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Amerisur Reources : Sth. American Oil/Gas explorer (AMER)     

Sharesure - 30 Jun 2007 18:48

Amerisur Resources is exploring for oil and gas in South America, currently in Colombia and later it plans to exploit its licences in Paraguay. It has a new Board of Directors and following a recent Placing at 6p (250m shares) sufficient cash to see through its current drilling plans and carry out some further corporate asset improvement opportunities.

Valuation of Amerisur Resources : 'Rule of Thumb' based on c.800m shares and using 10% DCF on oil at $70/barrel is 0.75p on the sp for every 1m barrels (CHP's share) that is proved in the ground.

Amerisur (formerly Chaco Resources) now has two exploration blocks in Colombia which it is currently evaluating and preparing to drill, one of these in the last quarter of 2007. It has also applied for further blocks in Colombia which are also believed to offer near term production. It also has three substantial areas in Paraguay and is awaiting news on a fourth. The next six months (May-November 2008) should see a steady news flow as it establishes the companys transformation from being an exploration company to becoming a significant oil production company. Set out below are some of the milestones which should produce announcements and have a positive effect on the share price. Any potential reserves are quoted in recoverable oil assets.



Platinillo, Colombia :

100% interest in a field currently assessed at holding 38.1m barrels of light sweet crude oil. Previously this a well flowed at 533 b/d before it was capped.Modern extraction methods may achieve up to double this output/well. Drilling completed for assessment and details of reserve figures and resumption of production daily figures awaited at Dec.2009. (Some guessestimates suggest the field might contain as much as 70m-100m barrels.)

b>



Tigra/Fenix block

100%% Further 3D seismic is completed; previous drilling has resulted in 30,000 barrels of oil from this block. Other blocks nearby in the Magdalena basin have also produced well. Drilled 11/2009; optimistic RNS (17 leads to follow)but reserve figures awaited

RNS :Expect further news on this block imminently and maybe a JV or other arrangement to speed up the timescale to production



Additional blocks to be announced

New local management team, in particular the CEO, is reputed to have some excellent contacts which will bring some high quality blocks to Amerisur in the coming months.

Curupayty Block, Paraguay :

1.39m hectares in north, close to Bolivia. Two wells previously drilled and both showed oil.

RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.



San Pedro Block, Paraguay :

1m hectares in south-east. Previous drilling showed oil.

RNS : Expect JV with larger producer.



Parana Basin, Paraguay :

Canindeyu block covering 1,789,000 hectares. Bordering Brazil. Oil field on Brazilian side already drilled. Chaco also expect to find oil and, at a deeper level, considerable quantities of gas. Chaco has obtained valuable historic seismic for re-evaluation.

RNS : Presidential Decree received 2/11/06.. Petrobras has announced its intention to increase substantially its effort to exploit Paraguay's hydrocarbons and has announced a farm-in on CDS's adjacent block. Possibility that they or another major will do likewise with Amerisur



Corporate Activity : The new Chairman is believed to have been brought on board to prove some or all of the existing Colombian assets and get these oil producing, arrange a JV on the Paraguayan assets before negotiating a sale of the company as consolidation of explorers in the region continues. An exit sp north of 1.00 over the next 12 months might be a reasonable target provided the drilling programme lives up to expectations, the price of oil remains at/above current levels and an approach is made for the company.

ptholden - 25 Jan 2011 19:06 - 2736 of 3289

Nas

At the end of the day arguing about semantics, I just don't see the reason to get overly excited because a few largish trades have gone through. Ultimately, if there's more buys than sells the SP will go up, which is exactly what has been happening over the last few months. Personally, I find AMER's investor relations appaling, but I guess that won't come as any surprise to the long term holders.

na sdaq - 25 Jan 2011 19:45 - 2737 of 3289

Pth

But surely, as you say, these large trades are important in the bigger picture as they are buys and are indicative of inst's taking a position.
Regarding amer investor relations it was going ok on fenix until all of a sudden they pulled the plug literally and then RBC took up the reins and hence we are here at 23p!!!!
Coincidence!!!!

ptholden - 25 Jan 2011 22:29 - 2738 of 3289

Unless I've missed the post, no one has mentioned that the SP has made a new all time high having broken out above 20-21p a few days ago. This follows the oft mentioned Golden Cross, usually a reliable indicator, but I would expect to see the SP retrace back to 21p or so before resuming its upward march. From a TA perpective, if it does retrace, 21p could be a good level to take a long position. I'm quite a fan of breakouts and will keep a much closer eye on proceedings.

aldwickk - 26 Jan 2011 08:49 - 2739 of 3289

Were is TFC ?

We seek him here , we seek him there

We seek that Frenchie every were

Is he in the sun or is in the cold

That damn elusive Frenchman

Balerboy - 26 Jan 2011 08:56 - 2740 of 3289

Not quite rhyming couplets but 5/10 for effort Ald.,.

yuff - 26 Jan 2011 09:24 - 2741 of 3289

pth-the price did not retrace to 21p today as you intimated-follow the golden cross and look additionally for the pennant breakout. It seems to have more legs in the short term than we initially thought.

However I am in long and staying long until we see 2 minimum. Fully expecting by year end maybe more-all depends on..................leave it to GC et al.

na sdaq - 26 Jan 2011 14:08 - 2742 of 3289

yuff

I think pth had a further look after yesterday and was impressed with the chart and predicted more upside subsequent to his earlier thoughts!

TFC

WHERE ARE YOU?

aldwickk - 26 Jan 2011 14:33 - 2743 of 3289

Am here hiding behind Aldwickk

na sdaq - 26 Jan 2011 17:57 - 2744 of 3289

tres bien

ptholden - 26 Jan 2011 18:12 - 2745 of 3289

Yuff

I didn't say there would be a retrace today, simply that following breakouts the SP often does retrace. Additionally, something I have noticed with Golden and Dead Crosses is the SP tendency to gravitate back towards the MAs once the pattern is complete. If it happens or not remans to be seen.

bhunt1910 - 27 Jan 2011 10:05 - 2746 of 3289

Here is the plan

1. Shares do a recommendation
2. Punters pile in
3 MM's push the price up dramatically
4. Punters see the rise - having been alerted by Shares Mag --More punters pile in - not wanting to miss the boat
5. MM's pull the rug out from under their feet and mark it down
6. PI's panic and sell at a loss
7. MM's rub hands in glee - fat profit, more shares
8. Normal service is resumed

annie38 - 27 Jan 2011 11:21 - 2747 of 3289

Barry: Yes looks exactly like that scenario. MM name of Baldrick ?

Oakapples142 - 27 Jan 2011 15:44 - 2748 of 3289


My experience (and portfolio) reflects that this "cunning plan" is rife with most small miners.

jkd - 27 Jan 2011 16:05 - 2749 of 3289

O142
perhaps then it is good to not get caught in the buying frenzy and buy only on a "reaction" or pullback as suggested by pth. also,if wrong, the stop loss can be placed at a more sensible and realistic level so as to cause as little harm or damage as possible.
regards and good luck.
jkd

bigwavedave - 01 Feb 2011 13:38 - 2750 of 3289

Daniel Stewart buy rating today. Target 32p.

http://www.stockmarketwire.com/display/?id=4071085&sectionId=standardNews

yuff - 01 Feb 2011 13:39 - 2751 of 3289

Nice one Dave

tudwick - 02 Feb 2011 12:10 - 2752 of 3289

What is that price based on though - current position of what's already known, or taking into account (guessed) results from the testing that's going on at the mo ?

bigwavedave - 02 Feb 2011 12:32 - 2753 of 3289

No idea Tud. Based on 2011 drilling success, I'd guess. Maybe someone who has seen the note can elucidate.

tudwick - 02 Feb 2011 12:44 - 2754 of 3289

Ok, fair enough.
I was hoping you'd say it was based on info already known, as I'm definitely hoping for much higher than 32p if the spudding proves sucessful

bhunt1910 - 02 Feb 2011 15:38 - 2755 of 3289

I asked Nick what the likely date for the AGM would be for this year, his response was that it had been penciled in for 9.30 on the 10th May at St Mellon.

It has been brought forward due to the change in the year end

Thought you might like to know as hotel rooms go pretty quickly

82 B&B - evening meal optional

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