Post by Stu over at III.
When the RNS eventually comes we simply need to confirm the depth of the OWC for the main Sea Lion fan.
EVERYTHING ELSE IS A SIDESHOW. EVERYTHING.
If this well encounters water saturated sands where the Sea Lion main fan should be, as was the case in 14/10-3, then I'm afraid it's the news we are all dreading.
And the SP is going to take the beating off it's life.
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Watery Nightmare
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However, if the well encounters the Sea Lion fan and it's oil, then great. We're looking for an oil water contact that is below 2,500m. Which confirms oil across the floor of the valley.
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Oily Bliss
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If 14/10-4 confirms recoverable oil below 2,500m then it's very tempting to look towards the South and the new seismic data for "significant upside potential"
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Scale of additional seismic region
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I have some cash at hand ahead of results, this cash is usually for averaging down when results are bad in order to try and catch a bounce.
But in this instance, if results are good, I will be looking to add to my position, as the market will be unable to value a positive result in a single session.