STRATEGY

•FOGL seeks to add shareholder value by pursuing an aggressive exploration programme in its licences to the south and east of the Falkland Islands. Exploration drilling will continue in the deep water areas of FOGL’s licences in the first half of 2012. If successful, this drilling could lead to the development of a new hydrocarbon province in the South Atlantic.

Next Phase of drilling

In the first half of 2012 FOGL is planning to drill two wells in the deep water area of its licences.
FOGL has contracted the Leiv Eiriksson rig to undertake this drilling programme. The rig is due to arrive in the Falklands in early 2012 when it will initially drill two wells for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S), before commencing the FOGL drilling programme. The B&S wells are to be drilled on the Darwin and Stebbing prospects. The results of these wells will be of interest to FOGL, because we have similar plays and prospects within the southern part of our licence area.

The first well to be drilled in the FOGL programme will be on the Loligo prospect. A number of options exist for the second well, including potentially a well on Scotia, a prospect within the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play. The final decision on which prospect will be targeted by the second well will be guided by the results from Loligo.

Funding

As at 7 September 2011 FOGL's available funds, including the BHP Billiton settlement, were $150.8 million. The Company is debt free.


2012 Drilling Programme

The Leiv Eiriksson a harsh environment rig has been drilling wells offshore Greenland for Cairn Energy. That campaign is expected to finish by the end of November 2011 after which the rig will head south to the Falkland Islands. The rig will first drill two wells (about 90 days drilling) for Borders and Southern Plc (B&S) before moving on to the FOGL programme. The transit time from Greenland is expected to be approximately 60 days.

A great deal of work has gone into the planning of the FOGL drilling campaign and over the preceding years a large amount of data has had to be collected to so that the drilling can take place.

Seismic data was acquired from 2004 to 2007 and again in 2011, CSEM in 2007, site surveys in 2009 and 2011 and metocean data, from permanent current meters, in 2009/10. Well planning essentially started in 2009 with the drilling of three, 200m deep, geotechnical boreholes. This data helped with the planning of the shallow section of the Toroa well (FI 61/05-1) and has been extensively used in the planning of the deep water programme.

The first well in the FOGL programme will be on the giant Loligo prospect. A second well will also be drilled by FOGL using the Leiv Eiriksson and site surveys have been acquired over the following prospects: The Nimrod Complex and the Vinson prospect in the Tertiary Channel Play, the Scotia or Hero prospects in the Mid Cretaceous Fan Play and the Inflexible or Endeavour prospect in the Springhill Sandstone Play. Options that are currently being considered depend upon the results of the first well on Loligo. The final play in the FOGL acreage is in the Fold Belt in the south west of the FOGL acreage. This play is being tested by B&S at their Stebbing prospect. Similar features exist within the FOGL acreage and the results of the well will be closely monitored. In addition the B&S, Darwin well is targeting a tilted fault block which again shows great similarities with several prospects in the FOGL portfolio (Inflexible, Thulla etc.). Depending on the results of Darwin FOGL may consider a well on Inflexible as the second well in the programme.

FOGL’s main focus is on the two younger plays, the Tertiary Channel and the Mid Cretaceous Fan play. FOGL has been working on the Mid Cretaceous play for some time but it was only in late 2009, when the seismic data had been fully reprocessed, that it became clear that this major new play was viable. The play is analogous to the ones being successfully targeted in West Africa (the Tullow Jubilee field in Ghana and other discoveries along that margin) and the general geology, depositional setting and even the AVO response (Class II response over Scotia and Hero) are remarkably similar. The two main prospects, Scotia and Hero, both contain prospective resources in excess of 1 billion bbls. One of the key features that makes this play so attractive is that the reservoir sands sit directly above the mature Aptian oil source rocks which were sampled in the DSDP wells to the East of the FOGL acreage.

2012 DRLLING TARGET LOLIGO

The shallowest target alone covers an area of over 600sqkm. The Loligo prospect was first mapped in 2006 and has been re-mapped and re analysed several times since then. It is a large stratigraphic trap which is supported by a very consistent Class III AVO response on the seismic data. It is an ‘easy to map’ anomaly which stands out clearly above the background seismic responses when compared to the entire basin. In addition, it sits directly above an old high which used to separate the Southern basin (Fitzroy sub-basin) from the Northern basin (Volunteer sub-basin). This old high seems to be acting as a focus for hydrocarbon migration from deeply buried source rocks in each of the sub basins.

Beneath the southern part of Loligo several other prospects within the Tertiary Channel play, overlap and may be penetrated by one carefully located well. The deeper prospects (each covering an area similar to Loligo) have been called Trigg and the Three Bears. Together these prospects are called the Loligo Complex. The prospective resources (recoverable oil) associated with the Loligo complex, are in excess of 4 billion bbls of oil or over 25tcf of gas.




FOGL is focused exclusively on offshore oil and gas exploration in the Falkland Islands.

We are pursuing an aggressive exploration programme that could lead to the development of a new petroleum province in the South Atlantic. The joint venture operations have now moved into the drilling phase.
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Most prospects in 2,000 – 4,500 feet water depth (610 – 1372m)

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Target horizons: 6,000 – 13,000 feet below sea bed lever (1829 – 3962m)

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Falklands weather is similar to West of Shetland

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Remote location but there were no major issues during 1998 drilling campaign

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Anchored semi-submersible or drillship for exploration drilling

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Tried and tested technology for developments



Falkland Oil and Gas Limited Licence area.




FINANCIAL SUMMARY http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/Investors/performance

FOGL HOME http://www.fogl.com/fogl/en/home

http://www.stockopedia.co.uk/content/falkland-oil-and-gas-2012-its-time-63024/

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
15th JANUARY 2008

PORT LOCATION - ISSUES

Balancing the cost of a purchase against its value is a difficult decision for all of us - somehow, we always seem to want something just that bit more expensive than we can afford. That long wheelbase 5-door is so clearly the right car - but the money will only buy a short wheelbase 3-door.

Of course, sometimes we can borrow extra money to make the move to the next model up - and some young people seem to think that parents will provide, that money is something which you just ask for.

For most of us, however, major purchases (house, car) are carefully considered, and what we buy isn't usually what we would really like, but a compromise driven by what we can afford.

Being really honest about the real benefits of a bigger car is one essential element in making sure that the right car is bought.

Deciding on an appropriate deep-water port for the Falkland Islands for the future is one of the major purchasing decisions the Islands must face. To make the right choice of which port is appropriate means balancing what is affordable with the benefits of different options. No-one is going to lend money unless it is clear that it is going to be repaid - and there is no-one clamouring to donate the millions needed.

The Royal Haskonning report has laid out with some clarity the port requirements of the different sectors for the foreseeable future. It makes sense to plan on the basis that the oil industry needs only facilities to support exploration at present - if development occurs, then the availability of finance becomes much less of an issue.

So the challenge is to plan for affordable, sensible facilities and make it possible for the government and private sector to invest wisely, in a way which gives the best possible return on the investment. The small size of the Islands' economy, and the high cost of major construction projects like a port, makes that complex. Many of the issues have been discussed before, but the seminar at 09:00 on January 28th in the Chamber of Commerce is aimed at bringing all the different advantages and shortcomings of the various options to one place, to compare them and to give Councillors a jumping-off point to move forward to some detailed planning.

This is a decision which is only going to be made once - FIDC hope that everyone with an interest in the subject will contribute to what promises to be an exciting discussion, we hope for the final time.

like many charts at the moement, not pretty, but unlike some not too terrible either ..... if you are keen on this stock, then just maybe sp will bounce firmly back through 200 dma ... if it fails to do this, then watch it track south

not much now untill Rig news I think !

Yes I agree. This will be news driven.
It will be interesting to see where the chart settles, but could be around the 80/90p level where it sat for the first half of 2007.

harry .... if that is the case, the chart will take on a much uglier complexion .... and yes i know we are not meant to be judging a beauty pageant!

BG. might get involved in drilling out here as big discoveries close by in Brazil, they could tow a rig out here possibly for DES or FOGL.

that as may (well not) be, but what timescale do you suppose will that involve?

Total guess 1 year maybe, not being an expert in rigs, I presume that BG. are far from finished from drilling off Brazil, but when they have who knows ?, what do they do with the rig ?, next step down : the Falklands.....

If this drops to 80/90 I for one will be buying again ! how about you Cynic ?

Next move up when BLT announces drilling programme.

not i ..... i don't think E&P oilies are the place to put new money ..... meaningful results are probably 2/3/4 years away ..... would be much more inclined to buy back into PMO or similar

Hi Cynic,

It all depends if you wish to have a reasonable percentage of your portfolio in high risk/reward companies. If so such oilies are imho as good a bet as any sector.
Yes meaningful results may be 2/3/4 and possibly more years away, although in Fogl and FKL case I feel that the 2 year mark will bring in a good sp increase.
For those who want a safer bet on Fogl/Fkl then yes it would be best to wait and see further progress, but for those such as myself getting in on the ground floor is what the risk/reward is all about.
No not one for widows and orphans as they say

I agree meaningful results may be 2/3/4 years away but I last got in @ 79 and sold at 170 ish so yes still money to be made its just timing as to when to buy again, but anywhere around 90p I would be happy, but things to seem to be bubbling at the FI in general !

please note that i said "new money" and that holds very true at the moment ..... this is not the time to be diving in with almost ANY stock .... XTA may be an exception

If Only !!!

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2008/jan/20/oil.morayfirth

The Falkland stocks need some majors to move in soon, the likes of Tullow and mostly BG. would be welcome.

all very interesting, but what has that article to do with FOGL, or did i miss something?

Artical on BHP

http://business.timesonline.co.uk/tol/business/industry_sectors/natural_resources/article3215545.ece

Cynic,

Fully agree with you there re not the time to be diving into any stock. Some will chance it and some will make money, but the market at the moment is far to risky for any further cash from me.

Are We 'Running Out!
The link below is to a very interesting article.

http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/

It is VERY long so won't cut paste any sections.
On initial reading, it appears to be a scare mongering article, and if you believe just half of it, you will probably go to the nearest cliff and jump of. But there are many obvious truths that can't be ignored, and it is worth wading through.
Several of these obvious truths are that the more drastic the shortages become the more governments will encourage exploration/production. There will be very generous tax breaks, grants and as many incentives as they can think of to make sure any last vestige of oil is removed from the ground at virtually any price.
Just reading a few sections made me think that the next 3 to 5 years could be the most profitable for oil exploration/drilling companies and their partners ever.

Be interesting to see what others think.

Although the article applies to all companies such as Fogl/Fkl I don't want to take over this thread (as most probably won't be that interested) .
So if there is sufficient interest, it would probably be best to comment on the Oil-News Flow thread. Traders Room if you have access