Sharesmagazine
 Home   Log In   Register   Our Services   My Account   Contact   Help 
 Stockwatch   Level 2   Portfolio   Charts   Share Price   Awards   Market Scan   Videos   Broker Notes   Director Deals   Traders' Room 
 Funds   Trades   Terminal   Alerts   Heatmaps   News   Indices   Forward Diary   Forex Prices   Shares Magazine   Investors' Room 
 CFDs   Shares   SIPPs   ISAs   Forex   ETFs   Comparison Tables   Spread Betting 
You are NOT currently logged in
Register now or login to post to this thread.

TAIHUA - Traditional Chinese Medicine - a tonic for your portfolio ???? (TAIH)     

soul traders - 15 Dec 2006 15:35

Just quick summary to bring this to your attention; more detail will hopefully follow.

This stock floated yesterday at 10p and has since doubled. It has, needless to say, suddenly become very popular on another BB.

The company is profitable already and trading on an estimated (by yours truly) forward PE for the current year of 9 at SP 20p. EDIT: Hoodless Brennan estimate EPS for Full Year 2006 will be 2.18p - see article (link below).

Free float is 11.4% of the 81.2 million shares in issue - most are held by the directors.



Chart.aspx?Provider=EODIntra&Code=TAIH&S



Extremely useful Investegate article LINK


Extremely useful Hoodless Brennan analysis LINK


PDYOR, etc.

driver - 19 Dec 2006 17:54 - 34 of 369

laurie
That's good news then youre the only one in profit lol still looking good IMO 25p tomorrow.

hewittalan6 - 19 Dec 2006 19:42 - 35 of 369

Well done Laurie. I have only been married 15 years and mine won't hold up at all. It is now considerably lower. But then again, so is a large amount of the wife.
Alan

soul traders - 19 Dec 2006 19:47 - 36 of 369

A not-particularly exciting RNS: Taihua Plc - Total Voting Rights
RNS Number:2028O
Taihua Plc
19 December 2006

Taihua plc (the 'Company')


Total Voting Rights


For the purposes of the transitional provisions of the Financial Services
Authority's Disclosure and Transparency Rules, the total number of ordinary
shares of 10p each in the capital of the Company in issue as at the date of this
notice is 81,211,000 with each share carrying the right to one vote.


There are no shares held in treasury.


Therefore, the total number of voting rights in the Company is 81,211,000.


The above figure may be used by shareholders in the Company as the denominator
for the calculations by which they will determine if they are required to notify
their interest in, or a change to their interest in, the share capital of the
Company under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

laurie squash - 20 Dec 2006 10:33 - 37 of 369

MMs having a funny turn day today any buys or sells they are moving the sp - only three trades so any buys and the sp will come back.

laurie squash - 21 Dec 2006 11:38 - 38 of 369

A good report and one of 5 recommended companies from Hoodless Brennan up 1p so looking better.

http://www.hoodlessbrennan.com/products-services/share-tips/?utm_source=tips&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=tipsdec06

driver - 21 Dec 2006 12:02 - 39 of 369

laurie squash
Cheers laurie, reposted link.

Substantial room for profit growth as
range expands to include injectables
and export licences are obtained for
South Korea and EU
Growth in hospital client list for own
brand range of herbal medicines
PE of 6.2x based on 2006 numbersgood
comparison with UK biotech peers
Low cost base- admin expense just 8%admin expense just 8%
of 2005 sales

http://www.hoodlessbrennan.com/products-services/share-tips/?utm_source=tips&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=tipsdec06

laurie squash - 21 Dec 2006 12:20 - 40 of 369

Driver do you want to put the link on the dark side as well.

driver - 21 Dec 2006 12:24 - 41 of 369

laurie
Just done it.

soul traders - 21 Dec 2006 20:28 - 42 of 369

EDIT: chart in header replaced with 5-day chart.

soul traders - 21 Dec 2006 20:40 - 43 of 369

Driver, many thanks for yor post of the Hoodies article - a good find!

Taking away the most salient point of the report, TAIH is forecast to make EPS of 2.18p for the year ending 31 Dec 2006. Which, I should not need to remind anybody, is in ten days' time.

Currently we are on a PE of around 8.5 (at closing offer price of 18.5p). So we could well see a lift in the SP as and when a trading update is released, and when the results come through at the end of March.

Looks very good, IMO. Glad I bought and am waiting for great things in the New Year.

IMO, PDYOR, etc.

soul traders - 21 Dec 2006 20:50 - 44 of 369

Laurie, sorry; the credit should go to you in the first instance for the HB article. I have now pasted the link to the header.

Decent recovery today, too: TAIH Bid: 16.5p Offer: 18.5p Change: 1

good luck to all!

hlyeo98 - 21 Dec 2006 22:16 - 45 of 369

sorry to sound pessimistic...but it seems unlikely that TAIH will go far because chinese herbal medicine is not well researched and its potential benefits and side-effects are not known. There aren't any randomised controlled trials on such herbal medicines. Very risky investment.

soul traders - 22 Dec 2006 08:14 - 46 of 369

HL, I believe that Paclitaxel and Homoharringtonine are already used in Western countries.

And the TCM side, already accepted in China, is due to be expanded in China.

Does anyone else have any views?

hewittalan6 - 22 Dec 2006 08:25 - 47 of 369

ST,
Gotta say, I respect your stockpicking and when you started the thread I had a good close look, but I'm gonna go with hlyeo on that.
Chinese medicine does not appear to have gripped the market as one may have thought. Every shopping centre you go in has a Dr & herbs outlet, but never anyone in them! I am afraid that complimentary or alternative treatments will be treated as "faddy" for some years to come and while this may enjoy an opening splash, I see no real long term future as a large organisation. Expansion is very limited.
If these treatments ever become researched and regulated, they may become more mainstream and offer greater expansion potential, but regulation is a double edged sword. it also offers higher costs and massive restrictions on trade.
I wish all the investors the very best of luck, as I would with any share, but it is not for me. I really hope I am proved wrong and spend the rest of my days kicking myself for net getting in with you all.
WTFDIK & DYOR, but I'm sitting it out for the time being.
Alan

silvermede - 22 Dec 2006 10:22 - 48 of 369

ST, this stock was classed as AVOID by Monisha V on allnewissues.com and a buy by Hoodless B, though HB are share holders (2.46%).

Reasons for the Avoid category were:

Company trying to sell a drug which is off patent, therefore margins will be low.
the impact on profitability of the Leukemia drug will take some time and necessary approvals not yet obtained.

Hope that helps.

soul traders - 22 Dec 2006 20:35 - 49 of 369

LOL - it seems this one just isn't all that popular with this BB!

Seriously, thanks to all for explaining your reservations. I have to admit that the low PE is a major factor behind my interest. Will hang on and see what happens at the next results - hopefully it won't be a complete train wreck.

However, I must say that I think there are positives amongst the negatives as well and that there may well be some good news from the Chinese and other oriental markets.

Good to see everyone taking "DYOR" seriously :o)

Happy Christmas to all.
ST

driver - 23 Dec 2006 17:01 - 50 of 369

Al
The UK may not be that keen on Chinese medicine but a lot of Taihua's customers are abroad, in China, Russia and South America and the expansion will come from the application process for licences and approvals to supply some of its products to drug manufacturers in South Korea and Europe. I see a lot of upside in this stock short term 40p+ imo.

hewittalan6 - 24 Dec 2006 07:48 - 51 of 369

And I hope you make enough to retire on , Driver & ST, its just not one I fancy.
I sincerely hope you are right, I really do.
Unless you are a tax inspector or a traffic warden, in which case I hope you remortgage your home, put everything in them, sell your kids into slavery to buy a few more and then watch them go bust, which will make you mad enough to commit suicide and hopefully get it wrong, so that your death is slow and agonising.
But thats just the view of one who has had a tax demand and a parking ticket on the same day.
Other than that, I look forward to being very wrong.
alan

hlyeo98 - 25 Dec 2006 10:28 - 52 of 369

Well said, Alan. Taihua is a very risky share not suitable for orphans and widows.

laurie squash - 29 Dec 2006 13:04 - 53 of 369

92 % buys and yet the price falls - don't you love the mm's?
Tree shake for the beers till Tuesday!
Register now or login to post to this thread.