Dragon Oil plcs principal production and exploration interests are located in the Cheleken Contract Area in the Caspian Sea, offshore Turkmenistan. The Cheleken Contract Area covers approximately 950 sq.kms and comprises two offshore oil and gas fields, Dzheitun (LAM) & Dzhygalybeg (Zhdanov), in water depths of 10 to 37 metres.

            Red = 25 day moving average.           Green = 200 day moving average.

I'm stuck in this...can't get over the drop....did not expect such a pullback...no debt and producing somewhere between 40000 to 50000 barrels per day....only worry is with oil being routed through Iran; perhaps investors are worried that Iran will cut off the pipeline of deliveries in the case of worsening relations with the West, very unlikely at the moment or one of the producing wells has been shut down (no mention from the company as yet)....so the severe drop is a mystery to me...well overdone!.

rf
im sorry you feel stuck in this.ive been there and it is not nice.
please re read your posts 101 and 103 page 6.
maybe today is a timely reminder.
i do sincerely hope you come out safely and soundly.
best regards to you
jkd

Thanks jkd, but it's not as bad as it sounds....I can just click the sell button at any time and make a large profit, but not as big as if I had sold at the top....(difficult to call), I've made quite a bit of money on oil stocks....the mistake I make is to reinvest the proceeds far too quickly....I still think this drop in DGO is overdone...., there could be a rebound for a lot of these producing oil stocks very soon, and a serious climb when one of these companies puts out a note saying : "that they expect profits to be ahead of market expectations", that could be coming soon !.

given a dire NY on friday, it is hard to envisage London opening other than heavily down again ..... that said, DCB is also a reasonable bet once the dust has settled, and it is certainly far from imposible that, during some point in the day, you will see DGO down to that 395/400 level that i mentioned above

i'm not bothered about 1 day effect cynic........where will dgo be in 6 months....or 2 years..........hopefully above 6 is what i'm looking for

no idea, any more than you have

well oil price will be higher than what is right now in 2009.......oil might slip back to about 120$ perhaps but certainly not to $100 or below again.

and i expect further good news from dgo in next year with increasing production figs........these 2 things together should give price of min 7

and you have inside knowledge of this or at least something other than blind optimism on which to base your forecast?

Scot the real upward value for DGO is the stranded "gas", once the pipelines have been agreed and completed who knows where the SP will be? Unfortuately it
seems to be a couple of years away.But in the meantime we must wait for the
upgrade in reserves and increase in daily output, which has been promised for nearer year end.
cyril

Trading statement due on 24/7/08 according to their website.

yes....thanks cyril

i have been reading well informed posts on iii.......some great reads plus many other threads too......some very knowledgeable or informative there compared to moneyam.

as for oil price cynic......well iran, gazprom.....and goldman sachs are predicting 200$ or even 250$ by 2009........even if it doesnt go this far, oil will go higher than it is right now.......and higher oil price means less production as its politically harder as bp leader has just stated......and less supply means higher oil price....ouch

in any event, even in a few years time, we will definitely have reached peak oil....if not already.......i was at a conference 5 years ago on talking about peak oil even back then

and i'm not optimistic about oil price going up......ok, it might be good for some oil companies.....but everything elsre in economy is screwed.

so extremely high oil sp doesnt please me, nor should it be the case for any decent human being.

Halifax i know theirs a well completion in July, but the interims are for the 22/08/08.
But the reserve figures are not due out until near year end?
cyril

well informed posts on iii ..... my tealeaves are also well-informed.

as for oil, there is actually plenty of supply for many years to come, especially with improved extraction technology - cf CRA ..... personally, i would not be at all surprised, though of course (like you) i have no prescient knowledge whatsoever, to see oil stabilise closer to $100 than $150 in the next 12 months or so, notwithstanding that there will almost certainly be dramatic lurches in both directions.

go to iii cynic.....theres some great info about dgo in future......apart from cyril brief post tonight, very little is typed about dgo here

re oil price.....to be honest, i'm fed up listening on news every day about people bleating about it.....bbc news esp is nothing more than tittle tattle rather than investigative journalism

problem with oil is refining......also, its the type of oil thats important too

cyril the trading statement scheduled to be released on 24th July will probably contain production information etc which is the same information contained in the interim results.

woaded one ..... i do not doubt that DGO prob has good potential ..... it was more your bald assertion about future crude price that i found pretty asinine or naive or any other suitable adjective of that genre

given a dire NY on friday, it is hard to envisage London opening other than heavily down again .......lol, another total wrong prediction.

just got news on channel 4 and a fund oil analyst predicts 150$ in next 24 hours.

cynic, to be honest, your contemptuous words, apart from using provacative language, u should try reading informative posts...and i dont care what you type....try doing some work. i'm just oot my bed, had a great sleep

ps: whats this woaded one nonsense

sp for once ramping up a bit today