dexter01
- 26 Jan 2005 11:47
I think it`s about time CSH had a thread, an AIM oil co. that is producing oil and quality stuff at that. These are vastly under-valued, market cap. 30 mill., they are going up on news NOT hype. check them out.
Dexter
dexter01
- 27 Jan 2005 14:52
- 31 of 178
wilbs,
what`s the deal with COP ?, i can`t logic any reason for the rise, is`nt it a bit like PET, ie mainly hype ?. please enlighten me.
dexter
wilbs
- 27 Jan 2005 15:03
- 32 of 178
dexter,
I wish I knew!! The only news I have found is that a number of major oil companies have expressed their interest in COP's
namibian prospects and also the chinese. I bought into them at 27.5p so I am showing a good profit. If the sp goes down I will topslice but am happy to hold.If I find another good one then I may sell. Over on the other side they are talking of 100p+. I can't understand why it keeps rising every day on speculation.At least COP have contracts unlike pet.
wilbs
BANKONE
- 27 Jan 2005 20:54
- 33 of 178
A little light reading from a website I found in relation to Oil in the Caspian sea. Which is more connected to CSH rather that COP
"The United States currently imports 51 percent of its crude oil—19.5 million barrels daily. The Energy Information Administration estimates that by 2020, the United States will import 64 percent of its crude—25.8 million barrels per day.1 The United States buys much of its oil from Ven-ezuela and the Persian Gulf; Europe buys from the Persian Gulf and the North Sea. For years Europe has bought natural gas from the Soviet Union and Russia, but Eurasian oil has made limited inroads into the European market. This may change. The Caspian Sea appears to be sitting on yet another sea—a sea of hydrocarbons. Western oilmen flocking to the area have signed multibillion-dollar deals. US firms are well-represented in the negotiations, and where US business goes, US national interests follow.
Well-dressed urbanites pass stores with signs in Russian, English and Azeri in downtown Baku.
The Caspian Sea basin has long been a source of oil and natural gas. The fire-worshipping Zoroastrian religion was founded on the western shores of the Caspian as Zoroastrians built temples around local pillars of fire fed by escaping natural gas. The two great pre-World War I oil fields were in Texas and the Caspian Sea region of Imperial Russia. After the war, when civil war raged between Russian Whites and Reds, British forces landed in Batumi in a failed attempt to influence the future of Caspian Sea oil. During World War II, Adolph Hitler launched Operation Blau to capture the Caspian Sea oil fields.
Now that the Soviet Union has dissolved, Caspian Sea oil draws international attention once again. Western oil companies, hoping to find new reserves at a reasonable cost, have cut deals with Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Russia. Caspian region oil reserves might be the third largest in the world (following Western Siberia and the Persian Gulf) and, within the next 15 to 20 years, may be large enough to offset Persian Gulf oil. Caspian Sea oil and gas are not the only hydrocarbon deposits in the region. Turkmenistan's Karakum Desert holds the world's third largest gas reserves—three trillion cubic meters—and has six billion barrels of estimated oil reserves.2 Other oil fields in adjacent Uzbekistan, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan further increase the known reserves of cheap energy available to oil-dependent economies and are drawing outside investors.
The presence of these oil reserves and the possibility of their export raises new strategic concerns for the United States and other Western industrial powers. As oil companies build oil pipelines from the Caucasus and Central Asia to supply Japan and the West, these strategic concerns gain military implications. The dominant role of the Middle East energy supply may be offset by new suppliers operating from an even less mature and stable environment. The uninterrupted supply of oil to global markets will continue to be a key factor in international stability.
Various political, economic, sovereignty, military and cultural issues could threaten uninterrupted delivery of oil from the Caspian region. Should the United States continue to play a vigorous role in supporting regional stability, US Armed Forces will need to understand the political, economic and cultural dynamics, as well as US interests in this region where Western oil companies already have signed contracts potentially worth more than $100 billion. Hopefully, US forces will be spared future regional presence beyond advisory and assistance roles since effective military presence would require basing rights and significant investment to develop theater infrastructure and establish forward supply and staging areas.
During the Soviet era, Soviet oilmen extracted Caspian Sea oil mainly for use within the Soviet Union and Warsaw Pact. The known Soviet Caspian Sea oil sites had been producing for a century and were nearing depletion. Soviet oil exploration and exploitation concentrated on sites that were more geographically and technologically accessible. However, recent surveys reveal oil reserves in the Caspian Sea that could significantly boost the economies of its five bordering states—Russia, Azerbaijan, Iran, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan.
But it takes money to make money; in this case, money to exploit the difficult-to-reach deposits, money to remove the hydrosulfuric and mercaptan contaminates from the east shore oil, money to deal with the region's high geopressures, money to repressurize some of the prematurely abandoned fields and money to move oil to the consumer. Since the Soviet Union did not develop advanced technological solutions to these problems, Western money and technology are now key to exploiting energy in the region. Predictions abound and most are probably overstated. Still, if Western oil companies are able to begin producing oil from fields in the Caspian Sea, Central Asia and Russia, almost five million barrels of oil per day could be pumped from these fields into the open market by 2010.
More than 40 upstream projects in Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan involve 11 US companies, 24 other Western companies and two Russian companies. The total value of these projects exceeds $100 billion. Companies such as Exxon, Amoco, Mobil and Chevron were negotiating additional contracts in the region and were involved in upstream exploration and production projects as well as various downstream activities—pipeline development, infrastructure development, and environmental restoration and repair. Oil profits represent the likely major revenue for the countries of the Trans-caucasus and Central Asia for the next 15 to 20 years. Oil revenue could also attract other Western business to the region, which should help develop infrastructure and diversify their economic base. US oil companies, smaller oil support and service companies, and engineering and environmental firms would benefit initially, but secondary industry attracted by the region's economic potential could also benefit.
Now if that captured your imagination lets hope COP and CSH have a gusher of a day tomorrow.
Read somewhere OPEC 400,000 bpd short of their quota - a nice hole to fill with some positive FLOW - (sorry for the pun)
wilbs
- 27 Jan 2005 21:12
- 34 of 178
Thanks for the bed time reading bankone!! I am in CSH & COP so I agree with you, lets hope tomorrow brings another great day. I cant see how long COP can keep going up on the basis of no news. Surely the sp will drop if no RNS is not announced in the next week?
CSH on the other hand is different, they have the oil and when the rest of the wells are drilled and if they strike gold(oil) then the sky is the limit? I think we will see many updates from CSH over the coming months. Unlike pet who's sp went up on hope without even bringing a drop of the black stuff to the surface.
wilbs
wilbs
- 28 Jan 2005 07:43
- 35 of 178
Todays press round up.
Oil explorer CASPIAN HOLDINGS, which is set to export from Kazakhstan. gushed 12p to 47.5.
http://www.thesun.co.uk/article/0,,9-2005041375,00.html
Caspian Holdings soared 12p to 47p. The oil and gas exploration company confirmed high-quality oil production from its Zhengeldy field in Kazakhstan.
http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/investing-and-markets/tips-and-tactics/article.html?in_article_id=397470&in_page_id=23
wilbs
dexter01
- 28 Jan 2005 11:40
- 36 of 178
Just a bit of background info. on the area, a little old but still very relevant IMO.
Dexter
OIL
Kazakhstan is the second largest oil producer among former Soviet republics after Russia, with output of 693,000 bbl/d in 2000. Almost half of Kazakh oil production comes from three large onshore fields: Tengiz, Uzen, and Karachaganak. Kazakhstan has been eager to tap its production potential of over 3 million bbl/d, and former Prime Minister Nurlan Balgimbayev (now the head of Kazakhoil) has estimated that Kazakhstan could earn $700 billion in revenues (including taxes) from offshore oil and gas fields over the next 40 years.
Kazakhstan sits astride the northeast portion of the Caspian Sea and claims most of the Sea's biggest known oil fields. Kazakhstan's combined onshore and offshore proven hydrocarbon reserves have been estimated to be between 9 and 17.6 billion barrels (comparable to OPEC members Algeria on the low end and Qatar on the high end). Although only a minor world oil exporter in 2002, Kazakhstan is poised to become a more significant player in world oil markets over the next decade.
Kazakhstan produced approximately 939,000 barrels per day (bbl/d) of total liquids in 2002 and consumed only 140,000 bbl/d, resulting in net exports of
799,000 bbl/d. Markets for exported Kazakhstani oil are growing rapidly, with oil being delivered to world markets through the Black Sea (via Russia) and the Persian Gulf (via swaps with Iran), as well as some additional traffic northward to Russia via pipeline and rail.
In order to develop its production, Kazakhstan has opened its resources to development by foreign companies. International oil projects have taken the form of joint ventures, production sharing agreements (PSAs), and exploration/field concessions. By far, the largest of these is the Tengizchevroil joint venture. In April 1993, Chevron concluded the $20-billion Tengizchevroil joint venture to develop the Tengiz oil field, with 6 to 9 billion barrels of estimated oil reserves. The Tengizchevroil joint venture produced 190,000 bbl/d in 1999, and production could increase to 340,000 bbl/d by 2002. Given adequate export outlets, the Tengizchevroil joint venture could reach peak production of 750,000 bbl/d by 2010.
wilbs
- 28 Jan 2005 11:52
- 37 of 178
Hi dexter,
great post above, very informative. I see on the csh thread over the other side, they are talking about vog. Have you any thoughts on them? I got out of cop with a 74% gain. After some research I bought into kmr. Looks a good company and a good punt. I am thinking about going into vog. May see if the price comes down first.
wilbs
dexter01
- 28 Jan 2005 12:57
- 38 of 178
wilbs,
Well done on your profit from COP,it was a bit of a shock to see it plummetquite so much!,i`ve been watching VOG from day one and been tempted, but at the time had all my dosh in PET. I think they have great potential , but like you, i`m waiting for them to drop a bit or wait on positive news. I don`t know much about KMR, apart from they are on a good run at the moment.
Two new co`s., PWC and MOP, i`m just looking at the score with them, the way things are in the natural resouces sector either could have a run !.
Found this on the other side, apparently equates to 504mbpd.
******************************************************************
28.01.2005 Kazakhstan plans to extract 63 million tons of oil this year
Kazakhstan today
Kazakhstan plans to extract 62-63 million tons of oil this year 2005. Vladimir Shkolnik, minister of energy and mineral resources of RK, has stated this today, January 28, in Astana after a meeting with the parliament's senate deputies, KZ-today correspondent reports.
V. Shkolnik has explained that in 2005 the small oil production volume was defined "taking into consideration real plans of the companies."
Currently, the minister has observed, "the confirmed oil reserves of RK equal 30 billion barrels. The republic is among the top 15 on the confirmed reserves." "We hope that during the development of the Caspian shelf our reserves can reach 70 billion barrels and we will enter the top ten," - he has stressed.
wilbs
- 28 Jan 2005 13:15
- 39 of 178
dexter,
I was happy with my profit from cop. I thought the market would of reacted in a positive way to the news, imho it was good for cop. The sp had an early mark up with trades going through before 8am & the price went upto 60p, I thought here we go, then it went the other way. I hung on a bit then decided to get out, glad I did. I like the sound of vog. It could be another cop in the terms of the sp going up? What are your views?
KMR will come good IMHO but prob over a longer period that I expected as they are not going to start production of the titanium until the final quarter of 2006!! Its a bit too long for me as I dont like to hold on for too long. I learned from pet. I have heard that they maybe a poss takeover target. If I see a profit I will take it. I had a look at MOP will hang on and see what happens there.
Back to csh, do you know of what the next poss news from them will be? An update on their current well or news on the others that they will start drilling? It is prob on the other side but I get fedup reading all them posts.
wilbs
dexter01
- 28 Jan 2005 13:27
- 40 of 178
wilbs,
have you looked at their website
http://www.victoriaoilandgas.com
dexter
wilbs
- 28 Jan 2005 13:43
- 41 of 178
dexter,
I have looked at the website, quite informative. I want to buy but will hang on. I just topped up csh with another 5k shares, I couldnt help myself!!!
wilbs
dexter01
- 28 Jan 2005 13:48
- 42 of 178
wilbs,
I asked on the other side re;news timescale , the from answer, from alvin123, is below.
Dexter
ps. i see GOO is on a run
dexter01 - 28 Jan'05 - 13:24 - 2127 of 2128
could be very soon on the next wells they are drilling but
i would expect in the next 4 weeks or before..
where waiting on wells, news results march, new facality`s
will be finished by may, in 4-6 weeks ther`ll be taking the
oil out of the ground when the temprature rises and whilst
this is all happening and more to speak the expantion on the field
is imminent because they can turn wells around so quick within
3-4 weeks it certainly wont take them long to drill the pants out
of that 1.5 sq kilometers of field and i do also believe that
1.5 sq kilometers is not that big if they want to increse the
field 20 fold..
this then can only lead me to the asumption that the drilling programme
on all the wells are to batter this field,what i mean to say all
these wells they are drilling now are all targeted for autmn 2005
and i believe they will have no where else left to drill after these
wells are complete,hence they are negotiating the fields i do know
this also this is also a proven part of the area aswell
hope this helps..
wilbs
- 28 Jan 2005 14:00
- 43 of 178
dexter,
thanks for that. I just had a quick look over the other side & this was the last post.
news could come at anytime, especially regarding the expansion. but as they are still waiting for the weather to warm up, i think it could be april/may before we get the updates on flow rates. by this time they will also have drilled another 3 wells and 50p will be a distant memory.
whats going on with goo? I looked at them a while back but left them on the back burner. Its like playing enie meanie miny mo(think that how its spelt) with all these oil stocks.
wilbs
dexter01
- 28 Jan 2005 14:52
- 44 of 178
wilbs,
christ knows what it is with GOO, i did think it was about due for a run but getting the timing right,well it beats me!!. I think it`s probably too late to get in on this run.......says he as it doubles!!. GOO doesseem to have gone up on relatively low vol., it could be the mm`s second guessing which one to hike after the drop of COP this morning, once again it looks like they`ve made a killing!!
dexter
wilbs
- 28 Jan 2005 15:03
- 45 of 178
dexter,
I just looked on the other side and from what I can understand there may be news of their jungle block or they have plans to develop a petrochemical plant in Northern Peru, so a fund raising may be on the cards.
I am tempted.
Oh what to do!!!
wilbs
dexter01
- 28 Jan 2005 15:11
- 46 of 178
CSH. comdirect
max buy 25k
max sell 75k
@ 3.15pm
stockbunny
- 28 Jan 2005 15:14
- 47 of 178
Ok it looks like the prospects are good but I have a question
if anyone can answer it for me..
If you pop a chart up for the last few years or an 'all-data' chart
on this company it shows a hefty share price, a real landslide and
then the price at the levels it is at now.......question is
Was it listed before and de-listed and came back on AIM in Nov?
dexter01
- 28 Jan 2005 15:19
- 48 of 178
stockbunny,
I put an all data chart on ft.com and it only shows from Oct. 04, can you paste your chart?. If that is the case, does it matter?, surely we have to look at it now .
Dexter
wilbs
- 28 Jan 2005 15:20
- 49 of 178
Ive just jumped into goo. Only bought 18,443 @ 6.43p. Only having a small punt. You never know.
wilbs
dexter01
- 28 Jan 2005 15:23
- 50 of 178
wilbs,
Have a look at AST, mm`s just dropped the sp 1p (18.18%) on nil vol., might be trying to entice some buying.Good luck with GOO.
Dexter