rivaldo55555
- 22 Nov 2006 22:47
I bought some GNG recently at 18p (price now up to 26p) given:
- excellent trading update giving a current year P/E of 8 or 9 on likely 3p-3.5p EPS
- 2.6p historic EPS to 31/3/06 and a historic P/E of 10
- contract wins announced post-IPO in June 2006
- 1.9m of net assets, with 820k of cash, against a 6.8m m/cap
- results to be announced 28th November following the trading update
Here's the trading update:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20061031080000P4198
I gather GNG's CEO and CHairman (both superb English speakers) will be over here next week to tour the City, give press interviews etc.
GNG intended to raise $7m at IPO, but raised only 500k due to terrible matket conditions at the time in June. Despite this they've now announced that they're almost going to meet the broker's estimates as calculated on raising the full $7m.
GNG should now be on course to make around 3p-3.5p EPS this year to March'07. This leaves them on a current year P/E of only around 8 or 9.
Heres their IPO RNS from 23rd June 2006 (the Board of Directors is extremely impressive):
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20060623081500PF52B
This is what GNG do:
GEONG has established itself as one of the market leaders in the Peoples Republic of China in providing content management solution software products and related services for large enterprises. GEONG's flagship product range, the GEONG PortalAge series, is used by the top 5 Chinese banks and 12 out of the top 20 securities firms in China. It is an enterprise server software product which combines a number of optional business solution components and customisation modules that can be used to provide individual solutions for a range of industries including those that require real-time or time critical applications such as internet banking.
Note the wording a range of industries.
In slightly more detail, GNG has a 6.8m m/cap, with 26.12m shares in issue.
GNG made $1.28m post-tax profit for the year to 31/3/06. At $1.87 that's 685k, or 2.6p EPS, for a historic P/E of just 10.
The brokers forecast on IPO was for $1.89m post-tax profit this year to 31/3/07, or around 3.7p EPS, for a P/E of just 7.
And per the pro forma in the prospectus GNG had at 30/4/06 1.9m of net assets, including 820k of cash, against the current 6.8m m/cap. Thus the continuing business making a $1.28m historic profit after tax is valued at just 4.9m.
The prospectus noted that GNG are trading in line, and there's been some excellent announcements post-IPO at the end of June to indicate that things are continuing to go well:
July : a $350k contract win with Huawei-3Com, who employ more than 4,500 people worldwide:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20060724074128PFD9C
October : a $500k contract win with Air China:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20061018071237PC25A
In the same RNS, GNG stated that their solutions "are already being used by Shanghai Airlines and China Travel International and will allow us to gain a larger share in this fast growing sector."
October : core supplier status from IBM:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20061018071206PB237
November : new contract win with China's Bank of Communication (one of China's "Big Four" banks):
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20061121070205P7788
The reason for the post-IPO fall is some of the pre-IPO $300,000 loan note holders from late 2005 turning their converted stock for a quick profit, and a complete lack of PR. GNG also raised less than they hoped for on IPO because they floated just after the FTSE had dropped calamitously from 6,100 in May to 5,600 - this of course also contributed to the artificial fall in the share price post-IPO.
Note also from the prospectus that 80.16% of the shareholders, including the directors, are locked in for from 6 months to a year, so there are only 5.2m shares in free float, or around 1m worth.
On a 6.8m m/cap, a company making 1m post-tax profit could have rather a long way to go imo. DYOR etc.
Corporate website : http://www.geong.com/Site/Home/EN
rivaldo55555
- 24 Jun 2009 18:58
- 314 of 382
The overriding point is that at the current 32.5p GNG is on a historic P/E of only 6.1, and a likely current year P/E of 5 which probably reduces to 3.5 or so if you strip out the 3.6m cash pile.
The true adjusted EPS was 5.3p compared to 4.9p as forecast, and year end cash was 3.6m as opposed to 3m forecast.
There's also 600,000 of savings to come through this year in reduced SmartBox costs, i.e almost 20% of total admin and selling costs
Tangible net assets are 12m compared to the 10.2m m/cap - 3.6m of which is represented by cash, with a further 10.8m of blue chip debtors.
The presentation GNG made to analysts this week is now available for all to view at:
http://www.buisseret.com/gng/GEONG%20FY09%20Final%20Result.pdf
It's extremely impressive, and there are a number of points to note:
- most importantly : "Order Book has seen strong growth since year end", so from 10.6m it could now be say 12m, including say 6m annual recurring income
- Significant new contracts post year end
FSI: ABC (Portal and UxD Consulting), Guangfa Securites (Investment Banking
Management), Bank of Guangfa (UxD Consulting), Bank of Dongguan (UxD
Consulting) and CCB (Portal MA)
Auto: SGM (Dealer Management System MA)
Telecom: China Mobile (Portal)
Other: Giant Gaming (Enterprise Search)
- Microsoft anyone? "Extend partnership with Microsoft: working together to sign new contracts, including ABC and Giant Gaming"
- "Long-term agreements, adding to FY10 recurring revenue
Renewed the Core Service Supplier Agreement with IBM Global Business Service
Signed new yearly CSP Agreement with IBM Global Technology Service
Renewed yearly Freelancer Management Agreement with Huawei"
- the number of PortalAge clients has increased again, to 180 - this compares to 170 from memory only a couple of months ago
- this is a rather tasty quote : "GEONG is the only vendor in China who can provide end-to-end ECM consulting, software solutions and services ( including SaaS) for business transformation and information management to clients"
- there's a case study of GNG's client CCB (China Construction Bank) - the world's second largest bank! The "Opportunities for 2009" indicate no let-up in the stream of work:
"Opportunities in 2009
New internet banking portal for Credit Card transactions, marketing and branding
Online CRM services portal
Customer Experience Management for internet banking feedback
Phase II of project enhancing functionality of online sales & marketing and client servicing"
- 21 new clients signed during the year including Rural Bank of
Shandong, Rural Bank of Dongguan and Huawei
- "Outstanding orders have completed in Q1"
- Clients include 4 of the top 10 banks in the world in terms of market cap
World No. 1: Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
World No. 2: China Construction Bank
World No. 4: Bank of China
World No. 6: Bank of Communications
- there are 195 second tier banks in total, and GNG currently has 15 second tier banking clients. Many opportunities here since GNG is far and away the market leader.
Incidentally, the true spread is only 2p as sellers are currently getting a good premium to the bid at 31.9p, whilst buyers are having to pay the full 34p offer.
cynic
- 24 Jun 2009 21:53
- 315 of 382
why the f*** would anyone want to get excited about this stock? ..... for goodness sake, there were only 39k shares traded today, which tells you plenty
rivaldo55555
- 24 Jun 2009 22:26
- 316 of 382
Cynic, that's because it's a 10m small cap. If you can't see the low rating and equate it to the historic growth, defensive qualities, blue chip client list and future potential then perhaps others will.
I'm 75% up already on GNG. Another 75% to 56p in the next few months would still only see the P/E on a current year P/E of 9.1 based on 6.1p EPS. That's more than exciting enough for me.
cynic
- 25 Jun 2009 07:46
- 317 of 382
no one else seems to wear your rose-tinted specs either
rivaldo55555
- 25 Jun 2009 10:19
- 318 of 382
The price has ticked up 0.5p, and there's a nice situation online with a seeming shortage of stock.
The maximum stock available to buy is just 1,500 shares at the full 35p offer, whereas you can sell a number more at 32.9p, a big premium to the offer.
GNG has also been tipped by Trendwatch:
"Main points
*Sales almost doubled to 14.7m
*Pre-tax profit increased by 54% to 1.7m
*Basic eps of 4.3p - adjusted eps 5.3p.
*Positive cash inflow of 1m
*Net Cash balance of 3.6m.
*Year-end order book 10.6m with almost half recurring income.
Positive Factors for 2009/10
*Banking & Telecomm sectors remain strong
*Auto sector shows positive signs of recovery.
*SmartBox to be marketed as a PortalAge component eliminating around 600k in costs.
*Concentration on larger customers and online solutions.
*Core strategy providing end-to-end solutions based on consulting, software & service.
*SaaS roll out should increase recurring revenue and improve cash collection
*Eps of 6p achievable with a good chance of more
*Projected earnings multiple of around 6
Conclusion
Company has a good franchise, a good record and a share price that's only around 10% above its original IPO.
BUY at 33p"
cynic
- 25 Jun 2009 11:12
- 319 of 382
go fill your (own) boots then!
rivaldo55555
- 26 Jun 2009 12:41
- 320 of 382
Up by 1.5p and almost 5% today. At 34.5p the historic P/E is still only 6.5 based on 5.3p EPS.
There are a maximum of only 1,500 shares available to buy online, and you can sell more shares at 33.5p now, still a large premium to the bid price.
Given 5.3p EPS for last year, the previous 6.1p EPS forecast for this year looks light given the 600k reduction in SmartBox costs and the strong order book. The SmartBox cost reduction alone represents almost an additional 2p EPS for this year.
But let's go for a cautious 6.5p EPS this year with 20% growth. For next year GNG could be looking at say 7.5p EPS.
If the share price does double to 69p, this would still represent a P/E of only 9.2 - with in addition a 21m m/cap covered by 12m of tangible net assets including (at present) 3.6m net cash.
An optimistic scenario might see 8p+ EPS this year given that 2p of EPS in cost reductions, which would leave the current share price looking even more ridiculous.
cynic
- 26 Jun 2009 12:59
- 321 of 382
does this sound like desperate ramping to anyone else?
totally illiquid with today's volume a totally risible 22,300 shares, a spread of 1p on a mid of 34p, no free stock and a chinese company to boot, sounds like a disaster just waiting to happen
rivaldo55555
- 26 Jun 2009 14:36
- 322 of 382
Perhaps cynic should address his rather xenophobic and aggressive posts to the best performing all-share investment fund in the UK - L&G's UK Alpha Trust - who have taken over 10% of GNG in recent months, spending probably 1.5m in the process.
There's also the matter of GNG's client list, which reads like a who's who of the world's top companies - and this for a 10m m/cap company making 2m PBT:
GNG's client list includes the top 5 banks in China, 12 of the top 20 securities firms, 4 of the top 10 fund management companies, 2 of the top 5 insurance companies, major stock/future exchanges as well as financial management institutions.
Other clients include China Mobile, Air China, Sony, Hitachi, Adidas, Huawei-3COM, Motorola China, China Unicom, Shanghai General Motors, Lenovo, Volkswagen, Shanghai Telecom, Dell etc etc.
GNG are also in partnership with IBM, Microsoft, SAP, Oracle and BEA.
They have a 17% share of the fast-growing Chinese ECM market and are the largest domestic provider after Oracle and IBM, who as stated before also act as their partners.
GNG say they've never lost a client, and those clients are all locked in to GNG because their systems are dependent on GNG's software, thus providing recurring revenue streams currently at almost 6m per annum.
Given that my 2 1/2 year investment is now up 90%, and I fully expect another 90% over a shorter or similar timeframe, I'm perfectly content.
cynic
- 26 Jun 2009 15:59
- 323 of 382
i happily admit that, with good reason, i do not trust chinese companies in general, nor companies that are as illiquid as this ...... while all in the garden may look rosy today, God help you when (not if) the markets turn ugly again and you are trying to sell stock .... and always remember, that a profit is only a profit when it's in the bank!
rivaldo55555
- 28 Jun 2009 19:00
- 324 of 382
GNG were up 6p on Friday, or 18% on the day. Not bad.
Legal & General with over 190% and most GNG investors are not in for the short-term - though the fundamentals do make this an attractive short/medium-term play. We're in for a multibagging opportunity over the next two to five years.
I repeat - there's also the matter of GNG's client list, which reads like a who's who of the world's top companies - and this for a 10m m/cap company making 2m PBT:
GNG's client list includes the top 5 banks in China, 12 of the top 20 securities firms, 4 of the top 10 fund management companies, 2 of the top 5 insurance companies, major stock/future exchanges as well as financial management institutions.
Other clients include China Mobile, Air China, Sony, Hitachi, Adidas, Huawei-3COM, Motorola China, China Unicom, Shanghai General Motors, Lenovo, Volkswagen, Shanghai Telecom, Dell etc etc.
GNG are also in partnership with IBM, Microsoft, SAP, Oracle and BEA.
They have a 17% share of the fast-growing Chinese ECM market and are the largest domestic provider after Oracle and IBM, who as stated before also act as their partners.
GNG say they've never lost a client, and those clients are all locked in to GNG because their systems are dependent on GNG's software, thus providing recurring revenue streams currently at almost 6m per annum.
cynic
- 28 Jun 2009 19:21
- 325 of 382
strange isn't it .... no one else posts here and no one trades the stock except in joke amounts ..... keep filling your (own) boots!
rivaldo55555
- 29 Jun 2009 14:09
- 326 of 382
Excellent stuff - back to parity today with the bid price the same at 37p after being down 2.5p first thing. An excellent turnaround showing the underlying strength in demand.
Online one can buy a maximum of just 1,500 shares at the full 42p offer - sellers are getting 39.6p for many more, almost the mid-price!
Yet still GNG trades at barely its 12m tangible NAV, with a 3.6m cash pile and a P/E of just 6, with high recurring income and an unbeatable client list.
The EPS this year could conservatively be 6.5p and perhaps as much as 8p after 5.3p last year.
Which would justify a 100% rise to 80p at the least imho with such a strong Balance Sheet.
notlob
- 30 Jun 2009 10:08
- 327 of 382
this board is pretty dead.riv, so you are pushing a large stone uphill here
Guess as you are posting the same stuff on other boards, of which there is no harm in that at all, its not too much extra effort.
Get the feeling you would be pleased to see the back of these, its all a bit too earnest, imo.
cynic
- 30 Jun 2009 11:15
- 328 of 382
serious excitement here today .... 700 shares traded already!
rivaldo55555
- 30 Jun 2009 11:23
- 329 of 382
Notlob, agreed - the moneyam bb seems like a wasteland, which is why I rarely post here except about GNG and CHNS.
The only reason I ever started posting here was because a certain other poster (not cynic!) was posting such ridiculously inaccurate stuff about GNG and CHNS on this and a multitude of other bulletin boards. Otherwise I really wouldn't have bothered.
I believe GNG to be a great opportunity for short-term gains and long-term multibagging. Not much more to say! I'll be holding for some time to come as the company grows.
cynic
- 30 Jun 2009 11:34
- 330 of 382
not really having a major dig, but CHNS is another of these stocks (would much hold those than GNG) with a farcically small daily volume and wide spread
notlob
- 30 Jun 2009 12:14
- 331 of 382
fair play, riv, I know who you are talking about now.
good luck to you with GNG
rivaldo55555
- 11 Aug 2009 08:20
- 332 of 382
Let's bring this thread up to date, since the share price has continued to increase and is now 48p.
Two weeks ago we had ridiculously good news - last year's total revenues were 14m, and here at a stroke GNG have secured what are annualised revenues of 4.8m....and Q1 is normally a quiet quarter.
And in case anyone missed it, the last paragraph amounts to what is a very strong trading statement.
GNG is STILL trading at barely above its 12m tangible net asset value (including 3.6m net cash) at the current 15m m/cap - despite making 2m PBT and 5.3p EPS last year.
For the record, here's the RNS:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20090722070100PC935
"GEONG International Limited (AIM: GNG), the AIM listed China based provider of enterprise content management (ECM) software and solutions, is pleased to announce that it has signed a contract extension with a leading international telecom solutions provider.
The agreement sees GEONG extend its high-level management consultancy contract with the client for a period of one year, from 1 April 2009 to 31 March 2010.
The agreement generated revenues of USD1.9 million (1.2 million) during the three month period from 1 April 2009 to 30 June 2009, compared with USD4.5 million (2.8 million) for the twelve months to 31 March 2009.
The contract forms part of GEONG's `import' strategy, in which the Company works with its Chinese clients to help them build their overseas operations. As a result of this, revenues for the contract are chiefly derived in US dollars and are therefore reported as such.
Weidong Wang, Chief Executive of GEONG, commented: "We are delighted to have signed this contract extension with one of our key clients and remain confident of continuing our long-standing relationship with this major global player. This clearly demonstrates our considerable success in helping our clients accelerate their expansion into overseas markets.
GEONG has continued to successfully secure new business, both with new and existing clients, during the first quarter of 2009, and we are confident of this trend continuing throughout the remainder of the year.""
rivaldo55555
- 17 Aug 2009 13:44
- 333 of 382
Another contract win RNS at the end of last week - and more than 200 tier two Chinese banks to go for. With an AGM trading statement likely in the next two to three weeks there should be more good news to come imho:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/Article.aspx?id=20090810070000PA5D3
"Contract Wins within Tier-Two Banking Sector
GEONG International Limited (AIM: GNG), the AIM listed China based provider of enterprise content management (ECM) software and solutions, is pleased to announce that it has recently signed a number of new contracts with tier-two Chinese banks worth a total value of RMB 7.1 million.
GEONG has signed four contracts that will see it leverage existing PortalAge solutions, already used by tier-one banks, to help clients build their internet banking facilities and employee portals. These contracts have been signed with the Rural Bank of Dongguan, the Bank of Qilu, the Guangdong Development Bank and the Bank of Dezhou and are worth a total of RMB 2.9 million.
The Company has also been developing a number of new PortalAge solutions during the past six months, specifically tailored to meet the core banking and CRM needs of tier-two banks. The solutions have been developed in swift reaction to an emerging and fast growing demand from tier-two banks for more efficient IT systems and are priced and positioned appropriate to the sub-sector.
These new solutions are already proving popular with two recent contract
signings, including a RMB 3.2 million contract with the Rural Bank of Shangdong and a RMB 1.0 million contract with the Bank of Dalian.
In addition, an advantage of these contracts is that tier-two banks in China typically offer more favourable payment terms and GEONG expects the full impact of this to be realised in the 2nd and 3rd quarters of the next financial year.
Weidong Wang, Chief Executive of GEONG, commented: "We are delighted with these contract signings which demonstrate the versatility of our PortalAge solutions and represent a significant breakthrough for GEONG within the fast growing tier-two banking sector. There are over 200 tier-two banks within China, most of which are just beginning to build their IT systems, presenting considerable opportunities that we feel we are well positioned to benefit from.""