a variety of operational delays of a mechanical nature, the well has now reached a depth of 3,330 metres MD and is currently situated just beneath the top of the principal Middle Isongo target. The forward plan is to core the Middle Isongo reservoir then drill on to TD before carrying out further logging and flow testing as appropriate.

Kevin Hart, Chief Executive said: "We are highly encouraged with the results so far on the IM-5 well which to date has confirmed our pre-drill seismic interpretation. The potentially significant hydrocarbon discovery in the Intra Isongo demonstrates the substantial upside that we believe exists on Etinde. Bowleven is focused on delivering the key requirements that will enable the final investment decision for the Etinde development. Consequently IM-5 drilling operations will continue with the planned appraisal of the Middle Isongo interval and, subject to the results, the potential testing of both the Intra and Middle Isongo reservoir formations."

hlyeo98 - 30 Jan 2013 12:40 - 239 of 403

This is a very encouraging update... could be a real potential like what it did to Tullow.

menorca1 - 30 Jan 2013 12:41 - 240 of 403

Smell the coffee or is OIL

iturama - 31 Jan 2013 10:08 - 241 of 403

Looks very encouraging and hole is not completed yet.

HARRYCAT - 31 Jan 2013 10:10 - 242 of 403

StockMarketWire.com
Barclays Capital has renewed its positive "overweight" stance on Bowleven (LON:BLVN) following its recent drilling update from which the broker stated was "a positive step toward the monetisation of Bowleven's oil resources in Cameroon". Its target price of 225 pence per share was also reaffirmed in a note issued to clients today. Analyst Alessandro Pozzi went on to say: "To achieve this, the company needs at least 300Bcf of gas to feed a fertiliser plant that could process and dispose the gas associated with oil resources. Preliminary results from the IM-5 well indicate the presence of two hydrocarbon bearing formations, Middle and Intra Isongo, that could provide the required gas volumes."

iturama - 31 Jan 2013 12:34 - 243 of 403

Merrill Lynch 260p:

Long-anticipated IM-5 well worth the wait
Net pay in secondary target likely validates 52p of the NAV
We reiterate our Buy rating and PO/NAV of 260p, offering c.280% upside potential, post a positive update offshore Cameroon. The long-anticipated IM-5 well (Block 7) encountered 52-56m of likely net pay (gross interval of 80m; net to gross c.70%) in the shallower, secondary objective (Intra Isongo reservoir). In combination with the IM-3 well (Block 7), this likely validates at a minimum our valuation of the IM field at a risked 52p (unrisked 62p), based on BowLeven’s gas in place estimate of 466bcf (86mmboe) and recovery factor of c.70%. On going drilling of the primary target is a potential source of value confirmation and of material upside near-term.
Primary target successful previously & promising signs here.
The IM-3 well, drilled 1km away from IM-5, encountered 37m of net condensate pay in the primary target (Middle Isongo reservoir), while only 3m of net pay in the secondary target (Intra Isongo reservoir). Thus far, the IM-5 well has penetrated 5m of the primary target (Middle Isongo), which appears to be hydrocarbon bearing and will drill a further 145m to Target Depth (TD) at 3,475m. Further data will now be acquired over this final section with results in 2-3 weeks.
Coring, logging & drilling for 2-3 weeks & testing to follow
Coring of the primary target (Middle Isongo) is underway, with drilling to TD and completion of logging to follow on the primary and secondary targets. This should provide further information as to the nature of hydrocarbons encountered, i.e.liquid and gas content, within the targets and the associated value implications. Testing is likely to follow for a further 1-2 weeks in order to establish the flow rate potential of each section, potentially providing a further source of upside. A reserve audit on the IM field may also follow the drilling programme in 2Q/3Q13.
Further upcoming catalysts: FID & onshore farm-out
Submission of the Etinde Exploitation Authorisation Application (EEAA) took place in Nov-‘12 and the sales gas agreement is nearing finalisation. These are two key requirements ahead of Final Investment Decision (FID) approval, targeted for2H13. To remind, FID will see Petrofac provide up to US$500mn for the Stage I development, as well as up to US$60mn in back costs for the IM-5 well currently drilling. Furthermore, farm-out discussions on the Bomono onshore field remain at
an advanced stage and an announcement is still anticipated shortly. Terms are likely to include full carry on two exploration wells costing c.US$30mn in total, with the wells worth a risked 7.2p (unrisked 48p).

Balerboy - 31 Jan 2013 13:18 - 244 of 403

Those words. "likely to be" and "condensate" and "which appear to be" don't excite me or the sp.,.

iturama - 31 Jan 2013 15:57 - 245 of 403

I am in. Big. I don't see a lot of downside but good potential on the up.

Bow Leven: Bank of America increases target price from 216p to 360p keeping a buy recommendation.

chuckles - 31 Jan 2013 19:36 - 246 of 403

Once it flows and it will, the SP will reflect the appraisal, particularly the probable new discovery.

chuckles - 31 Jan 2013 21:41 - 247 of 403

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=BLVN&S

Just goes to show you can't always trust candles.

The bullish hammer on the 23rd (correctly identified by magicpants) could have given investors the impression that the SP was ready to reverse, but then was made invalid by further weakness for the next four days.

Ultimately he was sort of proven correct yesterday when BLVN released positive trading news. But for a scalping trader dealing in very small moves, the candles didn't work.

menorca1 - 31 Jan 2013 23:47 - 248 of 403

Money AM chart candles? do not trust any

anyway - magigjoe - said " 64p that was 61.8 fibonacci."
share price only went 63.50p as the low point, me thinks his point was valid OK

cynic - 01 Feb 2013 05:49 - 249 of 403

as i always said, his pix and comments were interesting even if you didn't want to follow, but his persistent stream of personal abuse was NOT

anyway, his funeral was afew days ago by the looks of it
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