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Xcite Energy - North Sea Heavy Oil (XEL)     

Proselenes - 22 Oct 2009 11:14

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grevis2 - 20 Feb 2012 19:41 - 2531 of 3002

Xcite Energy (LON:XEL) jumped to a high of 205p during early trading, after the company said that the results of the independent reserves and resources audit of the Company Assets, effective 31 December 2011, as audited by TRACS International Consultancy Ltd showed Oil reserves of the type 1P, 2P and 3P for the Core Area of approximately 96 MMstb, 116 MMstb and 140 MMstb, respectively, NPV10 (after tax) for the Core Area of $1.076 billion, $1.464 billion and $1.921 billion on a 1P, 2P and 3P basis, respectively (see "Cautionary Language" below for a general explanation of the method and assumptions used in these calculations), Prospective resources for seven (7) prospects on the Company Assets remain unchanged and those assigned were, in the aggregate, approximately 18 MMboe on a risked "best estimate" basis. The market is now waiting on an update regarding the rig, that could be a catalyst to see a retest of the stubborn 200p resistance level once again.

Read more: http://www.oilvoice.com/n/FoxDavies_views_from_the_trading_floor_Bowleven_Ascent_Resources_and_Gulf_Keystone/efffe426396f.aspx#ixzz1mwKwcXVH

Balerboy - 20 Feb 2012 20:26 - 2532 of 3002

Rowan Norway must be still in Dundee as tugs have not left yet follow on
http://www.marinetraffic.com/
Tugs are AHT Pegasus and BBworker.,.

Balerboy - 20 Feb 2012 20:32 - 2533 of 3002

Courtisy of Contrarian:

After a very strong opening on the reserves upgrade news from 28 to 116 mm barrels by TRACS (180-200p), profit taking has kicked in. After banking a few on the spike, I'm buying back 155-165p.

Why?

1.Core area has a value of around £1 billion, three times market cap, this is without enhanced oil recovery techniques
2. Additional reserves likely to booked outside core area
3. Lots of newsflow to come e.g. WONS well approval, departure of Rowan Norway, well test etc.

Use the dip to your advantage! Ultimately there will be a transfer of wealth from impatient private investors moving money to other hot AIM stocks to institututional investors. At the current market cap of £350 million or so, each of the barrels is valued at £3 ($4.7) compared with Brent Crude at $121. So even with field development and funding risks, Xcite is not overvalued with 116 million in proven audited reserves

Update on Monday, February 20, 2012 at 12:10PM by Contrarian Investor UK
Price fallen to 158p on profit taking and Numis note, reduce from hold, target price 135p (would be interested to read the note given its so out of kilter with the other Brokers)

Update on Monday, February 20, 2012 at 1:30PM by Contrarian Investor UK
Numis note assumed 116 mm barrels would come after extended well test. Also with no 116 mm barrels, funding would be a problem. Richard Smith has strongly implied in the press last week that debt funding was not far away for phase 1b.

Not little sell off just like Friday lunctime to 145p to catch the stop losses and panic small investors. Don't let the institutions take these off you too cheaply!

Balerboy - 21 Feb 2012 16:42 - 2534 of 3002

Back in at 138p kept profit and more shares......lovely.,.

markymar - 22 Feb 2012 16:10 - 2535 of 3002

Looks like the rig departs on Saturday if weather holds.

grevis2 - 22 Feb 2012 16:59 - 2536 of 3002

Are they adding a crew?

markymar - 23 Feb 2012 08:55 - 2537 of 3002

grevis2,there will be crew but not full crew.

Looks like a little life is the SP today,if it departs on Saturday we should see a steady rise.

grevis2 - 23 Feb 2012 09:05 - 2538 of 3002

Markymar: The hot money seems to be moving in here this morning.

markymar - 23 Feb 2012 09:05 - 2539 of 3002

Its moving quick if your going to have a bite.

grevis2 - 23 Feb 2012 09:18 - 2540 of 3002

Thanks! Have topped up ths morning.

cynic - 23 Feb 2012 09:37 - 2541 of 3002

why the excitement?

markymar - 23 Feb 2012 17:19 - 2542 of 3002

Does not take much at my age cynic even less for RF, he is in and out the hole time.Bought a few this morning will carry on holding them as we may get news on monday of rig on the move.

FOX Daviews Views from the Trading Floor - 23rd February 2012

Against the backdrop of a shaky market, Xcite Energy (LON:XEL) were in fine form once again, pushing another 7% higher to 141p. Holders here are waiting for an update regarding the rig, and they seem to be happy to back the story down at these levels. The 120p to 140p levels have proven to be decent lines of support over the last year or so, and the 200p level has been a stubborn resistance to break recently.

Sequestor - 23 Feb 2012 18:01 - 2543 of 3002

Not a word about the continued ( and possibly continuing) overhang from the fund raising?

cynic - 23 Feb 2012 20:04 - 2544 of 3002

sincerely hope you are therefore short of these

markymar - 24 Feb 2012 08:13 - 2545 of 3002

Steady buying this morning,ticking up.....on the move

grevis2 - 25 Feb 2012 12:44 - 2546 of 3002

Comment from IC:
----------------------------
COMPANIES TO WATCH
The benefits of EOR and CCS are likely to take many years to realise, but some North Sea operators are looking for much faster returns:

Xcite Energy (XEL)

Xcite is appraising and developing the 100 per cent-owned Bentley heavy oil field, one of the largest undeveloped heavy oil fields in the UK. The proven and probable (2P) reserves in the core area of the field have been independently upgraded to a substantial 116m barrels, with a post-tax net present value of $1.464bn (£0.9bn). Applying the latest horizontal drilling technology allowed Xcite to achieve a stabilised flow rate of 2,900 barrels per day, well above the threshold needed for commerciality. The next phase of drilling is starting soon and will test the extent to which water can maintain reservoir pressure, and therefore how much oil can be produced from the field. Significantly, production from this 'extended well test' will also provide Xcite's first production, which the company will use to secure finance and governmental approval for the second phase of development. Xcite is also evaluating the potential to use enhanced oil recovery techniques on the Bentley field.

grevis2 - 25 Feb 2012 12:45 - 2547 of 3002

Rig move Sunday confirmed

Subject: Planned Large Vessel Movement Sunday 26th February 2012
Please be advised that the River Tay Navigation Channels will be closed [outwith planned movements] to allow safe navigation of a Large Vessel Movement of the departing Jack-up Rig ROWAN NORWAY on SUNDAY 26th FEBRUARY 2012 from 11:30 hrs until 19:30hrs from the PRINCE CHARLES WHARF to the Fairway Buoy with 5 tugs.
All vessels are requested and required to keep well clear (minimum 200 metres) and must not impede or endanger the planned passage.
Note - this operation will be subject to the prevailing weather conditions

Balerboy - 25 Feb 2012 22:41 - 2548 of 3002

nice one grevis...:))

Balerboy - 26 Feb 2012 17:07 - 2549 of 3002

Well the tugs haven't gone out on the morning tide and high tide pm is 17:24 and they're still in harbour.,.

dreamcatcher - 26 Feb 2012 17:16 - 2550 of 3002

no go today now. I bet they will not risk moving a thing that size in the dark.
Someone said they will have to see 2 nautical miles, would not think so in the dark.
Better not hit the sp. :-))
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