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How far down will they go (LLOY)     

mojo47 - 16 Aug 2007 13:54

any one got a feelling in their water how far LLoyds will go looking to to buy but just dont know when they are low enough

Strawbs - 22 Jan 2009 12:37 - 303 of 483

I doubt the government will be keen to nationalise. The balance sheets of even the smallest remaining banks is probably larger than our GDP. My guess is they'll try to let them hobble on for now. I wouldn't be surprised to see the short selling ban reintroduced. Not because it'll make any difference, but because the short sellers are an ideal scape coat. The subsequent price pop would probably also buy some more time. If confidence continues to collapse though, ultimately there could be no choice but to nationalise. I dread to think what would happen to Sterling with the banks liabilities on the governments books though. All seems very sureal....

In my opinion.

Strawbs.

halifax - 22 Jan 2009 12:55 - 304 of 483

Strawbs for government read us taxpayers.

dealerdear - 22 Jan 2009 13:11 - 305 of 483

It's very difficult to see how RBS and LLOY can survive and I say that as a shareholder in RBS. The market would then target BARC and bring them into Gov/other ownership. HSBC would then probably collapse particularly if the economy gets worse in the Far East. I could then only see Standard Charter survive. The Gov knows it is a pack of cards waiting to happen which is one reason why they don't want to start nationalising them.

Just a thought. Why can't a company be nationalised and if and when it is returned to the market, say in 2 years time, the original investors get their shares back? That way, everybody stays reasonably happy except the idiotic board who got us into this mess in the first place who presumably would be kicked-out.

hangon - 22 Jan 2009 14:35 - 306 of 483

Another RNS telling us that a Director has bought about 200-worth of shares, but you'll be glad to know that to encourage this risk, he's been given 75 "matching shares" ( Eh, whose maths is that?). . . . nice to know that Director and shareholder interests are aligned.
Grr!
LLOY is up 10% today, I wonder if that is this 200-worth Director purchase, it would be nice to think not.

cynic - 22 Jan 2009 17:13 - 307 of 483

with Dow tanking, it will be interesting to see what happens in London tomorrow morning, especially with the banks ...... my bet is that they will marked down as heavily as they were marked up this morning.

i have actually cashed in about 60% of my LLOY holding (if a short can be deemed such) for a respectable profit ..... the balance is currently showing a slightly smaller loss

cynic - 23 Jan 2009 09:59 - 308 of 483

hindsight is great, but was still better to bank some profit last night than to hang on to all ...... balance now also in profit

mitzy - 23 Jan 2009 10:07 - 309 of 483

My target is still 24p.

cynic - 23 Jan 2009 10:11 - 310 of 483

i would be very happy with that, but got too greedy when sp dropped to about 33 the other day ..... should have banked the profit then, but no matter

mitzy - 23 Jan 2009 10:13 - 311 of 483

Still you made a good profit thats the main thing.

skinny - 23 Jan 2009 10:37 - 312 of 483

In auction.

blackdown - 28 Jan 2009 12:18 - 313 of 483

Target now 124p.

cynic - 28 Jan 2009 14:00 - 314 of 483

glad i cut my losses yesterday!

halifax - 28 Jan 2009 15:46 - 315 of 483

nice profit taken today, as the gardener said to the art mistress.. nice to have a bird in the hand.

blackdown - 28 Jan 2009 16:06 - 316 of 483

more fun to have two in the bush!

cynic - 28 Jan 2009 17:55 - 317 of 483

God punished me for getting too smart by several-fold when sp was lowq/mid 30s!

Falcothou - 28 Jan 2009 18:00 - 318 of 483

Market Ticker has gone short term bullish most unusual esp, financials

jackmike - 13 Feb 2009 13:50 - 319 of 483

Here we go again falling like a stone hw low can they go this time ?

HARRYCAT - 13 Feb 2009 13:53 - 320 of 483

TRADING STATEMENT

"The Board of Lloyds Banking Group plc (the 'Group') announces an update to the trading performance of HBOS plc (HBOS) and Lloyds TSB Group (Lloyds TSB) for the year ended 31 December 2008 and on the capital position of the Group as at 31 December 2008. The figures quoted in this statement are preliminary estimates and unaudited.

Lloyds TSB traded profitably and satisfactorily in 2008 and expects to report a profit before tax from its continuing businesses, including the impact of approximately 1.3 billion from market dislocation, of some 2.4 billion. On a statutory basis, adjusting for the impact of insurance volatility of c.0.75 billion, and aggregate provisions of c.0.4 billion in respect of the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS) levy, certain historic US dollar payments and goodwill write-downs, profit before tax is expected to be in the region of 1.3 billion, before the policyholder interests volatility charge which is currently expected to be c.0.5 billion.

Since its 12 December 2008 trading update, HBOS's 2008 trading has been further impacted by increasingly difficult market conditions, an acceleration in the deterioration of credit quality and falls in estimated asset values. The Group expects HBOS to report an underlying loss before tax of some 8.5 billion for the year ended 31 December 2008. On a statutory basis, adjusting for the impact of short term fluctuations (c.0.25 billion), loss on sale of businesses (c.0.85 billion), FSCS levy (c.0.2 billion) and goodwill impairment (c.0.15 billion), the loss before tax is expected to be approximately 10 billion, before the policyholder tax charge which is currently expected to be approximately 0.9 billion. The key elements of the loss are the 4 billion impact of market dislocation and approximately 7 billion of impairments in the HBOS corporate division. The market dislocation has been driven by deterioration in asset quality and falling market valuations. The impairments are, principally as a result of applying a more conservative provisioning methodology consistent with that used by Lloyds TSB, and reflecting the acceleration in the deterioration in the economy, some 1.6 billion higher than our expectations when we issued our shareholder circular at the beginning of November last year.

The Board currently estimates that the Group's Core tier 1 capital ratio at 31 December 2008 will be within the range of 6.0 - 6.5 per cent, which is significantly in excess of its regulatory capital requirements. This reflects the unaudited financial results for both Lloyds TSB and HBOS and is adjusted for the completion of recent capital raisings, and the initial fair value analysis of the acquired assets and liabilities which includes the regulatory capital benefit of the fair valuing, on acquisition, of HBOS's own debt (the Group will provide a further update on these matters when it announces its full results on 27 February 2009). On the same proforma basis, the Group continues to expect its Tier 1 capital ratio, at 31 December 2008, to be in excess of 9 per cent."

mitzy - 13 Feb 2009 14:03 - 321 of 483

Jesus H Corbett a complete collapse of the banks...

HARRYCAT - 13 Feb 2009 14:12 - 322 of 483

No, just LLoy down 23%. Slight overstatement mitzy!
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