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Time to look at Vietnam (VOF)     

paulgrip - 01 Mar 2005 10:27

Vietnam Oppurtunity fund...trading on AIM in US Dollars. From Annual report in Dec 2004

"The economy has continued its impressive run of stable high growth, second only to that of China. This growth is now supported by three legs - most importantly the domestic private sector, but now also increasingly exports and FDI. The domestic private sector expanded 21.8 percent for the first half of 2004, exports grew by 16.9 percent and FDI grew 11.4 percent and is now higher than China as a percentage of GDP. It is encouraging that Vietnam is starting to be seen as a serious investment destination.

Government reforms have continued their slow but steady trajectory, most notably in pushing forward with the privatization effort. The privatization of Vinamilk and Bao Minh insurance heralded the beginning of the final phase of
privatization, with the largest companies in the key sectors being sold down.

In terms of investment opportunities the Company has not been opportunity
constrained. It is encouraging to see Vietnamese companies performing well while valuations are among the lowest in the region and dividend yields among the highest. In fact, the average ROEs of Vietnam's listed companies are almost four times those of average Chinese listed companies. Furthermore, the fledgling real estate market is showing signs of growth as mortgages allow the average citizen to now more easily buy their own homes"

IMHO Vietnam is one of the last South East Asian Tigers that has yet to roar! And when it does it could be huge. Obviously this is a long term investment and not for the risk-averse...but wouldnt it have been nice to get into China when it was just beginning to stir? Well in my opinion this is now possible with Vietnam, and VOF is a great way of having direct access to this very interesting and expanding market! DYOR

Any thoughts/opinions?

paulgrip - 04 Mar 2005 10:25 - 3 of 39

Great to see the big buys coming in now...Vietnam should be on everyones radar by now...not too late.

Arf Dysg - 04 Mar 2005 14:05 - 4 of 39

Why are people buying this? For most investment trusts, the share price is slightly higher than the NAV (net asset value). In the case of VOF, the NAV is about 1.15 USD but the price is 1.60 USD. You are paying 1.60 to get only 1.15 of assets. This is way overpriced.


paulgrip - 04 Mar 2005 14:11 - 5 of 39

Huge growth potential!!!

Arf Dysg - 06 Mar 2005 17:26 - 6 of 39

It would be nice to see someone else posting on this topic.

OK, paulgrip, if you read the annual report, it says that growth was 10%.
So, to get from the current NAV to the current price will take about four years of growth. Why shouldn't I just wait four years and buy at the same price?

paulgrip - 06 Mar 2005 20:21 - 7 of 39

The topic was first posted only a few days ago...it will take time for people to think outside the box like i am. You can wait on the sidelines and watch if you choose if you believe the price will be the same in 4 years. I on the other hand have bought in several months ago and am already sitting on a tidy profit! I was wanting to get some more constructive comments from people about the prospects and oppurtunities for vietnam. I think vietnam has huge growth potential...an 80 million strong young educated hard working work force...new financial measures to make the country more investor friendly...privatisation under way...the possibility of striking oil off the east coast (albeit not on a massive scale)...a movement into the heavy ship building industry...all set against the lessons the country has learnt from the way China has opened itself up to the financial world. These are all good signs for above-average growth...and the Vietnam oppurtunity fund seems to be a great way of partaking in this growth story. If you think the share price is over valued...dont buy!

In the first message I did say this was for the longterm...so sitting on the side and watching wont be the end of the world for you, but the share price will not be the same in 4 yrs time...one reason to invest now is that this is one of the only funds I have found of directly investing in Vietnam, that not only have a great managerial track record but also have vision, and the more people find out about it and start looking towards emerging markets with real potential, the higher the share price will go...but this is just my opinion...so far i have been proved right.

paulgrip - 06 Mar 2005 20:21 - 8 of 39

At least i am having a discusion with someone now!!

paulgrip - 27 Mar 2005 11:59 - 9 of 39

Great article in Fortune magazine about Vietnam and the Vietnam oppurtunity fund.

paulgrip - 31 Mar 2005 21:28 - 10 of 39

Vietnam's US exports to hit $5bn mark in 2004

HANOI - Vietnam's exports to the United States fetched more than US$5.16 billion last year, a 15.4% increase over 2003. Imports, however, fell to $1.12 billion, a decrease of 13.1%, according to the Vietnam Commerce Department in the US.

Major exports included textiles and garments - 54.5%, seafood and footwear - 9.1%, agro-forestry and foodstuff - 6.8%, furniture - 7%, and oil and gas - 4.7%.

Vietnam's exports only made up 0.35% of the US import value last year. However, its export growth may depend on its supply, competitiveness and marketing.

Vietnam's textiles and garments have gained US importers' attention due to quality and timely delivery. The US International Trade Commission said that in Asia only Vietnam and Indonesia can compete against China in exporting these products to the US.

Vietnam is considered to be the second supply source after China, thanks to its competitively priced workforce and high-quality products, said the US Association of Importers of Textile and Apparel

paulgrip - 31 Mar 2005 21:29 - 11 of 39

Down slightly from January arrivals, Vietnam is forecast to receive nearly 284,000 foreign tourists in February.
However, the number of foreign arrivals in the first two months gained an annual growth of 12.4 percent to reach 584,970.

In February, the flow of tourists from key source markets, including France, Taiwan, Japan, Korea, reportedly increased against January. The number of France, Taiwanese, Japanese tour-goers rose by 23.3 percent, 10.2 percent and 11.3 percent respectively.

Vietnam has also become a favorite destination of Scandinavian tourists in February. The country saw a 33.9 percent increase in the number of Norwegian tourists and 38.8 percent in Danish

paulgrip - 08 Apr 2005 10:39 - 12 of 39

HANOI, Apr 8, 2005 (Xinhua via COMTEX) -- Vietnam is likely to reach gross
domestic product (GDP) of 50 billion US dollars or GDP per capita of 600 dollars
this year, Vietnamese Prime Minister Phan Van Khai said Friday.

The country has targeted its GDP per capita of 950-1,000 dollars in 2010, more
than doubling the figure in 2000, he said at the 100th session of the Monthly
Donor Group Forum which opened here on Friday.

The economic structure of 2010 is agriculture with 13-14 percent, industry 45
percent and service 41-45 percent. The average annual GDP growth from 2006 to
2010 is estimated at 7.5-8 percent.

"To achieve the goals, the Vietnamese government will focus on establishing the
best institution in accordance with international norms, creating more
attractive investment environment, and assuring equal treatment to all kinds of
businesses," Khai stressed.

The government has eyed GDP growth of 8.5 percent in 2005, compared with 7.7
percent in 2004. In the first quarter of this year, Vietnam saw 7.2-percent
growth in GDP which was more than 164.2 trillion Vietnamese dong (10.4 billion
dollars).

The forum, organized by the United Nations Development Program since March 1995,
brings together ambassadors, development counselors, heads of United Nations
agencies and other development partners, and Vietnamese government officials to
discuss development policy issues.

paulgrip - 08 Apr 2005 16:13 - 13 of 39

Great aricle in Business week, and these two from the website. Seems like the public are slowly cathcing on to the Vietnam story.

http://www.businessweek.com/bwdaily/dnflash/apr2005/nf2005045_2553_db087.htm

http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/05_16/b3929011_mz001.htm

paulgrip - 12 Apr 2005 18:20 - 14 of 39

Good to see it ticking up again with all the exposure vietnam has been getting recently...well done to all the longs!

paulgrip - 28 Apr 2005 18:23 - 15 of 39


Tokyo (VNA) - Nihon Keizei, Japan's leading economic daily, in its April 25 edition, published an article forecasting that Viet Nam's economy is awaiting for a strong period of development after the war which ended 30 years ago.

The article states that Viet Nam has reached an annual GDP growth rate of more than 7 percent since 2000. Speaking at a meeting with around 200 FDI businesses in Ha Noi on April 20, Vietnamese Deputy Prime Minister Vu Khoan said the wave of investment into the country has strongly increased. Investment by overseas Vietnamese has contributed to speeding up economic development in Viet Nam.

The paper also highlights the country's achievements in international economic cooperation. Total foreign investment in 2004 increased to 4.2 billion USD, doubling the figure in 1999.

Since 1988, Japan has been the biggest foreign investor in Viet Nam, with 506 projects worth a total of 5.65 billion USD, according to the newspaper.-Enditem

paulgrip - 28 Apr 2005 18:26 - 16 of 39

Even sporting news is good news..."Ponte Vedra Beach, FL (Sports Network) - The ATP announced that Vietnam will stage its first-ever ATP tournament this year, as Ho Chi Minh City will host an indoor hardcourt event at the Phu Tho Sport Center from September 26- October 2.



The tournament will replace the successful Heineken Open, which had been held in Shanghai. Shanghai, instead, will play host to the season-ending Tennis Masters Cup for the next three years, starting this November. Ho Chi Minh City is both Vietnam's largest city (population 6.5 million) and economic capital."

paulgrip - 28 May 2005 15:29 - 17 of 39

Malls hit a privatizing Vietnam

Economic reforms have yielded an annual growth rate of more than 7 percent.

By Donald Kirk | Correspondent of The Christian Science Monitor

HANOI, VIETNAM Dong Minh Ha is busy at the cash register of the newly opened Levi's store here, one of a row of glittering shops displaying products from Givenchy perfumes to Adidas sneakers in Vincom City Towers, a sparkling mall looming above a maze of streets here.
"I think every young person likes these," says Miss Ha, pointing to jeans at prices - marked in US dollars - from $70 to $129. "Many people come here to buy. The standard of living is higher."

In a country where the average per-capita income is $450 a year, a newly well-to-do elite is emerging as the economy races ahead at an average annual growth rate of more than 7 percent.

"The place is booming," says Jonathan Pincus, an economist for the UN Development Program here. He notes that it's one of the fastest-growing economies in Asia.

The boom reflects what business people and analysts say is a carefully planned reversal in policies since the first decade or so of economic hard times after the final defeat of the US-backed Saigon government on April 30, 1975.

The UN team here dates the economic surge from the onset of reforms known as "doi moi" - renovation - in the late 1980s.

UN and World Bank economists worry that the wealthiest Vietnamese are seeing their incomes grow most rapidly. But, they say, most of the country's 83 million people are sharing in economic success.

"The incidence of recorded poverty has fallen sharply and living standards are now more than three times higher than they were 20 years ago," says a UN report. It adds that Vietnam "is increasingly integrated into the global economy."

Raymond Mallon, a consultant for the World Bank, recalls "abject poverty" in 1988 as the economy hovered on the brink of disaster. One critical change at the time was designating the household, not the commune, as the basic economic unit, encouraging families and individuals in small and medium enterprises.

"You don't see much poverty now," says Mr. Mallon. "The changes are fairly dramatic."

Although Vietnam's gross domestic product of $40 billion last year was still only half that of the Philippines, an economically troubled country with approximately the same population, the country shows remarkable promise in areas that are expected to keep growing for years.

From such labor-intensive industries as footwear and clothing, Vietnam is moving into electronics. Crude oil, most of which was imported during and before the war, is now drilled offshore and ranks as the country's biggest export, followed by textiles, shoes, fish products, rice, coffee, and rubber.

Vietnam's search for foreign trade and investment is also drawing international names on a once-unimaginable scale.

"Over the past year or two, more and more people are putting up factories," says Sesto Vecchi, a US lawyer who has practiced here for the past 12 years, with Singapore, Korea, and Taiwan leading the way.

Mr. Vecchi notes, however, that while the government has joined the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and the Asian Free Trade Area, and has formed bilateral trade agreements with a number of countries, including the US, it will have to reform further to join the World Trade Organization. "Whether they like it or not, they've got to accelerate change in a lot of laws," he says.

Jeff Puchalski, chairman of the American Chamber of Commerce in Ho Chi Minh City, says membership in the WTO "is still achievable." As general manager of a company that owns three luxury hotels and two golf courses, he adds, "I don't find [doing business here] as hard as it used to be; a lot of rules are changing."

The banking system is viewed as a weak link in the drive for lasting economic success. The government now is preparing to sell off some of its banks to private commercial interests.

"This is still a socialist-oriented market economy," with 40 percent of the economy in government hands, says a foreign financial analyst. Corruption is also a problem. "A lot of government officials in Hanoi are getting richer faster because of land deals," says one UN official.

But an increasingly consumer-driven economy is a lure for such brands as Levi's. The Vietnamese firm that got the franchise plans to open six more Levi's shops throughout the country.

"Everybody can do business," says Hoang Van Cung, an antique dealer in Saigon. "There are lots of poor people, but things are better than 10 years ago."

Mr. Cung hid out for nine years after 1975 because of his work as a photographer for United Press International during the war. He was caught and sent to a reeducation camp until his release in 1992.

"It was horrible," he says. "Many people died there. Now it's better. They want to open up. I am no longer afraid."

paulgrip - 20 Jun 2005 10:17 - 18 of 39

Standard Chartered takes stake in

Asia Commercial Bank, Vietnam

International bank to provide technical assistance to Vietnamese bank

Friday 17 June 2005, Ho Chi Minh City - Standard Chartered and Asia Commercial
Bank, Vietnam ('ACB') announced today that Standard Chartered has acquired a
stake in ACB, one of the leading joint stock banks in the country. Standard
Chartered is the first foreign bank to be allowed by the Government and the
State Bank of Vietnam to purchase a stake in a domestic financial institution.

As part of the agreement, Standard Chartered is introducing fresh capital into
the bank such that post-acquisition, it will own 8.56 per cent of the enlarged
capital of ACB. The total investment will be approximately US$22 million, in
cash. In addition Standard Chartered will provide technical assistance in the
areas of risk management, consumer banking, brand and distribution.

Commenting on the partnership, Mervyn Davies Group Chief Executive of Standard
Chartered said, 'With a population of over 80 million people, Vietnam is one of
the fastest growing economies in Asia with huge potential in consumer banking.
ACB is one of the premier banks in the Country, and its growth and development
will benefit both the consumers and the industry in Vietnam.'

'ACB is taking the lead to be international standards in risk and compliance
management, sales and marketing, human resource management, as well as product
development, brand and distribution. We believe our global expertise and
experience in Asia will provide a strong complement to support these
objectives.'

Mr Tran Mong Hung, Chairman of Asia Commercial Bank said, 'We are delighted to
have Standard Chartered as our partner. We intend to leverage strengths of
Standard Chartered to drive the growth of ACB for the benefit of all our
stakeholders. We will work with Standard Chartered to enhance our product range,
services and delivery standards to become the best bank in our country.'



-END-

petralva - 20 Jun 2005 10:24 - 19 of 39

i wonder what sort of natural rescources this country has?

trader4 - 20 Jun 2005 10:24 - 20 of 39

PCF Last week issues an RNS stating that they had been approached in the early stages of a bid. The current valuation is way to low and is about to rocket with the full bid any day. The company is moving back into profit and several broker/tipster recommended it as a buy prior to the bid news

On top of this there is a rumour of a second bidder in the wings going about

This will reach new highs this week, now is the time to get in before it heads toward 100p, current sp is 32p

IMHO

paulgrip - 21 Jun 2005 10:54 - 21 of 39

Petravla...they are quiet a few oil exploration sites along the eastern coast of vietnam, with some successes already, and rumours of more big finds to come! And for an energy hungry country this will come in very handy for the future.

paulgrip - 25 Jun 2005 15:51 - 22 of 39


Bush Vows Increased Ties With Vietnam
Protests Mark Leader's Visit to White House

By Jim VandeHei
Washington Post Staff Writer
Wednesday, June 22, 2005; Page A01

Thirty years after the end of a war that divided the United States and ravaged his own country, Vietnamese Prime Minister Phan Van Khai yesterday became the first leader of his nation to visit the White House and won promises from President Bush to bolster economic and military ties between the former enemies.

With hundreds of Vietnam War veterans and pro-democracy protesters rallying outside the White House gates, Bush announced plans to visit Vietnam next year and support Vietnam's admission to the World Trade Organization, a big victory for Khai.

"This event, in itself, shows that Vietnam-U.S. relations have in fact entered a new stage of development," said Khai, the highest-ranking Vietnamese official to visit the White House since the Communists won the war in 1975. "I'm fully confident that my visit to America this time will help uplift the relationship between our two countries to a new height."

Disagreements remain. In a private meeting, Bush pushed Khai to do more to promote human rights and religious freedom in a country accused of stifling dissenting voices and people of faith, White House spokesman Scott McClellan said. At a joint appearance with Bush, Khai attributed the differences to "the different conditions that we have, the different histories and cultures."

The protesters offered a much harsher assessment of Khai's Vietnam, waving signs saying, "Stop Religious Repression." In a full-page ad that ran in yesterday's Washington Post, a group called a Call for Democracy accused the ruling government of adhering to an "obsolescent Communist ideology" that smothers freedom.

Bush, in brief remarks to reporters, said the two leaders signed a "landmark agreement that will make it easier for people to worship freely in Vietnam." The president, whose stateside service in the National Guard during the Vietnam War was an issue in the 2004 election, praised Khai for his government's effort to help find the remains of more than 520 U.S. soldiers who were killed in Vietnam and never found.

"It's very comforting to many families here in America to understand that the government is providing information to help close a sad chapter in their lives," Bush said. Since 1988, Vietnam has helped identify the remains of about 500 U.S. service members missing since the war. More than 58,000 Americans died in Vietnam.

The bitter passions once stoked by Vietnam have faded, as presidents and members of Congress have embraced trade and closer military relations. In a morning appearance on NBC's "Today" show, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), a prisoner of war for nearly six years, struck an ambivalent note -- praising Vietnam's economic progress but remaining skeptical about Vietnam's treatment of its own people. "They have taken steps," he said, but "we expect progress toward democratic freedom, human rights, elections and all the trappings of democracy."

Rep. Christopher H. Smith (R-N.J.) told the Associated Press he also has doubts. He called Khai a "master of deception" and said he would hold hearings to determine whether the agreement on religious freedom was being implemented.

Khai, whose tour of the United States took him from Microsoft Corp. Chairman Bill Gates's office in Redmond, Wash., to the White House and later the Pentagon for talks with Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld, was on a mission to promote Vietnam's fast-growing economy and desire to forge closer ties with the United States. "We have a population of 80 million people, which means a huge market for American businesses," Khai said.

A decade after diplomatic ties were restored by President Bill Clinton, U.S.-Vietnam trade is booming to the tune of $6.4 billion in 2004. Vietnam is striving to join the WTO at the next ministerial meeting, in December in Hong Kong.

Bush said he will visit Vietnam in 2006 when it hosts the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum's annual summit, where world trade will be high on the agenda. In a nod to Bush, Khai signaled in advance of yesterday's meeting plans to provide more intelligence on possible terrorists and send military officers to the United States for training. In an interview with The Washington Post last week, Khai, 71, said intelligence-sharing efforts would include the creation of new positions at the U.S. Embassy in Hanoi and the Vietnamese Embassy in Washington.

Vietnam was on Bush's agenda at a time when some voices in both parties are warning that the lessons of the war there remain relevant elsewhere -- in Iraq. McCain and others have said one lesson of Vietnam is to never lose the support of the public by making the situation sound better than it is during armed conflict.

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