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Xcite Energy - North Sea Heavy Oil (XEL)     

Proselenes - 22 Oct 2009 11:14

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markymar - 07 Sep 2012 08:25 - 2878 of 3002

http://www.spreadbetmagazine.com/blog/

Xcite Energy finally issues positive update on Bentley field

Posted on Friday, September 7, 2012 at 7:54AM


After a wait of over a month since the last operational update, Xcite Energy issued an RNS this morning on the progress of the Bentley North Sea field extended well test.

The company has sold in excess of 135,000 barrels of Bentley crude, with pricing better than the Company's assumption of anticipated discount to Brent (modelled at 12%) for the conservative full field economics.

The pre-production flow test continues to be conducted in line with the Company's expectations and is approaching the end of its planned programme. It is expected to be concluded within the next two weeks, with additional crude oil production in this period included as part of the sold cargo. The original target for production was at least 45,000 barrels, so a very strong result.

So with the test completed by the end of September and the Rowan Norway rig off hire in October, plenty for the management team to get their teeth stuck into. Firstly there's the submission of the revised field development approval to DECC, modelling of the new reservoir data which may lead to a reserves upgrade by the end of 2012 and then the start of farm in discussions to finalise the funding of phase 1b of Bentley production.

With the extended well test seeming to be a great success and the data package looking encouraging, Xcite may be looking more enticing than ever for a potential acquirer.

For long term shareholders, it is a great shame that DECC threw out the original field development plan submitted in 2011, since Bentley would now be producing crude oil at substantial quantities. The set back means that full production is still more than a year off.

The shares are up 2.5% percent right now, but a catalyst for a major rise may not be apparent for some time unless a bid emerges given the need to complete a farm in and get the necessary approvals.

So far so good for the revised management team, following the retirement of CEO Richard Smith - now to deliver DECC approval and get the replacement rig for the Rowan Norway ordered as soon as possible given the 12-18 month lead time for delivery.

Contrarian investor UK

markymar - 10 Sep 2012 10:52 - 2879 of 3002

http://www.spreadbetmagazine.com/blog

North Sea oil gold rush - risk:reward ratio improves further for investors

The North Sea oil sector had a boost this week when the Government announced further tax breaks to companies working over older oilfields in order to enhance production - a welcome change from the dark days of 2010 when the Government was seeking to do the opposite and hobble the industry!

Often with AIM and FTSE350 companies there are many pitfalls to cross – the sheer lack of finance available has hindered both exploration and the all important move to “first oil” for many companies. However, over the last few months, M&A activity has been in the ascendance. This week Edison Investment Research published a piece of analysis (Link here - http://www.edisoninvestmentresearch.co.uk/research/sector-commentary/#a-8272) in which they noted that since their previous review of the sector that, of the dozen players in the North Sea region that can be invested in, 6 have been approached or taken over in 2012. Whilst some of these companies like Encore and Nautical Petroleum effectively had to call time on their efforts to go it alone and accept offers some way below their potential value – they still managed to sell for between $8-12 dollars a barrel which is a not too bad return for investors. In fact this seems to be the benchmark level for North Sea players in takeovers.

Despite the massive money printing exercises and bond buying by the major central banks, capital markets access remains tight however. What is noticeable in recent months though and encouraging for shareholders is that management of these companies are themselves now balking at further equity dilutions as they are finding their holdings being diluted too much. One prime example is Xcite Energy which has seen the decimation of its share price due to perpetual equity and attached warrant issuance and so structured a $155m RBL lending deal recently. Bearing in mind the corporate acquisition benchmark of an average around $10 to the barrel, and a typical undisturbed share price prior to acquisition of a discount of around 50% to $10 , this would imply an enterprise value of less than $6.50 per barrel being a good investment proposition. Xcite currently trades for around $4.80 a barrel implying 20% upside just to harmonise with the peer group. If one is optimistic on the Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR) in relation to the believed 550m boe in Bentley then a share price meaningfully higher than 200p can be postulated in the event of a takeout.

Ithaca Energy, itself a successful producer, turned down an offer at 205p just a couple of months ago and promptly saw its share price halve and only recover today to 140p. This turning down of the bid does however demonstrate that as the field of companies suitable for take-over shrinks that those companies that address their intermediate funding needs are getting more pricing power when the raiders come knocking.

Below is the list of companies and their current resources that are listed on the FTSE and AIM markets. Of the North Sea players there are only a handful left in the smaller market – Enquest, Ithaca, Xcite, Serica, Faroe and Premier Oil. Premier is established enough that is an unlikely takeover target and indeed may in fact be a consolidator.

The lack of targets left in this politically stable, proven area of Oil exploration and, with easy access to the market and plentiful infrastructure, will help to underpin the prices of these remaining companies for sometime to come in our opinion. In fact, it is only a matter of time until the major players take out another few of these.

dreamcatcher - 10 Sep 2012 16:18 - 2880 of 3002

Another 25 - 30p and I will :-))

cynic - 10 Sep 2012 16:22 - 2881 of 3002

at least my current holding is now nicely in the money, albeit i'm sure i must have lost a fair bit somewhere in the the past - unless i was astute enough to bank sufficient profit en route (can't remember!)

HARRYCAT - 10 Sep 2012 16:24 - 2882 of 3002

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dreamcatcher - 12 Sep 2012 07:06 - 2883 of 3002

Xcite to present at World Heavy Oil Conference
RNS
RNS Number : 0464M
Xcite Energy Limited
12 September 2012



NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION IN WHOLE OR IN PART DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY IN, INTO OR FROM ANY JURISDICTION WHERE TO DO SO WOULD CONSTITUTE A VIOLATION OF THE RELEVANT LAWS OR REGULATIONS OF SUCH JURISDICTION



LSE-AIM, TSX-V: XEL







12th September 2012



Xcite Energy Limited

("Xcite Energy" or the "Company")





Xcite Energy to present at the World Heavy Oil Conference 2012





Xcite Energy announces that it will be presenting at the World Heavy Oil Conference 2012, taking place in Aberdeen until 13th September, at which Xcite Energy is a sponsor. Mr Steve Kew, Chief Operating Officer of Xcite Energy, will today present on the history and background of the Bentley field, and on Thursday, 13th September, Mr Barny Brennan, Director of Subsurface of Xcite Energy, will present on the pre-2012 appraisal of the field.


mnamreh - 12 Sep 2012 07:09 - 2884 of 3002

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dreamcatcher - 12 Sep 2012 07:11 - 2885 of 3002

Oh, lol ----"no new information will be provided"

chuckles - 14 Sep 2012 15:45 - 2886 of 3002

Keeps on trundling up. Nice

chuckles - 17 Sep 2012 12:59 - 2887 of 3002

And more, think I was accused of ramping xel!
Fogl only down 30% since that comment was made, Xcite heading towards 75% up in the same timeframe. Now this stock has value :)

Balerboy - 17 Sep 2012 14:04 - 2888 of 3002

They have OIL!! and easy toget to.,. lol

dreamcatcher - 18 Sep 2012 18:59 - 2889 of 3002

Xcite about 4 mins into talk


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1HpCk_m18Dc

mnamreh - 20 Sep 2012 07:13 - 2890 of 3002

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niceonecyril - 20 Sep 2012 07:38 - 2891 of 3002

Commenting on today's announcement, Rupert Cole, Xcite Energy CEO, said:



"We are extremely pleased with the outcome of the Phase 1A work programme, which has exceeded our expectations. We have gathered very substantial quantities of high quality data, which has materially de-risked the project. This will enable us to confirm the full field development plan and advance our commercial strategy. As a result of the expertise within the Xcite team, supported by our contractors and service providers, we have safely delivered an outstanding pre-production well test on Bentley, one of the largest remaining, undeveloped North Sea oil fields."

markymar - 20 Sep 2012 07:47 - 2892 of 3002

I thought we might of got an upgrade on the field size........i dont see why we have not with all the work been carried out on the field.

But still good news.

dreamcatcher - 20 Sep 2012 08:05 - 2893 of 3002

Just watching the sells going through, crazy.

markymar - 20 Sep 2012 08:07 - 2894 of 3002

Some very postive wording in RNS so am happy holding

Might buy a few more on the bounce to stick in my Isa for this year

The SP is all over one second bid at 123p then 126p

cynic - 20 Sep 2012 08:08 - 2895 of 3002

very dull, but as it's a bit of a stinky day anyway, it'll be exacerbated by peeps selling on the news

markymar - 20 Sep 2012 08:16 - 2896 of 3002

The bounce so taken a few for ISA

markymar - 20 Sep 2012 09:27 - 2897 of 3002

Bought to early again.........hay ho
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