cynic
- 21 Jan 2016 10:19
- 291 of 314
for my sins, i've got this in my sipp where it is (almost of course) nursing a beastly loss
while it's good to see sp bounce 10%, it remains a very long way south of its all-time highs
at least the leisure industry (cycling) is becoming ever more popular
Chris Carson
- 09 Jul 2016 20:27
- 293 of 314
Chris Carson
- 09 Jul 2016 20:28
- 294 of 314
LATEST BROKER VIEWS
Date Broker New target Recomm.
8 Jul Investec 390.00 Buy
5 Jul JP Morgan... 360.00 Neutral
5 Jul Liberum Capital 290.00 Sell
2 Jun Beaufort... N/A Buy
2 Jun HSBC 480.00 Buy
2 Jun JP Morgan... 380.00 Neutral
2 Jun Citigroup 430.00 Neutral
1 Jun Haitong... 391.00 Neutral
25 May HSBC 490.00 Buy
24 May Canaccord... 405.00 Buy
Broker Recommendations for Halfords Group
dreamcatcher
- 09 Jul 2016 20:40
- 295 of 314
A couple of lines in this weeks Shares mag Chris - Drizzly conditions will have been unfavourable for Halfords(HFD) cycling sales, though potentially a boom for its car maintenance categories.
Chris Carson
- 09 Jul 2016 21:07
- 296 of 314
Thanks dc.
Chris Carson
- 12 Jul 2016 15:11
- 297 of 314
Initial target 340p reached, can it push on?
Chris Carson
- 14 Jul 2016 07:42
- 298 of 314
Key points
· Group revenue +2.1%, with Retail +1.5% and Autocentres +5.9%
· Adjusting for the timing of Easter, LFL revenue was Group 0.0%, Retail -0.2% and Autocentres +1.7%
· A robust Motoring performance, with Car Maintenance growth led by bulbs, blades, batteries and new product and service offerings
· Car Enhancement was impacted by a further decline in sat nav sales, partially offset by strong dash cam sales
· Strong performance in Travel Solutions led by double digit growth in child safety seats
· Good sales growth of premium bikes, although Cycling sales overall were impacted by both the timing of Easter and poor weather in April and late June affecting the timing of mainstream bike and PACs purchases
· Tredz performing well since acquisition
· Service-related sales grew by 15%, with growth across all services including 3B fitting and cycle repair
· 11th consecutive quarter of Autocentres LFL growth, aided by sales of tyres and enhanced opening hours, growth in online sales and improved customer satisfaction
· We will report on the 20 weeks to 19 August on 6 September after summer peak
Financial outlook
In June we outlined a net impact of £3m on profit for FY17 at a USD:GBP rate of 1.45. We now have over 75% of our FY17 purchases hedged at around 1.45. If the USD:GBP rate continues to be weaker than 1.45 it may have a small further impact later in this financial year, depending on the extent to which it can be mitigated.
All other financial guidance and the financial targets that we published on 1st June remain unchanged. Much of Halfords' sales are needs-based, we have a strong brand, are leaders in fragmented markets and have a robust balance sheet.
Jill McDonald, Chief Executive, commented:
"This was a solid performance from our motoring categories, which account for around 70% of Group sales, with continued growth in service-related sales, demonstrating Halfords' credentials as a specialist retailer. In Autocentres our sales continued to grow through improvements in the customer offer. We had good sales growth of premium bikes but Cycling sales across the quarter were impacted by both the timing of Easter and poor weather, particularly in April. We look forward to the peak summer cycling season, including our exciting new ranges from Laura Trott and Sir Bradley Wiggins launched ahead of the Olympics. While the recent decision to leave the EU does create uncertainty, we are well-positioned as a business and focused on delivering sustainable long-term growth."
Reporting Calendar
On 6 September 2016 Halfords will report on the sales for the 20 weeks to 19 August 2016, which covers the summer cycling season. In future years Halfords will report on an initial trading period of 20 weeks, rather than a first quarter of 13 weeks, in order to include the summer cycling sales and to spread market updates more evenly through the year.
On 10 November 2016 we will report on the interim results for the 26 weeks ending 30 September 2016.
On 19 January 2017 we will report on the 15 weeks to 13 January 2017, which includes the peak Christmas trading period.
Chris Carson
- 14 Jul 2016 08:59
- 299 of 314
If SP can close above 330p hope springs eternal. Weather hopefully will improve between now and 19th August re cycling sales.
cynic
- 29 Aug 2016 14:30
- 301 of 314
decent extended summer weather and olympic success may have helped the cause
dreamcatcher
- 01 Sep 2016 18:50
- 304 of 314
Perhaps it will be good, with the couple of months good weather we have had. ( Don't know about Scotland's weather? :-)) )Board members have re-invested shares as well.
Chris Carson
- 01 Sep 2016 23:17
- 305 of 314
Yep noted that re board members dc. Weather in Scotland LOL!! Fortunately for me spent most of back end of July and beginning of August in England. Fine people though. I have been promoted, no longer an English Bastard just a Scouse Bastard now LOL!!!
dreamcatcher
- 02 Sep 2016 06:03
- 306 of 314
:-))
dreamcatcher
- 02 Sep 2016 16:53
- 307 of 314
Another non exec has re-invested.
dreamcatcher
- 05 Sep 2016 16:47
- 308 of 314
Proactive investor -
Investors to home in on Halfords and housing
16:07 05 Sep 2016
Warm summer may have boosted sales at car and bike accessory retailer
Car outside Halfords
Analysts reckon Halfords's car maintenance sales should have been steady
Investors will hope customers at Halfords PLC (LON:HFD) have spent the summer on their bikes ahead of a trading update tomorrow.
Numis Securities reckons the cycle and car accessory chain should report a strong, potentially double-digit performance from the cycling arm, which also may have benefited from increased popularity of the sport during the Olympics.
This would help to make up for a lacklustre showing from the bike business during the spring, which took a hit from the late timing of Easter and wet and cold weather in April and June.
The group’s car maintenance business should have turned in a relatively steady performance, while sales of car enhancement products are likely to have softened given some tough comparisons with a year ago.
“Halfords remains a mature retailer with a somewhat defensible position but limited growth opportunities – we see a discount multiple to the sector as appropriate,” Numis analysts said in a note.
Chris Carson
- 06 Sep 2016 07:29
- 309 of 314
Key points
· Group revenue +4.8%, with Retail +4.8% and Autocentres +4.6%
· Strong service-related sales growth of 13.9%
· Robust Motoring sales against strong comparatives
· Car Maintenance growth driven by bulbs, blades and batteries and new motorcycle ranges
· In Car Enhancement, dash cam sales growth remains strong, but was offset by the continuing decline in sat nav sales
· Travel Solutions delivered good growth across the category, particularly child safety seats and roof boxes
· Strong Cycling sales during late July and August, helped by new ranges and a deeper promotion, which more than offset the slower sales earlier in the year. Premium bikes in strong growth throughout the year to date
· Total cycling sales across the Group grew by 11%, reflecting Cycle Republic store openings and the addition of Tredz, which continued to perform well since acquisition. Improved parts, accessories and clothing ('PACs') performance with Group sales up 6%
· Continued progress in Autocentres led by growth in servicing and tyres
Financial outlook
All guidance for the full year remains unchanged.
Jill McDonald, Chief Executive, commented:
"I am pleased to report a solid year-to-date trading performance, with Group sales up 4.8% and service-related sales in double-digit growth as we continue to strengthen Halfords' position as the first choice for customers' journeys. Motoring sales were robust, driven by car and motorcycle parts, roof boxes and child seats. Good growth in Cycling sales during the peak summer period was supported by new ranges, strong promotional activity, good weather and the success of Halfords' Olympic cycling heroes. We continue to make good progress on our strategic initiatives; we can now match 25% of our Retail sales to specific customers compared to only 3% last year and in recent weeks we have successfully piloted contactless payments and also launched the new Cycle Republic website."
Chris Carson
- 06 Sep 2016 18:55
- 310 of 314
Halfords shares keep pedalling north
By Lee Wild | Tue, 6th September 2016 - 14:23
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Halfords shares keep pedalling north A year ago, Halfords (HFD) had a stinker. Persistent rain and stiff competition hit the bikes business, teasing a profits warning from the car parts and cycles chain. Pedal forward 12 months, and the combination of a great end to the British summer and our most successful Olympics ever has been a massive boost to second-quarter sales. Halfords' Alps-like climb may not be over.
There wasn't a massive amount to cheer at the first-quarter results in July, when sales at the cycles business were hit by heavy rain in April and late June. It's why management has decided not to report these numbers in future. First hint we'll get of how well things have gone next year will be results for the 20 weeks, to allow inclusion of summer cycling sales.
This time, much was pinned on new ranges from Laura Trott and Sir Bradley Wiggins, and their gold medals in Rio would have put a smile on the faces of Halfords' PR team. Like-for-like sales at the cycling division jumped by 12.5% in the seven weeks to 19 August, offsetting the 4% drop in first-quarter to give a 20-week improvement of 1.9%.
graph 1
Opening more Cycle Republic stores and the acquisition of Welsh bike sellers Tredz and Wheelies in May helped, with total cycling sales up 11% for the 20 weeks.
That meant a sharp uptick at the core retail business. Quarterly like-for-like sales there jumped by 5% following a 1.2% slip at the start of this financial year. That's much better than forecast and means the increase of 1.1% for the 20 weeks is in line with expectations. Overall group LFL revenue rose 1.2%.
Of course, the motoring business is the big fish here, chipping in around three-quarters of operating profit. Growth was steady versus the first quarter, up by 0.6% again, driven, says chief executive Jill McDonald, by car and motorcycle parts, roof boxes and child seats. That offset a further drop in sales of satnavs and wiper blades.
Halfords shares slumped from a high of 562p in August 2015 to less than 300p briefly during early July. But they're up over a quarter since, and now sit just 6% below their price before the Brexit vote.
However, even now the shares trade on a forward price/earnings ratio of 11.7 times, a discount to both peers and the long-run sector average of around 14. "The shares look fair value given a slightly cautious outlook for FY 2018 but income investors might be cheered by the cycling recovery," says Scott Ransley at broker Stifel.
But while analysts seem broadly happy with Halfords shares where they are, the dividend is well-covered by forecast earnings and could well continue to generate buying interest.
This article is for information and discussion purposes only and does not form a recommendation to invest or otherwise. The value of an investment may fall. The investments referred to in this article may not be suitable for all investors, and if in doubt, an investor should seek advice from a qualified investment adviser.