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Gulf Keystone Petroleum (GKP)     

goal - 15 Mar 2005 17:17

http://www.gulfkeystone.com/ The firms exploration programme in Algeria is going well and "the shares look good value", say the Investors Chronicle. Your comments please. goal.

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kimoldfield - 29 Feb 2012 22:12 - 2938 of 5505

No, but I've got a green door! :0)

kimoldfield - 29 Feb 2012 22:13 - 2939 of 5505

Not much green about oil though!!

halifax - 01 Mar 2012 12:20 - 2940 of 5505

cynic their last accounts don't show any sales,why do you say they have sold "quite a lot", reminds us of HAWK?

skinny - 01 Mar 2012 12:24 - 2941 of 5505

!

cynic - 01 Mar 2012 13:51 - 2942 of 5505

i will happily accept being corrected, for my memory was clearly faulty - it happens with age they tell me ..... anyway, as you are well aware, the value of gpk lies in this shaikan field .... if it's as massive as mooted, then for sure the company would be worth an awful lot to a predator, notwithstanding the current political uncertainty

halifax - 01 Mar 2012 13:55 - 2943 of 5505

will believe it when we see some oil coming out of the ground, HAWK was going to produce plenty of oil, so far only a few buckets, sp went down the drain when PI's realised the truth.

cynic - 01 Mar 2012 14:04 - 2944 of 5505

in this instance, a very unfair comparison for the reasons outlined above

niceonecyril - 01 Mar 2012 14:50 - 2945 of 5505

I believe it's upto 10kbopd now,from the 4,000bopd stated in the proactive report
?
http://www.proactiveinvestors.co.uk/companies/news/37575/gulf-keystone-petroleum-exits-2011-producing-over-4000-barrels-of-oil-a-day-37575.html

From the O&G Presentaion 23rd Jan.

Intend to maintain drilling pace for foreseeable future: May/June sh 1, 3 & 4 40k bopd would mean self funding program's going forwards, then sh 2, 5 & 6 November 2012 to 60k bopd.

Currently funded thru 2013 including pipeline, development and appraisal.

Big play of involvement in Kurdistan including sponsoring seats at university and employing locals first wherever possible. Gone from 17 to 800 Kurds on the books.

KRG target of 1m bopd gkp will be a significant part of that. Considerable amount of respect between KRG and gkp. Proven premier operating company in sector.

Short and sweet presentation said TK.

Turning into appraisal and production company. Can produce 80k bopd now. Experienced no delays at all on anything with respect to politics and made great play of avoiding whole political issue. Stays well out of it. KRG very responsive and gkp not only have permission for pipeline but have encouragement for it.

Balerboy - 02 Mar 2012 09:01 - 2947 of 5505

Part of Iraq oil report, haven't got it all.
Iraq is on pace for another weak month for exports, officials say, and oil fields are being forced to curtail production. The problem stems from persistent infrastructure bottlenecks: a new export facility remains delayed and weather conditions have stymied tanker loading.

The Iraqi Oil Ministry's Inspector General is also intently watching an investigation by Australian authorities into the country's largest construction firm, which is accused of paying for bidding information in its success...

HARRYCAT - 02 Mar 2012 09:04 - 2948 of 5505

So the Insp General thinks he should have a piece of the action as well?

cynic - 02 Mar 2012 10:10 - 2949 of 5505

and how else was the company to secure biz in the region?
some of the western countries really do have a very prissy attitude to these "secondary commissions"
the al yamana arms deal was a classic .... the americans subsequently had a bad bunch of sour grapes because they were outsmarted

niceonecyril - 02 Mar 2012 14:21 - 2950 of 5505

http://www.ceraweek.com/speakers/

CERAWeek 2012 - March 5th-9th in Houston, Texas.

Interesting Attendees/speakers:

*Ashti Hawrami, minister of natural resources, Kurdistan Regional Government, Iraq.

*Yves-Louis Darricarrere, executive vice president of TOTAL S.A. ,president of TOTAL Exploration & Production and TOTAL Gas & Power.

*Rex Tillerson ExxonMobil Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

*Peter Voser, chief executive officer, Royal Dutch Shell

*Jay Pryor, Vice President, Business Development, Chevron Corporation

*Iain Conn, Group Managing Director and Chief Executive Refining & Marketing BP p.l.c.

*Sergey Vakulenko, Head of Strategy Planning Department, Gazprom Neft

*Helge Lund, president and chief executive officer, Statoil ASA

*Martin Houston, Chief Operating Officer, BG Group plc

halifax - 02 Mar 2012 15:56 - 2951 of 5505

cynic do you mean bribes or backhanders when you say "secondary commissions"?

cynic - 02 Mar 2012 17:08 - 2952 of 5505

not sure of the difference in honesty - an interesting oxymoron don't you think?
"oiling the wheels" is just as good a euphemism

niceonecyril - 03 Mar 2012 09:50 - 2953 of 5505

From a poster who's given some good info over time,make of it what you will?

From Nobletrader...

"Lukoil Have been in kurd this week, Im rarely in Kurd, mainly in southern Iraq on an assignment.

did hear that sh4 was capable of flowing c70kbopd if surface equipment allowed it though"


http://www.lse.co.uk/member-info.asp?nick=Nobletrader

cynic - 03 Mar 2012 09:51 - 2954 of 5505

typical bb bullshit is my view

niceonecyril - 05 Mar 2012 09:37 - 2956 of 5505

http://www.live-pr.com/en/shaikan-block-kurdistan-iraq-commercial-r1049362249.htm

From the above,

he Shaikan block produces crude oil and natural gas. The block produces condensate with 18-53o API and 2% sulfur. The price of Shaikan block liquid is benchmarked at Brent Blend.

HARRYCAT - 05 Mar 2012 11:51 - 2957 of 5505

Peter Hitchens at HSBC:
"The market is enthusiastic about Gulf Keystone Petroleum’s prospects following its discovery of the giant Shaikan field in the KRI. Although we do not doubt that this is a world class discovery, we believe the upside is already more than reflected in the share price, which was boosted by press speculation (Independent on Sunday, 18 December 2011) that ExxonMobil was looking to bid for the company, although Gulf Keystone subsequently denied this. We believe the high political risk would prevent a full price from being paid in such a transaction. We are initiating coverage with an Underweight (V) rating and a target price of 280p.
Using the methodology set out in the valuation section, we derive an asset value for the company of 492p/share. On top of this we add risked exploration upside of 47p/share (full details of the breakdown of this valuation are given later). As we mentioned earlier, we have assumed a 50% discount to NAV for the political risk. This yields a target price of 280p. The shares have raced ahead on the back of the giant Shaikan discovery, as the market expects the company to sell this on to a major industry player. Press reports (Independent on Sunday, 18 December 2011) speculated that ExxonMobil was looking at an 800p/share bid for Gulf Keystone. The company has denied receiving any offer.
We believe the shares already reflect the full value of this asset and that little upside remains in the valuation. As we have already pointed out, much uncertainty remains, so we doubt that a potential buyer would want to pay a price that reflected the full asset value at this stage. The sale of the Akri Bijeel permit, should it occur, will give an indication of the valuation that the industry is willing to place on Gulf Keystone’s reserves and resources."
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