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How far down will they go (LLOY)     

mojo47 - 16 Aug 2007 13:54

any one got a feelling in their water how far LLoyds will go looking to to buy but just dont know when they are low enough

cynic - 20 Jan 2009 15:34 - 281 of 483

LLOY seems to have hit a ceiling/resistance at 50 but equally seems unwilling to fall below +/-45, at least for the moment ..... there is an apparent low of 33 but my guess is that that just reflects some of the nonsense prices one sees when the stock is suspended and in auction, as has happened several times today

hangon - 20 Jan 2009 16:14 - 282 of 483

Let's call some reality...ignore the possibilty/probability of ONE bank being Nationalised ( that's bad news Politically).
Banks are unwilling to lend at any price.
Banks are being encouraged to lend at modest-rates (a reflection of low Bank-Rate).
So where are the Bank's profits?
1) Very little short-term due to Government restrictions/preference shares and so on.
2)Not much long-term - since no-one that doesn't have to will borrow elsewhere, OR not at all.

If that's the case . . . . why buy Bank stocks as others are selling-out?
And the fall encourages further sells . . . . doing exactly what "Shorters" anticipated.

So, until Banks are able to anticipate Profits, expect more Bad . . . . and get-out before everyone else.

BARC claims their profits are hunky-dorey - - - well they may be - but so what? Will they continue to make profits - out of "thin air" ? Especially when theiy borrowed at a stonking-rate. I imagine this hasn't worked its way through, but soon BARC will be working for the Lenders and shareholders will get Zippo.

Just depends on yr viewpoint....of the next 6-months, eh?
All IMHO...DYOR.

cynic - 20 Jan 2009 16:17 - 283 of 483

have now top-sliced at 44.70 and taken a very nice profit on the lump i bought this morning.

sp is now trying hard to head lower again, so i shall sit with the balance and watch

hangon - 20 Jan 2009 16:24 - 284 of 483

You are right cynic . . how did you manage to make a profit? Hats off.
It is unbelievable that you can buy LLOY for 42pence, =the cost of a packet of bisuits.

mitzy - 20 Jan 2009 16:25 - 285 of 483

And reverse 42 and you get 24p thats my target.

cynic - 20 Jan 2009 16:31 - 286 of 483

by being short (and old, ugly, bald and bow-legged!)

maestro - 20 Jan 2009 16:34 - 287 of 483

piled in short... 20p target

spitfire43 - 20 Jan 2009 18:52 - 288 of 483

I guess at some point when small investors have sold out, and the hedge funds have driven the sp down we could see a large bounce. The prices are becoming so low that there can only be limited milage left in going short.

It looks like game over for rbs, but I can't see lloy or barc being nationalized, this wouldn't even be in the interests of aggressive hedge funds who may be happy to drive the price down.

Question is what price would they change position and buy stock on the cheap for long term, we can't be far from this position now. I noted that lloy touched 34p today with rsi at 20 and barc 75p at rsi 30.

So 20p for lloy could be a target at which point I will have a investment (gamble).

Any opinions......

mitzy - 20 Jan 2009 21:31 - 289 of 483

Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=LLOY&S

Great chart.

maestro - 21 Jan 2009 07:51 - 290 of 483

faster freefall than the twin towers http://www.checktheevidence.com

hlyeo98 - 21 Jan 2009 08:15 - 291 of 483

With compliments of Gordon Brown.

mitzy - 21 Jan 2009 09:40 - 292 of 483

Wont be long now.

required field - 21 Jan 2009 09:44 - 293 of 483

Never thought that we would see a drop of this magnitude !.

cynic - 21 Jan 2009 09:58 - 294 of 483

sp is all over the place ..... has been tradable as low as 34/35 today and as high as about 44

hangon - 21 Jan 2009 13:44 - 295 of 483

It is difficult to imagine the Market is so very wrong - or - are we all being hearded into the "sell" lobbby?
At these prices it looks as though there is a distinct possibility of Nationalisation, i.e. Shareholdeers wiped-out!
Yikes, that's worse than the wreckage creaked by Directors...!

+I want to know when we are going to see some collars felt.....why is there no blame being directed at Directors of Major FTSE Companies...?
EDIT - Oh and the Auditors who take huge Fees and appear to miss black-holes.

cynic - 21 Jan 2009 13:54 - 296 of 483

put another way ..... sp has recovered a bit ..... yesterday there was a distinct resistance at 45 so shall look to go short again at that level

Falcothou - 21 Jan 2009 14:10 - 297 of 483

Hangon the public either don't realise future tax implications or are too sedated on Horse tranquilizer to care! As Market ticker is fond of ranting the public need to make a stand to get banks to declare their dirty washing and the plutocrats that created the mess to fall on their swords.How people can get years inside for holding up a post office for a few hundred pounds and others paid off in millions for destroying the prospects for several generations is incredible until you assess who holds the power and where their interests lie. The Patriot's club by Christopher Reich is a good read as are some of the old Harold Robbins books if you don't get distracted by the frottage as he experienced and wrote about the depression and people's dislike of the bankers!At least there will not be a brain drain to finance for a while which may foster some innovation in industry if they don't all flee abroad to earn a more credible currency!

jackmike - 21 Jan 2009 16:01 - 298 of 483

Lloyds Group and RBS will be nationalised before the market opens on Monday -

A confidant of the Prime Minister today urged that RBS and Lloyds be fully nationalised to prevent their total collapse. John McFall, chairman of the Commons Treasury Select Committee, said the state should step in 'for the sake of financial stability'.
Mr McFall, who made his plea jointly with leading private equity chief Jon Moulton, warned that the banks would be crippled by uncertainty without 100% nationalisation.




cynic - 21 Jan 2009 16:35 - 299 of 483

if what you say is true, then i am amazed that LLOY performed as well as it did - i.e. no move overall on the day

halifax - 21 Jan 2009 16:40 - 300 of 483

Isn't it typical of "died in the wool" scottish old labour MP's to call for nationalisation, what next? Pay that we have an English Parliament soon.
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