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AFG E&P in Zimbabwe (AFG)     

antiadvfn - 23 Jan 2004 07:30

I don't believe that the mentioned "African Gold Zimbabwe" is AFG, but the article does demonstrate rapid resurgence of E&P in Zimbabwe:

Mining Giants Plan Massive Diamond Prospecting

The Herald (Harare)

January 22, 2004
Posted to the web January 22, 2004

Harare

MINING giants, De Beers Zimbabwe Prospecting Limited and Circle Three Mining Corporation are proposing a massive diamond prospecting project that will see the two companies prospecting for the mineral in Gweru, Harare, Bulawayo and Kadoma mining districts.

The two mining companies intend to prospect for diamond in areas covering a total of 448 180 hectares.


Another company, African Gold Zimbabwe, has also undertaken to prospect for gold on two areas measuring 120 550 hectares within the Harare and Gweru mining districts.

De Beers Zimbabwe Prospecting Limited, Circle Three Mining Corporation and African Gold Zimbabwe have applied to the Mining Affairs Board for an exclusive prospecting order for 12 areas under the four mining districts.

In the latest issue of the Government gazette, the Mining Affairs Board said De Beers, Circle Three Mining and African Gold Zimbabwe intend to prospect for diamonds and gold over an area of approximately 568 730 hectares from the three areas.

"The applicants intend to prospect for diamond within the areas, which have been reserved against prospecting pending determination of this application.

"Prospecting authority is sought upon registered base mineral blocks within the reservation," read part of the notice.

One of the two diamond prospecting projects to be undertaken by Circle Three Mining measures 65 000 hectares and is bounded by a line commencing on the Zimbabwe-Zambia border approximating five kilometres.

All areas, which have been earmarked for prospecting are within the 15 000 hectares and 65 000 hectares range and are mostly in the traditional mineral bearing areas of the country.

The proposal to prospect for diamond in the country comes at a time when the US$41 million Murowa Diamond Mine has started to operate following the successful relocation of 141 families which were on the mining site.

Mining is one of the sectors which has been depressed over the last five years but some of the players in the industry have said investors should look at non-traditional minerals.

An example that is often given is that of platinum, which is fast becoming the world's most lucrative mineral.

The mining of diamond in Zimbabwe is also fast gaining pace and it is expected that some of the mining projects would create a lot of employment.

Relevant Links

Southern Africa
Mining
Zimbabwe

SueHelen - 09 Mar 2004 23:12 - 344 of 626

Summary

Can't help but feel that News is just within spitting distance as we speak. The MACD (blue line) is now turning, the RSI is climbing up from its low a day or so ago, the Candlesticks are bouncing off the 50-day Moving Average, and News is imminent.

The speculation about the Gold price should be easier now, as the Central Banks have agreed to limit sales to 500 metric tonnes for the forseeable future (probably to avoid charges of manipulation from/to the IMF) and with due diligence reports likely in the next few weeks on each of the 4 leases/purchases this should be the bottom of the recent re-tracement.


Keep the faith chaps. Dr. Teeling will not let his city chums down.
Remember the Directors put 100k EACH into this, and Institutions contributed 2.44m. That money will NOT be wasted.

SueHelen - 10 Mar 2004 09:30 - 345 of 626

Technical Analysis: African Gold (AFG.L) Last Time Updated Wednesday March 10

Short Term Commentary

Short term trend is strongly bearish, trendline slope is negative. Levels over 10.86 can act as a resistance if price bounces up.

Medium Term Commentary

Medium term price trend for African Gold is still bullish this week. This stock overperforms the FTSE 100 INDEX by 162.95 %. Volatility has been decreasing during last month. Be alert to the proximity of support 10.12 , and a possible rebound from this level.

http://uk.biz.yahoo.com/tech/a/afg.l.html

SueHelen - 10 Mar 2004 13:42 - 346 of 626

A few facts I've picked up along the way. A synopsis follows:

The price for Gold (and silver) is set to rocket due to several factors:
1. Increasing world demand. (China/India/Russia/Brazil all growing at 7%+)
2. World Central Banks attempting to derrogate Gold/Silver as a currency, has left the vaults with low(ish) reserves.
3. HUGE trade, and fiscal defecits in the U.S. financed by overseas Central Banks buying Bonds (Japan alone has plans to spend upto 270 trillion yen to support the dollar, in an attempt to stem the rising price of the Yen to keep Japanese factories exporting, to stop deflation in their country.
4. Above ground stocks of Gold/silver reducing due to major consolidation in the last bear phase.
5. LONG lead times to production discovering New resources.
6. WORLD Financial Implosion possible due to dredit explosion, and use of the derivatives invented since the early 1970's

So why am I sat here smiling at such devastating News?

Well..U might ponder on that...

AFG, is not...repeat NOT looking for new resources. It has already acquired new leases, which are of under-developed EXISTING mines, with KNOWN resources, and pursuing JOINT-DEVELOPMENTS

This shortens the lead time to production considerably.

Their last major acquisition is a surface mine allowing major plant to be used to get at the reources, and with generally good g/t ratios.

They have just (12 weeks or so ago) had a cash injection of 100k from 5 new directors, and (4weeks or so ago) 2.44mill from financial insitutions, and already announced 3 of the finds that they have acquired. (Probably before they would have liked to) but the 4th and rumoured to be the biggest is yet to be announced.

SueHelen - 10 Mar 2004 13:43 - 347 of 626

Price holding firm at 10.0-11.25 pence.

ajren - 10 Mar 2004 13:53 - 348 of 626

NO one even slightly nervous about investing in Zimbabwe

Just a Suggestion :- I think everyone thinking of investing in virtually any
country should find out as much as possible about that country:-
www.cia.gov is a good place to start.
rgds aj

xmortal - 10 Mar 2004 15:07 - 349 of 626

Ajren,

AFG has frozen its progress in Zimbabwe till the right time comes. (i recommend you to read more about the company. On the other hand it is good to investigate all you can before one decides gamble money.

ajren - 10 Mar 2004 16:07 - 350 of 626

Do you think the right time will come for Zimbabwe - I am not being sarcastic?
rgds aj

SueHelen - 10 Mar 2004 23:23 - 351 of 626

Investtech Analysis:

Weak Negative Candidate (Short term) - Mar 10, 2004
Has risen 567% since the bottom on 31 Oct 2003 at 1.50. Has broken through the ceiling of a falling trend channel. This indicates a slower falling rate initially, or the start of a more horizontal development. The stock has support at p 5.00 and resistance at p 15.00. The average difference between the lowest and highest price of an average month is 62%. The risk is therefore high.

SueHelen - 10 Mar 2004 23:23 - 352 of 626

Neutral (Medium term) - Mar 10, 2004
Has risen 1500% since the bottom on 7 Apr 2003 at 0.63. Has broken through the floor of a rising trend channel. This indicates a slower rising rate at first, or the start of a more horizontal development. The stock has support at p 2.00 and resistance at p 15.00. High risk.

SueHelen - 10 Mar 2004 23:24 - 353 of 626

Neutral (Long term) - Mar 10, 2004
Has risen 1500% since the bottom on 7 Apr 2003 at 0.63. Has broken the ceiling of the falling trend, which indicates a slower initial falling rate. Has risen strongly since the positive signal from a inverse head and shoulders formation at the break through the resistance at 2.00. The objective at 6.40 is now met, but the formation still gives a signal in the same direction. The stock has support at p 3.00. The average difference between the lowest and highest price of an average month is 62%. The risk is therefore high.

SueHelen - 10 Mar 2004 23:25 - 354 of 626

Price was unchanged today at 10.0-11.25 pence. More selling absorbed today by the MMs, in other words stocking up to sell at higher prices once the good news comes. Just the one solitary decent buy of around 46,000 shares at 10.75 pence which is a real pity, but hey good news is on the horizon now.

MMs strategy is to buy low and sell high. That is happening here.

MACD crossing nearly there now, divergence gap smaller, price just off the ten and fifty day moving averages. The rises will be really explosive once the news comes with all the indicators pointing the way there are at the moment.

tbrooking66 - 11 Mar 2004 11:07 - 355 of 626

Hmm Afr Gold getting hammered today so far. Doing much worse than many other companies such as Afr Diamonds who them selves are doing badly. Mind you, this would be a good time to increase investment while the price is low though. Is it worth the gamble?

azhar - 11 Mar 2004 11:48 - 356 of 626

It's red everywhere today tbrooking66. Worry not!!

tbrooking66 - 11 Mar 2004 13:46 - 357 of 626

True, true azhar. This game isnt for the weak nerved! Its an opportunity aswell if you have the guts to act. Any decent newsflow on AFG once the market settles and 9p may look a bargain.

SueHelen - 11 Mar 2004 16:06 - 358 of 626

The price is very cheap indeed, been away from my screen hence...not here earlier. It's down because the market is so much down today. Some MM manipulation as didn't expect this kind of a drop.

Price 8.5-10.0 pence. 2*100,000 buys reported at 10 pence an hour ago. Otherwise very good buying today with a pickup in volume.

News on one more operation is coming and it will be this last operation to be announced which will be the most substantial to the company.

Strong Buy.

SueHelen - 11 Mar 2004 17:01 - 359 of 626

Price went up to 9.75-10.0 pence just before close for a short while before closing at 8.5-10.0 pence which was a good sign that news may be coming very soon.

SueHelen - 11 Mar 2004 17:03 - 360 of 626

Delayed 100,000 buy at 9.38 pence reported just before close.

ateeq180 - 12 Mar 2004 10:18 - 361 of 626

Looks like gold has lost its shine,sue any views,or still patience is required.

SueHelen - 12 Mar 2004 10:27 - 362 of 626

Hi ateeq, patience required for a few more days. MMs trying to trigger stop losses by the looks of it.

Incredibly cheap price now at 7.5-8.5 pence. I think the good news may be forthcoming this afternoon judging by how deperate the MMs seems to be to try and get some stock back.

ateeq180 - 12 Mar 2004 10:31 - 363 of 626

THANKS SUE,ITS NICE OF YOU TO GIVE THIS FEED BACK SO QUICKLY,AND I HOPE THATS THE CASE,ANY WAY GOOG LUCK TO ALL AFG HOLDERS.
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