">
http://www.rigzone.com/news/article.asp?a_id=114250&hmpn=1

THIS STOCK QUALIFIES FOR YOUR ISA.


Photo's of Ber Bahir where black is thought to be oil?

http://db.tt/nrmRjZ5D

THE LARGEST PRODUCER IN KURDISTAN, 41000bopd,with 1.4BBO of which 356MBO are P1 &P2.
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc-%28genl%29/rns/completion-of-acquisition/201301231000021850W/
The operator with 40% interest (GKP 40&)in Ber Bahir.
From a recent RNS released by GKP ,

13th Dec 2011
Ber Bahr-1 Exploration Well

The first exploration well on the Ber Bahr block has drilled to a measured depth of 1,765 metres at the top of the Triassic with hydrocarbons indications observed in the well. Wireline logging is underway which will be followed by running of 9 5/8" casing. The well will then continue drilling to the estimated TD of 2,100 metres.

Also a note from the broker stated that was similar to early Shailhan wells,if so WOW?

Approx 335mtrs to go of which oil plays are part of,so news is close?

http://boards.fool.co.uk/vallares-gkp-12355098.aspx?sort=whole#12355179
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201203080700149278Y
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201203200700206495Z
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=201203210705107420Z
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4422402
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4430165
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4431708
http://www.genelenergy.com/admin/resimler/detay_resim/Half_Year_Results_23082012_FINAL.pdf
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc-%28genl%29/rns/trading-and-operational-update/201301180700068414V/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc--genl-/rns/bina-bawi-update/201304041105015272B/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc--genl-/rns/chia-surkh-discovery/201304100700069624B/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc--genl-/rns/half-yearly-report/201307310700115294K/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc--genl-/rns/declaration-of-commerciality-for-miran/201309030700110610N/
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4668698
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc--genl-/rns/update-re--tawke/201310140708553997Q/
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4739145
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc--genl-/rns/krg-exercises-back-in-right-to-miran-psc/201402241100037720A/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc--genl-/rns/full-year-results/201403060700146386B/
http://www.investegate.co.uk/genel-energy-plc--genl-/rns/agreement-for-development-of-miran-and-bina-bawi/201411130700268995W/
http://www.moneyam.com/action/news/showArticle?id=4962310
HTTp://news.sky.com/story/1419273/ex-bp-boss-hayward-lures-monaghan-to-genel
http://uk.advfn.com/news/UKREG/2015/article/67672862

.

Barclays Capital retains equal weight on Genel Energy, target cut from 500p to 350p.

Sky News has learnt that Genel Energy, which Mr Hayward has chaired since stepping aside from the chief executive's post this year, is in the early stages of discussions about a tie-up with New African Global Energy (New Age).

Sources said on Tuesday that the talks were at an early stage, and were just one of a number of conversations taking place between Genel and other oil groups as the industry readjusts to the protracted slump in oil prices.

Genel's oil production is currently focused on Kurdistan, but it has a string of exploration assets in Somaliland, Morocco, the Ivory Coast and elsewhere in Africa.

One banker described the company as a "good fit" with New Age, which has a similar geographic profile, operating across Africa and in Kurdistan.

The structure of any potential deal is unclear, with one possibility that Genel could use its shares as part of a consideration to acquire New Age.

The two companies are said to be of roughly comparable size.

New Age is owned by a group of private shareholders, including the Wall Street investment manager Och Ziff, the oil trader Vitol and an undisclosed group of sovereign wealth funds.

A merger of Genel and New Age would come as oil explorers examine ways to dilute the impact of the downturn in oil prices, with many analysts and executives anticipating that it may continue for another 12 months.

Cazenove comment:
"Rationale for Genel. From a Genel perspective, it would provide a more diverse production base, with lower risk to revenues, an issue which has clearly impacted its market rating. It would also add barrels that are easier to finance (via RBL or RCF type bank loans) for growth. It would likely make Genel the largest reserve holder in European E&P.
New Age has a portfolio that overlaps in several regions – Kurdistan, Morocco, Ethiopia. Judging from New Age’s website, it has multiple years of growth and a decent exploration hopper.
Rationale for New Age. From a New Age perspective, a deal would be a way of publically listing the business without a formal IPO process that would likely be very difficult given the current market backdrop. A merger with listed Genel could provide a potential exit route for some New Age shareholders and, of course, a public market valuation, which private equity looks for. One of Genel’s key assets is its seasoned UK listing, in our view.
Questions to answer ahead of a possible merger. 1) Dilution risk – Clearly the structure of the deal is important. From our perspective Genel shares are trading at a steep discount to NAV, meaning it could be NAV dilutive to do a paper deal of size (assuming an all equity exchange).
Such dilution could be reduced if Genel does not pay a premium – arguably New Age should pay the premium given access to Genel’s UK listing. 2) Valuation – What is New Age’s fair value? We do not have a good line of sight on reserves (New Age website cites 861 mmboe 2P +2C), or production (is early stage in the KRI and Congo is likely around 5-10 kbopd currently). 3) Balance sheet – New Age does not have publically traded debt, but it has some convertible debt. 4) Growth profile – New Age’s website cites 5 development projects, of which 3 are LNG developments. We do not know how much capex needs to be deployed to achieve this growth and how much of this growth is still unfunded. Africa has not been a happy experience for Genel shareholders given an expensive and ultimately unsuccessful exploration campaign."

Credit Suisse today reaffirms its outperform investment rating on Genel Energy (LON:GENL) and cut its price target to 430p (from 465p).

StockMarketWire.com
Genel Energy has announced that the Taq Taq field partners have received a gross payment of $30m from the Kurdistan Regional Government for oil exported through the Kurdistan Region of Iraq-Turkey pipeline.

Genel's share of the gross Taq Taq payment is $16.5m.

Genel also notes the announcement on 3 December 2015 from DNO ASA, as operator of the Tawke field, that the Tawke field partners have received a gross payment of $30m for oil exported through the Kurdistan Region of Iraq-Turkey pipeline.

Together, these represent the third monthly export payments made to contractors in 2015.

Is the share price tells you something?
well there is two reason at the moment not to buy the shares

1 - the TREND
The trend is your friend they say, it has been this way for some time now

2 - Oil price
once again today the Oil price has got into a new lows

Conclution:
wait till all reverses

Barclays Capital today upgrades its investment rating on Genel Energy (LON:GENL) to overweight (from equal weight) and left its price target at 350p.

below is the 5 year chart, merely to highlight the plight of all e+p oilies

StockMarketWire.com
Genel Energy is well positioned to weather the downturn and thrive when the oil cycle turns, chief executive Murat Ozgul says.

Ozgul says: ""2015 was a very challenging year for the oil industry, with pronounced oil price weakness which has continued into 2016. In addition, the funding of the security effort in northern Iraq, influx of refugees into the KRI and cessation of budget transfers from Baghdad continue to place a very significant strain on the KRG's finances.

"Against this backdrop, the recent receipt of four consecutive payments for pipeline exports is highly encouraging. These payments, totalling almost $100 million, have stabilised our receivable and maintained our healthy cash position. We recognise the efforts that the KRG has made to meet its commitments to IOCs in a very difficult economic environment. "With low oil prices expected to persist in the near-term, we have focused on cost control by cutting capital expenditure and overheads. With production costs of less than $2 per barrel, a robust cash position, low capital commitments and a material resource base, Genel is well positioned to weather the downturn and thrive when the oil cycle turns."

Investec today reaffirms its buy investment rating on Genel Energy PLC (LON:GENL) and cut its price target to 230p (from 350p).

StockMarketWire.com
Genel Energy has announced that the Taq Taq field partners have received a gross payment of $16.3 million from the Kurdistan Regional Government for oil exported through the Kurdistan Region of Iraq-Turkey pipeline.

Genel's share of the gross Taq Taq payment is $9 million. As the Ministry of Natural Resources announced on 1 February, the payment is based on the monthly production entitlement, inclusive of crude quality differentials compared to Brent and the deduction of applicable transportation charges and handling costs. Payments will be subject to full reconciliation with the terms of the production sharing contract in due course. An additional $3.2 million payment ($1.8 million net to Genel), equivalent to five percent of the gross monthly netback revenue of the field, has been made towards the recovery of the receivable. The KRG has stated that payments will be increased as oil prices rebound. In total, Genel received $10.8 million for the Taq Taq field for the month of January.

Genel notes payment for KRI oil exports

StockMarketWire.com

Genel Energy has noted the announcement from DNO ASA, as operator of the Tawke field, that the Tawke field partners have received a gross payment of $17.99 million towards the monthly entitlement for January, for oil exported through the Kurdistan Region of Iraq-Turkey pipeline. An additional $3.46 million gross payment has been made towards the recovery of outstanding entitlements for past deliveries. The payments will be shared pro-rata by DNO and Genel.

At 8:14am: (LON:GENL) Genel Energy PLC share price was +3.5p at 121.5p

disaster beckons.

Genel Energy will announce results for the year ended 31 December on 3rd March 2016.

Taq Taq reserves update
Genel Energy issues the following announcement in respect of its reserves position at the Taq Taq field (Genel 44% working interest).

In its Trading and Operations Update on 20 January 2016, the Company announced that it was reviewing its Taq Taq reservoir model following production declines seen at the field during 2015.

The results of this internal review and the McDaniel & Associates ('McDaniel') Competent Person's Report ('CPR') on Taq Taq are now largely complete. The initial gross recoverable proven and probable ('2P') reserves (referred to in the industry as Estimated Ultimate Recovery, or EUR) estimated by McDaniel for Taq Taq are summarised in the table below:

Proven plus Probable (2P)
EUR as of 30 June 20111 , mmbbls683
EUR as of 31 December 2015, mmbbls 356
1. original McDaniel Taq Taq CPR (effective 30 June 2011)

As of 31 December 2015, the Taq Taq field had produced 184 mmbbls gross. The remaining gross recoverable 2P reserves estimate as of 31 December 2015 is therefore:
Proven plus Probable (2P) Reserves as of 31 December, mmbbls 172

The vast majority of the original Taq Taq oil in place was reservoired within fractures in Cretaceous carbonate formations. The Cretaceous has three principal producing units - the Qamchuqa, Kometan and Shiranish - with the Shiranish being the shallowest interval. Genel's internal Taq Taq review and the CPR process have focused on the fracture porosity within the Shiranish reservoir. Both processes have utilised recently acquired data to establish that the fracture porosity within the Shiranish is lower than estimated in the original McDaniel CPR dated 30 June 2011.

The updated McDaniel CPR will be completed shortly.

Genel currently anticipates that gross Taq Taq production will average c.80,000 bopd in 2016. Gross Taq Taq production is currently estimated at 65-75,000 bopd and 50-70,000 bopd in 2017 and 2018 respectively.

The Company's production guidance of 60-70,000 bopd for 2016 is unchanged.

Genel expects to record an impairment, subject to audit, of approximately $1 billion to the Taq Taq field carrying value in its 2015 accounts. The impairment includes the revised assumptions on recoverable reserves announced today and the impact of lower oil prices.

Barclays comment:
"Our view: Although a reserve downgrade at Taq Taq was previously flagged and therefore should have been widely anticipated, we believe the scale of the cut is likely to surprise many investors. Trading at a 48% discount to our current 237p/share Core NAV, versus a peer group average premium to Core NAV of 9% we believe the stock was already pricing in a significant portion of the reserve cut.
Taq Taq gross 2P reserves have been reduced from 683mmbbls to 356mmbbls on an estimated ultimate recovery basis. With 184mmbbls produced by the end of 2015, remaining gross 2P reserves now stand at 172mmbbls. The cut – following an internal review and updated Competent Person’s Report – therefore represents a 65% cut in remaining 2P reserves versus the current assumption within our Genel NAV. We have previously stated that a 25% cut in reserves would result in a ~20% reduction in our valuation of the asset – Genel’s 44% stake in Taq Taq is the company’s most material asset within our 320p/share Tangible NAV.
Genel expect completion of the updated CPR shortly, but have stated the reserve downgrade should have no impact on 2016 production guidance of 60-70,000b/d. Taq Taq is forecast to produce 80,000b/d gross in 2016, but is then scheduled to decline in 2017-18. Our current valuation assumes a ramp-up to ~150,000b/d.
The reserve update combined with a lower oil price outlook is set to result in a ~$1bn impairment charge on the asset in Genel’s FY15 results, due to be published on 3 March."

CitiBank comment:
"Significant downgrade to reserves at its core Taq Taq asset.
Genel has reduced the expected gross ultimate recovery from its Taq Taq field from 683mbbls to 356mbbls due to revised assumptions on the fracture porosity within the Shiranish reservoir at the field. As a result of this reserve downgrade, Genel also expects to record an impairment of c.US$1bn due to a lower carrying value for the Taq Taq field in its FY15 results, which is c.28% of its current equity value. Our Buy-case on Genel was based on a view that despite the political uncertainties in the Kurdistan region, Genel held a significant low cost resource base that was undervalued and remained relevant to the wider industry. However, the news today changes this investment thesis and also makes it more challenging for Genel to fund its Miran gas development, in our view. We reduce our core NAV to 120p/share and downgrade Genel Energy to Neutral/High Risk (2H).
Recoverable resource at the Tawke field will be questioned
The cut to the Taq Taq resource base creates increased uncertainty on the underlying assumptions (and ultimate resource recovery) at the DNO-operated Tawke field. DNO is currently preparing an updated resource report for the Tawke field. We have increased the risking of the valuation of the Tawke field to 85% (from 90%) in our Genel NAV.
Ability to fund its major gas development becomes more challenging
With a significant cut to reserves and consequently future cashflows from its core Taq Taq field, we believe the ability for Genel to finance the development of its Miran/Bina Bawi gas development becomes more challenging. Genel has estimated upstream capex of c.US$1bn before first gas. We have moved our valuation of Genel’s gas development from core NAV to base NAV given this uncertainty.
Updating NAV and estimates, downgrading to Neutral
We have lowered our core NAV to 120p/share to reflect the lower reserves at Taq Taq, increased risking of the Tawke field moving the Miran/Bina Bawi gas field into base NAV. With continued political uncertainty (and ongoing pipeline issues), we believe Genel could trade at a discount to core NAV in the near-term."

Stay clear this could be 25p sometime.

Investec today reaffirms its buy investment rating on Genel Energy PLC (LON:GENL) and raised its price target to 245p (from 230p).