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Rockhopper Exploration (RKH)     

markymar - 15 Aug 2005 15:14

Web Page Traffic Counter

http://www.falklands-oil.com/

http://www.rockhopperexploration.co.uk

http://www.argosresources.com/




Rockhopper was established in 2004 with a strategy to invest in and undertake an offshore oil exploration programme in the North Falkland Basin. It was floated on AIM in August 2005. Rockhopper was the first company to make a commercial oil discovery in the Falklands. Today Rockhopper is the largest acreage holder in the North Falkland Basin, with interests in the Greater Mediterranean region.




free counters

Balerboy - 20 Sep 2010 13:54 - 2705 of 6294

oh no, not more reminders.....please

cynic - 20 Sep 2010 14:54 - 2706 of 6294

RF - you were quite right ... if you had a target and met it, that's the right action ...... Mr P can spout all the shit he likes, and just possibly sp has a lot further to travel within the very near future, but no one has that kind of 100% foresight

ravey davy gravy - 20 Sep 2010 15:06 - 2707 of 6294

You have to laugh at the nerve of Papel Power.

For 10 years i've watched him ramp stocks on many boards none stop then
the moment he sells he himself "bombards" the threads with deramps and he
has a go at RF, i think we can all see RF is just a day trader and rarely holds
a stock for more than one day, plenty of them around at the moment.

cynic - 20 Sep 2010 15:21 - 2708 of 6294

there's nowt wrong with day trading, and i guess if you're good enough at it, there's plenty of money to be made

required field - 20 Sep 2010 15:54 - 2709 of 6294

???...nonsense.....some I keep for years....

mitzy - 20 Sep 2010 16:04 - 2710 of 6294

Ravey go back to adfn.

ravey davy gravy - 20 Sep 2010 16:06 - 2711 of 6294

Mitzy.

I would suggest your posts are worthy of advfn, plenty of pointless posts
there !

ravey davy gravy - 20 Sep 2010 16:06 - 2712 of 6294

RF.

Sorry but i see too much of "this is a wonderful stock" from you then the next
day you have sold, makes me assume you are a day trader.

chav - 20 Sep 2010 16:07 - 2713 of 6294

Are the shares you keep for years the type that bomb and leave you locked into a large paper loss RF?

ravey davy gravy - 20 Sep 2010 16:12 - 2714 of 6294

I got a couple of them chav, who has not ?

required field - 20 Sep 2010 16:16 - 2715 of 6294

Afren.....been in for a couple of years now....and a few bombed out ones which unless they recover soon will be disposed of.

Proselenes - 20 Sep 2010 16:37 - 2716 of 6294

http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/21191/broker-roundup-oil-gas-rockhopper-desire-petroleum-sterling-energy-europa-oil-gas-21191.html


Two of the more topical exploration destinations dominated analyst coverage on Monday, with a successful flow test in the Falklands and a disappointing drilling result in the Kurdistan region of Northern Iraq.

On Friday, Rockhopper Exploration (LON:RKH) reported the successful test of the Sea Lion 1 well in the North Falkland Basin. Sea Lion returned sustained rates in excess of 2,000 barrels per day (bpd) with a maximum rate of 2,304bpd.

The flow-test was constrained by limited equipment, and the company anticipates that additional equipment in any future test would result in a significantly higher flow rate - when also combined with a more optimal well location.

Consequently many analysts were upbeat in their coverage, perhaps the most notable was major US institution Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Alejandro Demichelis, Research analyst at Merrill Lynch, upped his price target by 50p per share to 700p to reflect commercial de-risking of the oilfield following the successful test.

In its base-case valuation Merrill Lynch estimates that Sea Lion has 242 million barrels of oil equivalent (mmboe) and its P10 estimate sees 670mmboe.
We now see RKH focusing on accelerating the appraisal of the field, Demichelis said.

According to Demichelis, Rockhopper could add a number of drillable prospects medium term.

Its SeaLion find in the North Falkland basin has transformed RKH but we still see plenty of upside.

The resource upside potential of the basin and its leverage to the geological play make RKH a strong early-stage E&P, similar to the experience of Cairn and Tullow Oil and their initial India and Ghana/Uganda discoveries.

Evolution Securities analyst David Farrell also upgraded his outlook for the Falklands explorer to Add from Neutral, raising his price target to 450p from 359p.

Everything points to Sea Lion being a commercial development, Farrell said.
The analyst expects Rockhopper to push ahead with an appraisal well as soon as possible, and whilst Farrell acknowledged that Sea Lion should be commercial as a standalone development he expects nearby prospects to be incorporated into a wider development plan.

Richard Rose, Oriel Securities analyst, emphasised that the successful test represents a significant milestone in de-risking the discoverys commerciality.

Oriel Securities reiterated its buy recommendation for Rockhopper.

Ignoring cash balances, the shares are trading at just over 50% of our un-risked NAV for Sea Lion under the P50 case which we believe is far too conservative, Rose said.

Fox-Davies oil and gas analyst Lionel Therond said he was encouraged by the result and upped his target price from 350p to 500p. Therond also raised the Sea Lion oilfields probability of success from 50% to 67%.

According to Alan Sinclair, oil & gas analyst at Seymour Pierce, believes that Rockhoppers good fortune will lso benefit fellow Falkland explorer Desire Petroleum (LON:DES).

Oil fields seldom exist in isolation, Sinclair commented.

The Sea Lion discovery validated the geological model of the basin and de-risked Desire's adjacent prospects. In fact, it actually added another prospect - Elaine - to the Desire portfolio.

The successful test of Sea Lion indicates a potentially commercial project which would help the viability of other discoveries in the area..............

required field - 20 Sep 2010 16:42 - 2717 of 6294

If the target is 450p....we are past that and 500p target....very close to that today,.. 487p at one time...might go further short term...or not.....problem is lack of big news for perhaps several months now.....with action switching to the risky DES well.....(RKH...hold a smallish percentage).....

cynic - 20 Sep 2010 16:48 - 2718 of 6294

everyone switching to DES???? ...... i don't think so!!!

required field - 20 Sep 2010 16:52 - 2719 of 6294

Then DES is a short.....(what a deramper I am today)....dear oh ! dear....

Proselenes - 20 Sep 2010 16:59 - 2720 of 6294

Merrill Lynch - 700p target price - the only broker who appears to properly, at this stage, value the company and its prospects.

Thank goodness its also the biggest one and the one that carries real weight.

:)

cynic - 20 Sep 2010 16:59 - 2721 of 6294

you only say that because it coincides with your own wishes

halifax - 20 Sep 2010 17:07 - 2722 of 6294

cynic even the brokers are ramping this one, RKH would have a market cap of 1.3b if the sp goes to 7 that is 50% greater than AFR which is already producing 20000bopd does that make sense look at the geography and estimate the cost of recovering the oil, it seems to us that exuberance has taken over and we all know what usually follows.

gildph - 20 Sep 2010 17:25 - 2723 of 6294

what reserves has afren got and what other potential finds are looming?

markymar - 20 Sep 2010 17:30 - 2724 of 6294

gildph try the Afren thread this is the RKH thread
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