TheFrenchConnection
- 26 Jan 2006 02:36
- 319 of 2511
Amities / What a rewarding day for us all . ! l had originally planned to slowly accumulate VOG for my portfolio of oilies { BP,JKX ,EEL,BUR ,DNX, HDY,COP and CDL to name but a few ; but today my trading instincts could not resist banking profit. Playing the percentages as always ,,lts the only way l know .Always the percentages ,But for a jolly good reason on this ocassion ! ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, This sale had absolutely nothing to do with any particular negative variables related to the stock -such as Simons disposal -au contraire -For every Simon C there is a nemesis . He took a group of us on reg. Regus during suspension during bankruptcy protection ,,,,and i estimate he lost millions .Literally .,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, i believe VOG has not yet finished its prodigious frenzied assualt up the charts . lnevitably there will be other % players banking profit for w/e . But since i tucked away a nice holding upon the first retraction @ 88p and saw offer @ 237 1 was out ...Kept 10,000 but sold most of my holding . And why you ask ? l wanted to release as much funds as i could for the utterly underpriced Gazpom sell off in about 17% of its issued equity. . At last Gazpom has opened its doors to foreign investors as they float on the LSE. .......Seem expensive at first sight. BUT expecting 12 euos back from Gazpom Every single person i spoke to today was waxing lyrical about its prospects . ,,,,,,,Of course ,,l still retain a small interest in VOG as i said it is a solid and its full potential quite unquantiafiable at the moment ; and l wish all holders the very best of luck . Bonne chance et Bonne nuit ,,,,,,,,,@+ J
PapalPower
- 26 Jan 2006 07:07
- 320 of 2511
From www.oilbarrel.com today and the big thing is, the items in bold, you have to be holding for those results, would be crazy not to, and the first news on 104 is due any time in the next 9 weeks :) The upside from a firmed up 0.5 for well 104 is good, but imagine a firmed up 2.3t just from Well 104 !! It has some risk, but could well reward greatly. And then further news on 106 and 103 before end of June.
26.01.2006
VOG Delights Investors With An Update On Its West Medvezhye Project
Shares in Victoria Oil & Gas surged 55 per cent yesterday as the company announced an update on its West Medvezhye gas and condensate project in Western Siberia, Russia. The shares in the AIM-quoted firm gained 80.5 pence to stand at 227 pence.
The rally came after independent consultants DeGolyer & MacNaughton (D&M) attributed a recoverable resource base to the project of 5.5 trillion cubic feet of gas, 146 million barrels of condensate and 25 million barrels of oil, giving the West Medvezhye licence a total hydrocarbon reserve tally of 1.1 billion barrels of oil equivalent.
These are big numbers and the markets enthusiasm for the stock is understandable - but not yet justified. The numbers quoted above are best estimate prospective figures, which have yet to be proven through the drillbit.
VOG is working towards providing some solid ground to back up these estimates. The Danniella deposit, which was discovered last year with Well 104, is currently being tested. That well was given a 0.5 tcf recoverable reserve base by D&M in November 2005, with a possible upside of 2.3 tcf, following a vertical seismic profile of the hole. The results of the present production test will give much greater certainty about the reservoirs potential.
Further work is underway on the 1,224 sq km licence, which lies in one of the worlds richest gas producing regions. Two new wells, Well 106, which will appraise the 104 discovery, and exploration well 103, which will test a separate structure on the licence, are due to spud next month, with test results due in the second quarter.
Executive Director William Kelleher described this weeks D&M update as truly exciting news and it certainly appears to vindicate VOGs decision of early 2005 to increase its stake in the West Medvezhye licence to 100 per cent. This was completed in December when it paid US$3.2 million in cash and issued 1.2 million new shares to acquire the final 25.2 per cent. VOG also agreed to waive its US$2.6 million outstanding claim against the vendors of its existing 74.8 per cent share.
The negotiations to conclude this deal and secure 100 per cent of the licence have been protracted and investors will no doubt hope this brings to an end any concerns about title or partner disputes, issues that have seen many a foreign oil and gas investor run aground in the country.
There has been some positive news on one issue that could make-or-break the West Medvezhye project. Earlier this month VOG signed a gas distribution protocol with Russian gas giant Gazprom, which controls the countrys only gas pipeline network. This is seen as the first step in securing a long term gas offtake arrangement, which will be key to monetising the reserves at West Medvezhye.
Its important to remember that the protocol is not a legally binding contract but any co-operation with the energy behemoth is good news. Encouragingly Gazprom subsidiary NGP has agreed to provide VOG with technical and procurement assistance. Even so, there is still some way for VOG to travel with this possible company-maker of a project and investors should not get too carried away until more work has been done with the drillbit - and Gazprom is fully committed to transporting the gas to markets in Russia and beyond.
Mr Mole
- 26 Jan 2006 08:22
- 321 of 2511
Somebody on the iii thread's taken the time to post this lot...thought it would be useful over here as well....
The Times:
Smaller stock to watch
Victoria Oil & Gas, the oil and gas developer focused on the former Soviet Union, rose 81p to 227p after an independent analysis of its reserves on a project in Western Siberia. A report by DeGolyer & MacNaughton, the independent reserve auditors, concluded that the companys West Medvezhye project had prospective recoverable resources of 5,500 billion cubic feet of gas, 146 barrels of gas condensate and 25 million barrels of oil. The companys last feasibility study was conducted in December 2001.
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The Times Again:
Further down the market, punters' favourite Victoria Oil & Gas soared 88p to 234.5p after it published a feasibility study on its main prospect in Siberia. The company's West Medvezhye license block has potential to contain recoverable hydrocarbon resources of around 1.1 billion barrels of oil equivalent, it said
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The Telegraph:
"The show-stealer of the day in terms of sheer percentage gains proved to be Aim-listed energy group Victoria Oil & Gas, which shot up 60pc or 88 to 234p after an oil field update. An independent feasibility study showed the company can expect to extract the equivalent of 1.1billion barrels of oil equivalent from its West Medvezhye project."
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Ft::
"Among the smaller companies, Victoria Oil & Gas surged 60.1 per cent to 234p as an updated independent feasibility study into its wells at West Medvezhye in Siberia found it had 5.5 trillion cubic feet of gas, 11 times the initial estimate in November and, according to analysts, enough to satisfy UK gas demand for eighteen months.
The study also found the site had around 1.1bn barrels of oil equivalent, while traders speculated that the company was planning to purchase further exploration licences through a mixture of cash and shares."
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The Guardian:
"Victoria Oil & Gas was the standout small cap feature. Its shares surged 88p, or 60%, to 234.5p after the exploration company revealed that an independent audit of its West Siberian prospect had showed it contained 5.5 trillion cubic feet of recoverable gas. Ambrian Research responded to that news by reiterating its buy recommendation and setting a 307p target price. Celtic Resources, which owns 6% of Victoria, improved 1p to 212.5p."
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The Independant
"Risky Russian operations cast doubt on Victoria
Shares in Victoria Oil and Gas soared 60 per cent, or 88p, to 234.5p, yesterday after the explorer said its West Medvezhye prospect in Siberia is a lot bigger than originally thought.
The independent reserve auditors DeGolyer & MacNaughton indicated that the group's site contains 5.5 trillion cubic feet of gas, 146 million barrels of gas condensate and 25 million barrels of oil.
To give readers an idea of just how significant in size this find really is - it is enough to satisfy the UK's gas-energy needs for 18 months. And there is a possibility Victoria will once again upgrade the size of its deposit.
The West Medvezhye project is not the company's only asset. It has an oil field in Kazakhstan which boasts 60 million barrels of oil valued conservatively at $200m (112m). The site is forecast to start generating cash by the end of March.
Victoria raised 13m at 78p last month to fund its development, and says it will not need to come back to the market for more money in the foreseeable future. After yesterday's share-price rise, the company is worth about 230m and, given the asset it has in Kazakhstan and the potential of its Siberia prospect, this is a conservative valuation.
Victoria faces significant risks by operating in Russia. One of the biggest is its reliance on Gazprom, the state energy company, to transport its gas reserves to market. At present, Victoria has the support of the giant, which stands to make a tidy profit from transporting the group's gas through