niceonecyril
- 26 Dec 2011 18:34
HARRYCAT
- 12 Jan 2016 12:39
- 275 of 360
Barclays Capital today upgrades its investment rating on Genel Energy (LON:GENL) to overweight (from equal weight) and left its price target at 350p.
HARRYCAT
- 20 Jan 2016 08:04
- 277 of 360
StockMarketWire.com
Genel Energy is well positioned to weather the downturn and thrive when the oil cycle turns, chief executive Murat Ozgul says.
Ozgul says: ""2015 was a very challenging year for the oil industry, with pronounced oil price weakness which has continued into 2016. In addition, the funding of the security effort in northern Iraq, influx of refugees into the KRI and cessation of budget transfers from Baghdad continue to place a very significant strain on the KRG's finances.
"Against this backdrop, the recent receipt of four consecutive payments for pipeline exports is highly encouraging. These payments, totalling almost $100 million, have stabilised our receivable and maintained our healthy cash position. We recognise the efforts that the KRG has made to meet its commitments to IOCs in a very difficult economic environment. "With low oil prices expected to persist in the near-term, we have focused on cost control by cutting capital expenditure and overheads. With production costs of less than $2 per barrel, a robust cash position, low capital commitments and a material resource base, Genel is well positioned to weather the downturn and thrive when the oil cycle turns."
HARRYCAT
- 01 Feb 2016 13:51
- 278 of 360
Investec today reaffirms its buy investment rating on Genel Energy PLC (LON:GENL) and cut its price target to 230p (from 350p).
HARRYCAT
- 05 Feb 2016 08:57
- 279 of 360
StockMarketWire.com
Genel Energy has announced that the Taq Taq field partners have received a gross payment of $16.3 million from the Kurdistan Regional Government for oil exported through the Kurdistan Region of Iraq-Turkey pipeline.
Genel's share of the gross Taq Taq payment is $9 million. As the Ministry of Natural Resources announced on 1 February, the payment is based on the monthly production entitlement, inclusive of crude quality differentials compared to Brent and the deduction of applicable transportation charges and handling costs. Payments will be subject to full reconciliation with the terms of the production sharing contract in due course. An additional $3.2 million payment ($1.8 million net to Genel), equivalent to five percent of the gross monthly netback revenue of the field, has been made towards the recovery of the receivable. The KRG has stated that payments will be increased as oil prices rebound. In total, Genel received $10.8 million for the Taq Taq field for the month of January.
jimmy b
- 08 Feb 2016 10:18
- 280 of 360
Genel notes payment for KRI oil exports
StockMarketWire.com
Genel Energy has noted the announcement from DNO ASA, as operator of the Tawke field, that the Tawke field partners have received a gross payment of $17.99 million towards the monthly entitlement for January, for oil exported through the Kurdistan Region of Iraq-Turkey pipeline. An additional $3.46 million gross payment has been made towards the recovery of outstanding entitlements for past deliveries. The payments will be shared pro-rata by DNO and Genel.
At 8:14am: (LON:GENL) Genel Energy PLC share price was +3.5p at 121.5p
mitzy
- 09 Feb 2016 13:23
- 281 of 360
disaster beckons.
HARRYCAT
- 18 Feb 2016 10:06
- 282 of 360
Genel Energy will announce results for the year ended 31 December on 3rd March 2016.
HARRYCAT
- 29 Feb 2016 08:21
- 283 of 360
Taq Taq reserves update
Genel Energy issues the following announcement in respect of its reserves position at the Taq Taq field (Genel 44% working interest).
In its Trading and Operations Update on 20 January 2016, the Company announced that it was reviewing its Taq Taq reservoir model following production declines seen at the field during 2015.
The results of this internal review and the McDaniel & Associates ('McDaniel') Competent Person's Report ('CPR') on Taq Taq are now largely complete. The initial gross recoverable proven and probable ('2P') reserves (referred to in the industry as Estimated Ultimate Recovery, or EUR) estimated by McDaniel for Taq Taq are summarised in the table below:
Proven plus Probable (2P)
EUR as of 30 June 20111 , mmbbls683
EUR as of 31 December 2015, mmbbls 356
1. original McDaniel Taq Taq CPR (effective 30 June 2011)
As of 31 December 2015, the Taq Taq field had produced 184 mmbbls gross. The remaining gross recoverable 2P reserves estimate as of 31 December 2015 is therefore:
Proven plus Probable (2P) Reserves as of 31 December, mmbbls 172
The vast majority of the original Taq Taq oil in place was reservoired within fractures in Cretaceous carbonate formations. The Cretaceous has three principal producing units - the Qamchuqa, Kometan and Shiranish - with the Shiranish being the shallowest interval. Genel's internal Taq Taq review and the CPR process have focused on the fracture porosity within the Shiranish reservoir. Both processes have utilised recently acquired data to establish that the fracture porosity within the Shiranish is lower than estimated in the original McDaniel CPR dated 30 June 2011.
The updated McDaniel CPR will be completed shortly.
Genel currently anticipates that gross Taq Taq production will average c.80,000 bopd in 2016. Gross Taq Taq production is currently estimated at 65-75,000 bopd and 50-70,000 bopd in 2017 and 2018 respectively.
The Company's production guidance of 60-70,000 bopd for 2016 is unchanged.
Genel expects to record an impairment, subject to audit, of approximately $1 billion to the Taq Taq field carrying value in its 2015 accounts. The impairment includes the revised assumptions on recoverable reserves announced today and the impact of lower oil prices.
HARRYCAT
- 29 Feb 2016 11:32
- 284 of 360
Barclays comment:
"Our view: Although a reserve downgrade at Taq Taq was previously flagged and therefore should have been widely anticipated, we believe the scale of the cut is likely to surprise many investors. Trading at a 48% discount to our current 237p/share Core NAV, versus a peer group average premium to Core NAV of 9% we believe the stock was already pricing in a significant portion of the reserve cut.
Taq Taq gross 2P reserves have been reduced from 683mmbbls to 356mmbbls on an estimated ultimate recovery basis. With 184mmbbls produced by the end of 2015, remaining gross 2P reserves now stand at 172mmbbls. The cut – following an internal review and updated Competent Person’s Report – therefore represents a 65% cut in remaining 2P reserves versus the current assumption within our Genel NAV. We have previously stated that a 25% cut in reserves would result in a ~20% reduction in our valuation of the asset – Genel’s 44% stake in Taq Taq is the company’s most material asset within our 320p/share Tangible NAV.
Genel expect completion of the updated CPR shortly, but have stated the reserve downgrade should have no impact on 2016 production guidance of 60-70,000b/d. Taq Taq is forecast to produce 80,000b/d gross in 2016, but is then scheduled to decline in 2017-18. Our current valuation assumes a ramp-up to ~150,000b/d.
The reserve update combined with a lower oil price outlook is set to result in a ~$1bn impairment charge on the asset in Genel’s FY15 results, due to be published on 3 March."
HARRYCAT
- 29 Feb 2016 11:33
- 285 of 360
CitiBank comment:
"Significant downgrade to reserves at its core Taq Taq asset.
Genel has reduced the expected gross ultimate recovery from its Taq Taq field from 683mbbls to 356mbbls due to revised assumptions on the fracture porosity within the Shiranish reservoir at the field. As a result of this reserve downgrade, Genel also expects to record an impairment of c.US$1bn due to a lower carrying value for the Taq Taq field in its FY15 results, which is c.28% of its current equity value. Our Buy-case on Genel was based on a view that despite the political uncertainties in the Kurdistan region, Genel held a significant low cost resource base that was undervalued and remained relevant to the wider industry. However, the news today changes this investment thesis and also makes it more challenging for Genel to fund its Miran gas development, in our view. We reduce our core NAV to 120p/share and downgrade Genel Energy to Neutral/High Risk (2H).
Recoverable resource at the Tawke field will be questioned
The cut to the Taq Taq resource base creates increased uncertainty on the underlying assumptions (and ultimate resource recovery) at the DNO-operated Tawke field. DNO is currently preparing an updated resource report for the Tawke field. We have increased the risking of the valuation of the Tawke field to 85% (from 90%) in our Genel NAV.
Ability to fund its major gas development becomes more challenging
With a significant cut to reserves and consequently future cashflows from its core Taq Taq field, we believe the ability for Genel to finance the development of its Miran/Bina Bawi gas development becomes more challenging. Genel has estimated upstream capex of c.US$1bn before first gas. We have moved our valuation of Genel’s gas development from core NAV to base NAV given this uncertainty.
Updating NAV and estimates, downgrading to Neutral
We have lowered our core NAV to 120p/share to reflect the lower reserves at Taq Taq, increased risking of the Tawke field moving the Miran/Bina Bawi gas field into base NAV. With continued political uncertainty (and ongoing pipeline issues), we believe Genel could trade at a discount to core NAV in the near-term."
mitzy
- 29 Feb 2016 12:26
- 286 of 360
Stay clear this could be 25p sometime.
HARRYCAT
- 29 Feb 2016 13:44
- 287 of 360
Investec today reaffirms its buy investment rating on Genel Energy PLC (LON:GENL) and raised its price target to 245p (from 230p).
pim
- 29 Feb 2016 23:29
- 288 of 360
Is - HARRY - out of pocket already with today's buys?
a little bird told me he bought today two lots average under 80p
silly boy wait for tomorrow, the rule is buy the second day of falling heavily
HARRYCAT
- 01 Mar 2016 08:33
- 289 of 360
No mentor.......Harry didn't buy recently.....he bought ages ago at a much higher price. Fortunately only a small stake so can wait awhile before averaging down.
cynic
- 01 Mar 2016 08:36
- 290 of 360
oh, so is the serial abuser back again under yet another alias?
jimmy b
- 01 Mar 2016 08:38
- 291 of 360
mentor got so hammered on several stocks that he just vanished ,after telling everyone else they were stupid. :)
VICTIM
- 01 Mar 2016 08:40
- 292 of 360
I wondered what happened to him .
cynic
- 01 Mar 2016 08:41
- 293 of 360
i suspect he still posts under that moniker on advfn, but as i restrict myself to a single thread there, and he hasn't infected that, i'm not certain
HARRYCAT
- 01 Mar 2016 10:55
- 294 of 360
JP Morgan Cazenove today reaffirms its overweight investment rating on Genel Energy PLC (LON:GENL) and cut its price target to 248p (from 410p).