goldfinger
- 06 Aug 2004 16:15
mitzy
- 24 Nov 2008 20:42
- 299 of 2076
Latest price $823 in NY this could be the break-out runours that COMEX has not got the physical gold for Dec contract my view we are about to start the next bull run to $1500 .. POG back to 15 would be great.
mitzy
- 25 Nov 2008 09:17
- 300 of 2076
Up 30% Monday and up 20% so far today this is one great stock.
mitzy
- 25 Nov 2008 09:17
- 301 of 2076
.
cynic
- 25 Nov 2008 09:27
- 302 of 2076
for once missed out on what was a fave stock of mine for a long time .... hey ho!
Strawbs
- 25 Nov 2008 10:32
- 303 of 2076
In these markets though Cynic, todays missed oppertunity can be tomorrows big mistake....
The price will no doubt come back to retest the lows (or at least somewhere near) to confirm this really is a bottom/new uptrend.
In my opinion.
Strawbs.
mitzy
- 25 Nov 2008 10:57
- 304 of 2076
There you go cynic its back to 300p now is your chance to buy.
goldfinger
- 25 Nov 2008 12:28
- 305 of 2076
goldfinger
- 25 Nov 2008 12:41
- 306 of 2076
AND WE HAVE MORE......
Presentations
24 November 2008
Merrill Lynch Russia & CIS Forum
http://www.peterhambro.com/uploads/MerrillLynchPresentation.pdf
Makes for interesting reading.
goldfinger
- 26 Nov 2008 09:55
- 307 of 2076
Flying yet again but took some profits at 340p remembered cyners warning yesterday.
Think theres still a lot more to come in the near future
cynic
- 26 Nov 2008 09:58
- 308 of 2076
i don't think anyone has posted the interview comments bedlow, but they make interesting reading and go quite a long way, i suspect, to explain the sudden surge .....
Russian gold producer Peter Hambro Mining Plc is confident healthy margins will generate enough cash flow to allow it to build new mines despite weak gold prices.
Executive Chairman Peter Hambro told Reuters the debt-laden firm was keeping an eye on its $180 million convertible bond with an initial redemption date next October, but the current trading of the complex instrument was favourable to the firm.
The company has an ambitious plan to boost output from new mines, but a sharp fall in the gold price is not expected to be an obstacle, he said in an interview late on Friday.
Margins are more important than the absolute level of the gold price, which has shed around a quarter since touching a record over $1,000 per ounce in March.
"The headline gold price is exciting to the media, but what we care about is what we are left with at the end from the ounces we have produced and currently the margins are still looking pretty good," Hambro said.
Hambro, one of the world's lowest-cost gold producers, is seeing margins of around $350 to $400 per ounce, he said.
Even though the spot gold price has come off its record highs, trading around $790 per ounce on Monday morning, the firm has benefited from lower costs.
"We had a big spike in (Russian) PPI in the first half of the year and that's (since) come down, the oil price has come down, the exchange rate has changed and wage pressure is down," Hambro said.
HIGHER OUTPUT
Good margins together with higher output are expected to generate enough cash to cover the costs of expanding its new Pioneer mine and building the new Malomir mine.
The firm's capital expenditure is estimated at $72 million for the second half of 2008 and $142 million for next year.
The firm has reiterated that it expects to meet its target to produce 350,000 to 400,000 ounces this year, an increase of between 18 and 35 percent from 2007.
The first stage of the new Pioneer mine launched production earlier this year and a second stage is due to come on stream in the middle of 2009. The firm has not released a production forecast for next year, but an analyst said it may be around 500,000 ounces.
The firm's cash flow is key since the company is highly geared, with around $320 million in debt, higher than its market capitalisation of around $260 million.
Its shares, which have shed 82 percent this year amid a collapse in mining shares, surged 17 percent to 215.20 pence on Friday, outperforming a 5.3 percent increase in the UK mining index < .FTNMX1770>.
The earliest debt redemption the company would face would be in October next year, the first date that investors can redeem a $180 million convertible bond issued a year ago.
The structure of the bond, however, works in the company's favour since it is linked to a gold price of $1,000 per ounce.
If gold is trading below $1,000 next October, investors in theory could redeem the bond at a lower gold price and take a loss, but are likely to wait for the bond to run closer to its end date of October 2012 to profit from a possible run-up in the gold price.
"The bond's currently trading at a premium to its exchangeability," Hambro said, noting that this reflected the potential for profits for bond holders if gold rises $1,000. "We're keeping an eye on it, but it's not something overly concerning."
If gold was trading above $1,000 at redemption, the firm's margins and cash flow would be that much stronger, so meeting the obligations would not be onerous, he added.
goldfinger
- 28 Nov 2008 14:50
- 309 of 2076
Gone back in long.
SP fall on profit taking looks overdone.
cynic
- 28 Nov 2008 14:57
- 310 of 2076
you may find the chart on post 16 useful ..... POG is always a bit lively, but 300 may be back on the cards before a bounce, or even 250ish, where sp would hit 25 dma
goldfinger
- 28 Nov 2008 15:13
- 311 of 2076
Cheers cyners much appreciated.
Might have timed this one wrong then but if the so called experts are right Gold sp should look after the marginal players.
cynic
- 28 Nov 2008 15:28
- 312 of 2076
POG sure ain't marginal, as i am sure you know
goldfinger
- 28 Nov 2008 15:35
- 313 of 2076
Yep, sorry for giving wrong impression there and its not come out in full my prev post (had a long day or a computer glich). POG one of the cheapest extractors world wide.
New RNS out.
RNS Number : 2009J
Peter Hambro Mining PLC
28 November 2008
28 November 2008
Director's Dealings
Peter Hambro Mining PLC announces that it has been informed by Mr. Peter Hambro, Executive Chairman, and Dr. Pavel Maslovskiy, Deputy Chairman that, on 27th November 2008, companies associated with them purchased USD 4,000,000 nominal of the Company's 7.125 per cent. Guaranteed Convertible Bonds due 2010 ('the Bonds') at a price of USD 58.00 inclusive of accrued interest.
During the course of the last week, Peter Hambro, Pavel Maslovskiy, their associated companies and the managers of Peter Hambro's pension fund have, in aggregate, purchased USD 14,400,000 nominal of the Bonds.
The purchase does not affect the current equity shareholding of Peter Hambro and his associates in the Company, which remains at 5,283,179 shares, representing 6.51% of the issued share capital of the Company nor of Dr. Pavel Maslovskiy and his associates which remains at 14,960,787 shares representing 18.43% of the issued share capital.
Enquiries:
Peter Hambro Mining Plc
goldfinger
- 28 Nov 2008 16:39
- 314 of 2076
Mini rally at the end left me down only 16 (today). Was going at 15 a point dont know where other quids come from. Might be MMs xmas tip.
Great week from this one.
cynic
- 28 Nov 2008 16:44
- 315 of 2076
made and banked a small profit here yesterday, but was too slow on the initial surge .... never mind ..... it's the BIG surge on IEC that i wait for and hopefully not in vain!
goldfinger
- 28 Nov 2008 16:45
- 316 of 2076
IEC, ill have a look, cheers cyners.
goldfinger
- 28 Nov 2008 16:48
- 317 of 2076
Imperial.... whats your bull take on that then cyners? or are you short,i havent researched that one.
cynic
- 28 Nov 2008 17:03
- 318 of 2076
no .... def long ..... agreed bid at 12.50, but shares languishing at 10.00 .... docs are meant to go out to shareholders 9 December, but completion is now said to be June 2009, which is 3/4 months later than originally anticipated .... no obvious reason or even cause for concern, but unsettling