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SOCO INTERNATIONAL, The Oil Company The Market Forgot. (SIA)     

goldfinger - 29 Sep 2004 11:11

Right I havent beleived in investing directly in an oil company untill today and in the last few months have been investing in OIL SERVICE companys Hamworthy and Corac, you know the picks and shovels tale.

Anyway after doing a lot of research I really feel that SOCO INTERNATIONAL SIA as been left behind in the mass bull market on oil companies.

Forget, Burren, Regal, Dana and the rest in my opinion this is the one to be on.

So.....why buy Soco now?

Four inter-related reasons:

1) Newsflow is now very much in sight on several fronts. None of it has yet emerged though, so analysts have yet to revisit their old views and recommendations. There was, and indeed remains, a chance to get in before serious interest picks up again.

2) There is, IMO, a decent chance of some very large price rises within the next 6 months, accompanied by increased downside protection. Once newsflow starts, the shares will come back onto institutional radar screens - you can wait for it to emerge, or you can speculate now at what I think will prove to be a lower price -perhaps much lower!

3) The market thinks there is nothing happening and has gone to sleep on the prospects. You can see this in the broadly sideways drift and very low volumes on most days [until this week]. They are wrong. Yemen and perhaps Mongolia should provide some near-term good news.

4) The time to buy is when no-one else seems very interested.

And heres the last results from the company......................

Soco International PLC
02 September 2004

SOCO International plc

Interim Results for the six months ended 30 June 2004

SOCO is an international oil and gas exploration and production company,
headquartered in London. The Company has interests in Vietnam, Mongolia, Yemen,
Libya, Tunisia and Thailand, with production operations in Yemen, Tunisia and
Mongolia. SOCO today announces interim results for the half year ended 30 June
2004.

HIGHLIGHTS

Operating profit of 4.1 million (2003: 4.2 million)

Net profit of 2.0 million (2003: 2.5 million)

Earnings per share of 2.9p (2003: 3.6p)

Cash balance of 26.7 million at half year end

Finalised the sale of an interest in ODEX creating a consortium of SOCO
(34%), Oilinvest (46%) and Gazprombank (20%) in the special purpose
entity to progress initiatives in Libya and other countries

Continued reinterpretation of existing 3D seismic and acquisition of 650
sq km of new 3D seismic in Vietnam prior to commencement of drilling in
Q1 2005

3D seismic programme completed in Mongolia with two wells drilled, both
apparent discoveries, and a third well spudded

First ever deviated Basement well drilling in East Shabwa in Yemen



Ed Story, President and Chief Executive of SOCO, said:

'Following an extended period of quiet preparation, the release of interim
results coincides with the commencement of a very active drilling programme for
SOCO, one that I believe has company transforming potential'

2 September 2004

ENQUIRIES:
SOCO International plc Tel: 020 7457 2020 (today)ENDS.

This could really be a craking stock and is worth getting in at these lowly price figures.

Please DYOR

cheers GF.



gavdfc - 01 Mar 2005 07:59 - 290 of 636

Thanks for the link SWW. I think it's either this or next Wednesday when the new entrants are announced.

Big Al - 01 Mar 2005 08:21 - 291 of 636

Nice link sw and just what might move it higher, gav. ;-))

Might explain the big late trades coming in most days.

Big Al - 01 Mar 2005 09:03 - 292 of 636

I believe the FTSE Review is next Tuesday's (8th March) closing prices

gavdfc - 01 Mar 2005 10:41 - 293 of 636

Thanks for that Al. So I would assume that there would be an announcement advising of the changes by the LSE. May even get a mention on Working Lunch next week if we make it! ;-)

Big Al - 01 Mar 2005 11:06 - 294 of 636

gav

I think the committee sits Wednesday and any changes come into effect on Friday 18th.

gavdfc - 01 Mar 2005 11:09 - 295 of 636

Many thanks for that Al, cheers. If you hold until the 18th, this will have been a long term hold for you then! ;-)

Big Al - 01 Mar 2005 11:59 - 296 of 636

Indeed!

Thought we'd be in the 550-600p region by now though. ;-))

gavdfc - 01 Mar 2005 15:51 - 297 of 636

6 quid by Easter then Al! ;-) Here come some more of the larger sized trades again as per yesterday.

Big Al - 01 Mar 2005 16:01 - 298 of 636

Big boys psotioning themselves prior to 350 entry? You might also find smaller funds cashing in as it's rarely one-way traffic.

gavdfc - 01 Mar 2005 16:09 - 299 of 636

You could be right Al, or it could be something else, who knows. Us little un's are always the last to know!

If it is funds them Im assuming that some funds will have to buy a comp that enters, eg - certain types of trackers?

Big Al - 01 Mar 2005 16:14 - 300 of 636

Precisely.

CNE was a classic example last year. I notice they may fall out of the FTSE and into the 250 next week.

BTW, SIA is quite illiquid for this kind of level. You may find the bigger shareholders and directors lobbing some their way. Time will tell.

gavdfc - 01 Mar 2005 16:28 - 301 of 636

Agree re the illiquidity, I had thought about that. I would say that that was one of the reasons why we moved up so quickly last year and at times, dealing limits are so small. When good news did come out, it was hard to get amounts of stock. Will be interesting to see what happens if some of the big boys want in and the directors or Pontoil dont sell them any stock.

seawallwalker - 02 Mar 2005 15:05 - 302 of 636

Flurry of little people selling?

gavdfc - 02 Mar 2005 15:08 - 303 of 636

Probably Americans SWW from looking at the time when some sells came in. No news out to trigger it though.

seawallwalker - 02 Mar 2005 15:09 - 304 of 636

Not that I can see, so back to watching.

gavdfc - 02 Mar 2005 15:17 - 305 of 636

Couple of delayed sells came through so perhaps they kicked it off. Case of follow the leader, 1 sells then another... Or maybe a few jumping out of here and into BFC since they came out with a good RNS around the same time. Just some thoughts.

gavdfc - 02 Mar 2005 15:33 - 306 of 636

Just to add, since it's Wednesday, US oil inventories are out at 3.30 so perhaps a few US holders spooked by that. Who knows really!

Big Al - 02 Mar 2005 15:40 - 307 of 636

I'll worry if 515p goes. Not much volume (yet!)

gavdfc - 02 Mar 2005 15:47 - 308 of 636

The volume of sales doesn't seem to look too heavy to me. Interesting that you say 515 Al, any reason for that? Would that be some Fib level from it's recent high or do you just see that as a support level? Don't really know too much about TA.

Big Al - 02 Mar 2005 16:00 - 309 of 636

Just the last level it was at, gav. Not like me to have lobbed the CFD's now, but wanting to see if the 250 thing happens. You're right volume is lowish, but I'll look again at end of day.
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