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Rockhopper Exploration (RKH)     

markymar - 15 Aug 2005 15:14

Web Page Traffic Counter

http://www.falklands-oil.com/

http://www.rockhopperexploration.co.uk

http://www.argosresources.com/




Rockhopper was established in 2004 with a strategy to invest in and undertake an offshore oil exploration programme in the North Falkland Basin. It was floated on AIM in August 2005. Rockhopper was the first company to make a commercial oil discovery in the Falklands. Today Rockhopper is the largest acreage holder in the North Falkland Basin, with interests in the Greater Mediterranean region.




free counters

markymar - 20 Sep 2010 08:30 - 2667 of 6294

My advice is to hold till AGM on the 30th as i think we will have a better idea and i think news before then and find out what the upgrade is.

If holding Desire be carefull short term as they havent found oil yet!!! RKH have and you cant take that away.

The way i understand things if RKH had the proper gear down there they would of been pumping 5000 to 7000 mill bb on flow test.

It will all come out in the washing.

required field - 20 Sep 2010 08:30 - 2668 of 6294

Going like a train....

Proselenes - 20 Sep 2010 08:33 - 2669 of 6294

Hold until AGM ? I am holding until Dec 2011.

At which point it should be well over 2000p a share will good old RKH.

Been in since 38p, not sold any, added more and no plans to sell a single one.

hlyeo98 - 20 Sep 2010 08:33 - 2670 of 6294

Time to take some profit, I think.

Balerboy - 20 Sep 2010 08:42 - 2671 of 6294

I should short it hlyeo98......;))

ravey davy gravy - 20 Sep 2010 08:47 - 2672 of 6294

Papelpower is what puts me off this stock.

All his none stop ramping is familiar, at some stage he will sell and then start
to deramp none stop.

Seen it all before !

mitzy - 20 Sep 2010 08:47 - 2673 of 6294

This ones got 1000p written all over.

Proselenes - 20 Sep 2010 08:48 - 2674 of 6294

Oriel note

Rockhopper Exploration (RKH, BUY, 420p) - Successful Sea Lion flow-test

Rockhopper announced on Friday that the Sea Lion discovery well had been successfully flow-tested at sustained rates in excess of 2,000bopd over an 18 hour period.

Equipment constraints limited the flow-rates which we understand would have been up to 3x higher if the well had flowed unrestricted. There were no flow assurance issues during the test, a concern ahead of events given the wax content of the crude

Downhole pressure gauges will be recovered which will help confirm the continuity of the reservoir sections tested and connected volumes around the well location

We view this test result a significant milestone is derisking the commerciality of the Sea Lion discovery. In our base case model for Sea Lion we assume horizontal production wells come on at peak rates of 6-8kbopd with long-term support from water injection and possibly ESP's and this result appears to more than underpin these assumptions

Our unrisked NAV for Sea Lion based on the current P50 240mmb reserve case is 786p/sh, unchanged on the back of this update.

The company has yet to confirm a date for appraisal drilling given the forward programme with the Ocean Guardian remains fluid. The next well in the programme is Rachel in which Rockhopper has a 7.5% stake worth c61p/sh unrisked if successful and which has been significantly derisked by the success of Sea Lion (analogous prospect in the same play, located in the block directly to the south on the eastern margin of the basin)

We re-iterate our BUY recommendation. Ignoring cash balances, the shares are trading at just over 50% of our unrisked NAV for Sea Lion under the P50 case which we believe is far too conservative

ravey davy gravy - 20 Sep 2010 08:48 - 2675 of 6294

Mitzy.

Is that the same as when Pele was going to 200p within days then :-))

mitzy - 20 Sep 2010 08:50 - 2676 of 6294

Pele big mistake down 30% but thats life.

markymar - 20 Sep 2010 08:50 - 2677 of 6294

ravey davy gravy its just diffrent views on the stock. lots of news to come before AGM and i think all good news.

ravey davy gravy - 20 Sep 2010 08:55 - 2678 of 6294

You are the big mistake mitzy not Pele :-))

markymar - 20 Sep 2010 08:58 - 2679 of 6294

Equipment constraints limited the flow-rates which we understand would have been up to 3x higher if the well had flowed unrestricted

You would think i wrote oriels note...heeee

markymar - 20 Sep 2010 09:09 - 2680 of 6294

Starting to settle down now and then a steady rise in the coming days untill we get this upgrade!!!!!!

mitzy - 20 Sep 2010 09:10 - 2681 of 6294

No need to rub it it ainsoph.

cynic - 20 Sep 2010 09:12 - 2682 of 6294

mitzy - sleep with dogs (PELE) and catch fleas

Balerboy - 20 Sep 2010 09:13 - 2683 of 6294

You mean you get it wrong sometimes mitz..........now you tell me!!!

Proselenes - 20 Sep 2010 09:15 - 2684 of 6294

In case any missed the earlier post, the highlighted bits tell you that, flow rate was restricted by equipment, not Sea Lion AND look to possible size upgrades in the next update once the pressure data is built into the model.

:



Oriel note

Rockhopper Exploration (RKH, BUY, 420p) - Successful Sea Lion flow-test

Rockhopper announced on Friday that the Sea Lion discovery well had been successfully flow-tested at sustained rates in excess of 2,000bopd over an 18 hour period.

Equipment constraints limited the flow-rates which we understand would have been up to 3x higher if the well had flowed unrestricted. There were no flow assurance issues during the test, a concern ahead of events given the wax content of the crude

Downhole pressure gauges will be recovered which will help confirm the continuity of the reservoir sections tested and connected volumes around the well location

We view this test result a significant milestone is derisking the commerciality of the Sea Lion discovery. In our base case model for Sea Lion we assume horizontal production wells come on at peak rates of 6-8kbopd with long-term support from water injection and possibly ESP's and this result appears to more than underpin these assumptions

Our unrisked NAV for Sea Lion based on the current P50 240mmb reserve case is 786p/sh, unchanged on the back of this update.

The company has yet to confirm a date for appraisal drilling given the forward programme with the Ocean Guardian remains fluid. The next well in the programme is Rachel in which Rockhopper has a 7.5% stake worth c61p/sh unrisked if successful and which has been significantly derisked by the success of Sea Lion (analogous prospect in the same play, located in the block directly to the south on the eastern margin of the basin)

We re-iterate our BUY recommendation. Ignoring cash balances, the shares are trading at just over 50% of our unrisked NAV for Sea Lion under the P50 case which we believe is far too conservative

mitzy - 20 Sep 2010 09:16 - 2685 of 6294

I've lost my touch Balerboy and will be retiring Xmas.

ravey davy gravy - 20 Sep 2010 09:16 - 2686 of 6294

No PP we did not miss the earlier post, we are not blind but do post it
ten times just to make sure :-))
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