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BowLeven Undervalued on NAV basis? / Oversold ??? (BLVN)     

soul traders - 27 Mar 2006 18:07

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=BLVN&S



RNS today gives BowLeven's interim results and highlights the following:

RNS Number:2495ABowLeven Plc23 March 2006 BowLeven Plc23 March 2006

BowLeven Plc ('BowLeven' or 'the Company')
Interim results for the six months to 31 December 2005
Bow Leven, the Cameroon-focused oil & gas company listed on AIM, today announces its interim results for the six months ended 31 December 2005.

Highlights include:
* Cash of #62 million
* 3D seismic survey underway on blocks MLHP 5 and MLHP 6 of Etinde permit
* Reserves of 60.3 mmboe remain in place
* Four well drilling programme being prepared for early 2007
* Loss for the period #0.7 million
* Concentration on original strategic plan including implementation of Gas To Electricity ('GTE') Plant in Cameroon


At today's offer price of 195p, the company is valued at 57.7 million. However, they claim to have audited Resources consisting of 60.3 mmboe of Reserves and 58.2 mmboe of Contingent Resources. There is supposed to be a copy of the auditors' report on the website but I can't find it (UPDATE - have now requested this via e-mail) (NEW UPDATE - I never got a reply but the auditors' report can be found in the AIM admission document).

BLVN also has 60 million in cash, which ought to more than see it through its next lot of drilling.

This, however, is scheduled for 2007, which may be one reason why the SP is held back. But to me it still looks cheap. It is almost certainly oversold after the announcement of bad news in the latter half of last year.

Does anyone else have any thoughts on this?

magicjoe - 23 Jan 2013 17:07 - 235 of 403

chuckles

not everybody buys on the financial position of the company, but the ones with knowlegde buy on charting.

If BLVN get both like today then much better.

I can see you have as so many over here much to learn about shares movements, otherwise BLVN would be 150p on your accounts, but
for reasons plenty ( manupilating the order book, selling short, etc. specially if a bidder wants to buy stock on the cheap, as it seems had happen 2 weeks ago.

The clue is on the pudding and only me said the retracement was on today, whatever you want to say is - soar grapes for CHAR as above.

enough for today

cynic - 23 Jan 2013 17:20 - 236 of 403

oh dear oh dear oh dear ...... the pedagogue really has got himself in a right old tizzy ..... it really is very girlie and pathetic .... and of course taking up so much space on a stock thread when he should be confining his abuse elsewhere - as he was so keen to point out to BB

halifax - 30 Jan 2013 11:33 - 237 of 403

RNS good news?

HARRYCAT - 30 Jan 2013 11:47 - 238 of 403

StockMarketWire.com
Oil explorer Bowleven (LON:BLVN) has announced a potential discovery from its IM-5 well in Cameroon.

Based on logging while drilling (LWD), the well has intersected a gross reservoir interval of approximately 80 metres which corresponds to the seismic event identified pre-drill. A preliminary analysis of provisional net pay is estimated to be between 52 and 56 metres, indicating a net to gross of approximately 70%.

Based on preliminary analysis of this data, reservoir quality is believed to be good. Initial indications including data collected from the GC tracer suggests the presence of liquids rich hydrocarbons, although further evaluation is required. Further logging (including the acquisition of MDT data) and testing is required to confirm reservoir quality and hydrocarbon content and type.

The IM-5 appraisal/development well, located approximately one kilometre south of the IM-3 well location, has an estimated target depth of 3,475 metres and is drilling in water depths of around 56 metres. The primary objective of this well is to appraise the reservoir and fluid properties of the Middle Isongo sands. The secondary objective of the well is to investigate the additional potential of the Intra Isongo exploration prospect, a potentially extensive amplitude supported channel system potentially comprising both structural and stratigraphic trapping elements. The well was also designed to intersect the Upper Isongo sands and confirm that these are present at this location and water-bearing as prognosed. Following a variety of operational delays of a mechanical nature, the well has now reached a depth of 3,330 metres MD and is currently situated just beneath the top of the principal Middle Isongo target. The forward plan is to core the Middle Isongo reservoir then drill on to TD before carrying out further logging and flow testing as appropriate.

Kevin Hart, Chief Executive said: "We are highly encouraged with the results so far on the IM-5 well which to date has confirmed our pre-drill seismic interpretation. The potentially significant hydrocarbon discovery in the Intra Isongo demonstrates the substantial upside that we believe exists on Etinde. Bowleven is focused on delivering the key requirements that will enable the final investment decision for the Etinde development. Consequently IM-5 drilling operations will continue with the planned appraisal of the Middle Isongo interval and, subject to the results, the potential testing of both the Intra and Middle Isongo reservoir formations."

hlyeo98 - 30 Jan 2013 12:40 - 239 of 403

This is a very encouraging update... could be a real potential like what it did to Tullow.

menorca1 - 30 Jan 2013 12:41 - 240 of 403

Smell the coffee or is OIL

iturama - 31 Jan 2013 10:08 - 241 of 403

Looks very encouraging and hole is not completed yet.

HARRYCAT - 31 Jan 2013 10:10 - 242 of 403

StockMarketWire.com
Barclays Capital has renewed its positive "overweight" stance on Bowleven (LON:BLVN) following its recent drilling update from which the broker stated was "a positive step toward the monetisation of Bowleven's oil resources in Cameroon". Its target price of 225 pence per share was also reaffirmed in a note issued to clients today. Analyst Alessandro Pozzi went on to say: "To achieve this, the company needs at least 300Bcf of gas to feed a fertiliser plant that could process and dispose the gas associated with oil resources. Preliminary results from the IM-5 well indicate the presence of two hydrocarbon bearing formations, Middle and Intra Isongo, that could provide the required gas volumes."

iturama - 31 Jan 2013 12:34 - 243 of 403

Merrill Lynch 260p:

Long-anticipated IM-5 well worth the wait
Net pay in secondary target likely validates 52p of the NAV
We reiterate our Buy rating and PO/NAV of 260p, offering c.280% upside potential, post a positive update offshore Cameroon. The long-anticipated IM-5 well (Block 7) encountered 52-56m of likely net pay (gross interval of 80m; net to gross c.70%) in the shallower, secondary objective (Intra Isongo reservoir). In combination with the IM-3 well (Block 7), this likely validates at a minimum our valuation of the IM field at a risked 52p (unrisked 62p), based on BowLeven’s gas in place estimate of 466bcf (86mmboe) and recovery factor of c.70%. On going drilling of the primary target is a potential source of value confirmation and of material upside near-term.
Primary target successful previously & promising signs here.
The IM-3 well, drilled 1km away from IM-5, encountered 37m of net condensate pay in the primary target (Middle Isongo reservoir), while only 3m of net pay in the secondary target (Intra Isongo reservoir). Thus far, the IM-5 well has penetrated 5m of the primary target (Middle Isongo), which appears to be hydrocarbon bearing and will drill a further 145m to Target Depth (TD) at 3,475m. Further data will now be acquired over this final section with results in 2-3 weeks.
Coring, logging & drilling for 2-3 weeks & testing to follow
Coring of the primary target (Middle Isongo) is underway, with drilling to TD and completion of logging to follow on the primary and secondary targets. This should provide further information as to the nature of hydrocarbons encountered, i.e.liquid and gas content, within the targets and the associated value implications. Testing is likely to follow for a further 1-2 weeks in order to establish the flow rate potential of each section, potentially providing a further source of upside. A reserve audit on the IM field may also follow the drilling programme in 2Q/3Q13.
Further upcoming catalysts: FID & onshore farm-out
Submission of the Etinde Exploitation Authorisation Application (EEAA) took place in Nov-‘12 and the sales gas agreement is nearing finalisation. These are two key requirements ahead of Final Investment Decision (FID) approval, targeted for2H13. To remind, FID will see Petrofac provide up to US$500mn for the Stage I development, as well as up to US$60mn in back costs for the IM-5 well currently drilling. Furthermore, farm-out discussions on the Bomono onshore field remain at
an advanced stage and an announcement is still anticipated shortly. Terms are likely to include full carry on two exploration wells costing c.US$30mn in total, with the wells worth a risked 7.2p (unrisked 48p).

Balerboy - 31 Jan 2013 13:18 - 244 of 403

Those words. "likely to be" and "condensate" and "which appear to be" don't excite me or the sp.,.

iturama - 31 Jan 2013 15:57 - 245 of 403

I am in. Big. I don't see a lot of downside but good potential on the up.

Bow Leven: Bank of America increases target price from 216p to 360p keeping a buy recommendation.

chuckles - 31 Jan 2013 19:36 - 246 of 403

Once it flows and it will, the SP will reflect the appraisal, particularly the probable new discovery.

chuckles - 31 Jan 2013 21:41 - 247 of 403

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=BLVN&S

Just goes to show you can't always trust candles.

The bullish hammer on the 23rd (correctly identified by magicpants) could have given investors the impression that the SP was ready to reverse, but then was made invalid by further weakness for the next four days.

Ultimately he was sort of proven correct yesterday when BLVN released positive trading news. But for a scalping trader dealing in very small moves, the candles didn't work.

menorca1 - 31 Jan 2013 23:47 - 248 of 403

Money AM chart candles? do not trust any

anyway - magigjoe - said " 64p that was 61.8 fibonacci."
share price only went 63.50p as the low point, me thinks his point was valid OK

cynic - 01 Feb 2013 05:49 - 249 of 403

as i always said, his pix and comments were interesting even if you didn't want to follow, but his persistent stream of personal abuse was NOT

anyway, his funeral was afew days ago by the looks of it

ahoj - 04 Feb 2013 09:26 - 250 of 403

A bit more buying can push it above its recent highs.
Does anyone know the level of short positions on this company?

menorca1 - 04 Feb 2013 09:51 - 251 of 403

Spread Magazine are bullish, mind you they have been adding recently, so take it with a pinch of salt
Bias? RAMP?


Posted on Monday, February 4, 2013 at 9:06AM
Bowleven ready to make an assault on 80p?

Below is an excerpt from our Zak Mir & SBM Q1 guide concerning Bowleven

“Technical overview - Shares of Bowleven have actually been in a mildly rising trend channel on the daily chart since June, with the floor of this channel running currently at 62p. The implication of this is that while there is no sustained price action back below the 59p August intraday low, the upside here should be back towards the post September resistance zone at 80p plus. In fact, the RSI looks to me as if it is just beginning to turn higher and so will provide the fuel to carry Bowleven back towards the top of its range during the 2nd half of 2012.”

Well, with the look of the price action over the last 10 days, aswell as the updated chart formation below, our confidence in this key constituent of our SBM Dream Oil Explorers portfolio is growing and it looks to us as if the 80p level will be breached in the short term. We have been adding in recent weeks.

Blvn.JPG?__SQUARESPACE_CACHEVERSION=1359 Bowleven ready to make an assault on 80p?

menorca1 - 11 Feb 2013 10:27 - 252 of 403

>>> 80p
Is on the way to 80p today , but before has to break intraday 74p

menorca1 - 11 Feb 2013 17:41 - 253 of 403

If it wants to break, volume was there today

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=uk%3ablvn&uf

menorca1 - 12 Feb 2013 15:24 - 254 of 403

the 74p broken then up she goes in a strait line

Chart.aspx?Provider=Intra&Code=BLVN&Size
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