Balfour Beatty boosted by hopes of revival or new bid, while FTSE drifts higher
Troubled construction group could be on road to recovery, say Merrill Lynch analysts 26/11/2014
Balfour Beatty has been through the mire recently, with several profit warnings, changes of top executives and a failed bid from Carillion.
But it looked brighter after a positive note from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, which moved from neutral to buy albeit with a target price cut from 250p to 230p, based on a recovery at the business and the prospect of Carillion taking another tilt at the company come next February. Merrill analyst Marcin Wojtal said:
Five profit warnings in UK construction in the past two years have led to significant underperformance versus the sector and the stock is down 50% from its highs in February 2014. However, the balance sheet is now solid (£200m estimated net cash in December 2014) post the sale of Parsons Brinckerhoff, and most businesses (notably public private partnerships and US construction) are performing well. KPMG’s review of contracts in UK construction is due by year-end and creates certain overhang. However, this looks priced in, as to justify the current share price based on a sum of the price, we would have to assume UK construction is worth a negative £500m.
We think [Balfour] retains significant M&A appeal for a player looking for a back door to its portfolio of PPP assets and willing to take a 2-3 year view, before potential UK restructuring starts bearing fruit.
Under UK takeover rules, Carillion cannot make a hostile bid for Balfour Beatty for six months, ie, until February 2015. Both companies could also hypothetically re- engage in tie-up talks (ie after expiry of three months lock-up post the rejection in 19 August 2014).
Its shares closed 13.7p or more than 8% higher at 176.8p.