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Taylor Wimpey Fundamentals (TW.)

The rot has not even set in yet on Construction sector. Property prices are totally out of kilter with economic reality. Margins will be squeezed.

Your right there Claret ,,
(Property prices are totally out of kilter with economic reality),

however we are short of housing , the problem could be that it's becoming too expensive and at some point sales will slow.

despite your gloom, residential interest has perked up noticeably within the last month or so
my contacts in kent tell me houses at the lower end - ie say £230/250k - are being snapped up and elsewhere, properties at £1m+ are also getting interest

obviously location is everything (a true truism!) but a weak £ will also excite overseas investors

I have nowt against any of House builders per se. They have had decent hand thrown their way with open borders. IR screwed to the floor. Plus Govt help to buy. Knowing when to take profits is always the difficult one. We all know that who take aim on this site.

i have no trading positions in this sector, and long(er) term criteria are very different

Been a great trading stock over the last month or so.....

true jimmy...all that is to be done is buy on the dips and sell on the highs :-/

That's what i have been doing optomistic , just have not been greedy .

Taylor Wimpey, up 2.6%, Barratt Developments, up 2.6%, Persimmon, up 2.1%. Housebuilders were higher as the UK Department for Communities & Local Government said councils in England will be offered up to GBP18.0 million in new funding to speed up the construction of up to 8,000 homes on large developments.

The 'capacity fund' is designed to tackle planning issues that can hold up projects. "We want to turbo-charge house building on large sites to get the homes built in the places people want to live, so that this country works for everyone, not just the privileged few," Housing Minister Gavin Barwell said.

Good of the housing minister to make such a statement, perhaps he ought to have added...if it is within their means.

Taylor Wimpey confirms strong H2 trading

StockMarketWire.com

Taylor Wimpey said H2 trading into the autumn selling season has been strong, with good levels of customer confidence and demand underpinned by a wide range of mortgage products.

"While there remains some uncertainty following the UK's vote to leave the European Union, we are encouraged to see that the housing market has remained robust and trading has remained resilient," said CEO Pete Redfern.

"We have a strong order book position for 2016 and going into 2017, and we will maintain our focus on delivering our medium term targets.

"Looking ahead, we continue to implement our disciplined strategy which ensures that we are well placed to perform well through all market conditions and deliver enhanced value through the cycle."

OUTLOOK

Whilst the implications following the EU Referendum are still unclear, the UK housing market has remained resilient, with long term fundamentals underpinned by strong demand, the company said.

"Looking ahead, we remain confident that our business model and strategy focused on managing the business through the cycle positions us to perform well through all market conditions.

"We continue to focus on delivering our enhanced medium term financial and quality objectives, embedding our customer service processes and driving improvement in operational discipline.

"We expect to deliver an improvement in operating profit margin in 2016 (FY 2015: 20.3%), as previously guided, and a return on net operating assets** of around 30%. We remain committed to the announced £450 million total dividend payment to shareholders in 2017."

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Hopefully broken that downtrend

14 Nov Peel Hunt Hold 151.60 215.00 215.00 Reiterates

UK housebuilders find lenders more cautious after Brexit vote - survey - By Esha Vaish

Nov 18 (Reuters) - UK housebuilders, particularly those operating in central London, are finding lenders are giving out less finance for new projects since Britain's vote to leave the European Union, according to a report by property consultant Knight Frank.

Heightened caution among lenders is causing many to scrutinise deals for longer and reduce the amount of their lending by 5-10 percent of the project cost, Peter Macallan, head of structured development finance at property consultant Knight Frank told Reuters.

"So what that means is that effectively developers are having to put more cash equity into the deals upfront, giving lenders a bit more comfort in an uncertain market with Brexit, the U.S. election and what demand for UK housing stock is going to look like in 3-5 years," Macallan said.

The Residential Development Finance Report 2016/17 by Knight Frank, which surveyed the industry's 50 major operators, said over a quarter of respondents expected the loan-to-value on development projects to fall.

The result could be that builders offer bigger discounts to cash buyers to lure landlords and overseas buyers that might have limited purchases due to Brexit uncertainty and an increase in tax on buy-to-let and second homes.

UK property was the hardest hit sector immediately after the Brexit vote, but new homes demand in most of Britain, including outer London, has returned after an initial dip, according to builders and surveys.

Central London though remains a weak spot, with property prices forecast to fall and housebuilder Barratt having cut prices of some of its expensive homes. The pace of building in this region has already slowed.

"There are a number of developers that have recognised the (change in sentiment) and are accepting a fairly large discount to the original asking prices now," said Sebastian Wallis, Knight Frank's head of residential development valuations.

The report said big names were especially shying away from central London developments, with about 60 percent of lenders now operating in the area, down from 78 percent reported in its 2015 survey.

Lenders were most keen on projects valued at 600-750 pounds per square foot, whereas demand for projects over 1,000 pounds per square foot had reduced, Wallis said.

Macallan said lenders were more interested in outer London boroughs where demand from first-time buyers remained strong.

somewhat dependent on what the autumn statement comes up with, TW. could be serious beneficiary

i also like TEF and BVS ..... and definitely RMV should not be forgotten

Question ?
What would be the effect of interest rate rises on the s p of house builders. I guess that house prices would fall, but become more affordable to others.

but what chance of a rise in interest rates even within next 12 months?

An article in the Telegraph a day or two back suggested that a rise in rates in the U. S. is on the cards could start the ball rolling over here.

personally, i don't think the one has anything to do with the other, though i agree that in normal circumstances it would