Gold's chart breakout creates excitement - Alistair Strang | 30th August 2017 -
It's easy to forget about gold - we've two Golden Retrievers and neither ever bring any back! But the price of gold has recently started to exhibit signs of waking up with the result that short positions are liable to melt away. As the chart shows, the price has now bettered the downtrend since the highs of 2011 and, thus, some growth can be anticipated.
There's a little caveat, one liable to be important. The price of Brent crude also bettered a major downtrend and has since tended to flutter around rather than actually showing real growth.
As a result, we're a little nervous about the break upwards gold is showing and - similar to Brent and its trigger level around $56 - we'll not take gold too seriously unless the price actually betters $1,342 an ounce.
In such an event, our inclination shall be to cough politely and mention $1,384 as the next major point of interest, perhaps even $1,470 longer term.
Near-term, our outlook against gold suggests anything now above $1,327 should challenge an initial $1,336 with secondary, if bettered, at $1,342.
And only if $1,342 is bettered does the Big Picture suggest it has bottomed (for now) and future growth will make sense.
If trouble with the price of gold is planned, it requires to drop below 'blue' on the chart - currently $1,264. But, for now, we shall be watching for $1,342 making an appearance as, if this level is bettered, it will tend to indicate some happy daze ahead for gold miners.