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Europa Oil & Gas (EOG)     

Andy - 11 Aug 2005 00:17

I noticed EOG in Shares Magazine last week, and having done some research, think they may be a decent producer / exploration play.



Europa Oil & Gas (Holdings) plc, is involved in the exploration and production of hydrocarbons in Europe. The Company has a balanced portfolio of 12 European oil and gas exploration and production assets in the UK, Ukraine, Romania and Poland. The portfolio contains proven plus probable and development reserves of 7 million barrels oil equivalent (mmboe) net to Europa and exploration potential of a further 28 mmboe. Wellhead revenues are currently in excess of 200,000 per month from a volume of 340 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd). These figures are set to rise substantially by the year 2007 when projected production will be above 7000 boepd.


The Company has an active near term drilling programme with three wells scheduled to spud in the first quarter 2005. The drilling programme mimics the balanced portfolio with one appraisal well on the recent Bilca Gas discovery in Romania, one development well on the West Firsby Oilfield in the UK and one exploration well in Romania.



Europa is set to become a significant producer of hydrocarbons in the near future and intends to develop a substantial independent upstream oil & gas business. The management has a strong mainstream oil and gas background, which enables Europa to continue to identify, acquire and develop profit-making oil and gas assets.



Europa Oil & Gas (Holdings) plc was admitted to the London Stock Exchanges Alternative Investment Market on November 11, 2004 and trades under the symbol EOG.





Corporate website : Click HERE

soul traders - 03 May 2006 11:44 - 25 of 113

Good to know, thanks!

soul traders - 03 May 2006 11:47 - 26 of 113

PS if you'd still like to know more about warrants, then looking up "warrants" on this BB's search function turns up some interesting info on some older threads. Some of it relates to covered warrants, which are not quite the same as those issued by a company (e.g. the EOG warrants), but a lot of the theory applies to both.

soul traders - 03 May 2006 11:58 - 27 of 113

PPS am getting an itchy trigger finger when it comes to buying those warrants, but at present I have to wait for my account to be enabled (some brokers make you fill in a little questionnaire before they enable your account for warrant trading, in order to protect the unwary).

If this one does what I think it will then I will personally hand-deliver a bottle of something delicious to Andy the next time we're both in Bournemouth.

barclay - 03 May 2006 18:39 - 28 of 113

Mediterranean Oil + Gas directors have just exercised their warrants.
London Stock Exchange RNS.

Looks like they made a tidy sum!



barclay

ellio - 04 May 2006 09:23 - 29 of 113

ST, think 1 or 2k, maybe 1k initially, then if they move to 20p another 1k maybe an astute trickle or funds into these, I'm going to track, if I get chance I'll do it tomorrow, otherwise it'll be Monday, plenty of time imo to move on these, but they do look tasty, given eog's prospects.

soul traders - 04 May 2006 10:02 - 30 of 113

Agreed, the prospects are good, although I might risk a bit more earlier on, on the basis that the safe money will be invested earlier (i.e. while the underlying SP is still low). As soon as my account is enabled, I hope to be on board. Thanks for the feedback too.

soul traders - 04 May 2006 14:12 - 31 of 113

Good news (from my point of view anyway) - the warrant price has just come down 1p, following the fall in the share price.

EDIT: I'm seeing this on my online broker's reflection of the market maker's price, in case anyone is looking at the market and seeing something different. E.g. FT.com records no trades today and hence doesn't record the price change.

Currently we have EOGW Bid: 7p Offer: 8p Change: -1

Due for another drop in the next few days??

barclay - 04 May 2006 17:10 - 32 of 113

ST, even if the warrant doesn't reach the 30p exercise price and only reaches
50% of that at 15p you will still make some money 15p-8.5p = 6.5p per warrant held to sell at bid in the market(worse case scenario).

My broker says that company warrants are less risky than covered warrants because of less volatility and are quite liquid, and traded daily.

The same risk can be had from holding the shares which will cost more therefore even though you may not lose all your money because your outlay was more a 25% decline in the sp could equate to a bigger loss than you would suffer from the market rendering your warrant worthless.

EOG warrants never came to my attention until i saw your thread.
Thanks! I will put a small amount of money in them for the leverage.

Production is bound to increase between now and Nov 2007,it may not reach it's targets but it will make the shares rise along with the warrant.

You could always take profits by selling some of your warrants and leaving some
in to reach the exercise price.

barclay

soul traders - 04 May 2006 17:25 - 33 of 113

Barclay, it is the underlying share which has to reach exercise price of 30p, i.e. the warrant allows you to buy the share, at any time, for 30p. The warrants are therefore exercisable now (just!).

This is one reason why the warrants look attractive, because they are "in the money" - i.e. exerciseable - but still cheap, with plenty of time left on them and with the company prospects looking good for a rise in the share price.

You may also want to check with your broker/accountant about the tax position, because I have a feeling that if you exercise the warrants and then sell the shares, you'll be able to offset the total purchase amount (i.e. the cost of the warrants plus 30p per subscribed share) against your profits for capital gains tax purposes. At some point this may be more beneficial than just selling the warrants, e.g. if the Final Exercise Date is near at hand and the "time value" of the warrants has reduced. Don't ask me about taper relief and please don't take what I've said as gospel but rather check it out for yourself - I am trying to get these questions cleared up with the Inland Revenue but am currently waiting for them to return my call. I will post any info I do get.

(I should add that in the final analysis I am much more clued up about German taxation having lived here for five years, but am reviewing the position with the UK tax authorities as I may be moving back to the UK shortly).

Trust this helps.
ST.

barclay - 04 May 2006 17:56 - 34 of 113


Thanks for the info, i am new to warrants i did my own research.
Are you saying that because the warrants are exercisable now it would be like
the same as buying the shares, but if the shares rise 5p to 35p i can exercise my warrants and i have made 5p per share profit per warrant held?

How do i excercise the warrant as opposed to selling them in the market?
I deal online with squaregain.

There is no stamp duty on warrants, but they are subject to capital gains tax at 20% uk.

I do not know how to offset it though but what your saying does make sense.

soul traders - 04 May 2006 18:05 - 35 of 113

"Are you saying that because the warrants are exercisable now it would be like
the same as buying the shares, but if the shares rise 5p to 35p i can exercise my warrants and i have made 5p per share profit per warrant held?"

Yes - although the warrant price may move differently due to other factors (e.g. if the SP is perceived as being likely to advance very quickly, then that would push the warrant price up by a greater factor due to the "time value". Obviously if everyone starts wanting to buy the warrants then the warrant price will rise independently of the share price. This is basically what happened in April when EOG's SP went up about 50% and the warrant price tripled. Because of a variety of factors, though, you may not always see a penny-for-penny rise in the warrant price.

If things are moving more slowly, the "time value" of the warrant will show a decline and this will reduce the value of the warrant.

Also 1,000 invested in warrants will get you a lot more warrants than if you just bought 1,000 worth of shares - so for your 5p rise you get a lot more profit!


"How do i excercise the warrant as opposed to selling them in the market?"

Your broker will have the facilities for this. IMPORTANT: you may need to have your account set up to trade warrants before you can buy. Please check with your broker.

Offsetting is purely the maths of deducting purchase costs from proceeds of sales to arrive at taxable profits.

soul traders - 04 May 2006 18:08 - 36 of 113


EDIT: see also my post #41. stamp duty is payable on traditional company warrants but not on covered warrants. The EOG warrants will therefore be subject to stamp duty.

soul traders - 04 May 2006 18:17 - 37 of 113

PPS I would add once again that I am new to warrant trading as well, so please DYOR, etc!! Thanks.

ellio - 04 May 2006 20:18 - 38 of 113

Looking very cheap after today, may go for it tomorrow!

soul traders - 05 May 2006 09:24 - 39 of 113

A correction to my post #31: 8,000 warrants were apparently bought yesterday, at a lower price than my online broker was posting. FT.com apparently only records these trades at the end of the day. Here's MoneyAM's breakdown:

Time Price Quantity Type Bid Offer Buy/Sell Total Buy Total Sell Total Unknown
04/05/06 16:32 8.0 3,000 T 7.0 8.0 Buy 8,003 0 0
04/05/06 14:01 8.5 5,003 O 7.0 8.0 Buy 5,003 0 0




barclay - 05 May 2006 12:07 - 40 of 113

ST, i have done a bit more research and found out that most warrants are never exercised, but traded instead. This warrant has 400% gearing. All being equal every 10% rise in the shares should make the warrant go up 40%.

This gearing in theory should converge to 1 as the sp goes higher.

When warrants are exercised, the company shares are diluted (although this will already be factored in prior by the market) but also funds are raised from the exchange of your warrants for shares. This raises money for the company.
You have to make sure if you are going to exercise them you have the money in your account available to purchase the shares along with handing in your warrant.

What is the benefit of exercising them rather than trading them?

Barclay

soul traders - 05 May 2006 13:39 - 41 of 113

Barclay,

Many thanks for another interesting post.

I have had a quick dig myself and found the following free online course in warrants. EDIT: I have now skim-read the whole course (didn't take long) and found it very useful.

Free Online Warrants Course

There is also a course in covered warrants:

Online Covered Warrants Course

You should be aware that these products are different and indeed the Covered Warrants course draws attention to the fact that stamp duty is payable on traditional company warrants but not on covered warrants.

You may wish to ensure that the rest of the info you posted/learned pertains to company warrants and not covered warrants.

I would recommend anybody else having questions to take a look at these courses as they are very comprehensive and well thought-out.

pd1000 - 08 May 2006 22:28 - 42 of 113

Anyone with any thoughts about EOG/W?

barclay - 09 May 2006 03:02 - 43 of 113

Just that the EOAG share price only needs to rise by 50% and the warrant should rise 150%
in price. example: share price 50% of 32p = 48p - exercise price 30p = 18p intrinsic value, warrant price=7p + 30p exercise=37p. If the warrant doesnt increase to at least 17p a 10p increase, people buying the shares will buy the warrants instead and exercise them at 37p to buy 48p shares.

It is also likely there will be a premium on the warrant with so much time value left
raising the 150% gain to maybe 200% or more which is round about what the gearing on the warrant is at the moment.


There are two shares which I class as rare gems

Europa Oil and Gas/warrants and Mediterranean oil and gas
Both are producing oil and gas which puts a floor on the share price.
Both are increasing output, in eoags case a few thousand fold.

the last company i saw with similar attributes was dana petroleum
It was priced at ten pence with oil production and exploration upside.
I didnt act and get in, even though i knew it was going to be big, with hardly any risk due to its production. That was 3 years ago, the shares now trade at 1104.00p(yes i cant forgive myself!).

Med oil can be as big, but eoag is better played on the warrants for the massive gearing.

Northern petroleum is also good but it needs to start production to enjoy gem status. The reason being oil and gas in the ground are valued at absurd prices
But they can't do this to assets in production and making lots of cash, which are valued at spot prices at least for the year to estimate its eps.


soul traders - 09 May 2006 11:46 - 44 of 113

pd1000, please read previous posts - this BB has been alight for a week or more with talking about the warrants (most of it posted by me, as it happens, but PDYOR, etc).
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