cynic
- 16 Jan 2012 07:36
- 2487 of 5505
why on earth do so many of you waste time and emotion on other self-serving postings from other BBs? ...... why do you think they know anything more than you guys? ..... THEY DON'T!
niceonecyril
- 16 Jan 2012 07:48
- 2488 of 5505
Gulf Keystone sees up to $500 mln from oil stake
Mon Jan 16, 2012 7:19am GMT Print | Single Page
LONDON Jan 16 (Reuters) - UK-based oil explorer Gulf Keystone told a conference last week it expected to raise $350-$500 million from the sale of its stake in a Kurdish oil block, according to an analyst's note.
John Gerstenlauer, Chief Operating Officer told a Morgan Stanley investor conference that a data room on the Akri Bijeel block is to be opened next week, and that he expected 10-12 interested parties to participate.
"Gulf Keystone estimates a sale would be finalized by April, with its interest sold for $350-$500m," analysts at the investment bank said.
Gulf Keystone, which says it has found billions of barrels of oil at its Shaikan discovery, said in September it was seeking a buyer for its 20 percent interest in the Akri-Bijeel block to help finance development of other assets.
Hungary's MOL operates the Akri Bijeel block.
http://af.reuters.com/article/energyOilNews/idAFL6E8CG0BZ20120116
niceonecyril
- 16 Jan 2012 07:56
- 2489 of 5505
cynic i find your post self defeating,you are passing on own views,the very purpose of BBs.Thier are many who have worked in the industry or other areas which can throw some light on the issues/subjects,so i most certainly disagree with you on this.One doesn't have to read them,i certainly don't,try to follow trust and knowledgable posters.
cynic
- 16 Jan 2012 08:00
- 2490 of 5505
nor i, but by golly they don't half take up a lot of space ..... btw, my view on gkp is and always has been wait and see on this t/o possibility
meanwhile
at least the day traders are having a ball, and yet again i note that the order book is heftily 4:1 bid/offer
niceonecyril
- 16 Jan 2012 08:09
- 2491 of 5505
Here's Zengas's views on the the JPM post,he's probably one most respected analyist around.
ell, well, well
16th January 2012 Reuters
John Gerstenlauer, Chief Operating Officer told a Morgan Stanley investor conference that a data room on the Akri Bijeel block is to be opened next week, and that he expected 10-12 interested parties to participate.
"Gulf Keystone estimates a sale would be finalized by April, with its interest sold for $350-$500m," analysts at the investment bank said.
Extremely interesting comment by JG
12.8% net of 2.4 billion bls mean OIP not appraised at Akri-Bijeel.
The Bechme well didn't turn up any commercial hydrocarbons.
Using 33% RF = 100 mmbo reserve potential (unappraised)
$350m - $500m expected from 10-12 interested parties.
25p - 36p per share.
The above is what JG expects !
-----------------------------------------------------
Compare that to 51.4% net of 10.5 billion bls OIP at Shaikan.
Substantially appraised and producing.
Using 33% RF = 1781 mmbo reserves (substantially appraised).
445p - 641p share.
Combination of Shaikan and Akri-Bijeel = 470p - 677p.
Above is extremely simplistic as Shaikan is much, much more advanced through appraisal and should indeed be worth a lot more.
There's also the likelihood of 2, or possibly 3 OIP upgrades yet to come from Shaikan.
Nothing allowed for the Sheik-Adi field to be fracced (40%).
Nothing allowed for BerBahr (40%).
Eitther way imo, it's shows how extremely undervalued GKP is at 285p.
PS. the earlier post was long winded, to say the least.
hlyeo98
- 16 Jan 2012 11:00
- 2492 of 5505
It's on the way down again.
cynic
- 16 Jan 2012 11:37
- 2493 of 5505
no shit sherlock!
niceonecyril
- 16 Jan 2012 12:10
- 2494 of 5505
Now Watson behave,back from dog duties.The dip of no great surprise,a chance to
buy un a little cheaper.Tossing over the latest news on AB it's worth looking at the finances,we know they have a large cash reserve,which is increasing with revenue from the 4000bbopd, add up to $500k and $40 for the BIR claw back,makes dor a very healthy picture.
So in a good position if and when bids for SH or the company come in,one other point which came to mind is,that it's unlikely their will be an offer until AB is sorted or at least near conclusion. Plenty of time to complete BB and reserves from S4,with news of S6? thrown in? aimho
HARRYCAT
- 16 Jan 2012 12:32
- 2495 of 5505
Peel Hunt note:
"Since initiating coverage in November 2011, driven by a buoyant market and persistent bid speculation, Gulf Keystone has generated capital growth of 70%, exceeding our RENAV-based target price of 247p/share. Our valuation assumes a net risked recoverable resource of 3,042MMbbls (from Shaikan, Akri-Bijeel, Sheikh Adi and Ber Bahr). In the absence of any new material resource upgrades, confirmation of the much-speculated bid approach or further project de-risking beyond what we had previously assumed, we feel our RENAV still represents fair value. As a result we are changing our recommendation from Buy to Hold."
niceonecyril
- 16 Jan 2012 15:46
- 2496 of 5505
Yes hold,probably run out of steam for the time being?
Harry jlp is looking tasty?
HARRYCAT
- 16 Jan 2012 16:10
- 2497 of 5505
[So I see,cyril. About time.]
gibby
- 16 Jan 2012 21:49
- 2498 of 5505
more of this dont help gkp cause imo..... http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-16574126
niceonecyril
- 16 Jan 2012 23:33
- 2499 of 5505
hlyeo98
- 17 Jan 2012 09:17
- 2500 of 5505
Take profit before the West open fire on Iranian soil.
niceonecyril
- 17 Jan 2012 09:56
- 2501 of 5505
niceonecyril
- 17 Jan 2012 10:29
- 2502 of 5505
I've got a RUMOUR?
O&G Law passed,with announcement tomorrow??
gibby
- 17 Jan 2012 13:46
- 2503 of 5505
lol that would be good - spread it around :-))))
gibby
- 17 Jan 2012 13:51
- 2504 of 5505
just got me some more gkp - be rude not too!
gibby
- 17 Jan 2012 14:01
- 2505 of 5505
lol lol if i waited a bit longer could of got 'em for a couple of pence cheaper!!!
i would not want to be out of gkp tonight!
required field
- 17 Jan 2012 14:31
- 2506 of 5505
Is that what you said to your last girlfriend ?.