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Highland Gold (HGM)     

keith thomas - 17 Jan 2004 21:29

Anyone have any views on whether this share is going anywhere??


Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HGM&Si

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 00:28 - 28 of 181

Backed by broker Buys aswell.

cynic - 29 May 2009 06:46 - 29 of 181

using a more simplistic chart, i think i would want to see sp move sharply above 55 before a breakout can be called ..... that said, downside looks fairly limited

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HGM&SiChart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HGM&Si

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 08:14 - 30 of 181

Nice charts old mate. Nice to hear from you again.

Not been here as much as would have liked as per usual making 'loads err money'.

Happen to think its one of the best patterns ive seen for many a month, look at the time it took to form, thats the clue as to how strong the breakout will be.

cynic - 29 May 2009 08:22 - 31 of 181

not sure what i think of gold at the moment and don't hold any gold mining shares, but may well change my mind ..... glad to have called crude prices reasonably well when all about us were forecasting $30 and lower

btw, i still like CEY as a minnow miner

cynic - 29 May 2009 08:27 - 32 of 181

just noted wide spread +/-4p and very low liquidity with 5000 being EMS

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 09:10 - 33 of 181

Yep but that spreds being manipulated at the moment by the MMs, give it time and theyl let go.

Good call on crude cyners.

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 09:32 - 34 of 181

From a fundies point of view everything looks in place for a smart re rating here.......

forward P/E of just over 8.4 way undervalued IMHO......

Highland Gold Mining Ltd

FORECASTS
2009 2010

Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Arbuthnot Securities [R]
28-05-09 NEUT 31.02 6.89 27.36 5.53

Fox Davies Capital
28-05-09 BUY 4.42 5.85

Investec Securities [R]
22-04-09 BUY 20.24 4.68 22.34 4.68

Alfa Bank
11-11-08 UREV

2009 2010
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 0.00 4.42 0.00 0.00 5.85 0.00
1 Month Change -26.89 -0.48 -25.44 1.17
3 Month Change -26.11 -0.38 -25.08 1.17


GROWTH
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)

Norm. EPS 163.68% -49.19% 32.35%
DPS % % %

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)

EBITDA 73.77m 33.47m 40.44m

EBIT 64.22m m m

Dividend Yield % % %

Dividend Cover x x x

PER 5.69x 11.20x 8.46x

PEG 0.04f -0.23f 0.26f

Net Asset Value PS 68.96p p p

cynic - 29 May 2009 10:10 - 35 of 181

quite right .... spread is now sensible and have taken a modest plunge, prob just to trade in/out

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 13:44 - 36 of 181

Good to have you on board cyners.

cynic - 29 May 2009 13:49 - 38 of 181

well young sticky, my simple mind reckons that, assuming current sp level can be held - i.e. just about through 200 dma - 60p may prove something of a hurdle

goldfinger - 29 May 2009 14:44 - 39 of 181

It has done in the past but resistance im sure will be murdered this time around with gold SP flying along.

goldfinger - 13 Aug 2009 09:45 - 40 of 181

Highland gold Mining hgm

Surely this time we will have a break through 60p, note how many times before its failed but this time we have a ascending triangle chart pattern supporting the case.

Slight resistance at 80p and then all the way up to 160p plus through the autumn and into next year?.

goldfinger - 14 Aug 2009 10:20 - 41 of 181

Looking hot this morning is this the breakaway???????????????????

jkd - 20 Aug 2009 14:24 - 42 of 181

gf
just to surprise you, i did actually buy a small quantity of these some time ago. added today, maybe a little prematurely but using money management to try to help keep me in without an overall loss. may or may not work.small and boring and adding makes for limited risk and big potential profit.
good luck to you.
regards
jkd

goldfinger - 10 Sep 2009 09:04 - 43 of 181

Up to date Broker recommendations on highland....

Highland Gold Mining Ltd

FORECASTS
2009 2010

Date Rec Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Investec Securities
08-09-09 BUY 19.92 0.05 41.95 0.09

Arbuthnot Securities [R]
08-09-09 NEUT 28.07 6.23 24.76 5.01

Fox Davies Capital
07-08-09 BUY 3.52 9.84

Fairfax IS
06-08-09 BUY

Alfa Bank
11-11-08 UREV

2009 2010
Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p) Pre-tax () EPS (p) DPS (p)

Consensus 19.92 1.78 41.95 4.95
1 Month Change 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.18
3 Month Change 19.92 -2.64 41.95 -0.90


GROWTH
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)

Norm. EPS 163.68% -79.54% 178.09%
DPS % % %

INVESTMENT RATIOS
2008 (A) 2009 (E) 2010 (E)

EBITDA 73.77m 29.74m 53.70m

EBIT 64.22m m m

Dividend Yield % % %

Dividend Cover x x x

PER 8.62x 42.14x 15.15x

PEG 0.05f -0.53f 0.08f

Net Asset Value PS 68.96p p p

required field - 10 Sep 2009 09:07 - 44 of 181

Looks a good one...should head up to the 100p mark as long as gold holds up.

goldfinger - 06 Oct 2009 15:15 - 45 of 181

Moving through 80p resistance.

goldfinger - 06 Oct 2009 15:19 - 46 of 181

with support at 75p.

Looks like a good point to enter long now.....

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=HGM&Si

goldfinger - 06 Oct 2009 15:34 - 47 of 181

Worth a read about the SP of Gold....

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=a04.EcuZo5ko
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